Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Gameday Inactives
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2011 Fantasy outlooks: Jacksonville Jaguars

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

The Jaguars had major holes on defense last season. They allowed 121.6 rush yards per game and a whopping 19 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense was worse, yielding 28 scores through the air and 250.2 yards per game. Their own passing game, ranked 27th, was hobbled by a declining performance by their primary wideout.

So with all of these issues staring the franchise in the face, how did they spend their top two draft picks in April? By pairing them and trading up in the draft to select a quarterback.

Mizzou's Blaine Gabbert was picked 10th overall, turning up the speculation that incumbent starter David Garrard's days in Jacksonville are numbered. Gabbert, who has a Garrard-like game (for better and for worse), is expected to spend the first part of the season watching from the sidelines. If Jacksonville falls out of playoff contention, Gabbert will get his shot since he is the future there. If Garrard can somehow lead this team to a shot at the postseason, though, he'll keep Gabbert on clipboard duty.

How the rest of the team will perform given that Jacksonville failed to add an impact player at a need position in the draft is a completely different quandary. They added a receiver in Cecil Shorts and the defense picked up a talented youngster in safety Chris Prosinski, but otherwise the unit is coming back the way it left the field last season. Given the numbers it produced, that can't be good.

Late-round flier ... Marcedes Lewis, TE

Fantasy Value Chart
Player Draft Day value
Quarterbacks
David Garrard
Running Backs
Maurice Jones-Drew
Rashad Jennings
Deji Karim
Wide Receivers
Mike Thomas
Mike Sims-Walker
Jason Hill
Tight Ends
Marcedes Lewis
Kickers/Defense
Josh Scobee
Jaguars DST

Anyone who tells you that Lewis will falter this season has no idea what they're talking about. Last year Lewis finished 10th among tight ends in targets yet still managed to tie for the lead in touchdowns with 10. He scored every 5.8 receptions. He finished fourth among tight ends in Fantasy points. And he's on a team that did absolutely nothing to improve its passing game. How in the world can anyone say Lewis won't be involved or not given a shot to be productive. Best of all, he's in a contract year (again) and will play for the big bucks. And, no one's drafting him before Round 10. He's a terrific value choice for owners who pass on the elite tight ends.

Sleeper ... Rashad Jennings, RB

Maurice Jones-Drew's knee surgery and subsequent rehab has been pretty well documented. The Fantasy stalwart should be just fine for the start of the season, but concerns about how much work he takes on along with how defenses handle him should scare Fantasy owners. Remember, Jacksonville did nothing to improve its receiving corps, so defenses can stack the box against MJD and expect to keep him in check. That will mean more contact and a greater chance of knocking him around. One good way to protect Jones-Drew is to give Jennings a bump in work, something Jacksonville has to consider after he plowed for 459 yards on just 84 carries (5.5 average) with four scores and 223 yards on 26 catches (8.6 avg.). He's got potential, and with a lack of offensive firepower, the Jaguars are going to find ways to use him. Jennings is an absolute must-draft for those owners who land Jones-Drew.

Bust ... David Garrard, QB

It's never a good idea to trust a quarterback on a leash, even as a backup. Garrard isn't promised the starting job but should sweat out the competition from Blaine Gabbert -- but nothing else is promised. Last year saw him deliver 23 passing touchdowns and five rushing touchdowns, which were great, but he didn't deliver many wins for Jacksonville, and that's what matters here. If Garrard and the Jags struggle, he'll hit the bench regardless of how he's playing so that Gabbert can get his feet wet. Furthermore, with so many other quality No. 2 Fantasy quarterbacks out there, there isn't a need to select Garrard on Draft Day. The upside isn't there anymore and the playing time will be next to go. It also doesn't help that he's coming off of finger surgery on his right hand.

Schedule breakdown

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
TEN @NYJ @CAR NO CIN @PIT BAL @HOU bye @IND @CLE HOU SD TB @ATL @TEN IND

The Jaguars have the Jets in New York in Week 2, back-to-back games against the Steelers and Ravens in Weeks 6 and 7 and a short-week game at Atlanta in Week 15. Other than that, it's not all that bad for Jacksonville as they have some opponents they can hang with (including their divisional rivals) and a three-game homestand. If you don't end up with Maurice Jones-Drew on your Fantasy team and he struggles early on this season, try to buy low on him before his first matchup at Houston in Week 8, because he should tear it up thereafter based on his schedule.

Training camp topics

2010 Touches Leaders
Player Touches
Maurice Jones-Drew 334
Rashad Jennings 110
Mike Thomas 78
Marcedes Lewis 58

That quarterback battle will be the talk of town, even if it's not much of a battle. But the more serious topic is who the quarterbacks will throw to. Lewis is a good target, and the running backs will get their share, but with Mike Sims-Walker headed out of town, who's left to catch passes? Mike Thomas is a given, and he might do well by default, and Jason Hill has some promise, but really someone needs to step up. We'll see who does the best in camp.

