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Full Disclosure: At least CJ2K came through!

Senior Fantasy Writer
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You have to take risks when making Fantasy Football predictions and recommendations. You have to follow trends and look at matchups and gauge when a player is in a slump or just had an off week.

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If not, then most lineups would be stagnant following Draft Day, and you would never have the guts to bench guys like LeGarrette Blount, Reggie Wayne or DeSean Jackson for players like DeMarco Murray, Antonio Brown or Victor Cruz. And your Fantasy team would be terrible.

So this past week, when looking at matchups and recent play, I had some big-name players as bust alerts in Tom Brady, Marshawn Lynch, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Lloyd and Vernon Davis. Throw in the Bears DST, which was listed as a sit, and the results blew up in my face.

Now, as we always say with the bust alerts and explain in the description, these are not players to outright sit in the majority of leagues. But still, we suggested they would struggle when instead they were stars, and this happens from time to time when you stick your neck out there and take chances with stud players. Next time, as we have been most of this season, we will get more right than wrong.

On a positive note, we stood behind the struggling Chris Johnson as the Start of the Week and suggested Week 10 would be his best outing of the season. And it was with 23 Fantasy points at Carolina. We can't guarantee Johnson will continue to play at this level going forward, and he has a difficult matchup in Week 11 at Atlanta, but for one week he played like a Top 5 overall pick and the running back we remembered prior to this season.

Editor's note: The Fantasy points are based on a standard-scoring league with six points for all touchdowns.

Full Disclosure from Week 10
Start of the Week
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Chris Johnson, RB, TEN 11 23 88 No. 3
Recommended starts that made us look good
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL 19 24 68 No. 5
Mark Sanchez, QB, NYJ 18 21 18 No. 6
Eli Manning, QB, NYG 21 20 62 No. 8
Tim Tebow, QB, DEN 22 18 34 No. 10
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT 11 18 82 No. 7
Reggie Bush, RB, MIA 9 16 64 No. 8
Mario Manningham, WR, NYG 6 13 40 No. 9
Recommended starts that made us look bad
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Matt Cassel, QB, KC 17 10 14 No. 19
Pierre Thomas, RB, NO 9 2 44 No. 46
Greg Olsen, TE, CAR 9 2 45 No. 25
Recommended sits that made us look good
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Joe Flacco, QB, BAL 16 14 24 No. 14
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN 15 14 9 No. 15
Josh Freeman, QB, TB 17 8 20 No. 21
Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, BUF 17 7 21 No. 26
Cedric Benson, RB, CIN 7 5 50 No. 35
Maurice Morris, RB, DET 6 4 17 No. 38
Nate Washington, WR, TEN 4 4 16 No. 50
Pierre Garcon, WR, IND 5 4 40 No. 51
Mike Williams, WR, TB 3 4 27 No. 52
Kellen Winslow, TE, TB 5 3 27 No. 22
DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR 4 3 14 No. 45
Recommended sits that made us look bad
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Tom Brady, QB, NE 20 31 93 No. 1
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI 7 26 84 No. 1
Marshawn Lynch, RB, SEA 8 21 32 No. 5
Deion Branch, WR, NE 6 11 36 No. 13
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL 7 10 75 No. 16
Vernon Davis, TE, SF 5 10 61 No. 5
Jermaine Gresham, TE, CIN 5 8 3 No. 7
Sleepers that shined in Week 10
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Carson Palmer, QB, OAK 17 19 13 No. 9
Laurent Robinson, WR, DAL 7 19 45 No. 3
Ben Tate, RB, HOU 7 12 27 No. 11
Chris Ogbonnaya, RB, CLE 6 10 23 No. 14
Jacob Tamme, TE, IND 2 7 0 No. 8
Sleepers that struggled in Week 10
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Jay Cutler, QB, CHI 18 3 14 No. 29
Steve Breaston, WR, KC 5 3 29 No. 53
Josh Cribbs, WR, CLE 4 3 8 No. 54

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

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Player News
Seahawks make roster moves
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(1:27 pm ET) The Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks have waived/injured defensive tackle Dewayne Cherrington and signed linebacker Brandon Denmark and safety Steven Terrell.

