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2010 Fantasy outlooks: Tennessee Titans

Dave Richard
Senior Fantasy Writer
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Fantasy owners will remember two numbers from the Titans' 2009 season: 0-6, and 2,006.

The 0-6 record was how the Titans started out their year (they finished 8-8), and the 2,006 yards Chris Johnson rushed for were the fifth-most in a single season in NFL history.

A third number Fantasy owners should specifically recall is 2,509: The total yards from scrimmage Johnson had. Or perhaps 11 is a more notable total -- the consecutive games Johnson has rushed for 100-plus yards, a streak that's still alive and tied for second-longest in NFL annals. Maybe we should remember the number 50, the number of catches Johnson had last season, or 16 -- for the touchdowns he scored.

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Johnson has the chance to build on those stats this year, and the good news for Fantasy owners is his contract situation has been worked out, meaning he will report to training camp on time. Johnson wanted a raise and complained about his contract all offseason, including threatening to hold out, but the Titans have given him a new deal for 2010.

So long as he's in uniform, Fantasy owners should either be very happy to own him or be very scared to go up against Johnson, who should see a lot of work again as the primary weapon in the Titans' offense in 2010. We consider Johnson the No. 1 overall pick in all Fantasy leagues.

Sleeper ... Nate Washington, WR

This guy isn't on anyone's radar. Ask anyone about the Titans in 2009 and they'll tell you about Chris Johnson and Vince Young and even rookie Kenny Britt. But Washington was the one who led the team in receiving touchdowns and led all receivers and tight ends in receptions. This was in a year where he transitioned from a situational player with the Steelers to a starter in Tennessee. We think the offseason helped him better grasp the Titans' offense and see him being more of a contributor in 2010. He's absolutely worth a late-round pick thanks to his 800-yard, six-touchdown potential that no one else is noticing.

Fantasy value chart
Player Draft Day value
Quarterbacks
Vince Young
Running Backs
Chris Johnson
Javon Ringer
Wide Receivers
Kenny Britt
Nate Washington
Justin Gage
Tight Ends
Bo Scaife
Jared Cook
Kicker/DST
Rob Bironas
Titans DST

Breakout ... Kenny Britt, WR

Forget about what you've seen and read this offseason and stick with what you know about Britt. Remember that he was a quick study last season and pitched in when they needed him to after Justin Gage got hurt. Know that he led the team in receiving yards. Be mindful of his big body type and athleticism. Now keep those things in mind even though people will tell you he had a knee procedure this offseason (it was for a bursa sac injury -- not major) and that he was in head coach Jeff Fisher's doghouse (he's out of it). The Titans will see defenses prepare for Chris Johnson, giving Britt chances to play big in single coverage throughout the year. We learned specifically that quarterback Vince Young is a big fan of Britt's, and we think the two will hook up for more than the three touchdowns they combined on last season. If he slips in your draft past Round 7 or 8, don't hesitate to get him.

Bust ... Bo Scaife, TE

Not an exciting bust to say the least, but just in case you're thinking that Scaife is a good backup tight end for Fantasy, we're here to tell you he's not. Sure, he might be a security blanket for Vince Young, but so will second-year tight end Jared Cook, who is far more explosive than Scaife and does have a sliver of Fantasy upside in him. We think Cook should pick up Alge Crumpler's spot from last season as the No. 2 tight end, but also play a lot in a two-tight end formations to give the Titans a lot of plays that look like runs from the start. Scaife could see 40 or 50 grabs, but a weak receiving average and a terrible track record when it comes to touchdowns makes him a guy very easy to pass on.

Schedule breakdown

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
OAK PIT @NYG DEN @DAL @JAC PHI @SD bye @MIA WAS @HOU JAC IND HOU @KC @IND

Chris Johnson and the Titans should be able to pick up where they left off last season as they don't have too many tough challenges. A home outing against the Steelers in Week 2 and a visit to Dallas in Week 5 might rattle the nerves, but besides those games there isn't anything that should scare owners out of coveting Johnson. The Titans' schedule starting in Week 6 is really nice and could result in some decent games for Vince Young and his receivers. One more note: The Titans won't play the Colts until Week 14, which means that they could be in the thick of things come December.

