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Dave Richard

Faceoffs: Leave Favre on the bench?

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Editor's note: Each week Senior Fantasy Writers Dave Richard and Jamey Eisenberg will debate the value of a handful of key Fantasy players heading into a certain week. They not only state their case below, but they also provide owners with some alternatives.

Start Brett Favre at Chicago?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard There's a lot going against Brett Favre here: It's December, when he's been at his worst. It's outdoors in the cold, where he's struggled. And it's close to the postseason, when Favre doesn't necessarily have to play an entire game in order to help the Vikings. And on top of all of this, he's in a tiff with head coach Brad Childress. There's no better way to mend fences than by winning, and the Vikings don't have to throw on the Bears to do it. The Bears rank in the Top 10 against the pass and in the bottom 10 against the run, and the Vikings still have one of the best running backs in football in Adrian Peterson. Citing his recent play and the variables involved, I don't think Favre is a safe option in Week 16.
I'd rather start: Eli Manning (vs. CAR), Alex Smith (vs. DET) and Vince Young (vs. SD)
Jamey Eisenberg We all know about Favre's struggles in December, and there is definite cause for concern about starting him this week based on his poor performance against Carolina in Week 15. But this matchup is still a great one; even though the Bears rank highly against the pass, they have allowed big games to quarterbacks of late. They have allowed seven quarterbacks to score multiple touchdowns this year, including Favre in Week 12 when he had 392 yards and three touchdowns. Chicago also just lost key pass rusher Adewale Ogunleye (leg) for the rest of the season, and Joe Flacco threw four touchdowns against the Bears last week. I'll take my chances with Favre on Monday night coming off that bad game -- it could be the last Monday night game of his career. If you've been using Favre as a starting Fantasy quarterback all year then go with him again for one more week. He won't be a disappointment again.
I'd start him over: Alex Smith (vs. DET), Eli Manning (vs. CAR) and Vince Young (vs. SD)
Start Kevin Boss vs. Carolina?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard We've seen Boss play really well against defenses that struggle against opposing tight ends. The Panthers are not one of these teams. Carolina started the year with some poor defense against tight ends, but from Week 3 on they've allowed just two touchdowns to tight ends and have done a good job of limiting their stats. Elite tight ends like Visanthe Shiancoe, Kellen Winslow and Tony Gonzalez all failed to get 70 receiving yards in their recent matchups with the Panthers. Boss should be no different.
I'd rather start: Heath Miller (vs. BAL), Jason Witten (at DAL) and David Thomas (vs. TB)
Jamey Eisenberg Boss has a few things working in his favor this week against the Panthers. He could see more targets if Hakeem Nicks (hamstring) is out. He has played well at home with four touchdowns in his past four games at Giants Stadium. And he scored against Carolina last year at home when he had five catches for 46 yards and a touchdown. Eli Manning is playing at a high level, and even though the Panthers' secondary has done a good job this season, they have still allowed five touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Boss has done well with favorable matchups this season, and this is a good week to consider him a starting option.
I'd start him over: John Carlson (at GB), Bo Scaife (vs. SD) and Jason Witten (at WAS)
Who would you put on the bench in favor of Jerome Harrison in Week 16?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard My life-long Fantasy Football mantra -- "It's all about the matchups" -- is not something I'm going to stop following now. Harrison should see plenty of opportunities against a beleaguered Raiders run defense that has allowed seven 100-yard rushers and 20 rush touchdowns this season. LaDainian Tomlinson has struggled on the ground for much of the season and has a challenging matchup at Tennessee this week (even with two Titans linebackers out). Ricky Williams' rushing average isn't as gaudy as it once was; he has four fumbles lost in two games and faces a Texans run defense that has allowed one 100-yard rusher since Week 4. And Rashard Mendenhall won't see the same opportunities he saw against Baltimore earlier this year when Ben Roethlisberger was sidelined. He won't shoulder the offense this time around against a Ravens run defense that's given up seven rushing touchdowns all year. Jamey Eisenberg Harrison has proven this year when he gets enough touches he can be a successful Fantasy option. Four times this season he's had at least 10 carries, and each time he's had at least 80 total yards with five touchdowns. Coming off his record-breaking performance in Week 15 at Kansas City when he got 34 carries for 286 yards and three touchdowns, there's no way the Browns can go away from him. He also has a favorable matchup against the Raiders, who have allowed 17 running backs to reach double digits in Fantasy points this season. I like Harrison so much this week I would use him ahead of such stalwarts as Brandon Jacobs, Joseph Addai and Knowshon Moreno. Jacobs has struggled all season, Addai could be resting in the second half against the Jets and Moreno has a difficult matchup at the Eagles.
Where should Jamaal Charles be taken in 2010 Fantasy drafts?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard Could someone explain to me why we wouldn't consider an every-down running back that averages over 16 Fantasy points per week in a standard league a potential first-round pick? Charles has delivered that average since taking over as the starter in Kansas City, surpassing all expectations along the way. It is believed that he's earned the starting role going forward and has filled one of the many holes the Chiefs have to fill this offseason. Next year he'll presumably run behind a better O-line and in an offense far more cohesive than the one we saw this year. He's way too good a player to leave for owners who pick early in Round 2.
I'd draft him over: Knowshon Moreno, Joseph Addai and Ryan Grant
Jamey Eisenberg Charles has been awesome this season since taking over for Larry Johnson. I would definitely want Charles on my Fantasy team in 2010. And I would rank him as a Top 12 running back heading into next season. But I see more value in taking a quarterback like Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady in the first round over Charles. And I would also take Andre Johnson or Larry Fitzgerald ahead of him as well since those are safer picks. Charles has plenty of upside, but the Chiefs also have plenty of question marks, especially on the offensive line. Take Charles in the second round because he's a special player, but don't reach for him too early.
I'd drafting Charles after: Andre Johnson, Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers

