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2010 Fantasy outlooks: Arizona Cardinals

Jamey Eisenberg
Senior Fantasy Writer
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The last time Matt Leinart was the full-time starter in Arizona was 2006. He started 11 games and went 4-7.

The Cardinals are hoping Leinart has improved since then. This season, Leinart returns as the starter with Kurt Warner having retired at the end of last year. The Cardinals also didn't do Leinart any favors by trading standout wide receiver Anquan Boldin to Baltimore.

It's a good thing Leinart still has Larry Fitzgerald, one of the best receivers in the league, and some solid complementary options in Steve Breaston and Early Doucet. But it's up to Leinart to keep the Cardinals in playoff contention and keep the offense running at a high level.

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We expect to see a more balanced attack this year, which means Beanie Wells and even Tim Hightower getting more carries behind an improved offensive line that features All-Pro guard Alan Faneca, but the Cardinals aren't going to stop throwing. And we expect Leinart to show signs of improvement. He should be considered a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback on Draft Day, and he has the potential to be a sleeper. Fitzgerald also remains a No. 1 Fantasy wide receiver, and Breaston is a No. 3 option with upside since he's now starting in place of Boldin.

You shouldn't expect Leinart to play like Warner, but this offense should remain potent. And if Leinart struggles there's always Derek Anderson waiting in the wings, although we're counting on Leinart to finally play well.

Breakout ... Beanie Wells, RB

Wells finished his rookie season on a high note and should enter his sophomore campaign ready for a big year. The Cardinals could be shifting to a more balanced attack now that Warner has retired and Boldin is in Baltimore. The addition of Faneca should also help Wells succeed.

Last year, Wells closed the season with six touchdowns in his final eight games, and he finished the season with 176 carries for 793 yards and seven touchdowns. He's still going to share carries with Tim Hightower, but Hightower is better suited as a receiver out of the backfield with Wells handling the majority of carries. Fantasy owners should consider Wells as a high-end No. 2 running back worth a pick beginning in Round 3. In deeper formats, he could be selected at the end of Round 2 since he's potentially Arizona's best weapon -- even ahead of Larry Fitzgerald.

Fantasy value chart
Player Draft Day value
Quarterbacks
Matt Leinart
Derek Anderson
Running Backs
Beanie Wells
Tim Hightower
Wide Receivers
Larry Fitzgerald
Steve Breaston
Early Doucet
Tight Ends
Anthony Becht
Ben Patrick
Kicker/DST
Jay Feely
Cardinals DST

Bounce-back candidate ... Steve Breaston, WR

Breaston is expected to take a huge leap in production this year now that Boldin has left the Cardinals via trade to the Ravens. He should be better than his breakout season in 2008 and rebound from last year's injury-plagued performance. In 2008, Breaston came out of nowhere to catch 77 passes for 1,006 yards and three touchdowns. He played well as the No. 3 wide receiver behind Fitzgerald and Boldin and stepped up when Boldin was injured. Last year, Breaston struggled with a knee injury and finished with only 55 catches for 712 yards and three touchdowns, but now he will be asked to replace Boldin again.

Leinart will take over for Warner, which could put a dent in the Cardinals' explosive passing game, but the increase Breaston will see in playing time and targets makes him a solid No. 3 Fantasy wide receiver with the chance to become a starter during the year. He is easily worth a mid-round pick in all leagues on Draft Day.

Late-round flier ... Early Doucet, WR

Doucet is hoping a strong playoff run and the trade of Boldin to Baltimore will help his performance this season, which just happens to be his third year in the NFL. He also has the motivation of entering a potential contract year.

Doucet led the Cardinals in receiving in two playoff games with 14 catches for 145 yards and two touchdowns. And now he will see a significant increase in playing time with Boldin gone. Doucet is expected to be the No. 3 receiver in Arizona behind Larry Fitzgerald and Steve Breaston. Remember, Breaston was in that role the past two years and had 132 catches for 1,718 yards and six touchdowns. Doucet is definitely worth a late-round pick in all leagues.

