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Dave Richard

Week 12 Fantasy Football Matchups

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


To prepare you as best we can for your week of Fantasy Football, we've devised this series of previews for each NFL game. We'll give you a taste of what to expect, then rank each significant Fantasy contributor on a scale from 0-5 logos (with five logos suggesting can't-miss; a player or unit without any logos suggests you probably shouldn't start him under any circumstances). The rankings take the matchup into account, but injuries and other significant factors also contribute.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Thursday, 12:30 pm, Ford Field
Let's see ... if Brady Quinn and the Browns can find a way to put up over 300 passing yards and four touchdowns on the Lions, then Aaron Rodgers shouldn't have a problem. Rodgers won't deal with much pressure from the Detroit front, nor should Ryan Grant from the Lions' run defense, so expect all Packers to have a shot at really nice stats. The Lions might move cornerback Anthony Henry to safety, and that's a dream matchup for tight end Jermichael Finley. Additionally, Donald Driver has put up some nice stats on the Lions in his recent past and should combine with Greg Jennings for a solid afternoon. Rodgers might be the best Fantasy quarterback in Week 12. Meanwhile, all the momentum the Lions had coming off their heart-stopping win last week is shot as Matthew Stafford isn't expected to play and Calvin Johnson won't be at full strength if he even gets on the field. With those weapons gone, Daunte Culpepper will command an offense void of defense stretchers. The Packers defense lost key starting cornerback Al Harris and outside linebacker Aaron Kampman to season-ending injuries last week but won't miss them much here, especially if Johnson sits. Kevin Smith might make more of a dent as a receiver than a rusher -- Culpepper has had a tendency of flipping passes to him in the flat. But unless Culpepper tries to make use of Brandon Pettigrew, who has a favorable matchup against safety Atari Bigby, the Lions' efforts to put points up will be futile.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Aaron Rodgers QB Daunte Culpepper
Ryan Grant RB Kevin Smith
Brandon Jackson RB Aaron Brown
Donald Driver WR Calvin Johnson
Greg Jennings WR Dennis Northcutt
Jermichael Finley TE Brandon Pettigrew
Mason Crosby K Jason Hanson
Packers DST Lions
Oakland Raiders at Dallas Cowboys
Thursday, 4:15 pm, Cowboys Stadium
The Cowboys have seen lambs come to their stadium for slaughter over the last three years on Thanksgiving and this year is no different as the Raiders walk in. Dallas' defense has been amazing of late, allowing one rushing touchdown and four passing touchdowns in their last four games. The Raiders won't be able to run the ball effectively here and you already know what to expect from their passing attack. Quarterback Bruce Gradkowski won't have a target with a good matchup to throw to and the pass rush will be too much for the Raiders' O-line to handle. If they went to short screens and draw runs they might have some success but they're headed for a long day. Typically we've seen Tony Romo play great ball on Thanksgiving -- he has two 300-yard games, 10 career touchdowns and two picks over three Turkey Days -- but his back got banged up last week. Because of that, there's a chance the Cowboys take the ball out of his hands a little bit and run at the Raiders' 30th-ranked run defense. Marion Barber should have a field day and Felix Jones and Tashard Choice might get into the act a little bit if the game gets one-sided. This does suggest that the Cowboys won't throw a lot, but they have pretty much put the ball up in the air close to 30 times at a minimum per game, so they won't completely abandon the pass in this one. We might see a lot of the run game to get the Cowboys into the red zone, then the pass would be used to score. For this reason, Romo remains a fairly appealing Fantasy quarterback though his receivers aren't as great.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Bruce Gradkowski QB Tony Romo
Justin Fargas RB Marion Barber
Darren McFadden RB Felix Jones
Chaz Schilens WR Miles Austin
Louis Murphy   WR Roy E. Williams
Zach Miller TE Martellus Bennett
Sebastian Janikowski K Nick Folk
Raiders   DST Cowboys
N.Y. Giants at Denver Broncos
Thursday, 8:20 pm, Invesco Field at Mile High
What looked like an impossible matchup for the Giants four weeks ago has considerably changed. Expect Big Blue to follow the pattern of Denver's last four opponents and run the ball right at the Broncos' front seven. That won't mean they'll keep the ball out of Eli Manning's hands, especially if safety Brian Dawkins isn't playing or is limited. Dawkins actually has lots of familiarity with the Giants offense, and between his knowledge and the Broncos' secondary's skills, this might be only a decent outing for Manning. The one to watch is Brandon Jacobs, who should see close to 20 touches, along with Danny Ware getting some work on third downs and in other spots since Ahmad Bradshaw is out with two bad ankles and a broken bone in his foot. The Broncos' offense might be in for a long week -- they don't have the powerful inside runner to match up with the Giants' defensive front and don't have a reliable passing attack that can withstand both the Giants' pass rush and the Giants' talented secondary. Kyle Orton proved to be ineffective last week playing on a badly sprained ankle and Chris Simms got pulled after a weak showing. The Broncos will have to reel in their passing game and that's not good for Brandon Marshall, who should see plenty of rolled coverage to his side. The Broncos might have a real hard time scoring here, just as they struggled to score last week against an aggressive Chargers defense.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Eli Manning QB Kyle Orton
