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Dave Richard

First Response: There is no explanation

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We saw and heard a lot of interesting things leading up to Sunday's slate of action.

For instance, we heard Browns head coach Eric Mangini talk in circles about his running back situation, especially with the reports that Josh Cribbs could be involved. We saw that the Packers were the second-ranked defense in the NFL, including third against the pass. And we saw and heard about a Steelers defense that was focused on regaining some momentum after being part of the reason why the team lost six straight games, including a humiliating defeat at Cleveland the week before.

But these things proved to be "red herrings," or as Wikipedia puts it, deliberate attempts to divert attention. What we were led to believed to be seeing? A running back mess in Cleveland with a possible breakout player involved, a tough matchup for a Steelers offense that had lost five straight games and a defense primed to get right versus an offense that was potent but not without faults.

What did we get? Two record-smashing performances and a third outing that even bests one of the other two stat lines.

Fantasy Football - First Response: There is no explanation : FantasyNews.CBSSports.com

Jerome Harrison got the hot hand early for the Browns, looking sleeker and quicker than he had in weeks. Starting the game, he lost some early carries to teammate Chris Jennings and even one to Cribbs before eventually flashing some speed and giving the Browns a good rushing presence with 73 yards on 12 carries.

Deciding to keep giving him the ball in the second half was one of the best decisions Browns head coach Eric Mangini made all year. Behind an offensive line that was forced to re-shuffle due to injuries, Harrison trampled over the Chiefs in the second half from the get-go. His first second-half carry was for 11 yards; his second for 71 yards and the first of three touchdowns. Only six of his 22 second-half carries went for under 4 yards. And on the other touchdown drives he scored on, he carried the ball 8 of 13 plays and 5 of 6 plays. He was almost literally the entire Browns offense in the second half, and it showed: he finished with not just three touchdowns, but 286 rushing yards on 34 carries with 12 receiving yards for good measure.

Not to be out done, especially by a division rival, Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger defied his tough matchup against the Packers and led Pittsburgh to a stunning come-from-behind victory to keep the team's faint playoff hopes alive. Making a conscious decision to throw much more than pass, Roethlisberger pushed Hines Ward and Heath Miller to over 100 yards receiving. He ultimately found himself with a whopping 484 yards, but down six points with three seconds to play from the Packers 19.

In what can only be described as joy for Steelers fans and Roethlisberger owners, and pain for Packers fans and owners going up against Roethlisberger in leagues, Big Ben fired a Super Bowl XLIII-esque pass to the left sideline of the end zone, where Mike Wallace did his best Santonio Holmes impersonation and nestled the ball in his hands and chest as he fell to the turf, his tiptoes scraping the grass along the way. Roethlisberger not only won the game for the Steelers (well, technically the extra point won the game ...) but he also finished with 503 yards passing and three touchdowns, the yardage a single-game best in the history of the Steelers' franchise.

But even that wasn't as good as Aaron Rodgers' performance, at least for Fantasy owners. Rodgers didn't break any Packers records, but his 383-yard, four total touchdown game with 22 yards rushing gave him three more Fantasy points than Roethlisberger in standard-scoring leagues.

Alas, both were out-done by Harrison, whose 47 Fantasy points were two better than Chris Johnson's Week 2 explosion and one point shy of Drew Brees' second-best 48 Fantasy points from Week 1 against the Lions (Tom Brady's 51 points in Week 6 is still the high mark of the season). That's a shame since Harrison wasn't started by nearly 90 percent of CBSSports.com's Fantasy owners. Had Mangini actually named him the starter and given some indications that he'd have a chance to play, we could have used him.

Let's take a look around at the rest of the Week 15 action.

Start of the Week result: Even the most pessimistic of Patriots fans who couldn't trust Laurence Maroney can't deny his good performance at Buffalo in Week 15. Maroney had 23 carries -- the same amount of Tom Brady pass attempts -- for 81 yards with a touchdown, essentially leading New England to victory on his own. While his play wasn't off the charts, he still delivered a nice stat line to his Fantasy owners while doing nothing to make people, Bill Belichick included, lose confidence in him.

Sit of the Week result: Darrelle Revis has struck again! This time his victim was Falcons receiver Roddy White, who had just 33 yards on four catches. He now joins the list of stud No. 1 wideouts who have done little to nothing against him, a list that includes Andre Johnson, Marques Colston, Randy Moss, Steve Smith of Carolina, Terrell Owens (twice) and Antonio Bryant. Next up for Revis: Reggie Wayne and the Colts. Wow.

