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Dave Richard

Week 16 Fantasy Football Matchups

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To prepare you as best we can for your week of Fantasy Football, we've devised this series of previews for each NFL game. We'll give you a taste of what to expect, then rank each significant Fantasy contributor on a scale from 0-5 logos (with five logos suggesting can't-miss; a player or unit without any logos suggests you probably shouldn't start him under any circumstances). The rankings take the matchup into account, but injuries and other significant factors also contribute. You should be able to compare the ratings for the players on your team and make an educated pick on who should start -- and sit -- in your lineup .

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Panthers at Steelers - Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET | Fantasy Preview
It wouldn't be a surprise if the Panthers unloaded the playbook here and tried some unconventional plays against the Steelers. Sure, they've done a nice job with their run game lately but the Steelers should be able to handle Jonathan Stewart and their offensive line. If that's the case, wouldn't it at least be fun for John Fox to call for some razzle-dazzle to keep the Steelers on their toes? Granted, that's not really in Fox's character, but if anyone has nothing to lose, it's him. Tough to trust any Panthers playing on the road on a short week against a motivated defense. Expect the Steelers to keep things steady on the ground, especially after getting away from it last week in a disappointing loss. Rashard Mendenhall should post strong stats against the Panthers' woeful run defense, opening the door for Ben Roethlisberger to use play-action and find Mike Wallace deep. Wallace will lock up with second-year cornerback Captain Munnerlyn, who is receiving lots of praise for hanging tough with some big receivers lately but still gave up nine catches for 125 yards to Larry Fitzgerald last week. You have to like that matchup for Wallace. Otherwise, Carolina's pass defense hasn't been bad, partially because teams just choose to run all over the field against them, so that combined with the perceived lack of opportunities could limit the upside for Wallace, Roethlisberger and Hines Ward.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Jimmy Clausen   QB Ben Roethlisberger
Jonathan Stewart RB Rashard Mendenhall
Mike Goodson RB Isaac Redman
Steve Smith   WR Mike Wallace
David Gettis   WR Hines Ward
Brandon LaFell   WR Emmanuel Sanders
Jeff King   TE Heath Miller
John Kasay K Shaun Suisham
Panthers DST Steelers
Cowboys at Cardinals - Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET | Fantasy Preview
Only twice this season have the Cardinals not allowed an opponent to total 100 rush yards or score on the ground. During a recent three-game homestand the Cardinals yielded 473 rush yards and four touchdowns to running backs. As such, expect the Cowboys to come out running, maybe a little more than you'd typically expect from them. Normally it would be fine to just ride the running backs, but between a shin injury to Felix Jones and the Cardinals potentially having a shot to put up some points, the Cowboys are going to have to rely on their pass game to some extent. Jon Kitna has thrown two touchdowns in each of his last two games, and while the Cardinals' pass defense has yielded just two touchdowns in four weeks, that's more of a by-product of their poor run defense than anything else. Arizona has a shot to throw here -- teams have targeted the matchup of a speed receiver on Cowboys safety Alan Ball, and it wouldn't be a shock to see quarterback John Skelton try and manufacture such a matchup. Each of the Cowboys' last three opponents (and eight of the last nine) have thrown multiple touchdowns, and Skelton showed last week that while he has some growing to do he can still lock in on Larry Fitzgerald and produce some first downs that way. Skelton is going to have to get the job done because the Cardinals' run game just can't be trusted right now. Tim Hightower struggled in a cakewalk matchup last week, partially because he only had six carries (Beanie Wells had eight). Dallas' run defense has floundered lately but should still be able to contain the Arizona backs here.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Jon Kitna QB John Skelton
Tashard Choice RB Tim Hightower
Felix Jones RB Beanie Wells
Miles Austin WR Larry Fitzgerald
Sam Hurd   WR Steve Breaston
Jason Witten TE Stephen Spach
David Buehler K Jay Feely
Cowboys DST Cardinals
Ravens at Browns - Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Ravens deployed Ray Rice last week to carry them to victory, and the same plan should be in effect here. Cleveland's run defense continues to deteriorate while its pass defense improves, and the Ravens should follow along. Look for another big game from Rice, opening up the passing lanes for Joe Flacco. The dilemma here is whether or not Flacco can put up another three-touchdown game against these Browns. Last time they played Anquan Boldin erupted for all three scores and the Browns are going to be sure to try and take him away with cornerback Joe Haden and a two-deep safety formation. That opens things up underneath for a returning Todd Heap, not to mention Rice, so there could be a little disappointment with Boldin. Only one receiver, Andre Caldwell (on underneath routes), has tallied more than 80 receiving yards against the Browns over the last seven