Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Fantasy Football Today
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Draft Analyzer
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Office Pool Manager
Playoff Challenge
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Weekly Planner
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 

Scott White

Dear Mr. Fantasy: Keep the season alive!

By | Fantasy Writer


The Colts have nothing left to play for, but you do. Boy, do you.

If you advanced to the playoffs and survived the first round, your Fantasy life hinges on the next two or perhaps even three weeks, which puts you at odds with the increasing number NFL teams that want to rest their players for either the postseason or next season. Once they learn they're in or they're out, their priorities change.

Which leaves you with the task of guessing who will play and how much, who will surrender to apathy and who will step up in his place. It's not as simple as looking at the depth charts anymore.

Sounds difficult? Well, only as much as you make it.

I have Reggie Wayne, Anquan Boldin, Sidney Rice and Greg Jennings as receivers and need to start three. I think Boldin and Rice are definite starters and I usually start Wayne with them. But like everyone else, I'm worried about the Colts sitting their starters. Should I start Jennings over Wayne? -- David Hunter, Boston

SW: I wouldn't, David. I understand the concern over the Colts resting their starters, but they've already said they'll continue to play ball. Three weeks, not counting a first-round bye, is more rest than any team needs, and the pursuit of an undefeated season should keep them motivated. They might have a quicker hook on their starters if they build up a three-score lead in the second half, but otherwise, I think they'll do what they normally do.

Fantasy Football - Dear Mr. Fantasy: Keep the season alive! : FantasyNews.CBSSports.com

Of course, Wayne has less than 50 yards receiving in each of his last three games, which makes this discussion worth having even if the Colts had more of an incentive to play their starters. Still, I'll take three weeks of struggles from Wayne over a season's worth of struggles from Jennings.

And for the record, your decision does, in fact, boil down to those two. Rice is still the preferred receiving option for a rejuvenated Brett Favre, making him good for 80-plus yards more often than not, and Boldin, though inconsistent, is still too good when at his best to take a seat, especially since he faces the Lions and the Rams over the next two weeks.

First week of the playoffs in my league. I have Ryan Grant going against a tough Steelers defense, but I picked up Chris Brown (at Rams) and Jerome Harrison (at Chiefs). Who would you start? -- Hector Espinoza

SW: Really, this is a decision?

Let's see ... Grant is the every-down back for the Packers and already has 1,000 yards rushing this season. Brown and Harrison, meanwhile, had a combined 16 yards rushing last week.

Listen, I don't have a problem with anybody playing matchups, but the two choices need to be at least in the same ballpark (not literally, which is confusing when talking about athletes, but try to keep up).

Brown doesn't get the most carries for the Texans. Harrison doesn't get the most carries for the Browns. And neither player necessarily gets the second-most carries for his respective team. Harrison used to, but Chris Jennings' emergence last week combined with the Browns' willingness to experiment with Josh Cribbs makes Harrison's already uncertain role even more dubious.

I don't know how to make this answer any more simple: Brown and Harrison are both backup running backs, good for maybe five or six carries each week. Will Brown get one of those carries at the goal line? Might Harrison break off a 40-yard run with one of his? Perhaps and maybe. But the reward for them doing something is too minimal to justify the risk of them doing nothing.

Grant at least has an opportunity. As tough as his matchup might be, you know he'll get his usual 20 carries. And facing the Steelers isn't exactly a death sentence for a running back. Cedric Benson, Adrian Peterson, Jamaal Charles, Ray Rice and the aforementioned Jennings all managed to score 10-plus Fantasy points against them. Grant himself scored 10 points in an equally tough matchup against the Vikings back in Week 4. Besides, if all you can hope for is a long run or a vulture touchdown from Brown or Harrison, couldn't Grant do the same with any of his 20 carries? Who do the odds favor, really?

Maybe if you had alternatives like Knowshon Moreno or Beanie Wells we could talk matchups, but against a couple of backups like Brown and Harrison, Grant remains your only choice.

If for some reason you have to start two of those running backs, Harrison is my second choice just because he had a good performance two weeks ago and probably hasn't completely run himself out of the picture. But he's a distant second choice, like a ceiling fan to air conditioning.