Schedule breakdown

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
@STL @ATL OAK @SD NO bye @SEA TB @MIN SEA @KC SF STL DEN @CAR DAL @SF

Leinart will ease into the starting job with games against the Rams and Raiders in two of his first three starts. He also has a nice schedule after the bye in Week 7 with two games against the Seahawks and matchups with Tampa Bay, Kansas City and St. Louis. Even with the transition in Arizona, the Cardinals offense should still do well since they get the luxury of six games in their own division and four games against the defensive-challenged AFC West.

Training camp topics

2009 Touches Leaders
Player Touches
Tim Hightower 206
Beanie Wells 188
Larry Fitzgerald 97
Anquan Boldin 87
Steve Breaston 57

The expectation is Leinart will replace Warner, but there's still a chance Derek Anderson can win the job. We don't expect that to happen, but it's a potential position battle to monitor.

We also want to see Wells entrench himself as the starting running back ahead of Hightower, and Breaston and Doucet have to prove they're ready for increased roles with Boldin now gone. It's a good thing they have Fitzgerald to show them the way.

On defense, the Cardinals have to replace Karlos Dansby, who signed with Miami, and Antrel Rolle, who signed with the Giants. Those are two significant holes, and the Cardinals defense will struggle without two of their top playmakers from last year.

But Fantasy owners will have their eyes on the offense and how Leinart does in his second chance as the starter. His play is the key to the Cardinals success.

Injury update

Ed Gant (suspension; out until at least Week 5) ... Jim Dray (leg; probable for the start of training camp) ... Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (knee; questionable for the start of training camp)

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can also follow Jamey at @jameyeisenberg . Do you have a question or a comment for our Fantasy staff? Drop us a line at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com .

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Player News
Rob Gronkowski
First Gronk's arm, now his back?!
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
5/17/2013
News: On the same day NFL Network reported Rob Gronkowski had a Monday, May 20 date set for his fourth surgery related to his left forearm, USA Today reports the tight end's back is "acting up" and might require surgery after undergoing an MRI for a disc issue. The report said this disc is different than the one that needed to be shaved down in a 2009 surgical procedure, forcing Gronk to miss that year of football while enrolled at Arizona. ESPN reports the back issue is considered minor and his long-term prognosis is good. Gronkowski will see noted spine specialist Dr. Robert Watkins after his forearm surgery, which will replace a metal plate in his forearm. If Gronkowski needs back surgery the hope is that he can heal from that and his arm at the same time and be ready before the start of the season. Also, it bears repeating that a fifth arm surgery is still possible if there's an infection in his arm though ProFootballTalk.com reports doctors are confident that won't be the case.
Analysis: Before you hyperventilate and scratch Gronk off your rank lists, remember that it's only mid-May and there is still time to see how he heals up from whichever surgeries he ends up having. It goes without saying that his Fantasy draft stock will be affected negatively if he has all the procedures and isn't ready for training camp or preseason games. Count on us to keep you posted on the latest news on Gronkowski between now and when the season starts.

EJ Manuel
Manuel could start Week 1
EJ Manuel, QB, BUF
5/17/2013
News: The Bills official team website reports that new general manager Doug Whaley was asked in an appearance on the NFL Network about the chances of rookie quarterback E.J. Manuel being ready to start Week 1 of the regular season. Whaley didn’t rule out the possibility. “Time will tell,” said Whaley. ”He does have the work ethic and the leadership qualities that he’ll have a chance. But we believe competition brings out the best in everybody. Between him, Kevin Kolb, Tarvaris Jackson, even Jeff Tuel, we’re excited to see who comes out on top of that position battle.” Buffalo’s season opener is a home game against New England.
Analysis: We'd like to see Manuel start from Week 1 because he presents the most upside of the quarterback group in Buffalo. Keep an eye on Manuel's progress this offseason, and he has the chance to be a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback in standard leagues. In rookie-only drafts, Manuel should be considered a Top 15 overall selection.

