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Dave Richard

First Response: Conundrum with your Colts?

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A lot of Fantasy owners had angst about starting Reggie Wayne this week because he was facing a Broncos secondary led by Champ Bailey. Others had the same issues about Pierre Garcon simply because Andre Goodman was going up against him.

Turns out that both struggled. Wayne had 43 yards on four catches and Garcon had just 39 yards on two catches. Both gave way to Joseph Addai as a backfield receiver and Dallas Clark as a red-zone monster (three of his five catches were touchdowns). Throw in a little Austin Collie (three catches for 39 yards and a touchdown) and Wayne and Garcon were bottled up.

Now comes the issue of whether or not the Colts' star players -- Peyton Manning included -- will play complete games going forward. The Colts have locked up the No. 1 seed in the AFC and the road to the Super Bowl will lead through Indianapolis.

Fantasy Football - First Response: Conundrum with your Colts? : FantasyNews.CBSSports.com

The Colts have traditionally rested their starters when they've had nothing to play for, but the team does have something to play for: An undefeated season. At 13-0, they'd be foolish not to try and chase history. They also have an NFL-record 22 consecutive straight regular-season wins, something they can easily build on with three games left at the Jaguars, vs. the Jets and at the Bills.

"I don't think there is a right answer. I think whatever plan Coach Caldwell gives us that will be the right plan because that's what he decided and what we will carry out," Manning told CBSSports.com Senior NFL Writer Clark Judge on Sunday. "... I think every competitive player wants to be out there playing. That's what we'll plan to do, and whatever direction he wants to go in -- and I don't know anything else -- we'll go from there and play to win. I will say this: One thing we have done in the past which I haven't really liked is revealing our plan. I don't think it's Jacksonville's business or anybody's business what we're going to do before we get out there Thursday [their next game]."

A hunch? They'll make their run for history, and as soon as a game has been decided (win or loss), the starters will head for the sidelines. Against Jacksonville, that might take a while, but against the Jets and Bills we might not get even three quarters out of Manning & Co. This makes starting most Colts a little risky, especially the receivers and especially Reggie Wayne because he's failed to get over 100 yards in four straight games.

It might be time to move on if you have the guys to cover for him.

Let's take a look around at the rest of the Week 14 action.

Start of the Week result: Jamaal Charles did it again -- another week with a touchdown (his fifth straight) and 181 total yards to boot! Hysteria over Charles has hit a new level -- he's become the stuff of Fantasy legends, the kind of midseason pickup that pushes a good team into a Fantasy championship squad. He's joining the likes of Corey Dillon, Samkon Gado and Tashard Choice in that realm, though the long-term upside is really strong with Charles. The reality is that he's putting up a ton of yards (861 total) in spite of a rag-tag offensive line and accompanying passing game. There's little doubt he'll be a part of what the Chiefs do in 2010, and of course he'll play a role in Week 15 vs. the Browns. Jamaal Charles is a must-start in all leagues.

Sit of the Week result: Telling you to sit Jay Cutler wasn't exactly rocket science, but if you chose another good quarterback in place of him you probably turned out fine. Yes, Cutler had two touchdowns, but he also threw two interceptions and just barely topped 200 passing yards. He could be in for worse stats at Baltimore next week.

Insane stat line of the day: The most surprising two-touchdown performer from Week 14? Redskins running back Quinton Ganther, the former practice squad player who had 93 total yards to go along with his two scores. Like Charles, he'll have the chance to earn a 2010 spot with the Redskins with a strong finish, but his road to that goal becomes challenging with the Giants, Cowboys and Chargers left on his schedule. No pushovers like the Raiders he trounced this week.

Out-of-nowhere stat line of the week: Ben Roethlisberger at Cleveland and Aaron Rodgers at Chicago: Zero touchdowns. Two of the safest, most productive young Fantasy players in the league went into one of their bitter division rivals' stadiums and couldn't notch a touchdown. Roethlisberger even lost his game! Wind, snow and cold weather aside, there's no way anyone saw those stats coming.

Guy we were way right about: How about a team we were way right about: The Seahawks. Other than John Carlson, everyone else on that roster didn't come through to help you guys out. Justin Forsett wound up splitting reps with Julius Jones almost 50-50, T.J. Houshmandzadeh made it four straight games without as many as six Fantasy points and Nate Burleson made it seven straight games without a touchdown.

Guy we were way wrong about: Maybe we've been taking Steven Jackson for granted. For the third straight week Jackson missed practice and was active for Sunday, but his 53-total-yard performance at Tennessee snaps an eight-game streak of at least 100 total yards. What didn't help Jackson was the Rams giving rookie Keith Null the starting quarterback spot, effectively leaving the Titans to dare St. Louis to throw. Null threw five interceptions and Jackson was stonewalled.