My lineup for Week 15 is pretty much a no-brainer except for my decision at DST. I drafted the Vikings DST and rode it all year long with pretty good success. Planning ahead, I picked up the Chiefs DST. The Vikings visit the Panthers this week, but for all intents and purposes, they've already clinched the No. 2 seed in the NFC. Do you think coach Brad Childress might lean toward giving his starters some rest if the game becomes a blowout either way? Ordinarily, I know you would never trust the Chiefs DST, but the Chiefs host the Browns this week. Do I go with my trusted stallion, or do I play my new pony? -- Steven Hawk, Birmingham, Ala.

SW: I don't get many opportunities to answer DST questions. Or maybe I don't make many opportunities to answer DST questions. We'll debate later.

I'll admit DST is the one position where I exploit matchups to the fullest. In fact, I'd argue the opponent of the DST matters more than the DST itself. But the DST itself still matters, and like at any other position, you can get too cute playing matchups with it.

First of all, the Vikings DST is the kind you never sit unless it faces the Saints or the Colts -- and even then, you'd need to have a seriously good replacement. The Panthers are on the opposite end of the spectrum from those two undefeateds, having to resort to the kind of lackluster offense that can only hope to get off a punt against a defense as dominant as the Vikings'. Whether they go with backup quarterback Matt Moore or starter Jake Delhomme -- 18 interceptions and all -- it will get ugly.

But Vikings DST or not, Steven, I don't understand why you or anyone else would want to start the Chiefs DST. It's one of the worst units in Fantasy -- the kind susceptible to a blowout any given week and the kind even the Browns might succeed against.

Just because a team has a bad offense doesn't mean every defense will succeed against it. The worst defenses might make that offense look good. Look what happened when the Browns faced the Lions in Week 11. The teams combined for 75 points, sinking Fantasy owners who wanted to take advantage of the "good matchup" on either side of the equation.

A bad DST is a bad DST just like a bad quarterback is a bad quarterback. You wouldn't want to use it except in the most desperate of circumstances. And the off chance the Vikings rest some of their players after already piling up five turnovers against an overmatched Panthers offense hardly fits the bill.

I made my league's playoffs despite a 6-7 record and have some running backs with real potential this week: Knowshon Moreno (vs. Raiders), Jamaal Charles (vs. Browns) and Laurence Maroney (at Bills). My only dilemma is which two to start. Any thoughts? -- Matt Perny Wilmington, Del.

SW: At least seven thoughts at every moment of the day, Matt, but I'll share with you only the ones that pertain to your situation.

I initially thought you had to start Moreno. He's the safest bet of the three from week to week and has a great matchup. Why would you sit him?

Most people shouldn't, but you, Matt, aren't most people. You have options, and when I take a closer look at them, I realize just how much you risk giving up by starting Moreno.

Maroney faces the Bills, who rank dead last in run defense, allowing an average of 5.0 yards per carry. Any running back who faces them is an automatic must-start in Fantasy, and Maroney is no exception. True, the Patriots prefer to throw the ball, but bad weather in Buffalo might force them to lean on Maroney more than usual. Or maybe the matchup itself will. Either way, Maroney has the potential to put up some massive totals this week, perhaps even scoring multiple touchdowns if everything breaks his way. No chance you sit him.

The decision really comes down to Moreno and Charles, and though Moreno plays for the better team and has the higher ceiling, I think Charles is the safer bet for big numbers this week. He faces an equally poor run defense, is coming off a 181-yard performance against the Bills and represents the Chiefs' only real source of offense given the struggles of their passing game. The Broncos could always decide to beat the Raiders through the air rather than on the ground -- Brandon Marshall did just have a 21-catch game, after all -- or they could spell Moreno with Correll Buckhalter, as they tend to do from time to time.

You know Charles will get opportunities on top of opportunities while Moreno has the potential to fade into the background. So even though Moreno has a good matchup and is an advisable start in most Fantasy leagues, I prefer Charles.

Should I start Quinton Ganther or Hakeem Nicks at flex? Ganther's two touchdowns helped me last week, but his rushing average wasn't impressive. And that came against a lousy Oakland run defense. This week, he'll face the Giants, whose run defense looks pretty stout, despite all the points yielded to the Eagles last week. I would generally favor a running back over a wide receiver, but I'm leaning toward Nicks in this case. Any thoughts? -- Marcus Todd, Atlanta

SW: I like this question more for the philosophical argument it presents than for the specific players involved: Does a running back, regardless of talent or opponent, have an inherent advantage over a wide receiver?

