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Week 10 Fantasy Football Matchups

Senior Fantasy Writer
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A long time ago a fellow NFL writer told me "Pick against the Patriots at your own peril." The advice has served me well, especially when it comes to Tom Brady. Obviously, telling you to start him in Fantasy is generally a no-brainer, but this week some people are nervous about doing it in his game against the Jets in New York. Some people will chance it with guys like Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow instead of Brady.

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The statistical evidence against Brady is pretty damning. The Jets haven't allowed multiple touchdowns to anyone since Tony Romo in Week 1 (that includes Brady in Week 5). They've yielded 225 or more passing yards twice all year (Romo in Week 1, Brady in Week 5; both topped 300 yards). In four games at MetLife Stadium the Jets are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 52 percent of their passes for 209 yards per game and nine interceptions.

Brady himself has had trouble against the Jets in New Jersey since Rex Ryan has taken over. In two games Brady has completed 43 of 83 passes for 464 yards with two touchdowns, three interceptions and a fumble lost. And in Brady's six career games overall against Ryan's Jets, he's had three with two-plus touchdowns and/or 300-plus yards (and another with 299 yards), but four with at least one interception. Most importantly, in those six games he's hit the 20-point mark in standard Fantasy formats twice. He's fallen below 18 Fantasy points three times, including once already this season.

In fact, Brady's become fairly pedestrian (for him), leveling off to where he's averaged exactly 19 points over his last five games, producing fairly consistently but not at the extreme level you might think. Expecting that kind of result, even against a team he's been hit-or-miss with, especially on the road, is not out of the question.

But there's one more intangible, and it's one we've been accustomed to for a decade with the Patriots: They win a lot. And despite the fact that they're in a three-way tie in their division and have lost two straight games, they're still a prepared, functional team that -- at least offensively -- can find ways to move the chains against anyone. Brady is usually a part of that, and a good run game could help him immensely on Sunday night. If the average he'll give you is 19 points and there's room for more based on what we know and what we've seen from the Patriots when they're in big spots like this, it's hard to consider other second-tier quarterbacks. Pick against him at your own peril.

  Go deeper into the week's matchups with our Interactive Fantasy Matchup Magnifier!

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars -- Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, EverBank Field
Indianapolis Colts
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBAndrew LuckRoad games haven't agreed with Luck, but matchup is too good to pass up.
RBVick BallardHas to be used as at least a flex after the Lions rumbled for four rushing TDs vs. JAC last week.
RBDonald Brown Not sure if he'll get a full workload on a short week after his knee bothered him vs. MIA.
WRReggie WayneHad eight grabs for 88 yards vs. JAC in Week 3, Jags have allowed six TDs to WRs since.
WRDonnie AveryShould be a decent third receiver for Fantasy owners assuming he's active. Made some nice plays before getting hurt last week.
WRTY HiltonScorched Jags for 113 yards & TD back in Week 3, should be a big factor if Donnie Avery is out.
TEDwayne AllenJaguars have been good vs. TEs (zero TDs allowed this year). Only one TE has 60+ yards vs. JAC in 2011.
DSTColtsBig-time sleeper. Each of last six DSTs to play Jaguars have had 11+ Fantasy points.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBBlaine GabbertDesperation option. IND has allowed one 275+ yard passer in last seven, 6 pass TDs in last four.
RBRashad JenningsColts run D has allowed 9 rush TDs & 149.9 total yards per game. Despite limited production, Jennings worth another start.
WRCecil ShortsSeven WRs have had 8+ Fantasy points vs. IND in their last five games. Could be a rebound game for Shorts, who caught an 80-yard TD vs. IND in Week 3.
WRJustin BlackmonScored first TD last week but still had just 32 yards on five catches (nine targets). Would take a lot of guts to start him.
TEMarcedes Lewis Colts have allowed just one TD to a TE all year, none to 10 Fantasy points. Lewis had 8-yard catch vs. IND in Week 3.
DSTJaguarsThe Vikings, Dolphins and Packers all failed to land 10+ Fantasy points vs. IND this year. No way are the Jags an option.