Insane stat line of the day: You mean Jerome Harrison, Aaron Rodgers and Ben Roethlisberger didn't do it for you? OK, fine. How about Cedric Benson and Thomas Jones combining for 105 rushing yards and no touchdowns. Not only did Jerome Harrison do better than both of these studs combined, but so did Jamaal Charles, Michael Bush, Maurice Morris, Maurice Jones-Drew and Beanie Wells. Oh, and all of those running backs had a touchdown too. Isn't Fantasy Football wonderful?

Out-of-nowhere stat line of the day: Marion Barber had gone six weeks without a single touchdown, and there were signs that the Cowboys were beginning to seemingly phase him out of the offense. Barber broke through that notion, totaling 73 yards and scoring twice against a very good Saints run defense on Saturday night. Can he keep it up, and are owners willing to roll the dice on him again?

Guy we were way right about: There's Roethlisberger, who a lot of people shied away from because of his matchup and subpar offensive line. But we're especially proud of Beanie Wells, who has more or less wrangled the primary rushing job in Arizona away from Tim Hightower. Wells was in at the goal line on Kurt Warner's touchdown pass to Larry Fitzgerald and was out when Hightower took a goal-line plunge. But he racked up the yardage -- 110 on the ground and 13 through the air -- with a score of his own to help sink the Lions.

Guy we were way wrong about: Where do we begin with Texans running back Arian Foster? How about the part where Texans head coach Gary Kubiak raved about him all week and essentially promised him "opportunities," only to see him pull the string and put him on the bench following a fumble on Houston's first possession. That was the end of Foster's "opportunities" as Ryan Moats led the Texans with 46 rushing yards. We were all caught up in the hoopla of Quinton Ganther's big game at Oakland last week and figured Foster would get the same chance here against a weak Rams defense. We're disappointed in his stat line, and can only learn from this that in the heat of a game, anything can happen, and all of the research and pre-game evaluation doesn't do any good once the ball is kicked off.

Overachieving defense of the week: The Falcons had the disadvantage of going up against Thomas Jones and his mammoth offensive line this week, but as we noted earlier they did a great job against him, holding him to his worst rushing performance since Week 3 against the Titans. They also held off the Jets' passing game, which attempted to resurrect itself this week but ultimately didn't. With the Bills coming to the Georgia Dome in Week 16, the Falcons defense might just turn in another quality performance.

Underachieving defense of the week: So many to choose from: The Packers giving up over 500 passing yards was an incredible disappointment. The Cardinals were unable to slam the door on the Lions after shutting them out in the first half. The Texans did limit the Rams to 13 points but even that was a mild shock considering Keith Null was under center for St. Louis. But what about the Saints, who gave up just 24 points but yielded 312 passing yards to Tony Romo and over 140 rushing yards to the Cowboys (and the two Barber touchdowns). They had been so solid at home, but there's obviously a weakness there as Romo was the third straight quarterback to throw for over 300 yards against them. Next up for the Saints: Josh Freeman and the Buccaneers.

Names to add to your scout team:

Michael Bush, running back, Oakland (133 rush yards, 11 receiving yards, touchdown)
John Carlson, tight end, Seattle (86 receiving yards, touchdown)
Matt Cassel, quarterback, Kansas City (331 passing yards, two touchdowns, 10 rush yards)
Jerome Harrison, running back, Cleveland (goes without saying)
Todd Heap, tight end, Baltimore (56 receiving yards, two touchdowns)
Maurice Morris, running back, Detroit (126 rush yards, 35 receiving yards, touchdown)
Chaz Schilens, wide receiver, Oakland (two touchdowns over last three games)
David Thomas, tight end, New Orleans (77 rush yards in place of Jeremy Shockey)
Derrick Ward, running back, Tampa Bay (73 total yards, receiving touchdown)
Demetrius Williams, wide receiver, Baltimore (71 yards, touchdown)

Injury alerts:

Reggie Bush, knee; considered questionable for Week 16 vs. Tampa Bay
Glen Coffee, hamstring; considered questionable for Week 16 vs. Detroit
Trent Edwards, ankle; considered questionable for Week 16 at Atlanta
Justin Fargas, knee; considered questionable for Week 16 at Cleveland
Charlie Frye, head; considered doubtful for Week 16 at Cleveland
Sammie Stroughter, foot; considered doubtful for Week 16 at New Orleans
Michael Turner, ankle; considered questionable for Week 16 vs. Buffalo
Michael Vick, quad; considered questionable for Week 16 vs. Denver
DeAngelo Williams, ankle; considered questionable for Week 16 at N.Y. Giants

The last word:

Something's amiss with Tom Brady.

