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Dave Richard

Week 16 Fantasy Football Matchups

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


To prepare you as best we can for your week of Fantasy Football, we've devised this series of previews for each NFL game. We'll give you a taste of what to expect, then rank each significant Fantasy contributor on a scale from 0-5 logos (with five logos suggesting can't-miss; a player or unit without any logos suggests you probably shouldn't start him under any circumstances). The rankings take the matchup into account, but injuries and other significant factors also contribute.

San Diego Chargers at Tennessee Titans
Friday, 7:30 pm, LP Field
While the Chargers might be tempted to modify their game plan by attacking the Titans' suddenly thin linebacker corps with the run, the likely bet is that they'll still lean on the pass. In that regard they're catching the Titans at the right time because they allowed nearly 350 yards to Miami last week and got exposed by the Dolphins' varied passing attack. San Diego won't involve nearly as many receivers, but look for them to make use of Darren Sproles, Legedu Naanee and Malcom Floyd in addition to Vincent Jackson, Antonio Gates and LaDainian Tomlinson. The Chargers' defense will have its hands full with Chris Johnson; San Diego's been solid against the run over its last 10 games but it will struggle here on a fairly short week on the road. The Titans' game plan should continue to focus on Johnson leading the way and Vince Young playing off his run game to hit downfield targets. Bo Scaife should see some soft coverage as the Chargers have struggled with tight ends. No Titans receiver has had more than 75 yards over their last three games, a trend that should continue this week.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Philip Rivers QB Vince Young
LaDainian Tomlinson RB Chris Johnson
Darren Sproles RB LenDale White
Vincent Jackson WR Kenny Britt
Malcom Floyd WR Justin Gage
Legedu Naanee   WR Nate Washington
Antonio Gates TE Bo Scaife
Nate Kaeding K Rob Bironas
Chargers DST Titans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Superdome
The Bucs have some confidence coming off of a solid win at Seattle last week, but this "measuring stick game" for them won't go as well. The Bucs should come out passing to test the Saints' secondary that's been banged around over the last three weeks, and it's unlikely that they'll get much consistency there. They should be able to move the ball a little bit so long as the Saints' secondary doesn't get healthy. But you have to expect Josh Freeman to make some mistakes, and you also have to expect the Bucs' run game to be ineffective. The other problem the Bucs have is that they are all that's standing between the Saints and home-field advantage for the playoffs. That's not good, and the Saints coming off their first loss of the season should be very prepared for this game. Look for the Saints to do what they do -- throw the ball in single-coverage mismatches -- while also running the ball. Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell aren't terrible Fantasy choices but are safest as No. 3 options. We could see an uptick in production from Lance Moore, who is working his way back into game shape and is someone the Saints want ready for the postseason. Also, Marques Colston has been relatively harmless in games against the Bucs while Robert Meachem scored twice in the matchup earlier this season (but has only 19 total yards in two games vs. Tampa Bay).
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Josh Freeman QB Drew Brees
Cadillac Williams RB Pierre Thomas
Derrick Ward RB Reggie Bush
Earnest Graham   RB Mike Bell
Antonio Bryant WR Marques Colston
Maurice Stovall   WR Robert Meachem
Michael Clayton   WR Lance Moore
Kellen Winslow TE David Thomas
Connor Barth   K Garrett Hartley
Buccaneers   DST Saints
Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Land Shark Stadium
Gary Kubiak might be schizophrenic when it comes to his running backs, but we're pretty confident he's not going to take the ball out of Matt Schaub's hands. That's especially true this week in what amounts to a playoff game -- the loser will have eight losses and postseason dreams dashed. That said, expect the Texans to take advantage of the Dolphins young and off-and-on secondary by spreading the ball around to their receivers with an obvious emphasis on Andre Johnson. Tight end Joel Dreessen (six catches last two games) is a sleeper this week. The Dolphins have been exploiting defenses with their own short-area spread passing attack, and that should work here along with a healthy dose of Ricky Williams. The Texans have been stingy at allowing big yardage over the last four games but that will be challenged as Chad Henne is throwing the ball so much and putting up nice yardage totals. This could come down to how efficient both quarterbacks are, and the one who makes the fewest turnovers wins the game.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Matt Schaub QB Chad Henne
Ryan Moats RB Ricky Williams
Arian Foster RB Lex Hilliard
Andre Johnson WR Davone Bess
Kevin Walter WR Greg Camarillo
Joel Dreessen TE Anthony Fasano
Kris Brown K Dan Carpenter
Texans DST Dolphins
Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Georgia Dome
The Falcons' secondary gets a big break as Ryan Fitzpatrick isn't expected to play. That means Brian Brohm will see playing time for the Bills, and that's not good for Lee Evans and Terrell Owens. The Bills should implement a simple short- and mid-range passing attack to match with their run game, but if they fall behind and are forced to pass it could get ugly. Atlanta should come out of the locker room running the football, and whoever is the team's primary back is going to have a good game. The Bills can't tackle well and are giving up plenty of rushing yardage and touchdowns week after week. Jason Snelling is the guy to go with as a No. 3 or flex option if Michael Turner is out; Turner would otherwise be that guy. Look for Roddy White to get right here too as the Bills' secondary is bottoming out -- cornerback Terrence McGee and safety Jairus Byrd will miss the remainder of the season with injuries. Might even be a decent enough week for Matt Ryan.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Brian Brohm   QB Matt Ryan