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Atlanta Falcons
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBMatt RyanShould post big game. 4 of last 5 QBs vs. NO have topped 300 yards, all four also had 2+ TDs. Ryan had 350+ yards in both games vs. NO last year but just 3 total TDs.
RBMichael TurnerEvery NO opponent has had at least one 10+ Fantasy RB, all but one have had 12+ Fantasy points. Turner should roll.
WRJulio JonesA must. Saints giving up 223.3 yards to WRs over last three. Eight receivers have 90+ yards against them on the year.
WRRoddy WhiteNew Orleans has allowed 12 TDs to wideouts in their last five games. White has 10+ Fantasy points in 3 of last 4 vs. NO.
TETony GonzalezTough call here: Obvious potential but Saints have allowed just one TE to get more than 6 Fantasy points all season!
DSTFalconsLast five DSTs to play the Saints have posted single-digit Fantasy points. Tough to like the Falcons this week.
New Orleans Saints
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBDrew BreesOnly one QB has thrown 2 TDs vs. ATL but 2 of last 3 QBs topped 300 yards. Brees has topped 300 yards in last 4 vs. ATL with 2+ TDs in three of them.
RBPierre ThomasFalcons have allowed 127.0 total yards per game to RBs with 3 TDs over last three. Thomas should stay busy.
RBMark Ingram Played on just 18 of 56 snaps last week, has more than 7 carries in just one game this season.
RBChris Ivory Was more of clock-killing back in Week 9, getting 7 of 10 carries in second half. Not sure he'll get much work vs. Falcons.
WRMarques ColstonFalcons have given up just five TDs to WRs all year, only two No. 1 receivers have scored. But Colston did very well vs. ATL last year (11+ Fantasy points in each game).
WRLance MooreHis last three vs. ATL have been duds (no more than 53 yards, no TDs). Only two opponents have produced two WRs with 7+ Fantasy points each vs. ATL all year.
TEJimmy GrahamFalcons still might not have answer for him. Has scored in three straight vs. ATL, but the Birds have only allowed 2 TDs to TEs this year.
DSTSaints No miracle this week. Only two DSTs have posted 10+ Fantasy points against the Falcons.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Gillette Stadium
Buffalo Bills
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBRyan FitzpatrickHas 300+ yards, 2+ TDs & 2+ INTs in each of last three vs. NE but has zero TDs in 3 of last 4 overall.
RBC.J. SpillerHas second-worst game of season vs. NE in Week 4 but has 100+ total yards in each of last three games.
RBFred JacksonAveraging 15 touches per game over last five but with just 70.2 total yards per game & two TDs.
WRSteve JohnsonHad just 23 yards vs. NE in Week 4 but scored in 3 of previous 4 against them. Bills will throw a lot.
WRDonald JonesDeep sleeper. Pats have allowed 195.0 yards & 6 TDs in last four to WRs. Jones playing a bunch.
TEScott ChandlerScored twice vs. NE in Week 4. Pats have allowed two TDs to TEs in four games since.
DSTBills No DST has posted more than 10 Fantasy points vs. NE this year, and that shouldn't change this week.
New England Patriots
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBTom BradyHas 3+ TDs in each of last five vs. BUF with 325+ yards in each of last three! You better start him!
RBStevan RidleyHad 106 rush yards & 2 TDs vs. BUF in Week 4. Bills have allowed 142.3 rush yards to RBs per game w/ 12 TDs.
RBShane VereenDesperation option. Has TD in two of last four and 8+ touches in each of his last two.
WRWes WelkerHas 10 or fewer Fantasy points in 4 of last 5 vs. NE (and each of last two overall). BUF has allowed 90+ yards to WR in 4 of last 5.
WRBrandon LloydScored on Bills in first '12 meeting, one of 12 TDs Bills have allowed to WRs this year.
TERob GronkowskiGronk's a Bills killer. In five career games Gronk has 418 yards and eight TDs against them. Obvious must-start.
TEAaron HernandezIf healthy should be a big factor. Had 138 yards & TD in last game vs. BUF (in '11).
DSTPatriotsDSTs vs. BUF have scored 11+ Fantasy points in four of Bills' last five. Pats should be solid.