Overachieving defense of the week: How can it not be Cleveland? The Browns held Pittsburgh to six points and 216 total yards -- something no one else had done to them all season. The worst (or best) part of it? Only one percent of owners in CBSSports.com leagues started the Browns DST, which means that no one was helped or harmed from their performance. Well, one percent of owners were harmed -- tough to lose in the Fantasy playoffs to a team that started the Browns DST.

Underachieving defense of the week: Let's keep it in Ohio with the Bengals, who were throttled by the Vikings and Adrian Peterson. Many Minnesota players said after the game that they went back to basics with the playbook and opted to run the football and be physical with the Browns. It worked -- the Bengals allowed 30 points but did manage to keep Brett Favre under 200 yards passing.

Names to add to your scout team:

Devin Aromashodu, wide receiver, Chicago (eight catches, 76 yards, touchdown)
Josh Cribbs, wide receiver, Cleveland (eight carries, 87 yards; one catch, 9 yards)
Arian Foster, running back, Houston (13 carries, 34 yards, four catches 54 yards)
Quinton Ganther, running back, Washington (14 carries, 50 yards, two touchdowns; three catches 43 yards)
Chris Jennings, running back, Cleveland (20 carries, 73 yards, touchdown)
Maurice Morris, running back, Detroit (replaced injured Kevin Smith)

Injury alerts:

Correll Buckhalter, ankle; considered questionable for Week 15 vs. Oakland
Bruce Gradkowski, leg; considered questionable for Week 15 at Denver
Kevin Smith, knee; might be out for the season
DeMarcus Ware, neck; considered questionable for Week 15 at New Orleans
Vince Young, hamstring; considered questionable for Week 15 vs. Miami

The last word: Week 14 will be remembered as a week of boom or bust. There wasn't much middle ground -- Fantasy players either did amazing or did poorly. Those owners who had enough big producers won out; those who were disappointed are left holding the bag until next year.

The following players (non quarterbacks) scored two or more touchdowns this week: Reggie Bush, Dallas Clark, Fred Davis, Quinton Ganther, Ryan Grant, Andre Johnson, Chris Johnson, Thomas Jones, Brandon Marshall, Willis McGahee and Adrian Peterson.

The following teams had their receivers individually fail to top 85 yards receiving: Bears, Bengals, Bills, Browns, Buccaneers, Colts (!), Cowboys, Falcons, Jaguars, Jets, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Raiders, Rams, Redskins, Saints (!), Seahawks, Titans and Vikings. That's 20 teams. Yikes.

Driving that point home further, only seven quarterbacks threw two or more touchdowns during the week (excluding the Sunday and Monday night games). Not a good week to rely on receivers. Unless, you know, they scored two or three touchdowns.

What stood out to you this week? How did your Fantasy teams do? Tell us via Twitter @daverichard. Or drop us a line and tell us about it at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Week 14 in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state and we'll respond to as many as e-mails we can.

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Player News
Kellen Winslow
Winslow a 'rotational player?'
Kellen Winslow, TE, SEA
5/25/2012
News: Kellen Winslow became a Seahawk recently, and he's spoken highly of his new team. But it remains how they'll use him and how often they'll use him. According to SiriusXM NFL Radio, a league personnel executive believes that Winslow's best days are behind him. "We talked to the Bucs before the draft and talked about (Winslow) further internally," said the source. "We just didn't think he could be more than a rotational player at this point (in his career) after examining his tape and performance."
Analysis: Winslow had 75 receptions for 763 yards and two TDs in 2011 and has caught at least 66 passes in each of his last three years while not missing a game. There is definitely a perception that he's old and over the hill, which his receiving average (10.2 yards per catch last year) supports. And he joins a crowded tight end corps in Seattle, but should be a fairly regular player in the offense. Problem is, he hasn't been productive enough to be considered reliable for Fantasy use week after week. He's fine as a No. 2 Fantasy TE worth a late pick, but don't expect him to put up huge numbers.