weeks. Hard to ignore that. It will be hard for the Ravens to ignore Peyton Hillis after he gutted them for 180 total yards (144 rushing) and a score in Week 3. If you've watched Hillis the last few weeks, you've seen defenses bail out against the pass and do whatever it takes to slow down Hillis. You can be sure the Ravens will do the same thing and take their chances against Colt McCoy, which means we could see another week of lowered numbers from the burly running back compared to what's expected. Last week we correctly identified Brian Robiskie as a player who would benefit from bad coverage, and he could be the guy again this week to pay off for the Browns through the air. Robiskie has been seeing more playing time and his targets have been up, and a matchup against either Chris Carr or Lardarius Webb gives him an edge (he's five inches taller than both). Even with an optimistic view of Robiskie, the Browns offense will have to reach into its bag of tricks to put up more points than the Ravens in this one.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Joe Flacco QB Colt McCoy
Ray Rice RB Peyton Hillis
Willis McGahee RB Mike Bell
Anquan Boldin WR Brian Robiskie
Derrick Mason WR Mohamed Massaquoi
Todd Heap TE Benjamin Watson
Billy Cundiff K Phil Dawson
Ravens DST Browns
49ers at Rams - Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET | Fantasy Preview
Troy Smith returns under center for the 49ers, which is a positive for them given Smith's 3-2 record as a starter and his familiarity with the Rams defense from a big Week 10 win. The Niners can use Smith as a game manager more than anything else and rely on their run game. Not that Brian Westbrook has been amazing, but it's more apparent that the Rams' run defense is flawed and costing them big. The 49ers would be wise to lean on Westbrook (Anthony Dixon should play but is dealing with an ankle injury) and otherwise challenge the Rams' secondary with mid-range throws. The ascension of Josh Morgan is coming at the perfect time for the Niners as St. Louis' defense doesn't have the personnel to handle all three of the Niners' receiving threats. Of course, that would mean Smith would have to make good reads in order to take advantage, something that isn't a given. We've seen defenses try and take away Steven Jackson in recent weeks, thus forcing Sam Bradford to throw. It's been working, as the Rams have lost two straight and only kept it from three straight losses by getting past a bad Cardinals team. Since a 36-point win at Denver, the Rams have scored no more than 19 points in each of their last three. In those three games Bradford has not thrown a single touchdown and has totaled five interceptions. He's seeing more pressure put on him and he's losing safe target Danny Amendola as teams are covering him up and not letting him catch what's being thrown his way. Jackson is sure to get the ball a lot as the Rams lean on him to take some pressure off of Bradford, but if St. Louis is going to take this game Bradford will have to win it for them. He's got the matchup to do it -- the 49ers have given up eight passing touchdowns over their last three games and were completely exposed by Vincent Jackson last week. Brandon Gibson is no V-Jax, but he might have to step up and help Bradford.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Troy Smith QB Sam Bradford
Brian Westbrook RB Steven Jackson
Michael Crabtree WR Danny Amendola
Josh Morgan WR Brandon Gibson
Vernon Davis TE Daniel Fells
Jeff Reed K Josh Brown
49ers DST Rams
Patriots at Bills - Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Assuming the winds cooperate, the Patriots will get away with whatever they want to here. You're starting all of your Patriots of course, but here are some notes: The Bills secondary is at full strength and have given up just three passing touchdowns over their last four games. Wes Welker hasn't scored on Buffalo since becoming a Patriot (seven matchups with one 100-yard game). The Bills haven't allowed a tight end to score on them since Week 9. The Bills run defense, however, has been exploited in some fashion in each of the last five weeks. It wouldn't be a shock to see BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Danny Woodhead both score on the Bills, and there's room to be encouraged by Rob Gronkowski given his play on the road. Ultimately, the Bills will have to throw in this one, and the Patriots must take the matchup seriously or else Ryan Fitzpatrick will carve them up much like Matt Flynn did last week. Perhaps Flynn's three touchdowns woke up the Patriots secondary and will force them to play more disciplined. Despite giving up a long touchdown last week, Devin McCourty is not the weak link in the New England pass defense. Kyle Arrington, who had an interception-return for a touchdown last week, is the easier target, and with David Nelson lined up on that side of the field, it wouldn't be a surprise to see him score in his fourth straight game. If the Bills are passing it could be an issue for Fred Jackson, who has one career touchdown (a catch, not a run) in six games against the Patriots but does own three 100-total-yard efforts. Earlier this season he barely played against them; this week he could end up with a dozen carries and a half-dozen receptions.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Tom Brady QB Ryan Fitzpatrick
BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB Fred Jackson
Danny Woodhead RB C.J. Spiller
Deion Branch WR David Nelson
Wes Welker WR Steve Johnson
Rob Gronkowski TE Jonathan Stupar