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Bank of America Stadium
Denver Broncos
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBPeyton ManningYou'll start him but Panthers' pass rush has come alive, pass D has allowed just one QB to throw 2+ TDs against them all year.
RBWillis McGaheeMaybe a little risky. Panthers holding opposing RBs to 78.0 rush yards per game over last three -- but with 2 rush TDs allowed.
WREric DeckerIncredibly hot with 5-game TD streak (7 in that span). Still worth it vs. CAR, who have allowed just 2 TDs to WRs in last five.
WRDemaryius ThomasLittle nervous about him after he tweaked knee but still has immense potential. CAR hasn't allowed a 100-yard WR since Week 4.
DSTBroncosPanthers have yielded 10+ Fantasy points to 3 of last 4 DSTs. Broncos have 9+ Fantasy points in each of last three.
Carolina Panthers
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBCam NewtonTwo of last three QBs vs. DEN have tossed 2 TDs but none have 300+ yards (two over 250 yards). Cam has 2+ total TDs in 3 games this year.
RBJonathan StewartBroncos giving up 150.5 total yards to RBs over last four with 4 total TDs but Stew has yet to exceed 80 total yards in a game.
RBDeAngelo WilliamsStarted to see more playing time last week, especially cutting into Stewart's snaps. Still can't trust to start.
WRSteve SmithYou'll start him but DEN has held WRs to two 80+ yard games & two TDs over their last five.
TEGreg OlsenAnother good matchup for Olsen -- DEN has allowed 10+ Fantasy points to the last three TEs they've faced. Can he take advantage?
DSTPanthersNo DST has more than 13 Fantasy points vs. DEN, only three have 10+ points. Can't lean on the Panthers.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Mall of America Field
Detroit Lions
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBMatthew StaffordVikings have allowed three passing touchdowns in back-to-back games. No excuses for Stafford, who has 300+ yards in 2 of last 3 vs. MIN.
RBMikel LeshoureMust start. Vikes have allowed 138.3 rush yards per game over last two with 4 total TDs to RBs.
RBJoique BellMIN has given up 194 receiving yards just to RBs over last three games. Bell should be useful in a pinch.
WRCalvin JohnsonVikings have done well vs. No. 1 WRs but Johnson seems healthy after drubbing Jags last week. No way you sit him.
WRTitus YoungNon-No. 1 WRs have torched the Seahawks with Golden Tate the latest benefactor. Young worth using again.
WRRyan BroylesStill not playing a ton (about 40 pct. of snaps) but productive for a few points, which should continue vs. MIN's weak secondary.
TEBrandon PettigrewPettigrew had one of his better games vs. MIN in Week 4. Since that game only one TE has scored on Vikings.
DSTLionsEach of last four DSTs to play Vikings have had 13+ Fantasy points. Lions should keep up its hot streak.
Minnesota Vikings
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBChristian Ponder Lions have allowed 2 pass TDs in 5 of last 7 games but Ponder had no TDs earlier this year against the Lions. Can't trust him.
RBAdrian PetersonHas 8 TDs & over 1,100 total yards in 10 games vs. DET. Lions have allowed 10+ Fantasy points to RBs in 4 of last 5.
RBPercy HarvinIf he plays has the chance to score. Lions have allowed 5 TDs to WRs in last 4.
WRJerome Simpson Can't be trusted even though Lions have allowed 148.7 yards per game to WRs over the last three games.
TEKyle RudolphOnly one TE has scored on DET over last five games. Coaches say they want to get Rudolph more involved but owners might want to see it first.
DSTVikingsLions' offense starting to roar: 3 of last 4 DSTs vs. DET posted 4 Fantasy points or less. Lions avg. 410.9 total yards per game.

New York Giants at Cincinnati Bengals -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Paul Brown Stadium
New York Giants
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBEli ManningHe's been abysmal in 4 straight but could perk up vs. CIN. Bengals have allowed 2+ TDs, 250+ yards to QBs in 2 of last 3.
RBAhmad BradshawRush average has been in the tank for last three games (3.4 avg.), CIN has held RBs to 97.3 rush yards over last four.
RBAndre BrownHas scored in three straight with 20+ yards per game too. CIN has allowed four rush TDs over last 4 games.
WRVictor CruzCincy has allowed a 90+ yard receiver in each of last three, gave up 2 TDs to Eric Decker last week.
WRHakeem NicksNeed to see him play well before considering him, even in a matchup vs. 19th-ranked pass defense.
TEMartellus BennettThis could be the week. Tight ends have scored in each of last three vs. CIN.
DSTGiantsDalton has been picked off at least once per game this year, sacked 2+ times in 6 of 8 games. Roll with the Giants.
Cincinnati Bengals
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBAndy DaltonEight of nine teams have thrown for 240+ pass yards vs. NYG, six have 2+ total TDs. You'd have to be desperate to trust Dalton though.
RBBenJarvus Green-EllisWeird stat: RBs that get 15+ carries have decimated Giants, scored 12+ Fantasy points. Kind of like the Law Firm.
WRA.J. GreenA must. Giants allowed two WRs to score last week & 12 TDs to WRs on the season.
TEJermaine GreshamComing off career-high 108-yard game, has scored 10+ Fantasy points in half of his last six games.
DSTBengalsGiants have scored 28.6 points per game over last five, Bengals allowing 23.2 points per game over last five. Don't do it.

Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, M&T Bank Stadium
Oakland Raiders
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBCarson PalmerShould throw a ton. Two of last three QBs vs. BAL have thrown for 250+ yards & 2+ TDs. Palmer hasn't topped 20 Fantasy points in four road games.
RBMarcel ReeceSix RBs have posted 9+ Fantasy points in the Ravens' last five. Reece a physical threat with excellent hands (caught 75.7 pct of targets over last 2 years).
RBTaiwan JonesUnreal speed but has just 17 career carries. Ravens have allowed 176.0 rush yards to RBs over last four games.
WRDenarius MooreBAL has allowed 133.7 yards to receivers over their last three. Moore has at least 8 targets per game.
WRDarrius Heyward-BeyHas 7+ Fantasy points in each of his last three. Ravens have allowed 11 WRs to 7+ Fantasy points this season.
TEBrandon MyersScored 2 TDs last week but Ravens have allowed just one TD to tight ends all year.
DSTRaiders Don't use them. DSTs have posted 10+ Fantasy points on BAL twice -- when they held them under 13 points. OAK allowing 28.6 points per game.
Baltimore Ravens
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBJoe FlaccoBack home against a pass defense that allowed 247 yards & 2 TDs last week. Flacco could match those numbers.
RBRay RiceAfter Martin racked up four TDs & 272 total yards at OAK last week you can bet on Rice getting a lot of work.
WRTorrey SmithRaiders have allowed 565 yards & 5 TDs to WRs over their last four games. Torrey should be solid.
WRAnquan BoldinHas 82 or more yards in 3 of last 5 games but hasn't scored since Week 1.
DSTRavensRaiders have totaled 340+ yards, scored 20+ points in each of last four games. Ravens DST just an OK option.

San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Raymond James Stadium
San Diego Chargers
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBPhilip RiversBucs have allowed 250+ yards to 7 of 8 opposing QBs, 2 of last 3 have thrown four TDs! Rivers has 2 TDs in 4 of last 5.
RBRyan MathewsTampa Bay has allowed a TD to RB in 6 of last 7 (five rushing) but just four RBs have totaled 90+ yards on the Bucs.
RBRonnie BrownHas 5+ catches in 3 of his last 4 games. TB allowed 17 catches for 151 yards and a TD to OAK last week.
WRMalcom FloydReceivers averaging 200.3 yards per game in last 4 vs. TB with a TD in each. Floyd could be effective again.
WRDanario AlexanderIf Chargers' WRs are still banged up, he's the desperation option for Fantasy. Has good size but brittle knees.
TEAntonio GatesNo longer a tricky matchup after Brandon Myers scored his first two TDs of the year vs. TB last week.
DSTChargersBucs have scored 28+ points & totaled 400+ yards in each of last four. No magic for the Chargers this week.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBJosh FreemanNo one's been hotter over last four weeks. Bolts allowed four straight 2+ TD passers before shutting out Weeden & Cassel last two weeks.
RBDoug MartinYou'll start Martin and for good reason: SD has allowed 264 total yards & 2 TDs to RBs over last two weeks.
WRVincent JacksonBig-time revenge game. Ex-Charger faces pass defense that allowed 7 TDs to WRs before shutting out Browns & Chiefs last two weeks. Jackson should shine.
WRMike WilliamsNine WRs have posted 8+ Fantasy points on the Bolts this year. Williams has 7+ Fantasy points in 6 of 8 games.
DSTBuccaneersChargers have scored 24+ points in 4 of 5 games, though DSTs put up 10+ Fantasy points in 2 of those 4.

Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Sun Life Stadium
Tennessee Titans
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBJake LockerQBs have topped 250+ yards in 7 of 8 games vs. MIA but only two have 2+ TDs. Locker might have to shake rust off first.
RBChris JohnsonMiami hasn't allowed a rush TD since Week 1, only have allowed one 100+ total yard RB. Will he get a big run late again?
WRKenny BrittTough to trust: Has just one game with more than 7 Fantasy points this season, but MIA has allowed 12 WRs to 7+ Fantasy points this year.
WRNate WashingtonLeads Titans WRs with four TDs. Dolphins have allowed 9 TDs to WRs on the year including 4 in last four games (two last week).
WRKendall WrightDolphins allowed two 100-yard receivers last week, giving up on average 213.8 yards per game to WRs over last four.
TEJared CookNo TE has scored on Miami but five have had 60+ yards against them. Cook has under 50 yards in 5 of last 6.
DSTTitansTitans defense is weak, can't be trusted even though DSTs vs. MIA have posted 10+ Fantasy points in four of last six weeks.
Miami Dolphins
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBRyan TannehillGreat matchup. Titans have allowed 20 pass TDs, five 250+ yard passers and 8 of 9 QBs have 19+ Fantasy points against them.
RBReggie BushTitans have allowed 202.3 total yards & 4 TDs to running backs in last three. Wish Bush averaged more than 14.7 touches per game over last three.
RBDaniel ThomasAnother good matchup for Thomas if you're thin at running back. He played more than Bush for the second week in a row.
WRBrian HartlineMight be another sleeper week for him. Titans have allowed 6 TDs to WRs in last four weeks with 5 WRs getting 9+ Fantasy points in that span.
TEAnthony Fasano Desperation option. Tennessee has allowed 6+ Fantasy points to seven TEs in nine games.
DSTDolphinsAfter Bears pummeled Titans last week, Dolphins should be salivating. Miami's D should be solid.

