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Full Disclosure: At least CJ2K came through!

Senior Fantasy Writer
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You have to take risks when making Fantasy Football predictions and recommendations. You have to follow trends and look at matchups and gauge when a player is in a slump or just had an off week.

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If not, then most lineups would be stagnant following Draft Day, and you would never have the guts to bench guys like LeGarrette Blount, Reggie Wayne or DeSean Jackson for players like DeMarco Murray, Antonio Brown or Victor Cruz. And your Fantasy team would be terrible.

So this past week, when looking at matchups and recent play, I had some big-name players as bust alerts in Tom Brady, Marshawn Lynch, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Lloyd and Vernon Davis. Throw in the Bears DST, which was listed as a sit, and the results blew up in my face.

Now, as we always say with the bust alerts and explain in the description, these are not players to outright sit in the majority of leagues. But still, we suggested they would struggle when instead they were stars, and this happens from time to time when you stick your neck out there and take chances with stud players. Next time, as we have been most of this season, we will get more right than wrong.

On a positive note, we stood behind the struggling Chris Johnson as the Start of the Week and suggested Week 10 would be his best outing of the season. And it was with 23 Fantasy points at Carolina. We can't guarantee Johnson will continue to play at this level going forward, and he has a difficult matchup in Week 11 at Atlanta, but for one week he played like a Top 5 overall pick and the running back we remembered prior to this season.

Editor's note: The Fantasy points are based on a standard-scoring league with six points for all touchdowns.

Full Disclosure from Week 10
Start of the Week
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Chris Johnson, RB, TEN 11 23 88 No. 3
Recommended starts that made us look good
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL 19 24 68 No. 5
Mark Sanchez, QB, NYJ 18 21 18 No. 6
Eli Manning, QB, NYG 21 20 62 No. 8
Tim Tebow, QB, DEN 22 18 34 No. 10
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT 11 18 82 No. 7
Reggie Bush, RB, MIA 9 16 64 No. 8
Mario Manningham, WR, NYG 6 13 40 No. 9
Recommended starts that made us look bad
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Matt Cassel, QB, KC 17 10 14 No. 19
Pierre Thomas, RB, NO 9 2 44 No. 46
Greg Olsen, TE, CAR 9 2 45 No. 25
Recommended sits that made us look good
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Joe Flacco, QB, BAL 16 14 24 No. 14
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN 15 14 9 No. 15
Josh Freeman, QB, TB 17 8 20 No. 21
Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, BUF 17 7 21 No. 26
Cedric Benson, RB, CIN 7 5 50 No. 35
Maurice Morris, RB, DET 6 4 17 No. 38
Nate Washington, WR, TEN 4 4 16 No. 50
Pierre Garcon, WR, IND 5 4 40 No. 51
Mike Williams, WR, TB 3 4 27 No. 52
Kellen Winslow, TE, TB 5 3 27 No. 22
DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR 4 3 14 No. 45
Recommended sits that made us look bad
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Tom Brady, QB, NE 20 31 93 No. 1
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI 7 26 84 No. 1
Marshawn Lynch, RB, SEA 8 21 32 No. 5
Deion Branch, WR, NE 6 11 36 No. 13
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL 7 10 75 No. 16
Vernon Davis, TE, SF 5 10 61 No. 5
Jermaine Gresham, TE, CIN 5 8 3 No. 7
Sleepers that shined in Week 10
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Carson Palmer, QB, OAK 17 19 13 No. 9
Laurent Robinson, WR, DAL 7 19 45 No. 3
Ben Tate, RB, HOU 7 12 27 No. 11
Chris Ogbonnaya, RB, CLE 6 10 23 No. 14
Jacob Tamme, TE, IND 2 7 0 No. 8
Sleepers that struggled in Week 10
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Jay Cutler, QB, CHI 18 3 14 No. 29
Steve Breaston, WR, KC 5 3 29 No. 53
Josh Cribbs, WR, CLE 4 3 8 No. 54

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

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Player News
Once-proud 49ers DST rendered toothless
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:59 am ET) Beset by injuries and suspension, the 49ers DST failed to force a turnover in the 28-20 loss to the Bears and their turnover-prone quarterback, Jay Cutler. The unit allowed Cutler to complete 13 of 14 passes in the second half and throw for four touchdowns overall.