Brandon Jacobs RB Knowshon Moreno
Danny Ware RB Correll Buckhalter
Steve Smith WR Brandon Marshall
Mario Manningham WR Eddie Royal
Hakeem Nicks WR Jabar Gaffney
Kevin Boss TE Tony Scheffler
Lawrence Tynes K Matt Prater
Giants DST Broncos
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Lincoln Financial Field
Down to their third-string running back in Rock Cartwright and against an opponent they've had a hard time with, now's not the time to expect a turnaround from the Redskins. Even with their defense keeping them in games, Jason Campbell has proven to be ineffective under center and his receivers, in spite of their talents, cannot make up for it. Santana Moss has never done well against the Eagles as a Redskin and essentially the entire passing offense is shipwrecked anyway. The only spot where Campbell might have some success is by going back to tight end Fred Davis, though the Eagles have come around against defending top-tier tight ends, limiting their yardage and touchdowns but not their receptions. The Eagles have had problems in the past against the Redskins, Donovan McNabb especially, and if not for DeSean Jackson's speed in their first meeting the Redskins might have won. Expect the Eagles to lean on their speedy receivers again, using not just Jackson but Jeremy Maclin, too. The Redskins have been exposed as giving up big plays to fast receivers, so both of these guys have a chance to do something. It will take protecting Donovan McNabb in the pocket for this to work, and that will be a tough task for the Philadelphia offensive line since the Redskins pass rush has been good. Now, if speed is what will beat Washington, then Philadelphia will also use LeSean McCoy both running the ball and as a receiver out of the backfield. He should do better than the 67 total yards he gained against them in Week 7.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Jason Campbell QB Donovan McNabb
Rock Cartwright RB LeSean McCoy
Mike Sellers RB Leonard Weaver
Santana Moss   WR DeSean Jackson
Devin Thomas   WR Jeremy Maclin
Antwaan Randle El   WR Jason Avant
Fred Davis TE Brent Celek
Shaun Suisham   K David Akers
Redskins DST Eagles
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Paul Brown Stadium
The Browns have a much tougher matchup this week than last week, so don't expect any repeat performances from Brady Quinn or Mohamed Massaquoi. The Bengals match up extremely well with the Browns offense and should be able to stifle them. Massaquoi broke out for a big game in their first meeting this season, but he snuck up on the Bengals -- that shouldn't happen here. Quinn also won't have as much time to make plays as he did last week, a key factor in why his stats were what they were. As for the Bengals, the expectation here is that they continue to lean on their running game, even without Cedric Benson. Bernard Scott was more than effective last week and should provide the primary burst for Cincinnati, though Larry Johnson will reportedly begin taking a little more work away from him. The Bengals have a good matchup here through the air, too, but they're not throwing nearly as much as you might think. Part of the reason might be because Chad Ochocinco is seeing lots of double teams and the rest of the receiving corps isn't that good. Palmer threw for 230 yards and two scores against the Browns earlier this season but it was on a season-high 44 attempts. He's probably not going to be needed to throw and might only be good for pedestrian totals. He'll be okay but not great, but the Bengals should come away with a solid win. Their DST is a must-start, but that goes without saying.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Brady Quinn   QB Carson Palmer
Jamal Lewis RB Bernard Scott
Chris Jennings   RB Larry Johnson
Mohamed Massaquoi WR Chad Ochocinco
Josh Cribbs   WR Andre Caldwell
Phil Dawson K Shayne Graham
Browns   DST Bengals
Carolina Panthers at N.Y. Jets
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Giants Stadium
Expect a game with plenty of rushing. It's only natural for Carolina to see how poorly the Jets have done against the run over their last couple of games and immediately plan to lean on their strong rushing attack. DeAngelo Williams has been consistent while Jonathan Stewart has had plenty of time to rest his sore Achilles after underwhelming against the Dolphins. Both should be candidates to score on the Jets. Furthermore, the Panthers really have no choice but to run as Steve Smith will get the Darrelle Revis treatment from the Jets, which might further limit his receptions and overall totals. The Jets will also give Thomas Jones a heavy workload against a Panthers run defense that was slammed by Ricky Williams last week and has allowed a rushing touchdown in every single game this season! The Jets, like the Panthers, won't like their matchup through the air, but at the very least Mark Sanchez will continue to lean on Jerricho Cotchery, and he might do just enough to give the Jets offense some flexibility. One thing's for sure: The Panthers would like to force Mark Sanchez into throwing the ball, and the Jets probably want to get away from that as much as they can.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Jake Delhomme QB Mark Sanchez
