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Full Disclosure: At least CJ2K came through!

Senior Fantasy Writer
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You have to take risks when making Fantasy Football predictions and recommendations. You have to follow trends and look at matchups and gauge when a player is in a slump or just had an off week.

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If not, then most lineups would be stagnant following Draft Day, and you would never have the guts to bench guys like LeGarrette Blount, Reggie Wayne or DeSean Jackson for players like DeMarco Murray, Antonio Brown or Victor Cruz. And your Fantasy team would be terrible.

So this past week, when looking at matchups and recent play, I had some big-name players as bust alerts in Tom Brady, Marshawn Lynch, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Lloyd and Vernon Davis. Throw in the Bears DST, which was listed as a sit, and the results blew up in my face.

Now, as we always say with the bust alerts and explain in the description, these are not players to outright sit in the majority of leagues. But still, we suggested they would struggle when instead they were stars, and this happens from time to time when you stick your neck out there and take chances with stud players. Next time, as we have been most of this season, we will get more right than wrong.

On a positive note, we stood behind the struggling Chris Johnson as the Start of the Week and suggested Week 10 would be his best outing of the season. And it was with 23 Fantasy points at Carolina. We can't guarantee Johnson will continue to play at this level going forward, and he has a difficult matchup in Week 11 at Atlanta, but for one week he played like a Top 5 overall pick and the running back we remembered prior to this season.

Editor's note: The Fantasy points are based on a standard-scoring league with six points for all touchdowns.

Full Disclosure from Week 10
Start of the Week
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Chris Johnson, RB, TEN 11 23 88 No. 3
Recommended starts that made us look good
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL 19 24 68 No. 5
Mark Sanchez, QB, NYJ 18 21 18 No. 6
Eli Manning, QB, NYG 21 20 62 No. 8
Tim Tebow, QB, DEN 22 18 34 No. 10
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT 11 18 82 No. 7
Reggie Bush, RB, MIA 9 16 64 No. 8
Mario Manningham, WR, NYG 6 13 40 No. 9
Recommended starts that made us look bad
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Matt Cassel, QB, KC 17 10 14 No. 19
Pierre Thomas, RB, NO 9 2 44 No. 46
Greg Olsen, TE, CAR 9 2 45 No. 25
Recommended sits that made us look good
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Joe Flacco, QB, BAL 16 14 24 No. 14
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN 15 14 9 No. 15
Josh Freeman, QB, TB 17 8 20 No. 21
Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, BUF 17 7 21 No. 26
Cedric Benson, RB, CIN 7 5 50 No. 35
Maurice Morris, RB, DET 6 4 17 No. 38
Nate Washington, WR, TEN 4 4 16 No. 50
Pierre Garcon, WR, IND 5 4 40 No. 51
Mike Williams, WR, TB 3 4 27 No. 52
Kellen Winslow, TE, TB 5 3 27 No. 22
DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR 4 3 14 No. 45
Recommended sits that made us look bad
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Tom Brady, QB, NE 20 31 93 No. 1
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI 7 26 84 No. 1
Marshawn Lynch, RB, SEA 8 21 32 No. 5
Deion Branch, WR, NE 6 11 36 No. 13
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL 7 10 75 No. 16
Vernon Davis, TE, SF 5 10 61 No. 5
Jermaine Gresham, TE, CIN 5 8 3 No. 7
Sleepers that shined in Week 10
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Carson Palmer, QB, OAK 17 19 13 No. 9
Laurent Robinson, WR, DAL 7 19 45 No. 3
Ben Tate, RB, HOU 7 12 27 No. 11
Chris Ogbonnaya, RB, CLE 6 10 23 No. 14
Jacob Tamme, TE, IND 2 7 0 No. 8
Sleepers that struggled in Week 10
Player Fantasy Points (projected) Fantasy Points (actual) Start percentage Rank at position
Jay Cutler, QB, CHI 18 3 14 No. 29
Steve Breaston, WR, KC 5 3 29 No. 53
Josh Cribbs, WR, CLE 4 3 8 No. 54

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

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Player News
You'll want to stick with Tre Mason
by Scott White | Senior Fantasy Writer
(6:31 pm ET) In two games since blowing up for 164 total yards and three touchdowns, Rams running back Tre Mason has a total of 99 yards on 33 carries. Neither performance was good individually, and Week 15 against Arizona was especially bad. Subtract the fumble from his 33 yards, and he scored a grand total of one Fantasy point in standard CBSSports.com leagues.

So why would you consider using him in your championship game with the Rams hosting the Giants in Week 16? For one thing, the matchup is a night-and-day difference. You had to expect Mason to struggle against the Cardinals, who rank sixth against the run, allowing 90.4 yards per game, but would have guessed the Redskins, his Week 14 opponent, rank seventh? It's not a matter of teams choosing to beat them through the air either. They're one of 10 teams that have allowed less than 4 yards per carry.

The Giants, meanwhile, rank 30th against the run, allowing 135.1 yards per game and 4.9 yards per carry. It doesn't mean Mason is a lock for big numbers. The Redskins' Alfred Morris, who most would consider a superior running back, had just 49 yards on 14 carries against the Giants last week. But after splitting carries early on, Mason has become the clear workhorse of the Rams backfield. You don't sit a running back with that role when he has a favorable matchup, especially when he's performed as Mason has this season.

Jamey Eisenberg agrees, naming Mason the CBSSports.com Start of the Week for Week 16.