He hasn't had much consistency over his last five games, including this week's game against the Bills where he completed 11 of 23 passes for 115 yards with a short touchdown and an interception. In his last five Brady has five touchdowns vs. six interceptions and two 300-yard games to go with two games under 200 yards.

"It is a 60 minute game and doing that consistently has been a challenge for this team, for players, for leaders of this team, for coaches," Brady said Sunday night. "We are just trying to find ways to make those critical plays, when we get in the red area we have to score touchdowns, on third down we have to convert. We didn't convert well in the second half, we didn't have many points, we were on the sideline and couldn't sustain those drives. I was proud of that last third down. That was a big play for us to run out the clock there at the end. There just needs to be more of that.

"It wasn't all good, but certainly it was good enough. Obviously we have to try to find ways to play better."

Fantasy owners have gotten into trouble with some stud players of late, and Brady is no exception. He's failed to top 11 Fantasy points in standard-scoring leagues in three of his last four games, a huge decline from earlier this year when he was racking up at least 17 Fantasy points in all but one of his first 10 games.

Why the decline? That's the question. He hasn't faced lots of blistering pass rushes -- he hasn't been sacked in his last three games. The Randy Moss factor from last week was an issue then, but he stepped up and bounced back here.

One likely answer: He's being asked to throw less. He had 23 attempts on Sunday and averaged 32.3 attempts over his last three games. Thirty-two attempts was his low point over his first 10 games. Perhaps a combination of the Patriots' strong run game and the team's interest in keeping Brady fresh for a four-game postseason run is what's holding him back right now.

If there's a glimmer of hope, it's that the Patriots will continue their trend of attacking their opponents' main weaknesses next week when the secondary-challenged Jaguars come for a visit. If the weather is nice, we could see Brady return to form -- just in time for the Fantasy Championship week.

What stood out to you this week? How did your Fantasy teams do? Tell us via Twitter @daverichard. Or drop us a line and tell us about it at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Week 15 in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state and we'll respond to as many as e-mails we can.

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Player News
Kellen Winslow
Winslow a 'rotational player?'
Kellen Winslow, TE, SEA
5/25/2012
News: Kellen Winslow became a Seahawk recently, and he's spoken highly of his new team. But it remains how they'll use him and how often they'll use him. According to SiriusXM NFL Radio, a league personnel executive believes that Winslow's best days are behind him. "We talked to the Bucs before the draft and talked about (Winslow) further internally," said the source. "We just didn't think he could be more than a rotational player at this point (in his career) after examining his tape and performance."
Analysis: Winslow had 75 receptions for 763 yards and two TDs in 2011 and has caught at least 66 passes in each of his last three years while not missing a game. There is definitely a perception that he's old and over the hill, which his receiving average (10.2 yards per catch last year) supports. And he joins a crowded tight end corps in Seattle, but should be a fairly regular player in the offense. Problem is, he hasn't been productive enough to be considered reliable for Fantasy use week after week. He's fine as a No. 2 Fantasy TE worth a late pick, but don't expect him to put up huge numbers.

Jamaal Charles
Charles to rest until camp
Jamaal Charles, RB, KC
5/25/2012
News: The Kansas City Star reports that the Chiefs will rest running back Jamaal Charles until training camp in late July. He is not expected to participate in their minicamp as he continues to rehab and work his way back from a torn ACL suffered last September. Head coach Romeo Crennel hopes Charles will be cleared in time for camp.
Analysis: Charles has been vocal about being ready for the season, calling himself hungry and passionate to return to form. But the fact remains that he's coming off of a major injury and isn't promised to have any of the explosiveness he had before he got hurt. Tack on the Chiefs' addition of Peyton Hillis (Charles thinks Hillis will get the tough yards and goal-line work like Thomas Jones was supposed to previously), and there's a limit to Charles' 2012 expectations. So long as Charles proves that he's ready to roll, Fantasy owners should be optimistic. Assuming he's fine, Charles will be worth taking in the early rounds on Draft Day, but more as a No. 2 Fantasy RB. Plan on drafting Charles between 25th and 35th overall in all leagues.