DeAngelo Williams RB Thomas Jones
Jonathan Stewart RB Shonn Greene
Steve Smith WR Jerricho Cotchery
Muhsin Muhammad   WR Braylon Edwards
Dante Rosario   TE Dustin Keller
John Kasay K Jay Feely
Panthers DST Jets
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Reliant Stadium
These teams just met in Week 9, so there's going to be a lot of familiarity. Houston opted to cover Dallas Clark with linebacker Brian Cushing for much of their first meeting and Clark had 14 catches. They'll likely change that here so that Clark doesn't routinely bash them. But otherwise, the Texans don't have the secondary to keep up with Reggie Wayne and Pierre Garcon. The Texans struggled with Chris Johnson last week, allowing 151 yards, but they're really done a good job vs. the run of late. Addai is such a touchdown maven that you can't really sit him, but his modest yardage output will probably continue. Manning should continue to be the star of the Indy offense. The Texans really need this game but they're going to face an improving Indy defense. Not only have the Colts seen solid play out of their (previously) inexperienced cornerbacks but their run defense is moving in the right direction. Aside from the hiccup against the Patriots, the Colts haven't allowed more than 17 points in a game since Week 2. The Texans will have to wind up throwing in this one, leaning on Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson. Their running game is a mess and Steve Slaton has a shoulder injury to boot. Schaub's stats really haven't dipped much since losing Owen Daniels, but to win this game he'll have to do more of what he did last week -- take what the defense gives him and learn to lean on Kevin Walter, James Casey and Jacoby Jones if he plays. That will result in solid yardage but his touchdowns might be hard to come by. I don't know if this game will be as close as their meeting from four weeks ago.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Peyton Manning QB Matt Schaub
Joseph Addai RB Steve Slaton
Donald Brown RB Chris Brown
Reggie Wayne WR Andre Johnson
Pierre Garcon WR Kevin Walter
Austin Collie WR David Anderson
Dallas Clark TE James Casey
Matt Stover K Kris Brown
Colts DST Texans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Georgia Dome
Josh Freeman had a pretty bad game against the Saints, and the Falcons won't treat him much better. The Buccaneers will see what the Giants did last week against Atlanta and try to copy it with their receivers and tight ends. It could be successful as the Giants will have their hands full with Kellen Winslow, and Antonio Bryant showed some signs of life last week. Cadillac Williams also has a chance to put up some numbers, and watch out for Earnest Graham to overtake Derrick Ward as the No. 2 back in Tampa Bay; Ward's been banged up and ineffective while Graham is relatively fresh and runs with lots of physicality -- kind of like Brandon Jacobs, who scored on the Falcons last week. The Falcons will do their fair share of running and should be very successful with Jason Snelling working behind a solid offensive line. Snelling scored twice last week and could be good for two more this week, especially if he's not splitting reps with anyone. Matt Ryan also showed signs of life last week against the Giants and is continuing to learn to take what the defense gives him. That's good, and it's important to note that the Bucs defense is expected to revert back to a Cover 2 scheme, which might mean an absolute field day for Tony Gonzalez hitting mid-range gains up the seams. Additionally, Gonzalez's best games have come against 4-3 schemes and he's scored in every home game this season. He's a lock to do well.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Josh Freeman   QB Matt Ryan
Cadillac Williams RB Jason Snelling
Derrick Ward RB Aaron Stecker
Antonio Bryant WR Roddy White
Michael Clayton   WR Michael Jenkins
Kellen Winslow TE Tony Gonzalez
Connor Barth   K Jason Elam
Buccaneers   DST Falcons
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Ralph Wilson Stadium
The Dolphins have proven to be a one-trick pony on offense, but they'll ride that pony as much as possible against the Bills. I'm talking about Ricky Williams, who will work against a Bills defense ranked 31st against the run. The Bills might try to sell out to stop Williams, but with safety Bryan Scott playing linebacker and the rest of the front seven a mess it's going to be real tough for them. Chad Henne's been working well with Davone Bess and his meandering tight ends, and that will cause some problems for the Bills but expect the Dolphins to run with Williams plenty. As for the Bills, they've solved some problems in their passing game but are even worse up front than they were at the beginning of the season. This should be an excellent game for Jason Taylor and Joey Porter, both of whom will pin their ears back and come after Ryan Fitzpatrick early and often. With the Buffalo line a huge mess, it's hard to expect anyone from the Bills to have a good game. The O-line won't be able to give the run game any sort of push at all. And yes, this also means that Fantasy owners who benched Terrell Owens last week (we said the Bills receivers would have a chance in Week 11) will not see similar production from him this week since Fitzpatrick will face a very heavy blitz. And yes, the Dolphins start two rookies at cornerback, but they've been improving and aren't pushovers. The Bills will take their lumps.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Chad Henne QB Ryan Fitzpatrick