New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks -- Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CenturyLink Field
New York Jets
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBMark SanchezCould throw for decent amount of yardage but tough to envision him having a good game.
RBShonn GreeneAfter AP blew through the Seahawks there's some optimism for Green who has 9+ Fantasy points in each of his last three.
WRJeremy KerleySeahawks have struggled with short, shifty receivers but still boast solid secondary. Kerley has 5+ catches in 3 of last 4.
TEDustin KellerHas been huge for Jets' passing game but Seahawks have the defensive backs to limit him. No TE, not even Gronk, has 10+ Fantasy points vs. SEA.
DSTJetsThree of last four DSTs vs. SEA posted under 9 Fantasy points, but Jets have the defense to make things challenging for Seahawks, even at home.
Seattle Seahawks
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBRussell WilsonJets have only allowed four passing TDs over last six games, will make it tough on Wilson to have another big game.
RBMarshawn LynchNYJ have given up just 2 rush TDs over last four games along with 108.3 rush yards in that span. Lynch has 100+ rush yards in three straight.
WRSidney RiceSick: No WR has scored on the Jets since Week 2! None have totaled 100+ yards either.
WRGolden TateAfter big game last week, expect mediocre numbers here as Jets' secondary should be able to contain him.
DSTSeahawksFour of the last five DSTs to take on the Jets have posted 13+ Fantasy points. Get the Seahawks active.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Lincoln Financial Field
Dallas Cowboys
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBTony RomoFive of last six QBs to play PHI have 2+ TDs against them, but Romo has one 2 TD game in his last four overall and in last four vs. PHI.
RBFelix JonesEagles allowing 163.3 total yards per game to running backs. Jones had best start of the season last week, hopefully sees 15 touches this week.
WRMiles AustinTerrible recent history vs. Philly, but Eagles pass defense is awful. Five WRs have 9+ Fantasy points against the Eagles in their last three.
WRDez BryantHard to trust him with injury & chemistry issues. Has under 20 yards in 2 of last 3 games, has 90 total yards in two career games vs. Eagles.
TEJason WittenHas 6+ catches in each of last five games (80+ yards in three). Both TEs with 6+ catches vs. PHI have at least 6 Fantasy points.
DSTCowboysAfter the Saints sacked Vick seven times, Cowboys should tee off. Eagles have had under 20 points in all but two games this year.
Philadelphia Eagles
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBMichael VickCowboys have held all but one QB to 1 pass TD or less including Matt Ryan last week. Only two have 250+ pass yards. I'd sit Vick.
RBLeSean McCoyHas 10+ Fantasy points in all but one game this year & 3 of last 4 vs. DAL when he played more than a few snaps.
WRDeSean JacksonFour of last five vs. DAL have resulted in single-digit Fantasy point scores. Only four WRs have scored 10+ Fantasy points vs. DAL this season (two last week).
WRJeremy MaclinMaclin has TD in each of last two vs. DAL but has one score in his last five overall with four games under 40 yards.
TEBrent CelekOnly two TE s have posted 7+ Fantasy points vs. DAL and none since Week 2.
DSTEaglesThree of the last four DSTs to play DAL have scored under 10 Fantasy points, something the Eagles DST have done in their last seven games.

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Candlestick Park
St. Louis Rams
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBSam BradfordNiners have allowed one passing TD over last five with only one 200+ yard passer in that span.
RBSteven JacksonTotaled 95 rush yards, 26 receiving yards and no TDs in two games vs. SF last year. Run defense remains strong.
RBDaryl Richardson Has averaged 11.0 touches over last four games with 5+ Fantasy points in three. That's about all you can expect vs. SF.
WRDanny AmendolaHas 5+ catches in each game he's finished in '12. Only 4 of 10 WRs with 5+ catches vs. SF have had 7+ Fantasy points.
WRBrandon GibsonProduction could decrease with Amendola coming back, but did score both TDs while Amendola was on the field.
WRChris GivensNiners have allowed just 138.8 yards per game to wideouts. Givens' 50-yd catch streak definitely in jeopardy.
DSTRamsSix of eight DSTs Niners have faced have scored 10 Fantasy points or less.
San Francisco 49ers
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBAlex SmithRisky start. Rams' pass defense has been shattered for 9 TDs over last three games (with no INTs). Smith has two 3 TD games in last four -- and four with 1 or no TDs in last six.
RBFrank GoreRams' three-game streak vs. RBs came to halt when NE totaled 152 rush yards & 2 TDs against them. Gore remains quality starter.
WRMichael CrabtreeFive of Crabtree's 15 career TDs have come vs. STL including one in each of last four vs. Rams. STL has allowed five TDs to WRs in last two games.
WRMario Manningham Has 4+ catches in 5 of 7 games but 10+ Fantasy points in zero games. Hard to trust, even with a good matchup.
TEVernon DavisMatchup's not bad: STL have allowed TD to TE in 2 of last 3. Davis has to get back into the swing of the Niners offense.
DST49ersEvery DST vs. STL has posted 9+ Fantasy points over last seven games. Niners have posted at least that much in five games.