Do you agree with Dave or Jamey? Send your thoughts or questions to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Fantasy Faceoff in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rey Maualuga
Maualuga charged by police
Rey Maualuga, MLB, CIN
2/11/2012
News: Bengals LB Rey Maualuga has officially been charged by Cincinnati police with misdemeanor assault stemming from a bar fight last weekend. This report comes from The Associated Press. The Bengals had no comment.
Analysis: Maualuga is likely to be at least fined for this incident, especially after his 2010 DUI arrest cost him two game checks. He won't miss any playing time, though. Maualuga is just a low-end option in IDP formats heading into next season.

Hines Ward
Report: Steelers to cut ties with Ward
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
2/11/2012
News: NFL.com reports that the Steelers are not expected to bring back receiver Hines Ward for 2012. This news comes according to NFL Network's Jason La Canfora. "He has one year left on his deal worth $4 million," said La Canfora. "According to my sources, he won't be back there. So that's $4 million off the books."
Analysis: Ward has said he'd be open to taking a pay cut, but it sounds like Pittsburgh is ready to just cut ties with him. Ward would be a No. 4 WR and that means he'd likely have to play on special teams, which he likely would not want. Ward will have little Fantasy value entering 2012, that is for sure.

Kevin Faulk
Faulk contemplating retirement
Kevin Faulk, RB, NE
2/11/2012
News: New England RB Kevin Faulk is contemplating retirement after being a healthy inactive for the Super Bowl loss to the Giants, reports the Boston Globe. "That morning, when I got the word that I wasn’t going to dress . . . wow," Faulk said. “I went in the room, cried a little bit, because 75 percent of me knew that this could be my last game playing, not playing, just dressing. If I dress, there could be that chance that I could play. So that really crushed me a whole lot. Went into my room, read my Bible, read so many different Scriptures, so many different chapters in the Bible, until it was time to go to the stadium. [I took] my exit physical after the game and the trainers give me a big hug and that’s when I knew, like ‘Wow, that might be it'."
Analysis: Faulk was drafted in 1999 and the 35-year-old RB is a member of New England's 50th anniversary team. He didn't actually declare himself retired, leaving the door slightly ajar on his 14th NFL season. Faulk might finish his career with 31 total touchdowns, 15 receiving and 16 rushing. He had a solid career, but isn't a recommended Fantasy option if he does return next year.

Rob Gronkowski
Gronkowski has ankle surgery
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
2/10/2012
News: The Boston Herald reports that Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski underwent successful surgery Friday to fix his ailing ankle. The surgery was an arthroscopic procedure to clean out the ankle. Gronkowski played on a high-ankle sprain in Super Bowl XLVI, battling ligament damage to make two catches for 26 yards. The estimate is that it’s a 10-week recovery. That should allow him to be ready by mid-April, possibly for mini-camp.
Analysis: Continue to monitor what happens with Gronkowski this offseason, but he should be fine for the start of the 2012 season. Consider Gronkowski the No. 1 TE heading into the season. We can see Gronkowski being drafted as a Top 15 pick in all leagues, but it's a safer option to take him toward the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3 in all formats.

Reggie Wayne
Wayne unsure of future
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
2/10/2012
News: Reggie Wayne told ESPN that while he'd like to stay with the Colts, he's just not sure if they want him. Wayne is scheduled to be a free agent this offseason and understands that his time might be over in Indy after 11 years. "I have been there 11 years and I would prefer to end my career a Colt. However, in due time those feelings could subside," he said. "I haven't heard anything from them yet, so maybe I am not as important on the chain of command as I should be. But either way, I'm cool. I have nothing bad to say about the Colts. ... My phone hasn't rung yet. It's only fair I worry about number 87 first. When I'm signed, then I can weigh in more."
Analysis: Wayne had a mostly horrible season thanks in big part to Peyton Manning being on the sideline. He caught 75 passes for 960 yards and four touchdowns, three coming in the final six weeks of the year. We don't think his 2011 is indicative of a slow-down in his game, but uncertainty about who he'll catch passes from and what his role will be keeps him from being a receiver we can get excited about. For now consider him a No. 3 Fantasy WR worth a mid-round pick.