Aaron Hernandez TE David Martin
Shayne Graham K Rian Lindell
Patriots DST Bills
Redskins at Jaguars - Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Even though Rex Grossman popped for 322 yards and four touchdowns last week, the Redskins are expected to try and keep it on the ground more this week with Ryan Torain. Torain didn't get much of an opportunity on the ground last week against the Cowboys but should find the matchup against the Jaguars more to his liking. Grossman will also dig the matchup just like pretty much every quarterback has against Jacksonville this season, and the fact that he's able to connect with Santana Moss and Anthony Armstrong more than Donovan McNabb ever could makes him all the more intriguing. He's hard to trust, even with last week's big game, but the matchup definitely is favorable. The Redskins should put up a decent amount of points. The Redskins lost two defensive line starters to injury this week, and their replacements shouldn't make for a big improvement in their run defense. The Colts were able to stunt Maurice Jones-Drew's run game pretty early on last week and it forced the Jaguars to throw the ball (three second-half carries for MJD). Don't expect the Redskins to follow suit, even though they know it's coming, because Jones-Drew should be able to make positive gains regularly thanks to his offensive line winning the battle at the line of scrimmage. The matchup is also good for Marcedes Lewis, especially after Kellen Winslow and Jason Witten dominated the Redskins in consecutive weeks.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Rex Grossman QB David Garrard
Ryan Torain RB Maurice Jones-Drew
Keiland Williams   RB Rashad Jennings
Santana Moss WR Mike Sims-Walker
Anthony Armstrong WR Mike Thomas
Chris Cooley TE Marcedes Lewis
Graham Gano K Josh Scobee
Redskins DST Jaguars
Lions at Dolphins - Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
It's a good thing Shaun Hill has been resting for a couple of weeks because he's going to have to throw a lot here. The Dolphins' run defense has really come on strong and aside from giving up big games to Chris Johnson and Matt Forte, they've played great since Week 6. No one's expecting big things from Maurice Morris anyway, so the onus will be on the passing game. You have to like Calvin Johnson's matchup against Vontae Davis, who will get help, and everyone else on the Lions has a shot to rack up some yardage on underneath stuff, especially if the Dolphins stick to a nickel defense and take one of their inside backers off the field. I'd be stunned if Lions rushers totaled 20 carries, and I'd be stunned if Hill didn't have a chance to put up good stats. Brandon Marshall re-emerged last week and is a safe bet this week against Detroit's corners. Just check out how Mike Williams did last week against the Lions and expect similar numbers for Marshall. You'd think the Dolphins would cling to their run game to take further pressure off of Chad Henne, but they haven't done that outside of that win at Oakland and could find themselves in a similar pattern here. Remember, Miami's offensive line is banged up and Ronnie Brown typically isn't getting the reps you'd expect for whatever reason, so assume that Henne will throw a lot. That only helps Marshall (and Davone Bess), both of whom should piece together another decent week.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Shaun Hill QB Chad Henne
Maurice Morris RB Ronnie Brown
Jahvid Best   RB Ricky Williams
Calvin Johnson WR Brandon Marshall
Nate Burleson WR Davone Bess
Brandon Pettigrew TE Anthony Fasano
Dave Rayner K Dan Carpenter
Lions DST Dolphins
Jets at Bears - Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET | Fantasy Preview
Mark Sanchez's shoulder is sore. LaDainian Tomlinson is seemingly running in mud. Santonio Holmes will play with turf toe. Don't even mention 'toe' to head coach Rex Ryan. It's clear that the Jets are not in the best of shape even though they're coming off of a big win at Pittsburgh thanks in large part to their defense and to the Steelers' playcalling. Don't expect a renaissance from the offense here. Sure, the Bears are playing on a short week, but they've been lights out against mediocre run games (the Jets officially qualify) and should be able to put enough pressure on Mark Sanchez to force some turnovers. Sanchez can't be trusted, and even with his receivers putting up moderate numbers lately, they can't be expected for huge stats either. The Jets' offense, excluding the kicker, has scored six points in their last three games and have been in a tailspin since the Patriots exposed them in Week 13. The Bears' offense clicked on Monday at the Vikings, but their matchup here is going to be tougher to exploit. The Jets' run defense did crack last week against Rashard Mendenhall, so it wouldn't be a shocker to see Chicago give Matt Forte and Chester Taylor a decent amount of work. Otherwise, Jay Cutler will have to be up to snuff on the Jets' blitz schemes and focus on the center of the field. Greg Olsen got more involved last week with four receptions and could wake up here against the Jets' safeties. Likewise for Earl Bennett, who was targeted four times last week. This shouldn't be a high-scoring game, but the Bears defense has a big edge given the Jets' weaknesses.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Mark Sanchez QB Jay Cutler
Shonn Greene RB Matt Forte
LaDainian Tomlinson RB Chester Taylor
Santonio Holmes WR Earl Bennett
Braylon Edwards WR Johnny Knox
Dustin Keller TE Greg Olsen