Jamaal Charles
Charles to rest until camp
Jamaal Charles, RB, KC
5/25/2012
News: The Kansas City Star reports that the Chiefs will rest running back Jamaal Charles until training camp in late July. He is not expected to participate in their minicamp as he continues to rehab and work his way back from a torn ACL suffered last September. Head coach Romeo Crennel hopes Charles will be cleared in time for camp.
Analysis: Charles has been vocal about being ready for the season, calling himself hungry and passionate to return to form. But the fact remains that he's coming off of a major injury and isn't promised to have any of the explosiveness he had before he got hurt. Tack on the Chiefs' addition of Peyton Hillis (Charles thinks Hillis will get the tough yards and goal-line work like Thomas Jones was supposed to previously), and there's a limit to Charles' 2012 expectations. So long as Charles proves that he's ready to roll, Fantasy owners should be optimistic. Assuming he's fine, Charles will be worth taking in the early rounds on Draft Day, but more as a No. 2 Fantasy RB. Plan on drafting Charles between 25th and 35th overall in all leagues.

Hakeem Nicks
Source: Nicks could return before camp
Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG
5/25/2012
News: ESPN reports that a source familiar with the broken bone in Hakeem Nicks' foot says the receiver might miss four-to-six weeks recovering from the injury and not the 12-week timeframe the Giants said on Thursday. Nicks fractured the fifth metatarsal of his right foot during an OTA practice. The team is hoping to have him back at some point during training camp and the preseason.
Analysis: Unless the diagnosis on Nicks' foot changes, we're not believers that he'll be ready in six weeks and thus long before the start of training camp. Nicks' teammate, Prince Amukamara, took 15 weeks before he was comfortable practicing last year according to the Newark Star-Ledger and he had the same injury. Nicks has had all sorts of issues with hamstrings, knees and his feet over the years. So long as he is healthy for the start of the season and gets some work in camp and a preseason game or two, the injury is more of a reminder that he's injury prone and less of a factor on his 2012 season. We'll see if this lasts into late August and the regular season; for now expect his stock to slip in drafts. He'll be a Round 3-4 choice as a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy receiver.

Ben Roethlisberger
Roethlisberger admits to issues with new playbook
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT
5/25/2012
News: Ben Roethlisberger's transition to new offensive coordinator Todd Haley's playbook is not going as smoothly as Steelers fans had hoped. Roethlisberger said Thursday that so far it's been "frustrating at times" but that he's going to put in "extra work" to understand what Haley wants him to do. "I think coach (Haley) really wants to challenge us," Big Ben said on a radio interview, per the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. "Me, maybe, in particular, I think he felt like I was real comfortable with the old offense, which ... I don't know why that's a bad thing. But I'm not the head coach."
Analysis: There's all sorts of talk that Haley wants Roethlisberger to stay in the pocket to avoid excess hits and that Haley wants to run the ball more. We're not sure how this is going to play out, but we do think there's a chance Roethlisberger could attempt a ton of passes given that Rashard Mendenhall is out and Isaac Redman, while talented, might not be a 20-touch back from week to week. Much of the offense might fall on Roethlisberger's shoulders. We consider Big Ben a low-end No. 1 Fantasy QB in all leagues well worth a mid-round pick.

Sam Bradford
Bradford's ankle 'getting there'
Sam Bradford, QB, STL
5/25/2012
News: Rams quarterback Sam Bradford said his left ankle, injured in October at Green Bay, is nearly 100 percent. "It's getting there," he said. "It feels better every week -- less soreness, more things I can do. It's definitely on the right track."
Analysis: There's no questioning his arm as several Rams receivers, including their rookies, have been in awe over his passing skills. Bradford is continuing to learn the Rams' new offense and says it's close to the West Coast offense he ran two season ago. But with a so-so offensive line and an unproven receiving corps, now's not the time to call Bradford a breakout candidate. He should have some good games, but no one should consider him either a Fantasy starter or a blue chip prospect. For now we're resigned to calling him a late-round pick as a good, not great, No. 2 quarterback.

Matt Hasselbeck
Titans' Palmer breaks down QB battle
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN
5/25/2012
News: It's no secret that the Titans will have a competition for the starting quarterback job between veteran Matt Hasselbeck and second-year gunslinger Jake Locker. What remains to be seen is when they'll name a starter. Offensive coordinator Chris Palmer told the media Thursday that the job is up for grabs, that no preseason starts have been promised and that the coaching staff will pick a winner based on who can lead the team to wins, starting in Week 1 against the Patriots. Palmer said that while Locker's mobility is very appealing, Hasselbeck's experience and body of work from last season also gives him a chance to remain the starter. "Jake may not give all the other guys the opportunity to make plays like Matt does, but Jake can make plays with his legs," Palmer concluded. "When you add up how many plays Matt can make with the team and how many plays Jake can make with the team then you kind of have an idea who's going to give us the best chance to win."
Analysis: Hasselbeck started every game for the Titans in 2011 and threw for 3,571 yards with 18 scores and 14 interceptions. But when Locker did play, he did well, passing for four touchdowns with no interceptions and rushing for 56 yards on eight carries with a touchdowns run. Locker's completion percentage continued to be an eyesore (34 of 66 passing for 51.5 pct.), but the stats speak for themselves. Unless Locker can really prove that he's progressed as a passer, Hasselbeck is likely to take this job -- though there's no promise he'll start every game. Neither Titans QB should be drafted with anything more than a late-round pick. We'll keep you posted on the battle.

