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Full Disclosure: At least CJ2K came through!

Senior Fantasy Writer
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You have to take risks when making Fantasy Football predictions and recommendations. You have to follow trends and look at matchups and gauge when a player is in a slump or just had an off week.

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If not, then most lineups would be stagnant following Draft Day, and you would never have the guts to bench guys like LeGarrette Blount, Reggie Wayne or DeSean Jackson for players like DeMarco Murray, Antonio Brown or Victor Cruz. And your Fantasy team would be terrible.

So this past week, when looking at matchups and recent play, I had some big-name players as bust alerts in Tom Brady, Marshawn Lynch, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Lloyd and Vernon Davis. Throw in the Bears DST, which was listed as a sit, and the results blew up in my face.

Now, as we always say with the bust alerts and explain in the description, these are not players to outright sit in the majority of leagues. But still, we suggested they would struggle when instead they were stars, and this happens from time to time when you stick your neck out there and take chances with stud players. Next time, as we have been most of this season, we will get more right than wrong.

On a positive note, we stood behind the struggling Chris Johnson as the Start of the Week and suggested Week 10 would be his best outing of the season. And it was with 23 Fantasy points at Carolina. We can't guarantee Johnson will continue to play at this level going forward, and he has a difficult matchup in Week 11 at Atlanta, but for one week he played like a Top 5 overall pick and the running back we remembered prior to this season.

Editor's note: The Fantasy points are based on a standard-scoring league with six points for all touchdowns.

Full Disclosure from Week 10
Start of the Week
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Chris Johnson, RB, TEN 11 23 88 No. 3
Recommended starts that made us look good
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL 19 24 68 No. 5
Mark Sanchez, QB, NYJ 18 21 18 No. 6
Eli Manning, QB, NYG 21 20 62 No. 8
Tim Tebow, QB, DEN 22 18 34 No. 10
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT 11 18 82 No. 7
Reggie Bush, RB, MIA 9 16 64 No. 8
Mario Manningham, WR, NYG 6 13 40 No. 9
Recommended starts that made us look bad
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Matt Cassel, QB, KC 17 10 14 No. 19
Pierre Thomas, RB, NO 9 2 44 No. 46
Greg Olsen, TE, CAR 9 2 45 No. 25
Recommended sits that made us look good
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Joe Flacco, QB, BAL 16 14 24 No. 14
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN 15 14 9 No. 15
Josh Freeman, QB, TB 17 8 20 No. 21
Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, BUF 17 7 21 No. 26
Cedric Benson, RB, CIN 7 5 50 No. 35
Maurice Morris, RB, DET 6 4 17 No. 38
Nate Washington, WR, TEN 4 4 16 No. 50
Pierre Garcon, WR, IND 5 4 40 No. 51
Mike Williams, WR, TB 3 4 27 No. 52
Kellen Winslow, TE, TB 5 3 27 No. 22
DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR 4 3 14 No. 45
Recommended sits that made us look bad
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Tom Brady, QB, NE 20 31 93 No. 1
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI 7 26 84 No. 1
Marshawn Lynch, RB, SEA 8 21 32 No. 5
Deion Branch, WR, NE 6 11 36 No. 13
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL 7 10 75 No. 16
Vernon Davis, TE, SF 5 10 61 No. 5
Jermaine Gresham, TE, CIN 5 8 3 No. 7
Sleepers that shined in Week 10
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Carson Palmer, QB, OAK 17 19 13 No. 9
Laurent Robinson, WR, DAL 7 19 45 No. 3
Ben Tate, RB, HOU 7 12 27 No. 11
Chris Ogbonnaya, RB, CLE 6 10 23 No. 14
Jacob Tamme, TE, IND 2 7 0 No. 8
Sleepers that struggled in Week 10
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Jay Cutler, QB, CHI 18 3 14 No. 29
Steve Breaston, WR, KC 5 3 29 No. 53
Josh Cribbs, WR, CLE 4 3 8 No. 54

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

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Player News
Marshawn Lynch retools current contract, receives higher base salary
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) The week-long holdout worked to a certain extent for Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch. The 28-year-old restructured his current contract with the Seahawks, which will give him $6 million guaranteed this season, per Pro Football Talk.

Lynch will make a $5 million base salary in 2014, with a possible $500,000 roster bonus and another $500,000 bonus if he reaches 1,500-plus rushing yards. He totaled over 1,500 yards of offense with 14 total touchdowns last year but had over 400 total touches between the regular season and postseason.

DeMarcus Ware back at practice
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) Broncos defensive end DeMarcus Ware returned to a limited practice Thursday after missing two practices with a bruised lower right leg, reports ESPN.com.

Mike Wallace might not be ready for preseason opener
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) Dolphins receiver Mike Wallace missed a second straight day of practice with a sore hamstring and won't play in Saturday's scrimmage at Sun Life Stadium, reports the Miami Herald. His status for the Aug. 8 preseason opener against the Falcons is uncertain.

The paper said the injury is not serious, but "obviously slows the growth of Wallace's and quarterback Ryan Tannehill's ability to team up on dynamic long passes."


Bills going to 'feed' Sammy Watkins
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) Bills rookie receiver Sammy Watkins "may not be the savior they hope he will be in Buffalo, but this team is going to feed him the ball and they are gambling he can make a quarterback out of EJ Manuel," reports CBS Sports NFL Insider Jason La Canfora. "I’m not sure that will be the case, but a rookie of the year performance from Watkins wouldn’t shock me either."

La Canfora listed Watkins first among his 10 breakout players.


Dolphins switch out tight ends
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) The Dolphins signed tight end Raymond Webber and waived tight end Brett Brackett, the team announced.

Marshawn Lynch reports to camp
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch officially ended his holdout and reported to training camp, reports NFL Network. His holdout lasted less than a week.

Geno Smith gets every first-team rep
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) Jets quarterback Geno Smith took all 16 of the first-team reps Thursday, while Michael Vick got none, reports the New York Post. Until Thursday, Smith has been getting about 75 percent of the first-team snaps.

"I told [offensive coordinator] Marty (Mornhinweg) and Marty knows I understand that look, we have a certain mission to accomplish and we’ve got to get things going, we’ve got to get on the right track and I understand that. I won’t stand in the way of that," Vick told the paper.


Chiefs add Steve Gregory
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) On the same day safety Eric Berry suffered an ankle injury, the Chiefs signed veteran safety Steve Gregory. Gregory played in 26 games and started 23 for the Patriots the past two seasons, registering 116 tackles, four interceptions and two forced fumbles.

Eric Berry sustains ankle injury
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) Chiefs safety Eric Berry left Thursday's practice with an ankle injury, reports the Associated Press. Coach Andy Reid said Berry, who was carted off, has a sore ankle, "not an Achilles tear or any of that, but they’re evaluating him. They’re just seeing what it is."

Seahawks tweak roster
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(7/31/2014) The Seahawks put tight end Anthony McCoy (torn Achilles) on injured reserve and signed receiver Ronald Johnson, who's spent time with the Eagles and 49ers.

 
 
 
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