Nick Folk K Robbie Gould
Jets DST Bears
Titans at Chiefs - Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Kerry Collins has five touchdowns in his last two games and Chris Johnson is back to tearing up defenses like we've come to expect. Expect the latter Titan to have his way with a Kansas City run defense that's been pasted by Knowshon Moreno, Steven Jackson and the Chargers' power duo of Mike Tolbert and Ryan Mathews in recent weeks. The matchup to watch otherwise is Kenny Britt with Chiefs cornerback Brandon Flowers, whose play has run hot and cold lately. The rest of the matchups for Collins are a wash, which means there's no easy exploitation like he had against the Texans last week. Still, Britt will be the receiver he leans on here since he's the most athletic of them all. Like the Titans, look for the Chiefs to stay on the ground and not have to throw more than 25 or 30 times, with the idea being to keep the pressure off of Matt Cassel. The Chiefs really don't like to lean on him if they don't have to, but they will in play-action situations, especially at the goal line where tight end Leonard Pope has touchdowns in two of his last three. Does that mean another bad week for Dwayne Bowe? Don't be surprised if his yardage is limited since he'll get Cortland Finnegan in his face; the two went head-to-head in 2008 with Finnegan holding Bowe to 86 yards on seven catches (albeit with a worse quarterback). You still have to like Bowe's red-zone chances but the Finnegan factor could limit his already dwindling targets.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Kerry Collins QB Matt Cassel
Chris Johnson RB Jamaal Charles
Javon Ringer   RB Thomas Jones
Kenny Britt WR Dwayne Bowe
Nate Washington WR Verran Tucker
Jared Cook   TE Leonard Pope
Rob Bironas K Ryan Succop
Titans DST Chiefs
Colts at Raiders - Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
Something tells me this is going to be tough for the Colts. Offensively they should be fine but it's clear as day that Peyton Manning isn't quite the same passer without Austin Collie. Expect Reggie Wayne to see a lot of Nnamdi Asomugha, which isn't exactly a good thing. Manning might opt to pass away from Wayne, just as he did the last time he faced the Raiders (four targets, three catches for Wayne), and chase the matchups down the middle of the field and to his right with Pierre Garcon matched up on Stanford Routt. Sure, the matchup looks plenty good for Donald Brown, but the Raiders have allowed just 2.9 yards per carry and two rushing touchdowns to running backs in their last five at home. Brown might have broken out last week at home against Jacksonville but will find the going a bit tougher this week. The Raiders' response? Run, run, run. Indianapolis will know it's coming, much like they did last week against Maurice Jones-Drew and the Jaguars, but the Raiders might not give up as easily. Furthermore, they have a good offensive line and certainly a quarterback who can throw a quick dart to any of his speedy playmakers. If the Raiders' goal is to win the time of possession battle with a big dose of the run, they could pull off the upset and keep their playoff hopes alive. Don't discount it -- they did the exact same thing to the Chargers recently and to the Broncos twice and came away with wins. Given that plan, McFadden and Michael Bush are the only reliable stat producers Fantasy owners should trust.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Peyton Manning QB Jason Campbell
Donald Brown RB Darren McFadden
Dominic Rhodes   RB Michael Bush
Pierre Garcon WR Louis Murphy
Reggie Wayne WR Jacoby Ford
Blair White WR Johnnie Lee Higgins
Jacob Tamme TE Zach Miller
Adam Vinatieri K Sebastian Janikowski
Colts DST Raiders
Texans at Broncos - Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
It's good that Arian Foster is healthy because he's a lock to have a strong game against the Broncos' terrible run defense. Having to account for Andre Johnson keeps a safety back at all times, and Denver's front seven has been brutalized of late. By the way, go back and check Johnson's last game against the Broncos and you'll see that Champ Bailey didn't cover him much. That should remain the case here, which is all the better for Houston. There's extra motivation for the Texans offense here as head coach Gary Kubiak used to play in Denver and would probably like to not just win a game but garner some attention from Broncos owner Pat Bowlen with his play calling since it appears Kubiak is not a lock to keep his job in Houston in 2011 and his old team could knock on his door. His players should help him put his best foot forward. Tim Tebow is expected to lead the charge for Denver, and the matchup couldn't be better for him as Houston's pass defense is flat-out rotten. Here's where things get interesting: If Knowshon Moreno is also out, there's a chance Tebow could land plenty of rushes on top of his pass attempts. The busier he is the better given the opponent and the matchup, so owners should consider him a viable starting option if Moreno is indeed out. Naturally, this means Brandon Lloyd is in play again this week (someone has to catch the ball) and Jabar Gaffney could end up playing a role here too given the matchup.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Matt Schaub QB Tim Tebow
Arian Foster RB Lance Ball
Derrick Ward   RB Correll Buckhalter
Andre Johnson WR Brandon Lloyd
Jacoby Jones WR Jabar Gaffney
Owen Daniels TE Richard Quinn
Neil Rackers K Steven Hauschka
Texans DST Broncos