Brandon Lloyd
Lloyd already up to speed with Pats
Brandon Lloyd, WR, NE
5/25/2012
News: New Patriots receiver Brandon Lloyd has been impressive during the team's OTAs, but many people expected that. After all, Lloyd is on his third stop with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and knows the playbook and play calls like the back of his hand. Lloyd has been so impressive that the Boston Globe reports that Patriots quarterbacks have been looking for him all week because he's been exactly where he needs to be on every play. Lloyd was coy when it came to his role and his goals for this season but gave a pretty simple explanation on why he wanted to follow McDaniels to New England. "You find something good, you stick with it," he said. "I think that's the case for everybody, with everything in life."
Analysis: Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five scores last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator, and that came on the heels of a 77-catch, 1,448-yard, 11-touchdown season with McDaniels in Denver. He'll probably see a dip in opportunities because he'll share the field with so many other great weapons there. But he should still be about as productive as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver and should be drafted as such with a mid-round pick.

Ronnie Hillman
Tamme: Hillman looks good
Ronnie Hillman, RB, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme gave an encouraging scouting report on rookie rusher Ronnie Hillman. "He seems to have a lot of quickness," Tamme said. "I've got to see him carry a few and catch some passes, he seems like a guy who can really move and sort of be a threat from the scatback-type position."
Analysis: Yep, that sounds like Hillman, who averaged over 130 total yards per game in 2011 with 20 total touchdowns while breaking some of Marshall Faulk's records at San Diego State. Hillman isn't a big back (5-foot-9, 200 pounds) but definitely plays bigger than he is. He's done good work between the tackles but is better known for his lateral agility and breakaway speed. Landing in Denver is nice since he won't be stuck behind a young back for long -- Willis McGahee will turn 31 in October and Knowshon Moreno is coming off of a torn ACL. We could see Hillman contribute this season, especially if he can perfect his pass blocking and receiving skills. Expect him to be taken late in all seasonal drafts as well as with a mid-to-late pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a second-round pick in rookie-only formats.

Jacob Tamme
Tamme talks offense, role
Jacob Tamme, TE, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme sounded very excited to follow quarterback Peyton Manning to Denver from Indy, adding that he "looks great." Tamme's also excited about the direction of the new offense, calling it a mix of what he did with Manning with the Colts and what offensive coordinator Mike McCoy wants to do. On the topic of his specific role with the Broncos, Tamme didn't want to give away much but did offer what he thinks is great about being a tight end. "I'm comfortable in slot and love that, but I would say I lined up on the line of scrimmage more than everywhere else [with the Colts]," Tamme said. " ... We should be able to move around and what we're going to do offensively, hopefully, we'll be able to move around some. I think that's what's great about playing tight end these days, you get to do everything. It's what makes the position a lot of fun."
Analysis: If we're reading between the lines, the Broncos could use Tamme as a tight end, slot receiver and H-back this season, all roles he's capable of playing as evidenced by his time in Indianapolis. Being comfortable with Manning is also built-in thanks to their relationship back in Indiana. Tamme had just 177 yards on 19 catches in 2011 with one score, but he worked behind starter Dallas Clark in a Manning-less Colts offense. In 10 games without Dallas Clark in 2010, Tamme caught 67 passes for 631 yards and four touchdowns. Expect him to have some Clark-like potential and thus get swiped with a middle- to late-round pick in drafts this summer as a borderline No. 1/No. 2 TE.

Stephen Hill
Hill lines up as starter in OTAs
Stephen Hill, WR, NYJ
5/25/2012
News: Jets rookie receiver Stephen Hill lined up opposite Santonio Holmes with the first-team offense during their recent OTAs. He caught a 75-yard touchdown pass from Mark Sanchez, burning cornerback Kyle Wilson in the process, according to the Newark Star-Ledger.
Analysis: The Jets aren't going to have a dominant pass attack, so that could limit Hill's production. But he does have the chance for plenty of playing time, which is a plus. He's worth a late-round pick in seasonal formats, a middle- to late-round pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a Top 20 pick in rookie-only drafts.

 
 
 
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