True, Ganther didn't exactly run wild against a Raiders defense worse off than the Giants defense he'll face this week, but he did score two touchdowns, which any full-time running back is capable of doing any week regardless of how much he struggles to move the ball. Why? Any time a team gets inside the 5-yard line, the running back gets the football. It's the most predictable play call this side of a punt or field goal. Split backfields have made it less predictable than in the past, but Ganther doesn't have much competition with the Redskins already down two running backs.

Nicks is one of several Giants receivers who could end up on the other end of an Eli Manning touchdown pass -- and that's assuming the team doesn't get inside the 5-yard line, in which case the touchdown would probably go to Brandon Jacobs or Ahmad Bradshaw instead. As for yardage, forget it. The Redskins allow an average of 188 through the air.

So yeah, I buy into the argument that running backs have an inherent advantage over wide receivers and think it applies here. I obviously wouldn't start Ganther over a superior player like Marques Colston, but against one with similar upside, like Nicks, it makes sense. Ganther might only rush for 41 yards on 17 carries -- a bad day for a running back -- but if one of those carries puts him in the end zone, he'll finish with 10 points -- a good day in Fantasy.

And he might just end up running the ball better than you think. The Giants rank ninth in run defense, so they aren't exactly the Vikings.

Right now, I have Matt Ryan and Carson Palmer on my roster. With Ryan out and Palmer not putting up great numbers, I'm looking to pick up a quarterback for the rest of the playoffs. The ones available are Jason Campbell, Kyle Orton, Matt Cassel, Alex Smith and Vince Young. Which of these should I pick up to take me through the playoffs? -- James Hoey, Beloit, Wis.

SW: Yeah, you can pretty much give up on Ryan. Another loss more or less eliminates the Falcons from playoff contention, giving them no reason to rush Ryan back from turf toe -- an injury that requires a much longer recovery period than most people realize. Palmer, on the other hand, has a good matchup coming up in Week 16 against the Chiefs, so you might want to hold on to him.

But you don't have to. With the options available to you on the waiver wire, you can mix and match your way to good quarterback play from now until the end of the season.

I still don't understand why Smith goes unowned in so many leagues. He has multiple touchdown passes in six of his eight games, which is all you can ask from any quarterback, and has stellar matchups against the Lions in Week 16 and the Rams in Week 17, should your season last that long. He's your first priority.

Of course, you might not want to start him against the Eagles this week, in which case you can always turn to Orton as a stopgap. He has two straight games with two touchdown passes and faces a poor Raiders defense this week. Then again, the Broncos might prefer to win with their running game, as they did when Orton threw for only 157 yards against the Raiders in Week 3. Personally, I'd just as soon start Smith, who has succeeded against tough defenses in the past, but you can't argue against Orton as a safe start this week.

Young might actually be the steadiest of the bunch, but he doesn't have any of those stellar matchups. Plus, his leg injuries could cost him some playing time.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Football questions to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Dear Mr. Fantasy in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state and we'll get to as many as we can.

 
 
 
Player News
Rey Maualuga
Maualuga charged by police
Rey Maualuga, MLB, CIN
10:23 AM
News: Bengals LB Rey Maualuga has officially been charged by Cincinnati police with misdemeanor assault stemming from a bar fight last weekend. This report comes from The Associated Press. The Bengals had no comment.
Analysis: Maualuga is likely to be at least fined for this incident, especially after his 2010 DUI arrest cost him two game checks. He won't miss any playing time, though. Maualuga is just a low-end option in IDP formats heading into next season.

Hines Ward
Report: Steelers to cut ties with Ward
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
10:12 AM
News: NFL.com reports that the Steelers are not expected to bring back receiver Hines Ward for 2012. This news comes according to NFL Network's Jason La Canfora. "He has one year left on his deal worth $4 million," said La Canfora. "According to my sources, he won't be back there. So that's $4 million off the books."
Analysis: Ward has said he'd be open to taking a pay cut, but it sounds like Pittsburgh is ready to just cut ties with him. Ward would be a No. 4 WR and that means he'd likely have to play on special teams, which he likely would not want. Ward will have little Fantasy value entering 2012, that is for sure.