Fred Jackson RB Jason Snelling
Marshawn Lynch RB Jerious Norwood
Lee Evans WR Roddy White
Terrell Owens WR Michael Jenkins
Shawn Nelson   TE Tony Gonzalez
Rian Lindell K Matt Bryant
Bills DST Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Paul Brown Stadium
The Chiefs will surely come into the game with the idea of playing spoiler, but the matchup is a tough one for them. Where they could have some success is through the air, which the Chargers did last week and came out winners in a close game with the Bengals. They've got the horses in Chris Chambers and Dwayne Bowe, but their offensive line is a huge detriment. Jamaal Charles will obviously be a huge part of what the Chiefs do, but he could make as big of a dent as a receiver than as a rusher, particularly since the Bengals have remained strong against the run even with defensive tackle Domata Peko out of action. We should see a big dose of Cedric Benson from the Bengals in this matchup as the Chiefs are coming off of giving up 286 rush yards to Jerome Harrison and are one of the absolute worst run defenses in the league. This also opens up the door for Larry Johnson to relieve Benson and try to do damage against his old team. Don't look for a lot of passing from Carson Palmer here since the run attack should do more than enough to put the game -- and the AFC North division title -- in the Bengals' hands.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Matt Cassel QB Carson Palmer
Jamaal Charles RB Cedric Benson
Tim Castille   RB Larry Johnson
Chris Chambers WR Chad Ochocinco
Dwayne Bowe WR Laveranues Coles
Sean Ryan   TE J.P. Foschi
Ryan Succop K Shayne Graham
Chiefs   DST Bengals
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Heinz Field
It's obvious by now that passing on the Steelers is the way to go. Even head coach Mike Tomlin is losing confidence in his secondary after he tried an onside kick at a crucial point in their game last week against Green Bay. Joe Flacco got the confidence going again with a four-touchdown performance against an uninterested Bears secondary last week, and he should be as good this week. Demetrius Williams has long been a deep-ball threat who either came up short or got hurt too often. He'll get some chances this week if Mark Clayton is still out to make amends for past shortfalls. Derrick Mason is obviously the better option for Fantasy, and despite Todd Heap's miserable history against the Steelers, he could even get involved like he did last week. Ray Rice will also make contributions as a receiver, just not as a rusher. Ben Roethlisberger was out when the Steelers played the Ravens earlier this year, and as a result they ran the ball a bunch. That's not expected to repeat itself here, though it would help mask the defensive shortcomings. Look for the Steelers to keep throwing the ball against a Ravens secondary that is still shorthanded and continuously depleted. Santonio Holmes has been a Ravens killer throughout his career and the matchup is sparkling for him, Hines Ward and Mike Wallace to be effective in a must-win game at home. Unlike past meetings between these clubs, this could get high-scoring.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Joe Flacco QB Ben Roethlisberger
Ray Rice RB Rashard Mendenhall
Willis McGahee RB Mewelde Moore
Derrick Mason WR Santonio Holmes
Demetrius Williams WR Hines Ward
Kelley Washington   WR Mike Wallace
Todd Heap TE Heath Miller
Billy Cundiff K Jeff Reed
Ravens DST Steelers
Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Gillette Stadium
The Jaguars' best bet continues to be riding the coattails of Maurice Jones-Drew. The Patriots have struggled with running backs this season in spite of yielding just three rushing touchdowns on the year. Even if they concentrate their efforts on guarding against Jones-Drew, he should still come out with some good totals. The New England secondary is also a mess, and that might bode well for Mike Sims-Walker. He scored last week and should be able to use his size and strength to out-muscle the Patriots' corners. Those two will be enough to keep the Patriots on their toes, so anything else David Garrard can do to keep Bill Belichick's defense off-kilter will only help the team. But one thing Garrard can't do is play cornerback, and that's where the Jaguars have all sorts of problems. Assuming the weather cooperates, this should be a big bounce-back week for Tom Brady and his receivers since Jacksonville has had a hard time with opposing receivers. Just last week they allowed four touchdowns to the Colts' high-powered offense, so the Patriots are more than likely to follow the same plan. Does this mean diminished stats for Laurence Maroney? It could since the Jaguars are good against the run, though the Patriots would surely lean on him once they build a lead to kill the game clock. Considering his frequent trips to the end zone, it would be difficult to get away from him without other really good options in Fantasy.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
David Garrard QB Tom Brady
Maurice Jones-Drew RB Laurence Maroney
Rashad Jennings   RB Kevin Faulk
Mike Sims-Walker WR Randy Moss
Torry Holt   WR Wes Welker
Marcedes Lewis   TE Benjamin Watson
Josh Scobee K Stephen Gostkowski
Jaguars DST Patriots
Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Lambeau Field