Mike Goodson
Goodson arrested Friday
Mike Goodson, RB, NYJ
5/17/2013
News: Jets running back Mike Goodson was arrested on drug and weapon charges early on Friday morning, reports News 12 in New Jersey. According to the report, Goodson and another man were found intoxicated in a parked SUV along Route 80 in Denville, New Jersey, which is about 15 miles northwest of the Jets' headquarters in Florham Park. A loaded .45-caliber handgun with hollow-point bullets was found in the SUV and when the 25-year-old running back was transported to a hospital for evaluation, marijuana was discovered in his possession. The Jets signed Goodson to a three-year, $6 million contract on March 15 to compete for a starting job this season. Goodson's deal with the Jets included a $1.93 million guaranteed. CBSSports.com blogger Will Brinson researched that illegal possession of hollow point bullets is a "crime of the fourth degree" in New Jersey, which appears to be among the states with the strictest laws regarding the ammunition.
Analysis: Goodson could be headed to prison, not to mention an NFL suspension, if found guilty of this crime. Before this incident we expected him to be No. 2 on the depth chart behind Chris Ivory. Now there's no telling just how far he'll fall. For the time being there's no reason to spend anything more than a late-round flier on Goodson since his playing time was going to be fairly limited to begin with.

Bruce Irvin
Irvin suspended four games
Bruce Irvin, LB, SEA
5/17/2013
News: Seattle defensive end Bruce Irvin has been suspended without pay for the first four games of the 2013 regular season for violating the NFL policy on performance enhancing substances, the team reported Friday. Irvin will be eligible to return to the Seahawks' active roster on Monday, Sept. 30 following the team's Sept. 29 game against the Texans. Irvin is eligible to participate in all offseason and preseason practices and games. "I want to apologize to my teammates, coaches and Seahawks fans for making a mistake when I took a substance that is prohibited in the NFL without a medical exemption," Irvin said in a statement. "I am extremely disappointed in the poor judgment I showed and take full responsibility for my actions. I will not appeal the discipline and instead will focus my energy on preparing for the season so I can begin earning your trust and respect again. I look forward to contributing to the team the moment I return."
Analysis: Irvin had a solid year in 2012 with eight sacks. He didn't provide much else with only 16 total tackles and one fumble recovery, but he now will miss the first four games of the season. He is only worth drafting with a late-round flier in IDP leagues.

Josh Cribbs
Cribbs still not healthy
Josh Cribbs, WR, CLE
5/17/2013
News: The Raiders official team website reports that newly signed receiver Josh Cribbs hopes to have a role on offense as much as just being a return man. "Definitely. I feel like it’s a definite possibility for competition at that position," Cribbs said. "At this point, my job is to come in and be a special teams' guru to help solidify our special teams unit in the NFL and to raise our goals and our standards. If we do that, we will become an elite unit." Cribbs also addressed the health of his knee. "I’m doing well," Cribbs said. "If we were lining up to play football in June then it would be a hot topic. I will be ready to play football when it’s time to play football, and I think that is the important thing."
Analysis: It sounds like Cribbs is still dealing with his knee issue, but he should be ready for the start of training camp. He also could see time at receiver, but he'll have to prove himself first. He's not worth drafting in standard leagues, but he could be worth a late-round flier in leagues where you get points for return yardage.

Matt Ryan
Ryan speaks on O-line
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL
5/17/2013
News: Matt Ryan's receiving threats are well documented and the Falcons' run game got a strong upgrade in Steven Jackson. But the offensive line is undergoing some changes as center Todd McClure retired and Tyson Clabo was released. Ryan says not to worry about it. "We've got a guy in Peter Konz that played guard for us last year, but during practice, I got a lot of snaps with Peter. Joe Hawley has played a little bit for us when Todd’s been out for a series or two throughout games the last couple of years. I’ll be fine. We’ll be fine with those guys in terms of the snap," Ryan told 790 The Zone in Atlanta. "It’s a little different and that takes some getting used to so it becomes something you don’t even think about. ... We've got Mike Johnson who has played a number of different roles for us. Then a young guy like Lamar Holmes, he’s a guy we drafted high last year that we feel really good about. He’s extremely talented and I think he’s beginning to learn the offense more and more and this offseason has been productive for him. I’m excited about those guys. I think they’re fully capable of coming in and playing good football for us. They just need to do it."
Analysis: The Falcons' offensive line is actually a significant factor for Ryan. Last season when he was not under pressure and not blitzed he completed over 70 percent of his passes. When he was blitzed or under pressure that completion percentage fell to under 62 percent according to Pro Football Focus. That's probably typical for most quarterbacks but we've seen passers' numbers completely decline when they're under duress (think of Arizona last year, Chicago and St. Louis in years past). Granted, Ryan's a very talented passer and the O-line shouldn't be what does him in, it's just something to watch in camp this summer. He remains a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback who will fall to Round 4 in drafts this summer.