Houston Texans at Chicago Bears -- Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, Soldier Field
Houston Texans
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBMatt SchaubHard to trust. No QB has tossed 2 TDs vs. Chicago this year but Schaub has 2+ TDs in 4 of last 6. Has been sacked seven times over last three games.
RBArian FosterNo way you're sitting him; he's done well in tough matchups before. CJ2k's garbage-time TD last week ended CHI's streaks vs. RBs.
WRAndre JohnsonShould be OK. Has 8+ catches in each of last three games. All three WRs with 7+ catches vs. CHI topped 100 yards this season.
WRKevin WalterBears have allowed 11 WRs to 7+ Fantasy points including three over last two weeks.
TEOwen DanielsBears among toughest vs. TEs (only two have topped 40 yards) but Daniels has shined in tough matchups before.
DSTTexansTexans should sack Cutler a bunch and that's enough to keep them active. Two of last three DSTs vs. CHI have posted 13+ Fantasy points.
Chicago Bears
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBJay CutlerOnly 2 QBs have 20+ Fantasy points vs. HOU in 2012. And only two have 250+ yards passing. Not a good week for Cutler.
RBMatt ForteHOU hasn't allowed a rush TD to a RB all year but they have yielded three 100-total-yard RBs. MIA, BUF did OK vs. HOU passing to RBs.
WRBrandon MarshallCan't sit him. Texans have allowed one TD to WRs after the debacle vs. Green Bay. Marshall has 9+ Fantasy points in each of his last five.
DSTBearsNo DST has posted more than 11 Fantasy points against the Texans, but the Bears are too hot to sit.

Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers -- Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, Heinz Field
Kansas City Chiefs
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBMatt Cassel Steelers pass defense has held each of last four QBs to 1 TD or less. Your only hope here is for garbage time stats.
RBJamaal CharlesPrimary RBs haven't scored on PIT since Week 3 but Steelers have allowed rush TD in 3 of last 4. How much work can we really expect from Charles?
WRDwayne BoweSteelers have allowed TD to WR in three of last four and 5 of last 7. Bowe could clean up in garbage time.
DSTChiefs Six of the last seven DSTs vs. PIT have posted 9 Fantasy points or fewer. You can definitely find a better DST.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pos.NameRatingComment
QBBen RoethlisbergerSeven of eight QBs vs. KC have 2+ TDs, something Big Ben's done in 5 of 8 games. Should let loose against terrible secondary.
RBIsaac RedmanChiefs have allowed 181.7 total yards to RBs in their last three. Redman has best chance to lead Steelers in carries.
RBJonathan DwyerSeems tough to trust for big stats considering how well Redman played last week, but matchup should yield some numbers.
WRMike WallaceChiefs have allowed 11 TDs to WRs this year including six in their last three games. Wallace should shine.
WREmmanuel SandersGood sleeper thanks to extended playing time with Brown sidelined. Multiple receivers have scored on Chiefs in two of last three games.
TEHeath MillerEric Berry couldn't keep up with Antonio Gates last week, could get lost in the end zone covering Miller this week.
DSTSteelersMust start. Every DST vs. KC has posted at least 11 Fantasy points, four have found the end zone.

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Player News
Wes Welker expected to be suspended for Week 1
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(11:24 pm ET) Broncos wide receiver Wes Welker will be suspended for Week 1, according to the Denver Post.

Mike Klis initially reported that there was a chance Welker's suspension wouldn't kick in until after Week 1, but issued an update later. While the NFL has yet to officially announce the suspension, the Broncos have been informed of the move. The team is expected to send out a press release confirming the information Tuesday.


Report: Wes Welker may play Week 1
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(9:48 pm ET) Update: Welker will be suspended for Week 1, according to the Denver Post. The team is expected to send out a press release shortly.