We're not sure how Seattle will get motivated for this matchup. True, Matt Hasselbeck will be coming back to the city that drafted him, but with an offense full of veterans that are bummed about the dwindling season -- not to mention the matchup -- this is tough sledding for the visiting Seahawks. Their best bet is to follow the Steelers' plan from last week and use three- and four-receiver sets to spread out the Packers' cornerbacks and focus on matchups against their reserve DBs, but their talent isn't as consistent or effective as the Steelers' bunch. We could see John Carlson continue to put up some stats. The Packers should be able to do as they wish in this game, starting off balanced and then turning to Ryan Grant to grind down the Seahawks. It's hard to not like any Packers players this week, especially with the Seahawks pass defense ranked 29th in the league with 26 touchdowns allowed. Aaron Rodgers should stay hot -- the Seahawks have allowed all three passers they've faced over their last three games to get 250 yards, with two over 300 yards.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Matt Hasselbeck QB Aaron Rodgers
Justin Forsett RB Ryan Grant
Julius Jones RB Brandon Jackson
T.J. Houshmandzadeh WR Greg Jennings
Deion Branch   WR Donald Driver
Deon Butler   WR James Jones
John Carlson TE Jermichael Finley
Olindo Mare K Mason Crosby
Seahawks   DST Packers
Carolina Panthers at N.Y. Giants
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Giants Stadium
These teams met in New York a year ago -- both playoff bound -- and had an incredible game that was decided in OT. This year, the Panthers are going home in January and the Giants are hanging on to slim playoff hopes. But the game still has meaning to ex-Giants defensive coordinator John Fox, and of course the Giants need wins to make the playoffs. The Panthers have to be pleased with Matt Moore at this point, and the beat will go on for him as the Giants' secondary did a good job disguising itself last week against the Redskins in a game that got out of hand early on. Moore's mobility to get away from the Vikings' pass rush was a big key in extending plays and finding Steve Smith, among others, for modest gains. That's a good game plan to use again versus the Giants, and it could mean that Jonathan Stewart (and DeAngelo Williams if he's healthy) could see less work than last year against the Giants (24 carries and four touchdowns for Williams; nine carries and bupkis for Stewart). The Panthers' trio of mediocre tight ends has been effective against a Giants secondary that could be challenged by Carolina's short-area success. The Giants will likely try and crack the Panthers' front seven, which is something the Vikings couldn't do in limited attempts last week. The running game got back on track last week and so long as the offensive line holds up we could see a decent outing from Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs. Seeing Bradshaw get two short-yardage red-zone touchdowns last week makes him fairly appealing here since that and his breakaway speed make for a dangerous combination. The Giants' passing game could be reeled in a bit this week if Hakeem Nicks is out. The Panthers will easily take away tight end Kevin Boss and match up fairly well with Steve Smith and Mario Manningham. That, combined with Julius Peppers coming off the end, might make for a long afternoon for Eli Manning. Expect the Giants to lean on the ground game and then use play-action to exploit the Panthers.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Matt Moore QB Eli Manning
Jonathan Stewart RB Brandon Jacobs
Tyrell Sutton   RB Ahmad Bradshaw
Steve Smith WR Steve Smith
Muhsin Muhammad WR Mario Manningham
Gary Barnidge   TE Kevin Boss
John Kasay K Lawrence Tynes
Panthers DST Giants
Oakland Raiders at Cleveland Browns
Sunday, 1:00 pm, Cleveland Browns Stadium
The Raiders' run game should give them a decent chance here. Michael Bush and Darren McFadden should both be busy against a Browns run defense that really has played well in only one game this year (vs. Pittsburgh). With their D-line banged up, Oakland would0 be wise to take as much pressure off of JaMarcus Russell as possible and lean on its two best offensive players. The Browns have a good offensive player of their own in Jerome Harrison, and once again he's in a matchup that's too good to pass up. Even though Denver failed to do well against the Raiders last week, count on Cleveland leaning on its run game. Their offensive line did so well last week and should come together again to give Harrison room to run. Derek Anderson will take over under center for the Browns but isn't expected to throw much given the matchup and the Browns' poor receiving corps.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
JaMarcus Russell   QB Derek Anderson
Michael Bush RB Jerome Harrison
Darren McFadden RB Chris Jennings
Chaz Schilens WR Mohamed Massaquoi
Louis Murphy WR Chansi Stuckey
Tony Stewart   TE Evan Moore
Sebastian Janikowski K Phil Dawson
Raiders DST Browns
St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, 4:05 pm, University of Phoenix Stadium
More of the same from the Rams: Ride Steven Jackson as much as possible. At least St. Louis is giving Keith Null a fair shake here, but the matchup is a real tough one for him. Not having quality receivers definitely hurts the passing game and ultimately makes the going tougher for Jackson. Then again, the Cardinals are in the midst of one of their spells of bad play against the run, so Jackson should be fine. The rest of the Rams, not so much. The Cardinals have routinely posted strong passing totals on the Rams and were on their way to doing so earlier this season when Kurt Warner was concussed and didn't play in the second half. He's healthy this time, and with coach Ken Whisenhunt ordering his first-team offense to establish some momentum leading into the playoffs, look for the Cardinals to feast on the St. Louis secondary. But that said, the Cardinals won't be dumb and run up the score with the first-team offense. Assuming they build a big lead, we could see Warner, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and others in sideline caps before the end of the game. That's when the team might really pummel the Rams with Beanie Wells -- he'll play a bunch all game long and should repeat his performance from last week. So long as he stays healthy, he's a tremendous running option for the Cardinals both now and heading into the future.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Keith Null   QB Kurt Warner