While San Francisco allowed only 216 total yards, the defense rarely pressured Cutler. The 49ers hit him three times all game and recorded just one sack, by defensive lineman Justin Smith. The secondary was helpless to stop wideout Brandon Marshall, who caught three touchdowns.

The 49ers DST heads to Arizona in Week 3.


49ers get offensive contributions
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:54 am ET) The 49ers got contributions from a variety of players in their Week 2 loss to the Bears. Wideout Steve Johnson caught two of four targets for 26 yards, tight end Vance McDonald had a 9-yard reception and fullback Bruce Miller carried once for no gain.

Receiver Bruce Ellington was targeted once without a catch.


Derek Carrier shows up with 41 receiving yards
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:52 am ET) With Vernon Davis going down with an ankle injury and Vance McDonald dealing with a knee injury, 49ers tight end Derek Carrier saw increased playing time in the Week 2 loss to the Bears. He caught three of four targets for 41 yards, including a 22-yarder.

Carrier visits the Cardinals in Week 3.


Anquan Boldin does little with six targets
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:48 am ET) 49ers receiver Anquan Boldin caught two of six targets for 34 yards in the Week 2 loss to the Bears. With Michael Crabtree fully healthy, Boldin has taken a back seat in San Francisco's passing game.

Boldin visits the Cardinals in Week 3.


Michael Crabtree dominates 49ers' passing game
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:45 am ET) Michael Crabtree was 49ers' quarterback Colin Kaepernick's clear No. 1 target in the Week 2 loss vs. the Bears. Crabtree drew a game-high nine targets, three more than any other San Fran wideout, and caught seven passes for 82 yards and a touchdown.

Crabtree found himself wide open for a 3-yard score in the first quarter and made other big plays, like converting 4th-and-6 with a 9-yard reception on his team's final drive. But on 4th-and-9 at the Bears' 17 with 1:17 left, Crabtree juggled and dropped a pass in the end zone.

He'll visit Arizona in Week 3.


Carlos Hyde does nothing Week 2
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:39 am ET) 49ers running back Carlos Hyde had a dismal Week 2 game against the Bears. Hyde ran four times for zero yards and caught a 5-yard pass on two targets.

It was a step back for the talented rookie, who'll visit Arizona in Week 3.


Frank Gore averages 4.8 yards per carry
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:37 am ET) 49ers running back Frank Gore ran 13 times for 63 yards (4.8 ypc) against the Bears, including an 8-yard touchdown on a counter in which he lunged for the end zone. Gore probably should have gotten the ball more in a game San Fran led by 17 points.

Gore, who has 72 career touchdowns, caught both his targets for 12 yards. He'll visit the Cardinals in Week 3.


Bears DST comes up big
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:32 am ET) Overlooked after a poor Week 1 performance, the Bears DST came up big Sunday night at San Francisco. Chicago forced four turnovers by Colin Kaepernick, with rookie corner Kyle Fuller making two fourth-quarter interceptions.

Defensive end Jared Allen forced a fumble, safety Danny McCray recovering. Safety Chris Conte made his second interception of the season before leaving with a shoulder injury. Defensive end Willie Young led a strong pass rush with four sacks.

Riding a lot of momentum, the rejuvenated Bears DST visits the Jets on Monday Night Football in Week 3.

Phil Dawson hits two short field goals
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:28 am ET) 49ers kicker Phil Dawson converted 27- and 24-yard field goals in the Week 2 loss vs. the Bears. Dawson added two PATs for an eight-point night. He'll visit Arizona in Week 3.

Robbie Gould has quiet night
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:26 am ET) Bears kicker Robbie Gould did not get to try a field goal Sunday night at San Francisco, but he converted all four of his PATs. Gould visits the Jets on Monday Night Football in Week 3.

 
 
 
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