Training camp topics

2009 Touches Leaders
Player Touches
Chris Johnson 408
LenDale White 67
Nate Washington 49
Bo Scaife 45
Kenny Britt 42

After rallying the Titans to an 8-8 record last season, many people believed that Vince Young was prepared for the life of a starting NFL quarterback. But a well-documented off-field incident with him involved left people to question his judgment and maturity. Fantasy fanatics shouldn't necessarily judge him by the trouble he got into but instead by the reasonable expectations that should be placed upon him. There's no doubt that the Titans will continue to rely on Chris Johnson on the ground, taking the ball out of Young's hands. But that said, they'll have to find ways to make Young's arm a threat and using Johnson as a receiver along with a simple scheme that takes advantage of the special talents they have at receiver should give Young a shot to get some decent stats.

There will also be eyes on the running back depth chart behind Johnson. Entering camp, Javon Ringer is the primary backup, and the coaching staff is pleased with his work after he took first-team reps while Johnson sat out. But the Titans made an interesting signing when they grabbed rookie running back LeGarrette Blount after the 2010 draft ended. Blount was a highly touted back in college until he punched an opponent after a game and missed the rest of his senior season. He has reportedly impressed coaches this season and has drawn favorable comparisons to LenDale White, who is no longer with the team. How the running backs behind Johnson stack up should be of importance to all Fantasy owners who take Johnson in drafts.

Like the offense, Tennessee's defense enjoyed a renaissance over the second half of last season and has potential for a good 2010. The Titans addressed their pass rush with a first-round pick on Derrick Morgan and improved their linebacking corps with free agent Will Witherspoon. Though some aren't quite sold on their defensive line or cornerback talent, this unit should be serviceable, if not solid. Not playing the Colts until Week 14 should help build their confidence.

Injury update

Kenny Britt (knee; probable for the start of training camp) ... Nate Washington (wrist; probable for the start of training camp) ... Derrick Morgan (calf; probable for the start of training camp) ... David Thornton (shoulder; questionable for the start of training camp) ... Rod Hood (knee; out for the season).

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can also follow Dave at @daverichard . Do you have a question or a comment for our Fantasy staff? Drop us a line at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com .

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Player News
Rob Gronkowski
Gronkowski slated for fourth surgery
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
2:00 PM
News: New England tight end Rob Gronkowski will undergo a fourth surgery on his left forearm Monday at Massachusetts General Hospital, the Boston Herald reports Sunday. Dr. Jesse Jupiter is expected to perform the surgery. A new plate is expected to replace the one already in his arm and he will begin a new 10-11 week recovery period.
Analysis: The doctors will take a culture from Gronk's arm and if it shows the infection has lingered, it could be "back to square one," for the tight end. He could miss regular season games if that happens so Fantasy owners will want to watch out. It goes without saying that his Fantasy draft stock will be affected negatively if he has all the procedures and isn't ready for training camp or preseason games. Count on us to keep you posted on the latest news on Gronkowski between now and when the season starts.

Dwight Freeney
Freeney signs with Chargers
Dwight Freeney, DE, IND
10:44 AM
News: The Chargers have signed linebacker Dwight Freeney to a two-year contract, NFL.com reports.
Analysis: The 33-year-old Freeney had 12 tackles and five sacks last year for the Colts. The Chargers needed a pass rusher and this was a good fit. Still, we're not sure he'll carry much Fantasy value in IDP formats.

EJ Manuel
Manuel could start Week 1
EJ Manuel, QB, BUF
5/17/2013
News: The Bills official team website reports that new general manager Doug Whaley was asked in an appearance on the NFL Network about the chances of rookie quarterback E.J. Manuel being ready to start Week 1 of the regular season. Whaley didn’t rule out the possibility. “Time will tell,” said Whaley. ”He does have the work ethic and the leadership qualities that he’ll have a chance. But we believe competition brings out the best in everybody. Between him, Kevin Kolb, Tarvaris Jackson, even Jeff Tuel, we’re excited to see who comes out on top of that position battle.” Buffalo’s season opener is a home game against New England.
Analysis: We'd like to see Manuel start from Week 1 because he presents the most upside of the quarterback group in Buffalo. Keep an eye on Manuel's progress this offseason, and he has the chance to be a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback in standard leagues. In rookie-only drafts, Manuel should be considered a Top 15 overall selection.