Peyton Manning
Differing views on Peyton
Peyton Manning, QB, IND
2/10/2012
News: There are two differing reports on Colts QB Peyton Manning as the saga continues early this offseason in his recovery from missing this past season from neck surgery. CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that there remain a handful of team personnel men who have serious doubts he will ever play again or at the very least will miss most of next season. But, according to NFL.com, former Colts vice chairman Bill Polian, who was fired in early January, said he believes Manning will be fine in 2012 after he last saw Manning throw in late December. "It's marked (improvement) from where he was back in September," Polian said. "He threw it accurately, he threw it with a good, tight spiral, and he threw it with velocity. Generally, he looked like a pretty confident quarterback out there." Polian also indicated that Manning was able to make a variety of throws and throw across his body, which differs from a report on NFL Network earlier this week. Polian said that Manning's recovery is "coming, but coming slowly. But, nonetheless, its making progress."
Analysis: The bottom line with Manning is until the public sees him throw or work in practice we won't know where he's at in his recovery. The Colts also have to make a decision on his contract or else he can sign with a new team, with Arizona, Miami and Washington the likely suitors. If healthy, Manning will remain a No. 1 Fantasy QB no matter where he plays, but he has to prove that his neck is 100 percent. Continue to monitor what happens with Manning, and hopefully he can resume his career without any problems.

Fred Jackson
Jackson cleared, contract coming
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF
2/10/2012
News: Fred Jackson has been cleared to return to football activities for a couple of weeks following a broken fibula, but the good news for him doesn't stop there. The official team website reports that Jackson has been promised by team GM Buddy Nix that he will receive a contract extension, with the timeline set for before the 2012 season. Jackson is slated to be in a contract year as it stands now, but a new deal would change that. "Fred and I have talked," said Nix. "We want to extend Fred. I'd like for Fred to finish his career as a Bill. He's meant a lot to us. I've got great respect for him. We do want Fred back and we do intend to try to work out a deal with him. I've told him that. What we said is what we're going to do."
Analysis: Jackson told the site that he's ready to get started in 2012 after missing the last six games of the season with a broken leg. While he was sidelined, C.J. Spiller stepped up and put some good moves on the field, complicating the Buffalo running back situation heading into the new year. Chances are the Bills will lean on Jackson as they have been, but Spiller could take a bigger share of the run-game workload than in the past, and that could put a cap on what Jackson is capable of doing. He's also 31 years old but doesn't have the wear-and-tear that typically comes with rushers over 30. If the Bills extend Jackson then it will be clear that he's a part of their future and a potential 15-touch-per-game back. If not, he'll be in a contract year and could play well in hopes of cashing in after next season. Either way he represents a solid value as a No. 2 Fantasy RB worth a pick between late Round 3 and early Round 5.

Lavelle Hawkins
Hawkins gets three-year deal
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Tennessean reports Friday that the Titans have agreed to terms on a contract extension for WR Lavelle Hawkins, who had his best season in 2011. He had 47 catches for 470 yards and one touchdown.
Analysis: Hawkins has minimal Fantasy value heading into 2012, especially if Kenny Britt (knee) returns at 100 percent. Keep an eye on what happens with the Titans receiving corps, but ignore Hawkins on Draft Day in most leagues.

Kenny Britt
Britt 'working hard'
Kenny Britt, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Titans GM Ruston Webster said WR Kenny Britt, who suffered a torn ACL in September and had surgery in early October, should return in time for training camp in 2012. He said Britt appears to be a fast healer and is ahead of schedule in his recovery. "Kenny has been working hard and he's coming fast, probably even a little faster than I thought he would. So I'm real happy about that," he said. "We expect to have him out there for training camp. The good thing about his injury, is there is a good thing, is it happened early, and he's a very strong young and bounces back very quickly. We're hoping and planning to have him back for training camp."
Analysis: Britt is expected to make a full recovery in time for the start of the 2012 season, and hopefully he can come into training camp in shape. We consider Britt a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy WR when healthy, and he is worth drafting with a mid-round pick if his knee proves to be 100 percent.

Kevin Smith
Smith wants return to Lions
Kevin Smith, RB, DET
2/10/2012
News: According to mlive.com, impending free agent RB Kevin Smith would like to return to the Lions in 2012. Smith, 25, re-signed with Detroit last November and had four starts in seven games. He finished the regular season with 72 carries for 356 yards and four touchdowns, plus had 22 receptions for 179 yards and three scores. "In every interview that I've done, even though I'm a free agent, I've referred to the team and me as us," Smith said. "I'm on the Lions roster in my opinion until I'm not on the Lions roster. That says it all."
Analysis: Smith is a former third-round selection by Detroit in 2008. He showed promise as a rookie, gaining 976 yards and scoring eight touchdowns on 238 carries. He started 13 games in 2009 before suffering a season-ending injury to his left knee. He rushed for 747 yards and four touchdowns prior to his injury. Smith was phased out of the offense with the arrival of Jahvid Best in 2010. Detroit decided not to make him an offer when he became a restricted free agent after that season. After Best sustained a season-ending concussion last season, Detroit re-signed Smith. We'll find out if he can return to the Lions, who also have second-year RB Mikel Leshoure, who also is recovering from a season-ending Achilles tendon injury sustained in the preseason. Keep an eye on what happens with Smith, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick if he's back in Detroit.

 
 
 
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