Broncos wide receiver Wes Welker may play Week 1 against the Colts, according to the Denver Post

Welker is expected to be suspended for four games after reportedly testing positive for amphetamines. The league, however, has not officially announced the suspension. Suspensions are typically announced by Tuesday, according to Pro Football Talk. Since the NFL has yet to announce the move, it's thought Welker could be available for Week 1, but would serve his suspension once the NFL announced the move. 

There are a lot of uncertainties regarding the situation at this time. The club expects Welker to be available, provided he passes concussion protocal, but it remains to be seen how the NFL will handle this suspension. 


Randall Cobb to be tested Week 1
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(9:36 pm ET) Packers wide receiver Randall Cobb should be in for a tough test Week 1 against the Seahawks.

Cobb caught just three passes during the preseason, picking up 34 yards and a score. His lack of work shouldn’t be a huge concern, as the Packers offense doesn’t need any fine-tuning. The main thing here is that Cobb is 100 percent healthy after playing in just six games last season due to a leg injury.

His Week 1 production could be dampened by a strong Seahawks DST. Seattle was exceptional against the pass last season, holding opposing wide receivers to just 14.79 Fantasy points per game. That figure was the second-lowest rate in the league. On top of that, Cobb may have to deal with Richard Sherman, who is considered one of the best cornerbacks in the league. Sherman may spend the majority of the game stopping Jordy Nelson, but he could find his way over to Cobb on a few occasions.

Cobb’s versatility makes him a strong candidate to be moved around the Packers’ offense. If Green Bay can create some nice matchups, and Sherman is preoccupied with Nelson, Cobb could be in for a better game than people might expect. 

Despite that, expectations should be tempered. Seattle’s DST was strong last season, and while Green Bay boasts a strong offense, things should be muted Week 1. Cobb is a fine start, considering his upside, but he carries more risk this week due to the matchup.


Jordy Nelson in for a tough test Week 1
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(9:25 pm ET) Packers wide receiver Jordy Nelson should be in for a difficult test Week 1 against the Seahawks.

Nelson had a quiet preseason, catching just two passes for 19 yards. One of those catches wound up being a touchdown. Despite the lack of action during the preseason, Nelson’s upside with a healthy Aaron Rodgers is well-known among Fantasy owners. That said, he’s going to have to work for everything he gets against Seattle.

The Seahawks rated as the best defense in the league last year. They were strong in every facet of the game. Seattle held opposing wide receivers to just 14.79 Fantasy points per game, the second-lowest figure in the league. To make things even more difficult for Nelson, he’ll likely be covered by Richard Sherman. Sherman, by many counts, is arguably the best corner in the game. 

Still, it’s tough to pass up Nelson’s upside with a healthy Rodgers. The Packers boast an overabundance of weapons, and it’s possible moving Nelson around before the play could put him in a more favorable matchup. Even if Sherman covers him the entire game, Nelson is a good enough receiver to make some noise. While he doesn’t have a great matchup, Week 1 is not the time to take a player as good as Nelson out of your Fantasy lineup. 


Eddie Lacy to have his hands full Week 1
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(9:17 pm ET) Packers running back Eddie Lacy will have his hands full Week 1 against the Seahawks.

Lacy is coming off a tremendous rookie season, in which he rushed for nearly 1,200 yards and scored 11 touchdowns. He didn’t get a ton of use during the preseason, but seemed to be in midseason form. Lacy rushed for 61 yards on 11 carries, good for a 5.5 average over two preseason games. He also managed to run in a touchdown.

Though he looked strong in the preseason, Lacy should have a tough time against the Seahawks Week 1. Seattle allowed just 12.32 Fantasy points per game to opposing running backs last season. That was the second-lowest rate in the league. While the Seahawks lost three defensive linemen during the offseason, the club is thought to still have the top-rated Fantasy defense.

In many circles, Lacy was considered a strong Fantasy pick after the elite four running backs were off the board. With that in mind, it’s unlikely he’ll be benched in many leagues Week 1. There are better matchups out there, but Lacy is a tough player to sit. Given Green Bay’s offensive capabilities, he’s still a decent start even against the best Fantasy defenses. 


Aaron Rodgers taking on a tough task Week 1
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(9:02 pm ET) Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has his work cut out for him Week 1 against the Seahawks.

Rodgers entered the season as one of the top Fantasy options at quarterback, but will take on the best defense in the league. Last season, Seattle held Fantasy quarterbacks to just 10.89 points per game. That was the lowest rate in the league. The Seahawks DST ranked tops in the league in limiting points and yards last year. On top of that, the team forced the most turnovers.

While Seattle lost three members of the defensive line during the offseason, the club is still expected to have one of NFL’s best defenses. If Seattle struggles to get to Rodgers, that could open things up for the Packers offense.