Ricky Williams RB Fred Jackson
Lex Hilliard RB Corey McIntyre
Davone Bess WR Terrell Owens
Greg Camarillo   WR Lee Evans
Joey Haynos TE Shawn Nelson
Dan Carpenter K Rian Lindell
Dolphins DST Bills
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Edward Jones Dome
Sure, you see the Seahawks playing against the Rams and think it'll be a slam-dunk week for Matt Hasselbeck &Co., but the offense has really struggled in four of its last five games. In theory they should bowl over St. Louis with a solid dose of the run game and some downfield passing, but they've been so inconsistent that it's hard to really trust Seattle. Additionally, Julius Jones will return and probably wind up sharing reps with Justin Forsett. Both should do well as the Rams have been burned badly by the run all season, though neither have the pedigree to consider as any better than No. 3 Fantasy rushers. That will set up Hasselbeck to throw short to T.J. Houshmandzadeh and long to Nate Burleson. The Rams haven't given up long receiving touchdowns in a while, so that might favor Housh. Everyone in the dome will know that Steven Jackson will get the bulk of the work for the Rams, which might mean a lot of nine-in-the-box for Seattle. The Seahawks are beatable through the air, though, especially down a safety (Deon Grant isn't expected to play). Kyle Boller will start for the Rams and he's shown a liking to his short-area targets, including his tight ends, in the past. That might not bode well for Seattle. Brandon Gibson dropped his fair share of passes but will remain in the lineup because no one else is there to unseat him, while Danny Amendola has been fairly reliable and Donnie Avery brings deep speed. The Rams might hang in there and give the Seahawks a run for their money here.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Matt Hasselbeck QB Kyle Boller
Julius Jones RB Steven Jackson
Justin Forsett RB Ken Darby
T.J. Houshmandzadeh WR Brandon Gibson
Nate Burleson WR Donnie Avery
John Carlson TE Randy McMichael
Olindo Mare K Josh Brown
Seahawks DST Rams
Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers
Sunday, 4:05 pm, Qualcomm Stadium
For the Chiefs to have a chance, they'll have to sew up the play clock, create some turnovers and run the ball especially well. Good luck with that -- the Chargers' run defense has been getting better (no 100-yard rush games since their Week 5 bye), they've come up with four takeaways in their last two games, ruled the time of possession last week and haven't lost since Week 6. The Chiefs offense did get creative last week and it helped them beat the Steelers. They'll need to do it again here, and it sure seems like Chris Chambers' and Jamaal Charles' efforts are helping coach Todd Haley open up the playbook. It wouldn't be surprising to see the Chiefs go after Chargers strong safety Kevin Ellison and cornerback Antonio Cromartie, or if he's out because of off-field trouble, Antoine Cason. Because of Haley's bag of tricks, along with some nice play out of Charles, Chambers and even Matt Cassel, it's not wrong to think Kansas City has a chance to put up some points. But putting up points is the Chargers' specialty, and they've done a very good job balancing the run and the pass and keeping defenses unbalanced. They'll even get a boost with the expected return of center Nick Hardwick, and there's talk that veteran right tackle Jon Runyan will join the team. Both will immensely help an offense that has great skill position players but needs a bit more consistency along the O-line for the playoff push. As for this game, everyone with a bolt on his helmet should be expected to be good for Fantasy, especially Vincent Jackson as the Chiefs' cornerbacks can't keep up with him.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Matt Cassel QB Philip Rivers
Jamaal Charles RB LaDainian Tomlinson
Kolby Smith   RB Darren Sproles
Chris Chambers WR Vincent Jackson
Lance Long   WR Malcom Floyd
Leonard Pope   TE Antonio Gates
Ryan Succop K Nate Kaeding
Chiefs   DST Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars at San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, 4:05 pm, Candlestick Park
Not the worst road matchup in the world for David Garrard as the 49ers have allowed three 300-yard rushers in their last four games. That said, the Niners match up fairly well with the Jaguars and should be able to sink their claws into Mike Sims-Walker. He might score for the third straight week, but it's tough to expect him to have several long catches if the 49ers apply double coverage to him. Making it easier for Garrard is a 49ers pass rush that hasn't been nearly as effective as the team had hoped. If Garrard has another threatening receiver to go with Sims-Walker, he'd be a candidate for 300 yards, but with Torry Holt slowing down over the last month and no one else really stepping up, it's unlikely Garrard has a bang-up day. Naturally, Maurice Jones-Drew will be a big part of the Jacksonville offense and he'll be motivated to play well near his hometown (he's originally from Oakland). The Niners have given up over 100 total yards to running backs in their last three games, so it should be a solid game for Jones-Drew. While Garrard might have a hard time passing, Alex Smith is primed for a huge game. The Jacksonville secondary is atrocious -- how else can you explain a 98-yard touchdown to Terrell Owens? -- and won't be able to match up with Vernon Davis at all. Michael Crabtree also has a real nice shot to score and deliver some decent yardage. Those are the only two San Francisco receivers playing regularly and seeing passes from Smith, so look for them to have a good week. Frank Gore didn't get much work last week but should rebound here to see at least 15 carries. Jacksonville's run defense has been good -- only Chris Johnson had more than 100 yards on the ground against them this season. Gore should total close to 100 yards but the Jags will make it hard for him to create long touchdown runs. All the better for Smith to throw -- we might see the best game of his career.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