Hakeem Nicks
Source: Nicks could return before camp
Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG
5/25/2012
News: ESPN reports that a source familiar with the broken bone in Hakeem Nicks' foot says the receiver might miss four-to-six weeks recovering from the injury and not the 12-week timeframe the Giants said on Thursday. Nicks fractured the fifth metatarsal of his right foot during an OTA practice. The team is hoping to have him back at some point during training camp and the preseason.
Analysis: Unless the diagnosis on Nicks' foot changes, we're not believers that he'll be ready in six weeks and thus long before the start of training camp. Nicks' teammate, Prince Amukamara, took 15 weeks before he was comfortable practicing last year according to the Newark Star-Ledger and he had the same injury. Nicks has had all sorts of issues with hamstrings, knees and his feet over the years. So long as he is healthy for the start of the season and gets some work in camp and a preseason game or two, the injury is more of a reminder that he's injury prone and less of a factor on his 2012 season. We'll see if this lasts into late August and the regular season; for now expect his stock to slip in drafts. He'll be a Round 3-4 choice as a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy receiver.

Ben Roethlisberger
Roethlisberger admits to issues with new playbook
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT
5/25/2012
News: Ben Roethlisberger's transition to new offensive coordinator Todd Haley's playbook is not going as smoothly as Steelers fans had hoped. Roethlisberger said Thursday that so far it's been "frustrating at times" but that he's going to put in "extra work" to understand what Haley wants him to do. "I think coach (Haley) really wants to challenge us," Big Ben said on a radio interview, per the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. "Me, maybe, in particular, I think he felt like I was real comfortable with the old offense, which ... I don't know why that's a bad thing. But I'm not the head coach."
Analysis: There's all sorts of talk that Haley wants Roethlisberger to stay in the pocket to avoid excess hits and that Haley wants to run the ball more. We're not sure how this is going to play out, but we do think there's a chance Roethlisberger could attempt a ton of passes given that Rashard Mendenhall is out and Isaac Redman, while talented, might not be a 20-touch back from week to week. Much of the offense might fall on Roethlisberger's shoulders. We consider Big Ben a low-end No. 1 Fantasy QB in all leagues well worth a mid-round pick.

Sam Bradford
Bradford's ankle 'getting there'
Sam Bradford, QB, STL
5/25/2012
News: Rams quarterback Sam Bradford said his left ankle, injured in October at Green Bay, is nearly 100 percent. "It's getting there," he said. "It feels better every week -- less soreness, more things I can do. It's definitely on the right track."
Analysis: There's no questioning his arm as several Rams receivers, including their rookies, have been in awe over his passing skills. Bradford is continuing to learn the Rams' new offense and says it's close to the West Coast offense he ran two season ago. But with a so-so offensive line and an unproven receiving corps, now's not the time to call Bradford a breakout candidate. He should have some good games, but no one should consider him either a Fantasy starter or a blue chip prospect. For now we're resigned to calling him a late-round pick as a good, not great, No. 2 quarterback.

Matt Hasselbeck
Titans' Palmer breaks down QB battle
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN
5/25/2012
News: It's no secret that the Titans will have a competition for the starting quarterback job between veteran Matt Hasselbeck and second-year gunslinger Jake Locker. What remains to be seen is when they'll name a starter. Offensive coordinator Chris Palmer told the media Thursday that the job is up for grabs, that no preseason starts have been promised and that the coaching staff will pick a winner based on who can lead the team to wins, starting in Week 1 against the Patriots. Palmer said that while Locker's mobility is very appealing, Hasselbeck's experience and body of work from last season also gives him a chance to remain the starter. "Jake may not give all the other guys the opportunity to make plays like Matt does, but Jake can make plays with his legs," Palmer concluded. "When you add up how many plays Matt can make with the team and how many plays Jake can make with the team then you kind of have an idea who's going to give us the best chance to win."
Analysis: Hasselbeck started every game for the Titans in 2011 and threw for 3,571 yards with 18 scores and 14 interceptions. But when Locker did play, he did well, passing for four touchdowns with no interceptions and rushing for 56 yards on eight carries with a touchdowns run. Locker's completion percentage continued to be an eyesore (34 of 66 passing for 51.5 pct.), but the stats speak for themselves. Unless Locker can really prove that he's progressed as a passer, Hasselbeck is likely to take this job -- though there's no promise he'll start every game. Neither Titans QB should be drafted with anything more than a late-round pick. We'll keep you posted on the battle.