Steven Jackson RB Beanie Wells
Kenneth Darby   RB Tim Hightower
Donnie Avery WR Anquan Boldin
Brandon Gibson   WR Larry Fitzgerald
Danny Amendola   WR Steve Breaston
Randy McMichael   TE Stephen Spach
Josh Brown K Mike Nugent
Rams   DST Cardinals
Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, 4:05 pm, Candlestick Park
We got a surprise jolt out of Maurice Morris last week, and he was sort of hidden in the hoopla of other surprise free-agent running backs. His matchup is difficult, though, and the only way he'll be effective once again is if he can break away from the Niners' run defense for a long jaunt. He's played at San Francisco a number of times with the Seahawks and has never done well. But the reality is that Morris is a 15-carry candidate with good receiving potential, so there's a shot for him to be useful as a No. 3 running back or flex choice if you need help. As for Calvin Johnson, the expectation is that he'll struggle with double coverage all game long, and with a weak quarterback throwing his way, it's tough to expect him to put up good totals even in a matchup against a team that's been bad against the pass. The 49ers should be able to do whatever they'd like here and with Mike Singletary still commanding attention among his players, we should see a good effort. Frank Gore has two-touchdown potential against an awful Lions run defense, and Vernon Davis should lead the charge in the passing game against a depleted and ineffective Detroit secondary. Alex Smith might not have more than 250 yards or so but it would be a shock to see him throw fewer than two touchdowns.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Drew Stanton   QB Alex Smith
Maurice Morris RB Frank Gore
Aaron Brown   RB Michael Robinson
Calvin Johnson WR Michael Crabtree
Dennis Northcutt WR Josh Morgan
Will Heller   TE Vernon Davis
Jason Hanson K Joe Nedney
Lions   DST 49ers
Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, 4:15 pm, Lincoln Financial Field
This is a tough spot for the Broncos, who need to win badly. And this is a tough spot for Fantasy owners too, because the Broncos have produced so many hot one week, cold the next performances that it's tough to tell who will do well. The most obvious Bronco who should put up numbers is Brandon Marshall, who has been exceptional of late and should find a way to top 100 yards and lead Denver in receiving against an Eagles defense that has allowed a pair of 100-yard receivers over their last three games. The Philly blitz will be an issue for Kyle Orton to deal with, but Marshall should still get his numbers. Knowshon Moreno is more of a mixed bag; he should have rocked the Raiders last week but couldn't get going despite 22 total touches. He's been struggling in short-yardage situations and might begin to lose touches this week against the Eagles. He's not a sure thing for Fantasy. The Eagles are expected to welcome back Brian Westbrook this week, and his presence will only muddle the Eagles' running back situation further. Our hunch is that Westbrook sees the most playing time through the first half and until the game is in hand, with LeSean McCoy working more in the second half with fresh legs. Leonard Weaver, assuming he's not jawing with an opponent when he's supposed to be lining up, should seemingly work in fewer roles than before -- a short-yardage/goal-line role makes sense. Regardless, the Eagles should be able to run fairly well here as the Broncos' run defense has bottomed out. The passing game should be good but not great -- Brian Dawkins will be amped to play and should do enough to take away Brent Celek on most plays. Still, DeSean Jackson is one of the toughest assignments in the league right now, and so long as Donovan McNabb has time to throw, Jackson will be a threat for massive stats. Champ Bailey won't be able to hang with Jackson.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Kyle Orton QB Donovan McNabb
Knowshon Moreno RB Brian Westbrook
Peyton Hillis   RB LeSean McCoy
Brandon Marshall WR DeSean Jackson
Brandon Stokley   WR Reggie Brown
Tony Scheffler TE Brent Celek
Matt Prater K David Akers
Broncos DST Eagles
N.Y. Jets at Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, 4:15 pm, Lucas Oil Stadium
This is an interesting game as the Jets' defense will give the Colts problems. But the Jets' biggest problem of all is putting points on the board -- they're averaging 16.6 points per game over their last five, and that includes a 29-point outburst at Tampa Bay two weeks ago. They'll run with Thomas Jones for sure, but eventually they'll encounter some long distance situations that will cause some problems and turn the ball back over the Colts. Indy has allowed a pair of 100-yard rushers over their last three games, so Jones should be solid for them but that's about it; it's hard to trust Jets receivers so long as Mark Sanchez is under center, and it's unlikely that they'll have any long gains against a corralling Colts secondary. Peyton Manning has seen a lot of Rex Ryan's defensive scheme over the course of his career, and he's crushed it. With the Ravens, Ryan's defenses only kept Manning in check once in four games over the last five years -- a playoff game during the 2006 season. Manning has had at least 