Mike Goodson
Goodson arrested Friday
Mike Goodson, RB, NYJ
5/17/2013
News: Jets running back Mike Goodson was arrested on drug and weapon charges early on Friday morning, reports News 12 in New Jersey. According to the report, Goodson and another man were found intoxicated in a parked SUV along Route 80 in Denville, New Jersey, which is about 15 miles northwest of the Jets' headquarters in Florham Park. A loaded .45-caliber handgun with hollow-point bullets was found in the SUV and when the 25-year-old running back was transported to a hospital for evaluation, marijuana was discovered in his possession. The Jets signed Goodson to a three-year, $6 million contract on March 15 to compete for a starting job this season. Goodson's deal with the Jets included a $1.93 million guaranteed. CBSSports.com blogger Will Brinson researched that illegal possession of hollow point bullets is a "crime of the fourth degree" in New Jersey, which appears to be among the states with the strictest laws regarding the ammunition.
Analysis: Goodson could be headed to prison, not to mention an NFL suspension, if found guilty of this crime. Before this incident we expected him to be No. 2 on the depth chart behind Chris Ivory. Now there's no telling just how far he'll fall. For the time being there's no reason to spend anything more than a late-round flier on Goodson since his playing time was going to be fairly limited to begin with.

Bruce Irvin
Irvin suspended four games
Bruce Irvin, LB, SEA
5/17/2013
News: Seattle defensive end Bruce Irvin has been suspended without pay for the first four games of the 2013 regular season for violating the NFL policy on performance enhancing substances, the team reported Friday. Irvin will be eligible to return to the Seahawks' active roster on Monday, Sept. 30 following the team's Sept. 29 game against the Texans. Irvin is eligible to participate in all offseason and preseason practices and games. "I want to apologize to my teammates, coaches and Seahawks fans for making a mistake when I took a substance that is prohibited in the NFL without a medical exemption," Irvin said in a statement. "I am extremely disappointed in the poor judgment I showed and take full responsibility for my actions. I will not appeal the discipline and instead will focus my energy on preparing for the season so I can begin earning your trust and respect again. I look forward to contributing to the team the moment I return."
Analysis: Irvin had a solid year in 2012 with eight sacks. He didn't provide much else with only 16 total tackles and one fumble recovery, but he now will miss the first four games of the season. He is only worth drafting with a late-round flier in IDP leagues.

Josh Cribbs
Cribbs still not healthy
Josh Cribbs, WR, OAK
5/17/2013
News: The Raiders official team website reports that newly signed receiver Josh Cribbs hopes to have a role on offense as much as just being a return man. "Definitely. I feel like it’s a definite possibility for competition at that position," Cribbs said. "At this point, my job is to come in and be a special teams' guru to help solidify our special teams unit in the NFL and to raise our goals and our standards. If we do that, we will become an elite unit." Cribbs also addressed the health of his knee. "I’m doing well," Cribbs said. "If we were lining up to play football in June then it would be a hot topic. I will be ready to play football when it’s time to play football, and I think that is the important thing."
Analysis: It sounds like Cribbs is still dealing with his knee issue, but he should be ready for the start of training camp. He also could see time at receiver, but he'll have to prove himself first. He's not worth drafting in standard leagues, but he could be worth a late-round flier in leagues where you get points for return yardage.