Falcons
Ryan speaks on O-line
Falcons, TQB ATL,
5/17/2013
News: Matt Ryan's receiving threats are well documented and the Falcons' run game got a strong upgrade in Steven Jackson. But the offensive line is undergoing some changes as center Todd McClure retired and Tyson Clabo was released. Ryan says not to worry about it. "We've got a guy in Peter Konz that played guard for us last year, but during practice, I got a lot of snaps with Peter. Joe Hawley has played a little bit for us when Todd’s been out for a series or two throughout games the last couple of years. I’ll be fine. We’ll be fine with those guys in terms of the snap," Ryan told 790 The Zone in Atlanta. "It’s a little different and that takes some getting used to so it becomes something you don’t even think about. ... We've got Mike Johnson who has played a number of different roles for us. Then a young guy like Lamar Holmes, he’s a guy we drafted high last year that we feel really good about. He’s extremely talented and I think he’s beginning to learn the offense more and more and this offseason has been productive for him. I’m excited about those guys. I think they’re fully capable of coming in and playing good football for us. They just need to do it."
Analysis: The Falcons' offensive line is actually a significant factor for Ryan. Last season when he was not under pressure and not blitzed he completed over 70 percent of his passes. When he was blitzed or under pressure that completion percentage fell to under 62 percent according to Pro Football Focus. That's probably typical for most quarterbacks but we've seen passers' numbers completely decline when they're under duress (think of Arizona last year, Chicago and St. Louis in years past). Granted, Ryan's a very talented passer and the O-line shouldn't be what does him in, it's just something to watch in camp this summer. He remains a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback who will fall to Round 4 in drafts this summer.

Kendall Wright
Wright in better shape
Kendall Wright, WR, TEN
5/17/2013
News: The Titans official website reports that receiver Kendall Wright has never felt better physically. “I’m in the best shape I’ve ever been,” Wright said. The second-year receiver is tipping the scales around 187 pounds, approximately 14 pounds lighter than when he arrived last year. Wright attributed part of the transformation to workouts at Baylor after his rookie campaign ended. A bigger difference maker, however, may have been his routes through grocery stores that passed by junk food. “For the most part, it wasn’t about the running,” Wright said. “I just started taking care of my body and eating right. I wasn’t eating right at all. I was eating a lot of junk food because that’s what I like and that’s what I’d buy, but I cut down on that and just started eating right. When you don’t buy it, you’re not going to eat it, so I just stopped buying it.”
Analysis: Wright finished his rookie season with 64 catches for 626 yards and four touchdowns in 15 games. He enters this season with the chance to start for the Titans, and we like him as a key reserve receiver with upside. Plan on drafting Wright with a mid-round pick.

Thomas Keiser
Keiser rumbles to Bolts
Thomas Keiser, LB, CAR
5/17/2013
News: Days after his release from the Panthers, the Chargers have signed linebacker Thomas Keiser.
Analysis: Keiser played in four games last year before landing on IR with an elbow injury. He'll try and help replace Melvin Ingram in the team's pass rush. He's unlikely to be a relevant Fantasy option.

Brian Hoyer
Browns ink QB Hoyer
Brian Hoyer, QB, ARI
5/17/2013
News: The Browns have signed quarterback Brian Hoyer, according to multiple reports.
Analysis: Hoyer is a dark horse candidate to start for the Browns and probably has a better chance to be their backup. He'll start camp behind Brandon Weeden and Jason Campbell on the depth chart. Only Hoyer's relatives will draft him in Fantasy.

 
 
 
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