Kevin Faulk
Faulk contemplating retirement
Kevin Faulk, RB, NE
10:04 AM
News: New England RB Kevin Faulk is contemplating retirement after being a healthy inactive for the Super Bowl loss to the Giants, reports the Boston Globe. "That morning, when I got the word that I wasn’t going to dress . . . wow," Faulk said. “I went in the room, cried a little bit, because 75 percent of me knew that this could be my last game playing, not playing, just dressing. If I dress, there could be that chance that I could play. So that really crushed me a whole lot. Went into my room, read my Bible, read so many different Scriptures, so many different chapters in the Bible, until it was time to go to the stadium. [I took] my exit physical after the game and the trainers give me a big hug and that’s when I knew, like ‘Wow, that might be it'."
Analysis: Faulk was drafted in 1999 and the 35-year-old RB is a member of New England's 50th anniversary team. He didn't actually declare himself retired, leaving the door slightly ajar on his 14th NFL season. Faulk might finish his career with 31 total touchdowns, 15 receiving and 16 rushing. He had a solid career, but isn't a recommended Fantasy option if he does return next year.

Rob Gronkowski
Gronkowski has ankle surgery
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
2/10/2012
News: The Boston Herald reports that Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski underwent successful surgery Friday to fix his ailing ankle. The surgery was an arthroscopic procedure to clean out the ankle. Gronkowski played on a high-ankle sprain in Super Bowl XLVI, battling ligament damage to make two catches for 26 yards. The estimate is that it’s a 10-week recovery. That should allow him to be ready by mid-April, possibly for mini-camp.
Analysis: Continue to monitor what happens with Gronkowski this offseason, but he should be fine for the start of the 2012 season. Consider Gronkowski the No. 1 TE heading into the season. We can see Gronkowski being drafted as a Top 15 pick in all leagues, but it's a safer option to take him toward the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3 in all formats.

Reggie Wayne
Wayne unsure of future
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
2/10/2012
News: Reggie Wayne told ESPN that while he'd like to stay with the Colts, he's just not sure if they want him. Wayne is scheduled to be a free agent this offseason and understands that his time might be over in Indy after 11 years. "I have been there 11 years and I would prefer to end my career a Colt. However, in due time those feelings could subside," he said. "I haven't heard anything from them yet, so maybe I am not as important on the chain of command as I should be. But either way, I'm cool. I have nothing bad to say about the Colts. ... My phone hasn't rung yet. It's only fair I worry about number 87 first. When I'm signed, then I can weigh in more."
Analysis: Wayne had a mostly horrible season thanks in big part to Peyton Manning being on the sideline. He caught 75 passes for 960 yards and four touchdowns, three coming in the final six weeks of the year. We don't think his 2011 is indicative of a slow-down in his game, but uncertainty about who he'll catch passes from and what his role will be keeps him from being a receiver we can get excited about. For now consider him a No. 3 Fantasy WR worth a mid-round pick.

Peyton Manning
Differing views on Peyton
Peyton Manning, QB, IND
2/10/2012
News: There are two differing reports on Colts QB Peyton Manning as the saga continues early this offseason in his recovery from missing this past season from neck surgery. CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that there remain a handful of team personnel men who have serious doubts he will ever play again or at the very least will miss most of next season. But, according to NFL.com, former Colts vice chairman Bill Polian, who was fired in early January, said he believes Manning will be fine in 2012 after he last saw Manning throw in late December. "It's marked (improvement) from where he was back in September," Polian said. "He threw it accurately, he threw it with a good, tight spiral, and he threw it with velocity. Generally, he looked like a pretty confident quarterback out there." Polian also indicated that Manning was able to make a variety of throws and throw across his body, which differs from a report on NFL Network earlier this week. Polian said that Manning's recovery is "coming, but coming slowly. But, nonetheless, its making progress."
Analysis: The bottom line with Manning is until the public sees him throw or work in practice we won't know where he's at in his recovery. The Colts also have to make a decision on his contract or else he can sign with a new team, with Arizona, Miami and Washington the likely suitors. If healthy, Manning will remain a No. 1 Fantasy QB no matter where he plays, but he has to prove that his neck is 100 percent. Continue to monitor what happens with Manning, and hopefully he can resume his career without any problems.