Matt Ryan
Ryan speaks on O-line
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL
5/17/2013
News: Matt Ryan's receiving threats are well documented and the Falcons' run game got a strong upgrade in Steven Jackson. But the offensive line is undergoing some changes as center Todd McClure retired and Tyson Clabo was released. Ryan says not to worry about it. "We've got a guy in Peter Konz that played guard for us last year, but during practice, I got a lot of snaps with Peter. Joe Hawley has played a little bit for us when Todd’s been out for a series or two throughout games the last couple of years. I’ll be fine. We’ll be fine with those guys in terms of the snap," Ryan told 790 The Zone in Atlanta. "It’s a little different and that takes some getting used to so it becomes something you don’t even think about. ... We've got Mike Johnson who has played a number of different roles for us. Then a young guy like Lamar Holmes, he’s a guy we drafted high last year that we feel really good about. He’s extremely talented and I think he’s beginning to learn the offense more and more and this offseason has been productive for him. I’m excited about those guys. I think they’re fully capable of coming in and playing good football for us. They just need to do it."
Analysis: The Falcons' offensive line is actually a significant factor for Ryan. Last season when he was not under pressure and not blitzed he completed over 70 percent of his passes. When he was blitzed or under pressure that completion percentage fell to under 62 percent according to Pro Football Focus. That's probably typical for most quarterbacks but we've seen passers' numbers completely decline when they're under duress (think of Arizona last year, Chicago and St. Louis in years past). Granted, Ryan's a very talented passer and the O-line shouldn't be what does him in, it's just something to watch in camp this summer. He remains a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback who will fall to Round 4 in drafts this summer.

Falcons
Ryan speaks on O-line
Falcons, TQB ATL,
5/17/2013
News: Matt Ryan's receiving threats are well documented and the Falcons' run game got a strong upgrade in Steven Jackson. But the offensive line is undergoing some changes as center Todd McClure retired and Tyson Clabo was released. Ryan says not to worry about it. "We've got a guy in Peter Konz that played guard for us last year, but during practice, I got a lot of snaps with Peter. Joe Hawley has played a little bit for us when Todd’s been out for a series or two throughout games the last couple of years. I’ll be fine. We’ll be fine with those guys in terms of the snap," Ryan told 790 The Zone in Atlanta. "It’s a little different and that takes some getting used to so it becomes something you don’t even think about. ... We've got Mike Johnson who has played a number of different roles for us. Then a young guy like Lamar Holmes, he’s a guy we drafted high last year that we feel really good about. He’s extremely talented and I think he’s beginning to learn the offense more and more and this offseason has been productive for him. I’m excited about those guys. I think they’re fully capable of coming in and playing good football for us. They just need to do it."
Analysis: The Falcons' offensive line is actually a significant factor for Ryan. Last season when he was not under pressure and not blitzed he completed over 70 percent of his passes. When he was blitzed or under pressure that completion percentage fell to under 62 percent according to Pro Football Focus. That's probably typical for most quarterbacks but we've seen passers' numbers completely decline when they're under duress (think of Arizona last year, Chicago and St. Louis in years past). Granted, Ryan's a very talented passer and the O-line shouldn't be what does him in, it's just something to watch in camp this summer. He remains a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback who will fall to Round 4 in drafts this summer.

Kendall Wright
Wright in better shape
Kendall Wright, WR, TEN
5/17/2013
News: The Titans official website reports that receiver Kendall Wright has never felt better physically. “I’m in the best shape I’ve ever been,” Wright said. The second-year receiver is tipping the scales around 187 pounds, approximately 14 pounds lighter than when he arrived last year. Wright attributed part of the transformation to workouts at Baylor after his rookie campaign ended. A bigger difference maker, however, may have been his routes through grocery stores that passed by junk food. “For the most part, it wasn’t about the running,” Wright said. “I just started taking care of my body and eating right. I wasn’t eating right at all. I was eating a lot of junk food because that’s what I like and that’s what I’d buy, but I cut down on that and just started eating right. When you don’t buy it, you’re not going to eat it, so I just stopped buying it.”
Analysis: Wright finished his rookie season with 64 catches for 626 yards and four touchdowns in 15 games. He enters this season with the chance to start for the Titans, and we like him as a key reserve receiver with upside. Plan on drafting Wright with a mid-round pick.

Thomas Keiser
Keiser rumbles to Bolts
Thomas Keiser, LB, SD
5/17/2013
News: Days after his release from the Panthers, the Chargers have signed linebacker Thomas Keiser.
Analysis: Keiser played in four games last year before landing on IR with an elbow injury. He'll try and help replace Melvin Ingram in the team's pass rush. He's unlikely to be a relevant Fantasy option.

 
 
 
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