Chargers at Bengals - Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
It wouldn't be a surprise if we saw a complete redux of the Chargers' Week 15 play here. With plenty of time to prepare for a Bengals defense that's banged up and not motivated, it would make sense for the Chargers to attack early on with the pass and then kill the clock with their run game. Look for Vincent Jackson to line up to Philip Rivers' right and take advantage of the coverage the Bengals apply there. Then again, Jackson could just as easily square off with Leon Hall on the other side of the field and do damage that way. The Bengals won't have an answer for Jackson or Rivers, who shouldn't get touched. Mike Tolbert and Ryan Mathews should both get a good amount of work. The Bengals' best bet here is Cedric Benson; with Terrell Owens gone for the year it's going to be easy for the Chargers' cornerbacks to take on the rest of Cincy's receivers (Chad Ochocinco might not even play), so expect the run game to benefit. Save for a brilliant showing against the Chiefs two weeks ago, San Diego has struggled against the better run teams in the league, so Benson has a chance here. The rest of the Cincy offense? Don't count on them against this pass defense.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Philip Rivers QB Carson Palmer
Mike Tolbert RB Cedric Benson
Ryan Mathews RB Brian Leonard
Vincent Jackson WR Chad Ochocinco
Kelley Washington   WR Andre Caldwell
Randy McMichael TE Jermaine Gresham
Nate Kaeding K Clint Stitser
Chargers DST Bengals
Giants at Packers - Sunday, 4:15 p.m. ET | Fantasy Preview
The Giants will end up being fairly balanced offensively so long as they don't fall too far behind, which is a possibility here. Green Bay's front seven has been banged up and has been gashed by the Falcons, Lions and Patriots in three of its last four overall, so look for New York to lean on its pair of running backs to get a hold of the game clock as well as move the chains. Ahmad Bradshaw appears to be the better option for the Giants after Brandon Jacobs struggled last week. The key for Eli Manning will be passing under pressure as the Packers will chase him down much like they chased Tom Brady last week. That's a tall order for the Pack as Eli typically gets rid of the ball before taking a sack, but very often he'll throw an errant pass that leads to a takeaway. The Packers will count on those. Look for Manning to follow Brady's plan from last week and attack the matchups. Last week Manning made a mint by going after Eagles cornerback Dimitri Patterson (who gave up all three touchdowns to Mario Manningham and Hakeem Nicks). There's not much when your primary opposing corners are Charles Woodson and Tramon Williams, but Manning could end up leaning on Nicks as a short- and mid-range receiver as well as tight end Kevin Boss, who has scored in three of his last four and will see a Packers pass defense that's given up touchdowns to tight ends in four straight. The Packers get Aaron Rodgers back, which typically means they'll throw a ton. Rodgers might be a little shy to take off and run after getting concussed two weeks ago, but he's ultimately a playmaker with plenty of weapons and should be productive as long as he can get past the Giants' pass rush, which is a big factor of course. Rodgers will take Greg Jennings in single coverage against Giants cornerback Terrell Thomas all game long and should also find crossing routes to his liking as the Giants really struggled containing players free in the middle of the field. If James Jones remains on the outside as expected, Donald Driver should make an impact from the slot against the Giants' Cover-3 look.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Eli Manning QB Aaron Rodgers
Ahmad Bradshaw RB Brandon Jackson
Brandon Jacobs RB John Kuhn
Hakeem Nicks WR Greg Jennings
Mario Manningham WR Donald Driver
Derek Hagan   WR James Jones
Kevin Boss TE Andrew Quarless
Lawrence Tynes K Mason Crosby
Giants DST Packers
Seahawks at Buccaneers - Sunday, 4:15 p.m. ET | Fantasy Preview
Thanks to injuries across the Bucs' defense, this matchup is pretty good for the Seahawks, namely Marshawn Lynch against a battered run defense. The only concern here is whether or not Lynch gets the opportunities necessary to piece together a big day. He's averaging 18.8 carries in Seahawks wins, 9.3 carries when the Seahawks lose. Seeing as how there's a realistic chance the Seahawks fall behind (thanks in part to their defense), there's some risk in playing the matchup and going with Lynch. You can't expect huge numbers, but a touchdown with some decent yardage isn't so bad. Matt Hasselbeck will continue to start at quarterback for the Seahawks against a Bucs defense that has allowed at least 200 pass yards to four straight quarterbacks with seven touchdowns allowed through the air in that span. Nice numbers, but Hasselbeck's recent play has been too, uh, awful to count on. So because there's no guarantee Hasselbeck will play well or even finish the game, owners should be less than confident in Mike Williams or Ben Obomanu. The matchup is much better for the Bucs, who have the luxury of playing at home against a team that traveled over 2,500 miles and brought with them an awful defense. Seattle has improved against the run, limiting Michael Turner last week, but it should still have its hands full with LeGarrette Blount here. Where they will really struggle is against the pass -- last week Matt Ryan went to town with several deep lobs and the Buccaneers can do the exact same thing with their wideouts. Whether Marcus Trufant plays or not, Mike Williams is an easy guy to roll with, but don't discount Arrelious Benn, who has five 20-plus-yard catches on the year, including three in his last three games.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Matt Hasselbeck QB Josh Freeman