Top pick Calvin Pryor getting examined for concussion
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(1:23 pm ET) Jets rookie free safety Calvin Pryor, who had a strong minicamp, is being evaluated for a head injury sustained in practice Saturday, per the New York Post. He was hurt while serving as a personal protector in practice.

The extent of the problem remains unknown for the first-round pick and former University if Louisville standout. Rex Ryan has said it has yet to be determined if Pryor has a concussion.


Hamstring problem has Cecil Shorts out for a few weeks
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:44 pm ET) Gus Bradley has announced that a hamstring injury will keep Jaguars wide receiver Cecil Shorts sidelined for several weeks. That could keep him out of at least two preseason games.

Shorts easily led the team with 777 yards receiving last year. His health and productivity are critical considering that fellow Jacksonville wideout Justin Blackmon has been suspended indefinitely by the NFL.


Kendall Hunter out for season with ACL tear
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:36 pm ET) San Francisco running back Kendall Hunter will likely miss the 2014 season with an ACL tear sustained in practice Friday, per the Sacramento Bee. His knee buckled after catching a pass.

Hunter contributed 358 yards and three touchdowns a year ago. His absence could mean more playing time for 49ers second-round pick Carlos Hyde.


Owner: Johnny Manziel must learn from dedicated athletes
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:29 pm ET) Browns owner Jimmy Haslam did not exactly offer praise for quarterback and first-round pick Johnny Manziel, who earned plenty of offseason publicity and criticism for his very public partying.

"The really great athletes make their news on the field, not off the field," Haslam said via the San Antonio Express-News. Haslam added his wish that Manziel would pattern his professional outlook after such superstar athletes as Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Derek Jeter and LeBron James.

Manziel later told WKNR-AM that he agrees with Haslam that he can learn from that quartet.


Coach: Barkevious Mingo shined in Saturday practice
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:15 pm ET) Mike Pettine spoke glowingly Saturday about Browns 2013 top pick Barkevious Mingo, who proved disappointing as a pass rusher as a rookie as his production diminished in time.

Pettine said "hopefully the switch has been flipped" in regard to Mingo. The coach added that Mingo has gained much-needed weight and is now in the upper 230s. Mingo will also be put to the test in pass coverage, at which he was not adept a year ago.


Eric Berry sustains dislocated finger in practice
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:06 pm ET) Chiefs strong safety Eric Berry sustained a dislocated finger Saturday in practice, ESPN has reported. It remains to be seen if or for how long it sidelines him from training camp.

The All-Pro took back two interceptions for touchdowns a year ago.


Coach praises Miles Austin for Saturday work
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:57 am ET) Mike Pettine has praised Browns veteran wide receiver Miles Austin for his performance at practice Saturday, per WKNR-AM. He also expressed encouragement regarding other players at that position, perhaps as he braces for the impending drug suspension of top wideout Josh Gordon.

Austin is hoping to bounce back from an injury-plagued 2013 in which he was limited to eight starts, 24 catches, 244 yards and no touchdowns. He is at this point the team's most accomplished wide receiver.


James Oboh leaves Saturday practice with knee problem
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:50 am ET) Browns tight end hopeful and rookie free agent James Oboh walked off the field with a trainer after going down and grabbing his knee during 11-on-11 drills, per the Akron Beacon Journal. The extent of his injury has yet to be revealed.

Trent Richardson misses second straight practice
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:42 am ET) A day after losing Vick Ballard for the season to injury, the Colts are holding out fellow running back Trent Richardson from practice again Saturday with a soft tissue issue.

Richardson, whose problem has not been deemed serious, was a bust in 2013 after the trade brought him from Cleveland. He averaged just 2.9 YPC as his playing time decreased as the season progressed.


 
 
 
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