Fred Jackson
Jackson cleared, contract coming
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF
2/10/2012
News: Fred Jackson has been cleared to return to football activities for a couple of weeks following a broken fibula, but the good news for him doesn't stop there. The official team website reports that Jackson has been promised by team GM Buddy Nix that he will receive a contract extension, with the timeline set for before the 2012 season. Jackson is slated to be in a contract year as it stands now, but a new deal would change that. "Fred and I have talked," said Nix. "We want to extend Fred. I'd like for Fred to finish his career as a Bill. He's meant a lot to us. I've got great respect for him. We do want Fred back and we do intend to try to work out a deal with him. I've told him that. What we said is what we're going to do."
Analysis: Jackson told the site that he's ready to get started in 2012 after missing the last six games of the season with a broken leg. While he was sidelined, C.J. Spiller stepped up and put some good moves on the field, complicating the Buffalo running back situation heading into the new year. Chances are the Bills will lean on Jackson as they have been, but Spiller could take a bigger share of the run-game workload than in the past, and that could put a cap on what Jackson is capable of doing. He's also 31 years old but doesn't have the wear-and-tear that typically comes with rushers over 30. If the Bills extend Jackson then it will be clear that he's a part of their future and a potential 15-touch-per-game back. If not, he'll be in a contract year and could play well in hopes of cashing in after next season. Either way he represents a solid value as a No. 2 Fantasy RB worth a pick between late Round 3 and early Round 5.

Lavelle Hawkins
Hawkins gets three-year deal
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Tennessean reports Friday that the Titans have agreed to terms on a contract extension for WR Lavelle Hawkins, who had his best season in 2011. He had 47 catches for 470 yards and one touchdown.
Analysis: Hawkins has minimal Fantasy value heading into 2012, especially if Kenny Britt (knee) returns at 100 percent. Keep an eye on what happens with the Titans receiving corps, but ignore Hawkins on Draft Day in most leagues.

Kenny Britt
Britt 'working hard'
Kenny Britt, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Titans GM Ruston Webster said WR Kenny Britt, who suffered a torn ACL in September and had surgery in early October, should return in time for training camp in 2012. He said Britt appears to be a fast healer and is ahead of schedule in his recovery. "Kenny has been working hard and he's coming fast, probably even a little faster than I thought he would. So I'm real happy about that," he said. "We expect to have him out there for training camp. The good thing about his injury, is there is a good thing, is it happened early, and he's a very strong young and bounces back very quickly. We're hoping and planning to have him back for training camp."
Analysis: Britt is expected to make a full recovery in time for the start of the 2012 season, and hopefully he can come into training camp in shape. We consider Britt a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy WR when healthy, and he is worth drafting with a mid-round pick if his knee proves to be 100 percent.

Kevin Smith
Smith wants return to Lions
Kevin Smith, RB, DET
2/10/2012
News: According to mlive.com, impending free agent RB Kevin Smith would like to return to the Lions in 2012. Smith, 25, re-signed with Detroit last November and had four starts in seven games. He finished the regular season with 72 carries for 356 yards and four touchdowns, plus had 22 receptions for 179 yards and three scores. "In every interview that I've done, even though I'm a free agent, I've referred to the team and me as us," Smith said. "I'm on the Lions roster in my opinion until I'm not on the Lions roster. That says it all."
Analysis: Smith is a former third-round selection by Detroit in 2008. He showed promise as a rookie, gaining 976 yards and scoring eight touchdowns on 238 carries. He started 13 games in 2009 before suffering a season-ending injury to his left knee. He rushed for 747 yards and four touchdowns prior to his injury. Smith was phased out of the offense with the arrival of Jahvid Best in 2010. Detroit decided not to make him an offer when he became a restricted free agent after that season. After Best sustained a season-ending concussion last season, Detroit re-signed Smith. We'll find out if he can return to the Lions, who also have second-year RB Mikel Leshoure, who also is recovering from a season-ending Achilles tendon injury sustained in the preseason. Keep an eye on what happens with Smith, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick if he's back in Detroit.

 
 
 
Top Videos
Rankings