Packers, Randall Cobb not in discussions for contract extension
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(6:21 pm ET) Packers wide receiver Randall Cobb said Thursday that he and the team haven't been engaged in contract-extension talks, the Journal Sentinel reports.

"There’s no contract talks that have been going on right now, so I guess not," Cobb said when asked if he thought he's done enough to earn an extension. "I guess there’s still more to do. So, just continue to put my nose down every day and focus on getting the team into the playoffs and doing everything I can to bring back the Super Bowl."

Cobb is in the last year of his rookie contract and will become a free agent this offseason if an extension isn't signed. He's enjoyed a breakout performance in 2014, racking up 76 receptions for 1,076 yards with 10 touchdowns. If the Packers choose to let Cobb enter free agency, 2014 second-round pick Davante Adams would likely move into a much larger role.


Turner: Matt Asiata to get bulk of carries Sunday against Dolphins
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5:59 pm ET) After it was reported the Vikings were going to use a running-back-by-committee approach once Jerrick McKinnon was lost for the season, offensive coordinator Norv Turner said Thursday Matt Asiata will get the majority of the carries when Minnesota travels to Miami Sunday.

"Well, Matt I think showed, I think he's shown throughout, but he's showed in the game that he's a guy that gives us the best all-around running, catching, [pass] protection," Turner said Thursday. "He had an outstanding game so I would expect Matt to get the bulk of the work and when there's opportunity to get someone else in there we'll do it."

Asiata is averaging 3.3 yards per carry this season with seven rushing touchdowns. Running backs Joe Banyard and Ben Tate appear to be on the back burner after Tate has had just 38 yards on 13 carries since going the Vikings. While Banyard has just 45 yards on 10 carries. 


Bengals TE Jermaine Gresham on track to play Week 16
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:53 pm ET) Bengals tight end Jermaine Gresham, who missed the Week 15 win at Cleveland with a toe injury, practiced fully Thursday, reports ESPN.com. He's on track to start Monday against the Broncos.

With Tyler Eifert still trying to come back from an elbow injury he suffered in the season opener, Gresham is the team's only pass-catching tight end. Gresham has 50 grabs for 378 yards and three touchdowns.


DeAngelo Williams could play Sunday wearing a cast
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:38 pm ET) Panthers running back DeAngelo Williams is getting fitted for a cast he'd wear if he returns to action Sunday against the Browns, reports ESPN.com. Williams fractured his right hand in the Week 13 loss at Minnesota.

Williams was limited in Thursday's practice. He hasn't caught passes, and the team is concerned about how the injury will affect his blocking, the report said.

But if Williams returns, he'll cut into the sizable workload Jonathan Stewart has received the past two weeks when he averaged 21.5 touches.


Jaguars announce QB Blake Bortles will start Thursday night
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:21 pm ET) Jaguars rookie quarterback Blake Bortles, who was questionable with a mid-foot sprain, will start Thursday night's game against the Titans, the team announced. It will be Bortles' first primetime appearance.

Bortles made a quick recovery from the injury, but how effective he'll be remains to be seen. He's thrown 10 touchdowns against 17 interceptions. Tennessee will start quarterback Charlie Whitehurst following injuries to Zach Mettenberger and Jake Locker.

Jacksonville is favored by 3.5 points -- the first time it has been favored in 43 games.


Edelman, LaFell, Vereen still limited for Patriots
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(5:20 pm ET) The Patriots received limited participation in practice from Julian Edelman, Brandon LaFell and Shane Vereen on Thursday.

All three players were limited on Wednesday, so there was no change in their status. Edelman is battling a thigh injury and a concussion. LaFell has a shoulder issue. Vereen is dealing with an ankle injury. The team will release a final game status for each player following Friday's practice. 


Broncos TE Julius Thomas (ankle) practices fully
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:14 pm ET) Broncos tight end Julius Thomas practiced fully Thursday as the team readied for Monday night's game in Cincinnati. It's a positive step for Thomas, who was limited last week due to his ankle injury.

Thomas played 29 snaps and caught a 30-yard pass in the Week 15 win at San Diego. He could be primed to return to his normal workload Monday.


Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles practices in full Thursday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4:59 pm ET) Ankle and knee ailments could not prevent Chiefs standout running back Jamaal Charles from putting in a full practice Thursday. He was limited in the Wednesday session.

Charles in a roll. He has 515 yards on 86 carries in the last six games for a 6.0 YPC average.


DeMarco Murray increases workload in Thursday's practice
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(4:53 pm ET) Cowboys running back DeMarco Murray was listed as limited in Thursday's practice, but he said he did a lot more than he was able to do Wednesday, reports the Dallas Morning News. Wearing a special glove with padding to protect his surgically-repaired left hand, Murray participated in some team drills.

"It’s good," Murray told the paper. "I feel good."

Murray was asked if he'll play Sunday against the Colts, if the decision is left up to him. "I’m a very competitive person and I want to help this team out as much as I can," he told the paper. "I’ve had two good days and we’ll see how it goes."

Owner Jerry Jones said he was encouraged that Murray, the NFL's leading rusher, is "so aggressive in his thinking about playing."

Murray underwent surgery Monday to fix a broken bone in his hand. If he sits out, Joseph Randle and Lance Dunbar would rotate at tailback. Dallas is favored by 3 over the Colts at nearly every sportsbook.


 
 
 
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