Given the cost to acquire Rodgers, in a snake or auction draft, he’s probably going to start for most Fantasy teams despite his tough Week 1 matchup. While there are better quarterback options for this week, Rodgers still has a strong potential for dominance. He’s healthy and still has a bevy of weapons at his disposal. It might not be Rodgers best game of the season, but he’s shown that he can put up numbers against even the best defensive clubs.


Percy Harvin looking to start the year on the right foot
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(8:37 pm ET) Seahawks wide receiver Percy Harvin is looking at a strong matchup Week 1 against the Packers.

A quiet preseason was a good preseason for Harvin. After missing nearly all of last season due to a hip injury, Harvin was able to play in all but the final game of the preseason. He missed the fourth game due to a personal issue, and not because of an injury. Harvin caught seven balls for 92 yards in August.

The Packers didn’t boast a strong pass defense last season. The team allowed opposing wide receivers to average 22.94 Fantasy points per game. That wasn’t one of the worst rates in the league, but it was below-average. The team attempted to address this during the offseason, taking Ha Ha Clinton-Dix in the first round. Despite that, there’s no guarantee the team will perform better in the defensive backfield.

Despite the fact that Harvin is a five-year veteran, there are questions about how he’ll be used with the Seahawks. While Harvin was able to play during the club’s playoff run, it was unclear whether he was actually fully healthy last year. Harvin has shown the ability to be a game-changing wide receiver, so it’s assumed the Seahawks will find ways to get arguably their best playmaker the ball. The club has been been incredibly run-heavy over the past few seasons, but a healthy Harvin could make them more balanced. 


Marshawn Lynch ready to roll Week 1
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(8:35 pm ET) Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch is looking to get off to a good start Week 1 against the Packers.

Lynch had an abbreviated preseason, carrying the ball just three times for 16 yards. That’s probably not a bad thing considering his high workload over the past couple years. Lynch also had a brief holdout during the offseason, but reported to camp in shape, and should be ready to roll.

The Packers weren’t particularly strong against the run last season, giving up 19.18 Fantasy points per week to running backs. That was the eighth worst figure in the league. While the team tried to shore up things defensively during the offseason, the loss of B.J. Raji should make it easier for teams to gash the Packers up the middle. 

With that in mind, Lynch should be a strong start. The Seahawks modus operandi the past couple years has been the run game, and that probably won’t change now. There are concerns about Lynch’s workload and lack of preseason reps, but his pedigree and matchup make this a strong start Week 1. 


Russell Wilson ready to shine Week 1?
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(8:33 pm ET) Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson begins his post-Super Bowl year with a strong matchup against the Packers Week 1. 

Wilson performed well during the preseason, completing 78.6 percent of his passes. He threw for three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Wilson also managed three rushing touchdowns to cap off a strong preseason.

His ability to put up solid Fantasy numbers should be tested Week 1. The Packers did not boast a great defense against the pass last season. The team allowed quarterbacks to score 20.65 Fantasy points, which was the seventh worst clip in the league. Green Bay has been proactive in resolving the issue, drafting Ha Ha Clinton-Dix in the first round, but it’s unclear how much better the team’s defensive backs will perform. 

The bigger question will be whether the Seahawks open up the offense for Wilson this season. With Marshawn Lynch out for much of the preseason, Wilson showed the ability to carry the team with his arm. Now that Lynch is back, the team could opt to get back to conservative play-calling with the franchise quarterback. Wilson has all the makings of a strong matchup here, but could get the short end of the stick if the Seahawks pound Lynch.


Matt Forte should live up to billing in Week 1
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(8:25 pm ET) Bears running back Matt Forte was ranked as a top five Fantasy running back going into the season, and he falls in the top five in both weekly running back rankings from CBSSports.com experts. After setting career highs in rushing yardage, rushing touchdowns, receptions and receiving yardage in 2013, will Forte get this season started off on the right foot in Week 1 against the Bills?

While Buffalo put together a strong defense last season, the team's particular strength was against the pass. Rushers were able to gain 4.4 yards per carry against the Bills, leaving them 23rd in the league in the category. While the Bills did a good job defending against pass-catching backs last season, they now have to play without linebackers Kiko Alonso (season-ending injury) and Nigel Bradham (suspended for Week 1) as well as safety Jairus Byrd (signed with New Orleans).

New defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz's defense was just average defending passes against running backs in Detroit last season. Forte has been excellent against Schwartz, who was the head coach of the Lions from 2009 through 2013. He has rushed for 1,005 yards and averaged 4.74 yards per carry while catching 38 passes for 360 yards in 12 career games against the Lions. Ten of those contests came with Schwartz at the helm, and Forte should be able to continue giving the Bills defensive coordinator nightmares this Sunday.


 
 
 
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