249 yards and two touchdowns in every other meeting, and this one shouldn't be any different. There is some concern about Jets cornerback Darrelle Revis clamping down on Reggie Wayne, but there's no promise that he'll be against him the whole time. It's clear that Dallas Clark has been a favorite target of Manning's, and Pierre Garcon (when healthy) has gotten the job done. We could see Revis move around a little bit depending on the down and distance, but will it matter much? Manning is the best in the league at reading the pre-snap defense and will trust whoever has the easiest matchup from play to play. That said, all Colts receivers have a chance to do something here, but it will be spread around so that no one option is safer than the others. If Garcon misses the game we could see Manning have a smidge of trouble. Joseph Addai has a challenging matchup and might not be a huge option this week.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Mark Sanchez QB Peyton Manning
Thomas Jones RB Joseph Addai
Shonn Greene RB Mike Hart
Jerricho Cotchery WR Reggie Wayne
Braylon Edwards WR Pierre Garcon
Brad Smith   WR Austin Collie
Dustin Keller   TE Dallas Clark
Jay Feely K Matt Stover
Jets DST Colts
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins
Sunday, 8:20 pm, FedEx Field
The Cowboys have had problems playing at FedEx Field for years and struggled with the Redskins at home earlier this season, so this is far from a blowout. Dallas did a solid job of attacking the Saints' secondary last week and it can only be assumed that they'll do the same thing here since running the ball is a tough task against Washington. Miles Austin's deep-ball skills make him an obvious threat that the Redskins will have a hard time with, and Roy E. Williams should also be a candidate to catch more passes than normal. Jason Witten's history at Washington combined with his poor overall campaign make him a risky Fantasy choice. As for the Dallas run game, it'll be used but it can't be trusted to carry the team. Marion Barber is obviously a goal-line threat (both of his touchdowns last week came from inside the Saints 3) but big yardage isn't something that can be counted on with him or Felix Jones. The Redskins might have a hard time coming up with motivation, but with this being their last home game of the season against a bitter rival, they should put up a fight. The fate of the offense will rest with Jason Campbell since Quinton Ganther will face a stiff Dallas run defense. Campbell didn't get a lot of protection last week against the Giants, though he was pretty much forced to play from behind in the first half. The Cowboys' pass rush is playing great and will surely get in the face of Campbell, limiting his potential to make plays. The Redskins need to spread out the Cowboys secondary and lean on everyone from the running backs to the tight ends and wideouts as outlets for Campbell, but that even might not be enough to put points on the board. In spite of the Cowboys' past woes at Washington, they've got a great matchup on both sides of the ball.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Tony Romo QB Jason Campbell
Marion Barber RB Quinton Ganther
Felix Jones RB Rock Cartwright
Miles Austin WR Santana Moss
Roy E. Williams WR Antwaan Randle El
Jason Witten TE Fred Davis
Shaun Suisham K Graham Gano
Cowboys DST Redskins
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
Monday, 8:30 pm, Soldier Field
There are some reports of upheaval in Minnesota between Brett Favre and head coach Brad Childress, but those issues can be solved with a win. Fortunately, they're playing the right opponent for that to happen in the Bears. But a key mitigating factor -- playing outdoors late in the season, including in the cold -- could hurt Favre. From 2007 through last week Favre has played in six outdoor/grass late-season and playoff games, some in chilly weather. He's thrown five touchdowns (all in 2007 postseason, none in '08 or '09) and eight interceptions with no games over 236 yards passing. Even though the Bears defense is on its last legs right now, between that history and the in-fighting between him and Childress, it seems risky for Favre to even be trusted to handle the majority of the Vikings' game plan. But it's not a stretch to suggest that Adrian Peterson will lead the way for the Vikings, and he should. The Bears' run defense is atrocious, and Peterson has a history of mowing them down. Look for AP to shoulder the workload and even give some reps to Chester Taylor in an effort to simply run more than throw. Subsequently, Favre will be a good soldier and not audible out of runs as he did last week. The Bears' offense continues to fall apart, though some of last week's struggles can be blamed on the team's poor travel arrangements that kept the team from their typical road-game routine. Normally the Bears would be fired up in this situation -- their final game in front of the home crowd against a division rival -- but this year is different because of their poor play. The Bears' game plan in their earlier meeting against Minnesota was successful for a little while: Spread the ball around and keep the Vikings defense off their toes. They don't have the threats to really make that happen again here, but with the Vikings' run defense stalling over the past two weeks we could see a decent game from Matt Forte as a rusher and receiver. If he can get going, Jay Cutler might be able to stand up and deliver some mid-range passes and keep the chains moving. Remember, if the Bears' offense can stay on the field, the Vikings offense is on the sideline.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Brett Favre QB Jay Cutler
Adrian Peterson RB Matt Forte
Chester Taylor RB Kahlil Bell
Sidney Rice WR Earl Bennett
Percy Harvin WR Johnny Knox
Visanthe Shiancoe TE Greg Olsen
Ryan Longwell K Robbie Gould
Vikings DST Bears
 