David Garrard QB Alex Smith
Maurice Jones-Drew RB Frank Gore
Rashad Jennings   RB Glen Coffee
Mike Sims-Walker WR Michael Crabtree
Torry Holt   WR Josh Morgan
Marcedes Lewis   TE Vernon Davis
Josh Scobee K Joe Nedney
Jaguars DST 49ers
Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans
Sunday, 4:15 pm, LP Field
This is a tough spot for the Cardinals, who clearly are in control of their division and are probably starting to think about their playoff seed. With the likelihood that they won't get a bye week judging by how the Saints and Vikings are playing, the intensity might be down a little bit for this matchup (remember last year when they played at New England and got buried?). Moreover, the Titans defense is playing with all sorts of enthusiasm and actually match up well with the Cardinals offense. It's going to be a tough week for Kurt Warner because of the quality Titans secondary. They're coming off a game where Andre Johnson was targeted 11 times and caught just four passes. Furthermore, no wide receiver has gone for over 100 yards against Tennessee since its secondary got healthy (really since Week 4). Warner has a shot at 300 yards but he'll have to mix up his targets and involve everyone, something that should bode well for Tim Hightower. As for Beanie Wells, he's played great in the Cardinals' blowouts, not so much in close games. Again, this is going to be a big challenge for the Cardinals, so Wells isn't a lock for a monster. Now, the Titans will obviously continue to lean on Chris Johnson, and while the Cardinals defense ranks in the Top 10 against the run, they've allowed back-to-back 100-yard efforts to Justin Forsett and Steven Jackson. Johnson should be fine, and Vince Young has continued to do an excellent job managing the offense. He's been throwing a little more week after week and really has done well. He's not a stat machine -- yet -- but he's got all sorts of potential. He's fun to watch and the Cardinals will have problems containing him. They've also had trouble holding quarterbacks' yardage down, so it's possible that Young gets to 200 yards (that's like 300 for him). The Titans receivers are all iffy for Fantasy but Kenny Britt has stepped up a little bit with Justin Gage out. Young and Britt connected on a score last week and have combined for 97 yards on six connections over two weeks. He's a sleeper worth a look off waivers. Tennessee will have a shot to win here and go into Week 13 with a chance to run off six straight wins after six straight losses. No one in the AFC is hotter (well, besides Indy, who they'll play).
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Kurt Warner QB Vince Young
Tim Hightower RB Chris Johnson
Beanie Wells RB LenDale White
Larry Fitzgerald WR Nate Washington
Anquan Boldin WR Kenny Britt
Steve Breaston WR Lavelle Hawkins
Stephen Spach   TE Bo Scaife
Neil Rackers K Rob Bironas
Cardinals DST Titans
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, 4:15 pm, Mall of America Field
This is a ridiculously tough matchup for the Bears offense. They limp into the game lacking confidence, lacking a run game and lacking an opponent with a weakness. The Bears have to know by now that they need to freshen the offense up, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see them vary their offense; to win this game will mean winning the time of possession battle. Matt Forte's been good against Minnesota in two career games (TD, 70-plus yards in each) but he's been struggling and the Bears will likely give Kahlil Bell a little more work. They'll also have to come up with creative ways to get Devin Hester, Johnny Knox and Earl Bennett the ball as defenses have taken out Greg Olsen of late and Cutler's been stymied because of it. Will their plans work? Will they even do it? the Bears offense has been so vanilla for much of the year that you can't expect them to suddenly get clever. Thus, don't trust any Bears this week so long as you can help it because the Vikings match up well with them and will probably get them one-sided offensively pretty early. Cutler will then be under a lot of pressure and make some mistakes. All that said, Lovie Smith has used a game plan to attack Brett Favre in the past and it's worked wonders: From 2005 to 2007, Favre had two touchdowns and 13 interceptions against Chicago. Granted, Favre is with a whole new team now, but it's the same offense and the same defensive coordinator coming after him. One guy the Bears haven't figured out is Adrian Peterson, who has completely owned the Bears over his career. In four games Peterson has 554 rushing yards and eight touchdowns -- jaw dropping totals! He's had at least 120 yards rushing in three of four meetings and at least one score in all four games. The Vikings will give him the ball and let him steamroll Chicago's defense. And even with Smith's grip on Favre, you have to expect the vet to play moderately well as he leans on the likes of Sidney Rice and Visanthe Shiancoe, both of whom have good matchups in this contest.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Jay Cutler QB Brett Favre