Brandon Lloyd
Lloyd already up to speed with Pats
Brandon Lloyd, WR, NE
5/25/2012
News: New Patriots receiver Brandon Lloyd has been impressive during the team's OTAs, but many people expected that. After all, Lloyd is on his third stop with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and knows the playbook and play calls like the back of his hand. Lloyd has been so impressive that the Boston Globe reports that Patriots quarterbacks have been looking for him all week because he's been exactly where he needs to be on every play. Lloyd was coy when it came to his role and his goals for this season but gave a pretty simple explanation on why he wanted to follow McDaniels to New England. "You find something good, you stick with it," he said. "I think that's the case for everybody, with everything in life."
Analysis: Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five scores last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator, and that came on the heels of a 77-catch, 1,448-yard, 11-touchdown season with McDaniels in Denver. He'll probably see a dip in opportunities because he'll share the field with so many other great weapons there. But he should still be about as productive as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver and should be drafted as such with a mid-round pick.

Ronnie Hillman
Tamme: Hillman looks good
Ronnie Hillman, RB, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme gave an encouraging scouting report on rookie rusher Ronnie Hillman. "He seems to have a lot of quickness," Tamme said. "I've got to see him carry a few and catch some passes, he seems like a guy who can really move and sort of be a threat from the scatback-type position."
Analysis: Yep, that sounds like Hillman, who averaged over 130 total yards per game in 2011 with 20 total touchdowns while breaking some of Marshall Faulk's records at San Diego State. Hillman isn't a big back (5-foot-9, 200 pounds) but definitely plays bigger than he is. He's done good work between the tackles but is better known for his lateral agility and breakaway speed. Landing in Denver is nice since he won't be stuck behind a young back for long -- Willis McGahee will turn 31 in October and Knowshon Moreno is coming off of a torn ACL. We could see Hillman contribute this season, especially if he can perfect his pass blocking and receiving skills. Expect him to be taken late in all seasonal drafts as well as with a mid-to-late pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a second-round pick in rookie-only formats.

Jacob Tamme
Tamme talks offense, role
Jacob Tamme, TE, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme sounded very excited to follow quarterback Peyton Manning to Denver from Indy, adding that he "looks great." Tamme's also excited about the direction of the new offense, calling it a mix of what he did with Manning with the Colts and what offensive coordinator Mike McCoy wants to do. On the topic of his specific role with the Broncos, Tamme didn't want to give away much but did offer what he thinks is great about being a tight end. "I'm comfortable in slot and love that, but I would say I lined up on the line of scrimmage more than everywhere else [with the Colts]," Tamme said. " ... We should be able to move around and what we're going to do offensively, hopefully, we'll be able to move around some. I think that's what's great about playing tight end these days, you get to do everything. It's what makes the position a lot of fun."
Analysis: If we're reading between the lines, the Broncos could use Tamme as a tight end, slot receiver and H-back this season, all roles he's capable of playing as evidenced by his time in Indianapolis. Being comfortable with Manning is also built-in thanks to their relationship back in Indiana. Tamme had just 177 yards on 19 catches in 2011 with one score, but he worked behind starter Dallas Clark in a Manning-less Colts offense. In 10 games without Dallas Clark in 2010, Tamme caught 67 passes for 631 yards and four touchdowns. Expect him to have some Clark-like potential and thus get swiped with a middle- to late-round pick in drafts this summer as a borderline No. 1/No. 2 TE.

Stephen Hill
Hill lines up as starter in OTAs
Stephen Hill, WR, NYJ
5/25/2012
News: Jets rookie receiver Stephen Hill lined up opposite Santonio Holmes with the first-team offense during their recent OTAs. He caught a 75-yard touchdown pass from Mark Sanchez, burning cornerback Kyle Wilson in the process, according to the Newark Star-Ledger.
Analysis: The Jets aren't going to have a dominant pass attack, so that could limit Hill's production. But he does have the chance for plenty of playing time, which is a plus. He's worth a late-round pick in seasonal formats, a middle- to late-round pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a Top 20 pick in rookie-only drafts.

 
 
 
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