 
 
Player News
Rey Maualuga
Maualuga charged by police
Rey Maualuga, MLB, CIN
10:23 AM
News: Bengals LB Rey Maualuga has officially been charged by Cincinnati police with misdemeanor assault stemming from a bar fight last weekend. This report comes from The Associated Press. The Bengals had no comment.
Analysis: Maualuga is likely to be at least fined for this incident, especially after his 2010 DUI arrest cost him two game checks. He won't miss any playing time, though. Maualuga is just a low-end option in IDP formats heading into next season.

Hines Ward
Report: Steelers to cut ties with Ward
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
10:12 AM
News: NFL.com reports that the Steelers are not expected to bring back receiver Hines Ward for 2012. This news comes according to NFL Network's Jason La Canfora. "He has one year left on his deal worth $4 million," said La Canfora. "According to my sources, he won't be back there. So that's $4 million off the books."
Analysis: Ward has said he'd be open to taking a pay cut, but it sounds like Pittsburgh is ready to just cut ties with him. Ward would be a No. 4 WR and that means he'd likely have to play on special teams, which he likely would not want. Ward will have little Fantasy value entering 2012, that is for sure.

Kevin Faulk
Faulk contemplating retirement
Kevin Faulk, RB, NE
10:04 AM
News: New England RB Kevin Faulk is contemplating retirement after being a healthy inactive for the Super Bowl loss to the Giants, reports the Boston Globe. "That morning, when I got the word that I wasn’t going to dress . . . wow," Faulk said. “I went in the room, cried a little bit, because 75 percent of me knew that this could be my last game playing, not playing, just dressing. If I dress, there could be that chance that I could play. So that really crushed me a whole lot. Went into my room, read my Bible, read so many different Scriptures, so many different chapters in the Bible, until it was time to go to the stadium. [I took] my exit physical after the game and the trainers give me a big hug and that’s when I knew, like ‘Wow, that might be it'."
Analysis: Faulk was drafted in 1999 and the 35-year-old RB is a member of New England's 50th anniversary team. He didn't actually declare himself retired, leaving the door slightly ajar on his 14th NFL season. Faulk might finish his career with 31 total touchdowns, 15 receiving and 16 rushing. He had a solid career, but isn't a recommended Fantasy option if he does return next year.