Matt Forte RB Adrian Peterson
Kahlil Bell   RB Chester Taylor
Devin Hester WR Sidney Rice
Earl Bennett WR Percy Harvin
Greg Olsen TE Visanthe Shiancoe
Robbie Gould K Ryan Longwell
Bears DST Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, 8:20 pm, M&T Bank Stadium
Typically the Steelers struggle with the Ravens defense -- they don't have a good history of running the ball on Ray Lewis &Co. and Ben Roethlisberger has only had one monster game of late against them. This week, the Steelers will need Roethlisberger to throw to take advantage of the Ravens' depleted secondary, but he's a little risky since he's coming off a concussion and played poorly the last time he came back a week after getting his bell rung. Baltimore will come hard after him, which is something they've done before -- but playing without Terrell Suggs doesn't help their cause. Then again, Roethlisberger will be without guard Chris Kemoeatu, so it might be advantage Ravens after all. When Roethlisberger does pass, the one player he has a great shot to connect with is -- you ready for this? -- Santonio Holmes. Holmes has scored in five straight games against the Ravens (including playoffs) with at least 60 receiving yards in five of his last six games. Granted, Holmes has been the speed receiver for the Steelers and Mike Wallace has cut into that role some, but Wallace has been slowing down over the last couple of weeks. Holmes has a lot going for him, and if Roethlisberger's head is on straight and he can avoid the Ravens' pass rush, watch out. The Ravens essentially have no choice but to battle back with a big dose of Ray Rice. Rice should have a shot to accumulate yardage on the ground and especially through the air; he led the Ravens in receiving yards in their playoff loss to Pittsburgh last year (43 yards on three catches). He's still a useful option. Joe Flacco's been ice cold of late and against the Steelers (one TD, five interceptions in three 2008 games) but he'll get some good protection from his offensive line. With Troy Polamalu out, the Ravens might be able to generate some offense out of Todd Heap in seam routes, Derrick Mason running crisp routes and Rice making plays out of the backfield. It also wouldn't be a shock to see Ravens offensive coordinator Cam Cameron try a trick play against the Steelers, which might especially benefit Mark Clayton since he's a speedy and unassuming receiver for Baltimore. Knowing what we know about Roethlisberger's condition, a surprise home win for the Ravens wouldn't be a big shock.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Ben Roethlisberger QB Joe Flacco
Rashard Mendenhall RB Ray Rice
Mewelde Moore RB Willis McGahee
Santonio Holmes WR Derrick Mason
Hines Ward WR Mark Clayton
Mike Wallace WR Kelley Washington
Heath Miller TE Todd Heap
Jeff Reed K Billy Cundiff
Steelers DST Ravens
New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints
Monday, 8:30 pm, Superdome
Even with the Saints boasting a strong defense, this matchup favors the Patriots. Not only should New England pick on cornerbacks Jabari Greer and Malcolm Jenkins along with strong safety Roman Harper, but they have been lights out against 4-3 defensive schemes this season. Tom Brady and Ben Watson have especially been drastically better in matchups against 4-3 teams than 3-4 teams -- Brady completes 10 percent more of his passes against them and has 15 touchdowns vs. the 4-3 (five vs. the 3-4 in as many games, five each). Watson is averaging more yards per catch and has three scores against the 4-3, only one TD vs. the 3-4. We're highlighting Watson because he'll draw Harper on coverage a lot of the time with free safety Darren Sharper playing center field against the Patriots' passing attack. Look for New England to be successful throwing the ball, though they'll run it to for the same reasons why anyone runs against the Saints: To keep Drew Brees off the field. The Saints will also run it (to keep Brady from torching their defense) but they might have to keep pace with the Patriots by throwing it. That's their strong suit, and it wouldn't be shocking to see Brees launch several deep passes. One thing in New Orleans' favor is that New England's pass rush isn't a huge threat here. That's going to give Brees time to see his receivers get open and hit them deep. Robert Meachem should continue his productive play and Devery Henderson might even get some looks deep. Jeremy Shockey won't be a good option because the Patriots cover tight ends well, and Marques Colston will also be a guy the Saints will keep tabs on. Where the Patriots will almost definitely struggle is in containing Reggie Bush -- assuming he plays, Bush will be an interesting challenge for Bill Belichick. Based on how Bush has played of late, he has to be considered for Fantasy use as a No. 3 or flex option. We'll all enjoy this game come Monday.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Tom Brady QB Drew Brees
Laurence Maroney RB Pierre Thomas
Kevin Faulk RB Mike Bell
Randy Moss WR Marques Colston
Wes Welker WR Robert Meachem
Sam Aiken   WR Devery Henderson
Benjamin Watson TE Jeremy Shockey
Stephen Gostkowski K John Carney
Patriots DST Saints
 