Marshawn Lynch RB LeGarrette Blount
Justin Forsett   RB Cadillac Williams
Mike Williams WR Mike Williams
Ben Obomanu   WR Arrelious Benn
Chris Baker   TE Kellen Winslow
Olindo Mare K Connor Barth
Seahawks DST Buccaneers
Vikings at Eagles - Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET | Fantasy Preview
There are so many variables with the Vikings offense that it's hard to have reliable expectations for any player on the team. Let's assume that Joe Webb and Adrian Peterson play -- the opposite of last week but certainly a plausible scenario given Brett Favre's injuries and Peterson taking last week off with a thigh injury. Peterson will take on the bulk of the work, but the Eagles will also know this and key in on him. Where the Vikings could get smart is by mobilizing Webb and creating easy screen and short-area pass opportunities for him -- kind of like how the Eagles used Michael Vick once upon a time. In theory that could help Peterson's receiving totals along with Visanthe Shiancoe's and Percy Harvin's, but it remains to be seen if they'll go that way. Peterson, if he plays, has that big-play potential you like, but if he's not practicing leading up to the game then he's probably not a safe bet. Have a back-up plan in place if you are going to count on Peterson, and don't fear limiting it to another running back if you can plug in Peterson as a flex this week. As for Sidney Rice, the outlook isn't good since it will be easy for the Eagles to take him away and take their chances with the rest of the Minnesota offense otherwise. There's also concern that the Vikings defense will go into a shell given that the season is over. You saw them deflate last week against the Bears and the week prior against the Giants, so it could happen here. That said, it's easy to fall in love with all the Eagles' speedy skill-position players, especially DeSean Jackson. He loves playing in prime time and after watching Johnny Knox burn past the Vikings secondary last week, he's got to be salivating. Jeremy Maclin is equally attractive, and you pretty much know what to do with Michael Vick and LeSean McCoy. This should be a blowout win for the Eagles -- even David Akers is a must-start.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Joe Webb QB Michael Vick
Adrian Peterson RB LeSean McCoy
Toby Gerhart RB Jerome Harrison
Percy Harvin WR DeSean Jackson
Sidney Rice WR Jeremy Maclin
Visanthe Shiancoe TE Brent Celek
Ryan Longwell K David Akers
Vikings   DST Eagles
Saints at Falcons - Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET | Fantasy Preview
Even with the Falcons' sagging run defense, the feeling here is that the Saints will live or die with Drew Brees. His history against Atlanta is fabulous and his receiving corps remains diverse and overpowering. Marques Colston will see plenty of cornerback Dunta Robinson (part of the reason the Falcons signed him was to cover Colston), but it's hard not to like him. The newest weapon Brees has leaned on is Jimmy Graham, the explosive rookie tight end. Atlanta's struggled with tight ends this year and Graham's numbers -- 29 targets, 20 catches, 266 yards and three touchdowns in his last six -- speak for themselves. Lance Moore got hot last time against the Falcons and while we've expected him to lose playing time with Reggie Bush back, it hasn't happened. He's scored in three of his last four and has at least five catches in eight games this season. Brees should lean on these guys as well as his running backs to produce a big stat line, and it only helps him that the Falcons' pass rush can be contained. The Falcons have a great weapon to battle back with in Michael Turner, who has an equally impressive history in the rivalry. It only makes sense for the Falcons to lean on him and Jason Snelling to move the chains and keep Drew Brees off the field. The Saints are fresh off of being humiliated by Ray Rice but shouldn't have an answer for Turner this week either. You also have to like Matt Ryan playing at home; the Saints' secondary has been outstanding this season but Jabari Greer isn't likely to play at full strength (if at all) and the Falcons will line up Roddy White on his side and try to exploit the matchup (they did it last week against the Seahawks and thrived). Tony Gonzalez should also have a good shot to play well; he had his best game of the year against the Saints in Week 3.
Name Rating Pos. Name Rating
Drew Brees QB Matt Ryan
Pierre Thomas RB Michael Turner
Reggie Bush RB Jason Snelling
Marques Colston WR Roddy White
Lance Moore WR Michael Jenkins
Jimmy Graham TE Tony Gonzalez
Garrett Hartley K Matt Bryant
Saints DST Falcons
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Player News
Kellen Winslow
Winslow a 'rotational player?'
Kellen Winslow, TE, SEA
5/25/2012
News: Kellen Winslow became a Seahawk recently, and he's spoken highly of his new team. But it remains how they'll use him and how often they'll use him. According to SiriusXM NFL Radio, a league personnel executive believes that Winslow's best days are behind him. "We talked to the Bucs before the draft and talked about (Winslow) further internally," said the source. "We just didn't think he could be more than a rotational player at this point (in his career) after examining his tape and performance."