Rob Gronkowski
Gronkowski has ankle surgery
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
2/10/2012
News: The Boston Herald reports that Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski underwent successful surgery Friday to fix his ailing ankle. The surgery was an arthroscopic procedure to clean out the ankle. Gronkowski played on a high-ankle sprain in Super Bowl XLVI, battling ligament damage to make two catches for 26 yards. The estimate is that it’s a 10-week recovery. That should allow him to be ready by mid-April, possibly for mini-camp.
Analysis: Continue to monitor what happens with Gronkowski this offseason, but he should be fine for the start of the 2012 season. Consider Gronkowski the No. 1 TE heading into the season. We can see Gronkowski being drafted as a Top 15 pick in all leagues, but it's a safer option to take him toward the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3 in all formats.

Reggie Wayne
Wayne unsure of future
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
2/10/2012
News: Reggie Wayne told ESPN that while he'd like to stay with the Colts, he's just not sure if they want him. Wayne is scheduled to be a free agent this offseason and understands that his time might be over in Indy after 11 years. "I have been there 11 years and I would prefer to end my career a Colt. However, in due time those feelings could subside," he said. "I haven't heard anything from them yet, so maybe I am not as important on the chain of command as I should be. But either way, I'm cool. I have nothing bad to say about the Colts. ... My phone hasn't rung yet. It's only fair I worry about number 87 first. When I'm signed, then I can weigh in more."
Analysis: Wayne had a mostly horrible season thanks in big part to Peyton Manning being on the sideline. He caught 75 passes for 960 yards and four touchdowns, three coming in the final six weeks of the year. We don't think his 2011 is indicative of a slow-down in his game, but uncertainty about who he'll catch passes from and what his role will be keeps him from being a receiver we can get excited about. For now consider him a No. 3 Fantasy WR worth a mid-round pick.

Peyton Manning
Differing views on Peyton
Peyton Manning, QB, IND
2/10/2012
News: There are two differing reports on Colts QB Peyton Manning as the saga continues early this offseason in his recovery from missing this past season from neck surgery. CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that there remain a handful of team personnel men who have serious doubts he will ever play again or at the very least will miss most of next season. But, according to NFL.com, former Colts vice chairman Bill Polian, who was fired in early January, said he believes Manning will be fine in 2012 after he last saw Manning throw in late December. "It's marked (improvement) from where he was back in September," Polian said. "He threw it accurately, he threw it with a good, tight spiral, and he threw it with velocity. Generally, he looked like a pretty confident quarterback out there." Polian also indicated that Manning was able to make a variety of throws and throw across his body, which differs from a report on NFL Network earlier this week. Polian said that Manning's recovery is "coming, but coming slowly. But, nonetheless, its making progress."
Analysis: The bottom line with Manning is until the public sees him throw or work in practice we won't know where he's at in his recovery. The Colts also have to make a decision on his contract or else he can sign with a new team, with Arizona, Miami and Washington the likely suitors. If healthy, Manning will remain a No. 1 Fantasy QB no matter where he plays, but he has to prove that his neck is 100 percent. Continue to monitor what happens with Manning, and hopefully he can resume his career without any problems.