 
 
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Rey Maualuga
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Rey Maualuga, MLB, CIN
2/11/2012
News: Bengals LB Rey Maualuga has officially been charged by Cincinnati police with misdemeanor assault stemming from a bar fight last weekend. This report comes from The Associated Press. The Bengals had no comment.
Analysis: Maualuga is likely to be at least fined for this incident, especially after his 2010 DUI arrest cost him two game checks. He won't miss any playing time, though. Maualuga is just a low-end option in IDP formats heading into next season.

Hines Ward
Report: Steelers to cut ties with Ward
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
2/11/2012
News: NFL.com reports that the Steelers are not expected to bring back receiver Hines Ward for 2012. This news comes according to NFL Network's Jason La Canfora. "He has one year left on his deal worth $4 million," said La Canfora. "According to my sources, he won't be back there. So that's $4 million off the books."
Analysis: Ward has said he'd be open to taking a pay cut, but it sounds like Pittsburgh is ready to just cut ties with him. Ward would be a No. 4 WR and that means he'd likely have to play on special teams, which he likely would not want. Ward will have little Fantasy value entering 2012, that is for sure.

Kevin Faulk
Faulk contemplating retirement
Kevin Faulk, RB, NE
2/11/2012
News: New England RB Kevin Faulk is contemplating retirement after being a healthy inactive for the Super Bowl loss to the Giants, reports the Boston Globe. "That morning, when I got the word that I wasn’t going to dress . . . wow," Faulk said. “I went in the room, cried a little bit, because 75 percent of me knew that this could be my last game playing, not playing, just dressing. If I dress, there could be that chance that I could play. So that really crushed me a whole lot. Went into my room, read my Bible, read so many different Scriptures, so many different chapters in the Bible, until it was time to go to the stadium. [I took] my exit physical after the game and the trainers give me a big hug and that’s when I knew, like ‘Wow, that might be it'."
Analysis: Faulk was drafted in 1999 and the 35-year-old RB is a member of New England's 50th anniversary team. He didn't actually declare himself retired, leaving the door slightly ajar on his 14th NFL season. Faulk might finish his career with 31 total touchdowns, 15 receiving and 16 rushing. He had a solid career, but isn't a recommended Fantasy option if he does return next year.

Rob Gronkowski
Gronkowski has ankle surgery
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
2/10/2012
News: The Boston Herald reports that Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski underwent successful surgery Friday to fix his ailing ankle. The surgery was an arthroscopic procedure to clean out the ankle. Gronkowski played on a high-ankle sprain in Super Bowl XLVI, battling ligament damage to make two catches for 26 yards. The estimate is that it’s a 10-week recovery. That should allow him to be ready by mid-April, possibly for mini-camp.
Analysis: Continue to monitor what happens with Gronkowski this offseason, but he should be fine for the start of the 2012 season. Consider Gronkowski the No. 1 TE heading into the season. We can see Gronkowski being drafted as a Top 15 pick in all leagues, but it's a safer option to take him toward the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3 in all formats.

Reggie Wayne
Wayne unsure of future
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
2/10/2012
News: Reggie Wayne told ESPN that while he'd like to stay with the Colts, he's just not sure if they want him. Wayne is scheduled to be a free agent this offseason and understands that his time might be over in Indy after 11 years. "I have been there 11 years and I would prefer to end my career a Colt. However, in due time those feelings could subside," he said. "I haven't heard anything from them yet, so maybe I am not as important on the chain of command as I should be. But either way, I'm cool. I have nothing bad to say about the Colts. ... My phone hasn't rung yet. It's only fair I worry about number 87 first. When I'm signed, then I can weigh in more."
Analysis: Wayne had a mostly horrible season thanks in big part to Peyton Manning being on the sideline. He caught 75 passes for 960 yards and four touchdowns, three coming in the final six weeks of the year. We don't think his 2011 is indicative of a slow-down in his game, but uncertainty about who he'll catch passes from and what his role will be keeps him from being a receiver we can get excited about. For now consider him a No. 3 Fantasy WR worth a mid-round pick.