Analysis: Winslow had 75 receptions for 763 yards and two TDs in 2011 and has caught at least 66 passes in each of his last three years while not missing a game. There is definitely a perception that he's old and over the hill, which his receiving average (10.2 yards per catch last year) supports. And he joins a crowded tight end corps in Seattle, but should be a fairly regular player in the offense. Problem is, he hasn't been productive enough to be considered reliable for Fantasy use week after week. He's fine as a No. 2 Fantasy TE worth a late pick, but don't expect him to put up huge numbers.

Jamaal Charles
Charles to rest until camp
Jamaal Charles, RB, KC
5/25/2012
News: The Kansas City Star reports that the Chiefs will rest running back Jamaal Charles until training camp in late July. He is not expected to participate in their minicamp as he continues to rehab and work his way back from a torn ACL suffered last September. Head coach Romeo Crennel hopes Charles will be cleared in time for camp.
Analysis: Charles has been vocal about being ready for the season, calling himself hungry and passionate to return to form. But the fact remains that he's coming off of a major injury and isn't promised to have any of the explosiveness he had before he got hurt. Tack on the Chiefs' addition of Peyton Hillis (Charles thinks Hillis will get the tough yards and goal-line work like Thomas Jones was supposed to previously), and there's a limit to Charles' 2012 expectations. So long as Charles proves that he's ready to roll, Fantasy owners should be optimistic. Assuming he's fine, Charles will be worth taking in the early rounds on Draft Day, but more as a No. 2 Fantasy RB. Plan on drafting Charles between 25th and 35th overall in all leagues.

Hakeem Nicks
Source: Nicks could return before camp
Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG
5/25/2012
News: ESPN reports that a source familiar with the broken bone in Hakeem Nicks' foot says the receiver might miss four-to-six weeks recovering from the injury and not the 12-week timeframe the Giants said on Thursday. Nicks fractured the fifth metatarsal of his right foot during an OTA practice. The team is hoping to have him back at some point during training camp and the preseason.
Analysis: Unless the diagnosis on Nicks' foot changes, we're not believers that he'll be ready in six weeks and thus long before the start of training camp. Nicks' teammate, Prince Amukamara, took 15 weeks before he was comfortable practicing last year according to the Newark Star-Ledger and he had the same injury. Nicks has had all sorts of issues with hamstrings, knees and his feet over the years. So long as he is healthy for the start of the season and gets some work in camp and a preseason game or two, the injury is more of a reminder that he's injury prone and less of a factor on his 2012 season. We'll see if this lasts into late August and the regular season; for now expect his stock to slip in drafts. He'll be a Round 3-4 choice as a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy receiver.

Ben Roethlisberger
Roethlisberger admits to issues with new playbook
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT
5/25/2012
News: Ben Roethlisberger's transition to new offensive coordinator Todd Haley's playbook is not going as smoothly as Steelers fans had hoped. Roethlisberger said Thursday that so far it's been "frustrating at times" but that he's going to put in "extra work" to understand what Haley wants him to do. "I think coach (Haley) really wants to challenge us," Big Ben said on a radio interview, per the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. "Me, maybe, in particular, I think he felt like I was real comfortable with the old offense, which ... I don't know why that's a bad thing. But I'm not the head coach."
Analysis: There's all sorts of talk that Haley wants Roethlisberger to stay in the pocket to avoid excess hits and that Haley wants to run the ball more. We're not sure how this is going to play out, but we do think there's a chance Roethlisberger could attempt a ton of passes given that Rashard Mendenhall is out and Isaac Redman, while talented, might not be a 20-touch back from week to week. Much of the offense might fall on Roethlisberger's shoulders. We consider Big Ben a low-end No. 1 Fantasy QB in all leagues well worth a mid-round pick.

Sam Bradford
Bradford's ankle 'getting there'
Sam Bradford, QB, STL
5/25/2012
News: Rams quarterback Sam Bradford said his left ankle, injured in October at Green Bay, is nearly 100 percent. "It's getting there," he said. "It feels better every week -- less soreness, more things I can do. It's definitely on the right track."
Analysis: There's no questioning his arm as several Rams receivers, including their rookies, have been in awe over his passing skills. Bradford is continuing to learn the Rams' new offense and says it's close to the West Coast offense he ran two season ago. But with a so-so offensive line and an unproven receiving corps, now's not the time to call Bradford a breakout candidate. He should have some good games, but no one should consider him either a Fantasy starter or a blue chip prospect. For now we're resigned to calling him a late-round pick as a good, not great, No. 2 quarterback.

Matt Hasselbeck
Titans' Palmer breaks down QB battle
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN
5/25/2012
News: It's no secret that the Titans will have a competition for the starting quarterback job between veteran Matt Hasselbeck and second-year gunslinger Jake Locker. What remains to be seen is when they'll name a starter. Offensive coordinator Chris Palmer told the media Thursday that the job is up for grabs, that no preseason starts have been promised and that the coaching staff will pick a winner based on who can lead the team to wins, starting in Week 1 against the Patriots. Palmer said that while Locker's mobility is very appealing, Hasselbeck's experience and body of work from last season also gives him a chance to remain the starter. "Jake may not give all the other guys the opportunity to make plays like Matt does, but Jake can make plays with his legs," Palmer concluded. "When you add up how many plays Matt can make with the team and how many plays Jake can make with the team then you kind of have an idea who's going to give us the best chance to win."