Fred Jackson
Jackson cleared, contract coming
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF
2/10/2012
News: Fred Jackson has been cleared to return to football activities for a couple of weeks following a broken fibula, but the good news for him doesn't stop there. The official team website reports that Jackson has been promised by team GM Buddy Nix that he will receive a contract extension, with the timeline set for before the 2012 season. Jackson is slated to be in a contract year as it stands now, but a new deal would change that. "Fred and I have talked," said Nix. "We want to extend Fred. I'd like for Fred to finish his career as a Bill. He's meant a lot to us. I've got great respect for him. We do want Fred back and we do intend to try to work out a deal with him. I've told him that. What we said is what we're going to do."
Analysis: Jackson told the site that he's ready to get started in 2012 after missing the last six games of the season with a broken leg. While he was sidelined, C.J. Spiller stepped up and put some good moves on the field, complicating the Buffalo running back situation heading into the new year. Chances are the Bills will lean on Jackson as they have been, but Spiller could take a bigger share of the run-game workload than in the past, and that could put a cap on what Jackson is capable of doing. He's also 31 years old but doesn't have the wear-and-tear that typically comes with rushers over 30. If the Bills extend Jackson then it will be clear that he's a part of their future and a potential 15-touch-per-game back. If not, he'll be in a contract year and could play well in hopes of cashing in after next season. Either way he represents a solid value as a No. 2 Fantasy RB worth a pick between late Round 3 and early Round 5.

Lavelle Hawkins
Hawkins gets three-year deal
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Tennessean reports Friday that the Titans have agreed to terms on a contract extension for WR Lavelle Hawkins, who had his best season in 2011. He had 47 catches for 470 yards and one touchdown.
Analysis: Hawkins has minimal Fantasy value heading into 2012, especially if Kenny Britt (knee) returns at 100 percent. Keep an eye on what happens with the Titans receiving corps, but ignore Hawkins on Draft Day in most leagues.

Kenny Britt
Britt 'working hard'
Kenny Britt, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Titans GM Ruston Webster said WR Kenny Britt, who suffered a torn ACL in September and had surgery in early October, should return in time for training camp in 2012. He said Britt appears to be a fast healer and is ahead of schedule in his recovery. "Kenny has been working hard and he's coming fast, probably even a little faster than I thought he would. So I'm real happy about that," he said. "We expect to have him out there for training camp. The good thing about his injury, is there is a good thing, is it happened early, and he's a very strong young and bounces back very quickly. We're hoping and planning to have him back for training camp."
Analysis: Britt is expected to make a full recovery in time for the start of the 2012 season, and hopefully he can come into training camp in shape. We consider Britt a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy WR when healthy, and he is worth drafting with a mid-round pick if his knee proves to be 100 percent.

Kevin Smith
Smith wants return to Lions
Kevin Smith, RB, DET
2/10/2012
News: According to mlive.com, impending free agent RB Kevin Smith would like to return to the Lions in 2012. Smith, 25, re-signed with Detroit last November and had four starts in seven games. He finished the regular season with 72 carries for 356 yards and four touchdowns, plus had 22 receptions for 179 yards and three scores. "In every interview that I've done, even though I'm a free agent, I've referred to the team and me as us," Smith said. "I'm on the Lions roster in my opinion until I'm not on the Lions roster. That says it all."
Analysis: Smith is a former third-round selection by Detroit in 2008. He showed promise as a rookie, gaining 976 yards and scoring eight touchdowns on 238 carries. He started 13 games in 2009 before suffering a season-ending injury to his left knee. He rushed for 747 yards and four touchdowns prior to his injury. Smith was phased out of the offense with the arrival of Jahvid Best in 2010. Detroit decided not to make him an offer when he became a restricted free agent after that season. After Best sustained a season-ending concussion last season, Detroit re-signed Smith. We'll find out if he can return to the Lions, who also have second-year RB Mikel Leshoure, who also is recovering from a season-ending Achilles tendon injury sustained in the preseason. Keep an eye on what happens with Smith, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick if he's back in Detroit.

 
 
 
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