Peyton Manning
Differing views on Peyton
Peyton Manning, QB, IND
2/10/2012
News: There are two differing reports on Colts QB Peyton Manning as the saga continues early this offseason in his recovery from missing this past season from neck surgery. CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that there remain a handful of team personnel men who have serious doubts he will ever play again or at the very least will miss most of next season. But, according to NFL.com, former Colts vice chairman Bill Polian, who was fired in early January, said he believes Manning will be fine in 2012 after he last saw Manning throw in late December. "It's marked (improvement) from where he was back in September," Polian said. "He threw it accurately, he threw it with a good, tight spiral, and he threw it with velocity. Generally, he looked like a pretty confident quarterback out there." Polian also indicated that Manning was able to make a variety of throws and throw across his body, which differs from a report on NFL Network earlier this week. Polian said that Manning's recovery is "coming, but coming slowly. But, nonetheless, its making progress."
Analysis: The bottom line with Manning is until the public sees him throw or work in practice we won't know where he's at in his recovery. The Colts also have to make a decision on his contract or else he can sign with a new team, with Arizona, Miami and Washington the likely suitors. If healthy, Manning will remain a No. 1 Fantasy QB no matter where he plays, but he has to prove that his neck is 100 percent. Continue to monitor what happens with Manning, and hopefully he can resume his career without any problems.

Fred Jackson
Jackson cleared, contract coming
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF
2/10/2012
News: Fred Jackson has been cleared to return to football activities for a couple of weeks following a broken fibula, but the good news for him doesn't stop there. The official team website reports that Jackson has been promised by team GM Buddy Nix that he will receive a contract extension, with the timeline set for before the 2012 season. Jackson is slated to be in a contract year as it stands now, but a new deal would change that. "Fred and I have talked," said Nix. "We want to extend Fred. I'd like for Fred to finish his career as a Bill. He's meant a lot to us. I've got great respect for him. We do want Fred back and we do intend to try to work out a deal with him. I've told him that. What we said is what we're going to do."
Analysis: Jackson told the site that he's ready to get started in 2012 after missing the last six games of the season with a broken leg. While he was sidelined, C.J. Spiller stepped up and put some good moves on the field, complicating the Buffalo running back situation heading into the new year. Chances are the Bills will lean on Jackson as they have been, but Spiller could take a bigger share of the run-game workload than in the past, and that could put a cap on what Jackson is capable of doing. He's also 31 years old but doesn't have the wear-and-tear that typically comes with rushers over 30. If the Bills extend Jackson then it will be clear that he's a part of their future and a potential 15-touch-per-game back. If not, he'll be in a contract year and could play well in hopes of cashing in after next season. Either way he represents a solid value as a No. 2 Fantasy RB worth a pick between late Round 3 and early Round 5.

Lavelle Hawkins
Hawkins gets three-year deal
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Tennessean reports Friday that the Titans have agreed to terms on a contract extension for WR Lavelle Hawkins, who had his best season in 2011. He had 47 catches for 470 yards and one touchdown.
Analysis: Hawkins has minimal Fantasy value heading into 2012, especially if Kenny Britt (knee) returns at 100 percent. Keep an eye on what happens with the Titans receiving corps, but ignore Hawkins on Draft Day in most leagues.

Kenny Britt
Britt 'working hard'
Kenny Britt, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Titans GM Ruston Webster said WR Kenny Britt, who suffered a torn ACL in September and had surgery in early October, should return in time for training camp in 2012. He said Britt appears to be a fast healer and is ahead of schedule in his recovery. "Kenny has been working hard and he's coming fast, probably even a little faster than I thought he would. So I'm real happy about that," he said. "We expect to have him out there for training camp. The good thing about his injury, is there is a good thing, is it happened early, and he's a very strong young and bounces back very quickly. We're hoping and planning to have him back for training camp."
Analysis: Britt is expected to make a full recovery in time for the start of the 2012 season, and hopefully he can come into training camp in shape. We consider Britt a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy WR when healthy, and he is worth drafting with a mid-round pick if his knee proves to be 100 percent.

Kevin Smith
Smith wants return to Lions
Kevin Smith, RB, DET
2/10/2012
News: According to mlive.com, impending free agent RB Kevin Smith would like to return to the Lions in 2012. Smith, 25, re-signed with Detroit last November and had four starts in seven games. He finished the regular season with 72 carries for 356 yards and four touchdowns, plus had 22 receptions for 179 yards and three scores. "In every interview that I've done, even though I'm a free agent, I've referred to the team and me as us," Smith said. "I'm on the Lions roster in my opinion until I'm not on the Lions roster. That says it all."
Analysis: Smith is a former third-round selection by Detroit in 2008. He showed promise as a rookie, gaining 976 yards and scoring eight touchdowns on 238 carries. He started 13 games in 2009 before suffering a season-ending injury to his left knee. He rushed for 747 yards and four touchdowns prior to his injury. Smith was phased out of the offense with the arrival of Jahvid Best in 2010. Detroit decided not to make him an offer when he became a restricted free agent after that season. After Best sustained a season-ending concussion last season, Detroit re-signed Smith. We'll find out if he can return to the Lions, who also have second-year RB Mikel Leshoure, who also is recovering from a season-ending Achilles tendon injury sustained in the preseason. Keep an eye on what happens with Smith, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick if he's back in Detroit.

 
 
 
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