Analysis: Hasselbeck started every game for the Titans in 2011 and threw for 3,571 yards with 18 scores and 14 interceptions. But when Locker did play, he did well, passing for four touchdowns with no interceptions and rushing for 56 yards on eight carries with a touchdowns run. Locker's completion percentage continued to be an eyesore (34 of 66 passing for 51.5 pct.), but the stats speak for themselves. Unless Locker can really prove that he's progressed as a passer, Hasselbeck is likely to take this job -- though there's no promise he'll start every game. Neither Titans QB should be drafted with anything more than a late-round pick. We'll keep you posted on the battle.

Brandon Lloyd
Lloyd already up to speed with Pats
Brandon Lloyd, WR, NE
5/25/2012
News: New Patriots receiver Brandon Lloyd has been impressive during the team's OTAs, but many people expected that. After all, Lloyd is on his third stop with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and knows the playbook and play calls like the back of his hand. Lloyd has been so impressive that the Boston Globe reports that Patriots quarterbacks have been looking for him all week because he's been exactly where he needs to be on every play. Lloyd was coy when it came to his role and his goals for this season but gave a pretty simple explanation on why he wanted to follow McDaniels to New England. "You find something good, you stick with it," he said. "I think that's the case for everybody, with everything in life."
Analysis: Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five scores last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator, and that came on the heels of a 77-catch, 1,448-yard, 11-touchdown season with McDaniels in Denver. He'll probably see a dip in opportunities because he'll share the field with so many other great weapons there. But he should still be about as productive as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver and should be drafted as such with a mid-round pick.

Ronnie Hillman
Tamme: Hillman looks good
Ronnie Hillman, RB, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme gave an encouraging scouting report on rookie rusher Ronnie Hillman. "He seems to have a lot of quickness," Tamme said. "I've got to see him carry a few and catch some passes, he seems like a guy who can really move and sort of be a threat from the scatback-type position."
Analysis: Yep, that sounds like Hillman, who averaged over 130 total yards per game in 2011 with 20 total touchdowns while breaking some of Marshall Faulk's records at San Diego State. Hillman isn't a big back (5-foot-9, 200 pounds) but definitely plays bigger than he is. He's done good work between the tackles but is better known for his lateral agility and breakaway speed. Landing in Denver is nice since he won't be stuck behind a young back for long -- Willis McGahee will turn 31 in October and Knowshon Moreno is coming off of a torn ACL. We could see Hillman contribute this season, especially if he can perfect his pass blocking and receiving skills. Expect him to be taken late in all seasonal drafts as well as with a mid-to-late pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a second-round pick in rookie-only formats.

Jacob Tamme
Tamme talks offense, role
Jacob Tamme, TE, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme sounded very excited to follow quarterback Peyton Manning to Denver from Indy, adding that he "looks great." Tamme's also excited about the direction of the new offense, calling it a mix of what he did with Manning with the Colts and what offensive coordinator Mike McCoy wants to do. On the topic of his specific role with the Broncos, Tamme didn't want to give away much but did offer what he thinks is great about being a tight end. "I'm comfortable in slot and love that, but I would say I lined up on the line of scrimmage more than everywhere else [with the Colts]," Tamme said. " ... We should be able to move around and what we're going to do offensively, hopefully, we'll be able to move around some. I think that's what's great about playing tight end these days, you get to do everything. It's what makes the position a lot of fun."
Analysis: If we're reading between the lines, the Broncos could use Tamme as a tight end, slot receiver and H-back this season, all roles he's capable of playing as evidenced by his time in Indianapolis. Being comfortable with Manning is also built-in thanks to their relationship back in Indiana. Tamme had just 177 yards on 19 catches in 2011 with one score, but he worked behind starter Dallas Clark in a Manning-less Colts offense. In 10 games without Dallas Clark in 2010, Tamme caught 67 passes for 631 yards and four touchdowns. Expect him to have some Clark-like potential and thus get swiped with a middle- to late-round pick in drafts this summer as a borderline No. 1/No. 2 TE.

Stephen Hill
Hill lines up as starter in OTAs
Stephen Hill, WR, NYJ
5/25/2012
News: Jets rookie receiver Stephen Hill lined up opposite Santonio Holmes with the first-team offense during their recent OTAs. He caught a 75-yard touchdown pass from Mark Sanchez, burning cornerback Kyle Wilson in the process, according to the Newark Star-Ledger.
Analysis: The Jets aren't going to have a dominant pass attack, so that could limit Hill's production. But he does have the chance for plenty of playing time, which is a plus. He's worth a late-round pick in seasonal formats, a middle- to late-round pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a Top 20 pick in rookie-only drafts.

 
 
 
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