And expect Jones-Drew to miss some days in camp as the team rests him. That's a given considering that he's coming off of knee surgery and is sure to be leaned on again in 2011. If he goes down, Jacksonville's offense is in trouble -- but you probably figured that already.

The defense is already in trouble. Last year's addition of defensive tackle Tyson Alualu didn't help much in their run defense and the pass defense is thin. Expect Jacksonville to be aggressive in the free-agent market, namely in players who get released. It's the most cost-efficient way to improve the unit.

Injury update

Maurice Jones-Drew (knee; probable for the start of training camp) ... David Garrard (finger; probable for the start of training camp) ... Aaron Kampman (knee; questionable for the start of training camp).

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can also follow Dave at @daverichard . Do you have a question or a comment for our Fantasy staff? Drop us a line at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com .

  •  
 
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Jared Abbrederis out with knee injury
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:21 pm ET) Packers rookie receiver Jared Abbrederis, a fifth-round pick out of Wisconsin, missed practice Friday with a knee injury. The severity of the injury was not immediately clear.

"I don't have a full medical report," coach Mike McCarthy told reporters. 


Riley Cooper wearing boot 'a preventive thing'
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:13 pm ET) Eagles receiver Riley Cooper has not practiced since Monday and is wearing a boot on his left leg. But coach Chip Kelly told Philly.com that it's not a serious foot injury.

"It's just a preventive thing," Kelly said Friday. "He should be back in a couple of days."

Cooper apparently suffered the injury last Saturday, the first day of camp.


Larry Donnell trying to seize starting tight end job
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:02 pm ET) After the Giants listed him atop the tight end depth chart, Larry Donnell has impressed in camp, reports the team's website. "Last week he dove for a pass down the middle and maintained possession of the ball after tumbling upon landing," the report said. "[Thursday], he jumped high in the end zone to grab a Ryan Nassib pass."

Coach Tom Coughlin said Donnell, a converted quarterback, "has a long way to go, but I like what I see."

Added tight ends coach Kevin M. Gilbride: "He has athleticism, size, speed and strength. He’s got it all as far as that’s concerned. We’re working hard to get him to develop his techniques and understand how to use his body within the blocking, within the inline position or even from the fullback position. He can do it physically and he’s starting to be able to do it athletically, meaning knowing how his body has to move to get those things done. So he’s improving."


Sanders Commings fractured fibula
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(11:58 am ET) Chiefs cornerback Sanders Commings underwent surgery after fracturing his fibula and suffering a high ankle sprain in Wednesday's practice, reports TWC SportsChannel. Commings got hurt on a juke move by running back Jamaal Charles.

Texans cut Trevardo Williams
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(11:51 am ET) The Texans cut outside linebacker Trevardo Williams, reports ESPN.com. He was a fourth-round pick in the 2013 draft.

Jake Long takes reps in team drills
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(11:41 am ET) Rams left tackle Jake Long on Thursday took reps in team drills, a milestone in his comeback from a severe knee injury last December, reports ESPN.com. Long had only watched team drills during the previous four practices.

"I'm feeling great," said Long, who tore his ACL and MCL on Dec. 22. "Every day I am progressing and feeling better. I finally got some live reps and it felt great. I'm really happy with how the first day of live stuff went."

The team says Long's comeback is right on schedule. Long said he hopes to play at some point in the preseason.


Sean Payton mum on Champ Bailey's absence
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(11:24 am ET) New Saints cornerback Champ Bailey was not at practice Thursday or Friday. Asked about Bailey, coach Sean Payton said: "We don't discuss injuries at training camp."

James White to get 'significant' work on all three downs
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(11:22 am ET) Patriots rookie running back James White "has opened eyes with how many quality reps he's getting and looks like he’ll be a significant part of the team’s attack -- on all three downs," reports ESPN.com. It's the latest in an avalance of positive reports about White, who's expected to cut into the workloads of Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen.

Matt Moore nursing injury to throwing shoulder
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(11:15 am ET) Dolphins backup quarterback Matt Moore will sit out Friday's practice and likely Saturday's scrimmage to rest his throwing shoulder, reports the South Florida Sun Sentinel. The goal is to have Moore ready for the Aug. 8 preseason opener against Atlanta.

Pat Devlin will get additional reps behind starter Ryan Tannehill, the report said.


Vincent Brown still bothered by calf strain
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(11:09 am ET) Chargers receiver Vincent Brown likely will miss the Aug. 7 preseason opener and could miss more time after that with his calf strain, reports the San Diego Union-Tribune. He watched Thursday's practice with a protective boot on his right foot.

 
 
 
Rankings