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Offseason Extra: Top 12 QBs for 2012

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Aaron Rodgers helped many Fantasy owners win a championship in 2011. So did Drew Brees. And Tom Brady. And Matthew Stafford. And Cam Newton. And ...

It was a great year for Fantasy quarterbacks with Rodgers, Brees and Brady leading the way, but many other passers had stellar campaigns. There were nine quarterbacks who averaged at least 20 Fantasy points a week in standard leagues with Rodgers (31.7), Brees (29.5), Brady (26.9), Stafford (25.9), Newton (24.6), Eli Manning (20.7), Tony Romo (20.4), Matt Ryan (19.9) and Michael Vick (19.8).

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That list doesn't include Philip Rivers (18.8), Matt Schaub (18.1) or Ben Roethlisberger (16.5), who were drafted as starters in the majority of leagues but struggled with injuries or inconsistent play. And we know Peyton Manning missed the entire season following neck surgery.

Getting Manning back (hopefully) in 2012 will make the talent pool at quarterback even deeper, which is a great thing for Fantasy owners. While there is a benefit to drafting Rodgers, Brees or Brady early -- and they are worth selecting in the first round in standard formats -- you can wait and still get a quality starter.

It will be exciting for Fantasy owners who like to wait on drafting a quarterback to potentially get Romo, Rivers or Ryan in Round 4 or later and still construct an outstanding Fantasy team with standout running backs or receivers. We know the NFL has become a passing league, and to think that quarterbacks like Roethlisberger, Schaub and Carson Palmer could be No. 2 Fantasy options shows just how many quality passers there are out there.

Tim Tebow could also be a difference maker for Fantasy owners, but he looks more like a bust than a savior with the way he finished this season since teams have appeared to figure out how to stop him. Tebow should not be drafted as a starter in most Fantasy leagues. The same goes for Ryan Fitzpatrick and Mark Sanchez, who finished as Top 12 quarterbacks in 2011 but will fail to match similar stats in 2012.

And some sleepers to target include Jake Locker, Matt Flynn and Sam Bradford. The Titans should give Locker the starting job in 2012, and he looked good when given a chance as a rookie in 2011. Flynn should earn a starting job as a free agent after his performance to close the season for the Packers. And Bradford should rebound after a dismal season for the Rams.

Here is a glimpse of the Top 12 quarterbacks for 2012. Remember, a lot can change between now and August, but this is a sample order of how the quarterbacks should be drafted next year.

Top 12 Quarterbacks for 2012

1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2011 stats: 4,643 passing yards, 45 touchdowns and six interceptions; 257 rushing yards and three touchdowns
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 475 (31.7)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 6 overall (Round 1)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 4 overall (Round 1)
Rodgers continues to prove he's the best quarterback in the NFL, and he's definitely the best Fantasy quarterback. Even though he sat out Week 17 against Detroit to rest for the playoffs he was still three points better than Brees. He accounted for 48 total touchdowns with just six turnovers, and his receiving corps is amazing with Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson and Jermichael Finley leading the way. We hope Finley is retained as a free agent, but even if he leaves Rodgers will still post amazing stats. You can definitely take him at No. 1 overall, and he should be the first non-running back drafted in all leagues. Rodgers is safe because he will produce at a high level for 16 games. He had fewer than 25 Fantasy points just twice in 2011.

2012 sleeper QBs
Sam Bradford, Rams
Matt Flynn, Packers
Jake Locker, Titans

2. Drew Brees, Saints
2011 stats: 5,476 passing yards, 46 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; 86 rushing yards and one touchdown; one fumble
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 472 (29.5)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 14 overall (Round 2)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 5 overall (Round 1)
The Saints have some decisions to make on offense since Brees, Marques Colston and Robert Meachem are all free agents. We know Brees is staying in New Orleans, but hopefully Colston and Meachem will be there as well. Brees was amazing in 2011 as he set the NFL record for passing yards in a season, and he did well with new toys in Jimmy Graham and Darren Sproles. We hope he has all his weapons back because that offense is exceptional with Brees at the helm. He now has at least 4,300 passing yards and 34 touchdowns in his past four seasons, so he should remain consistent as an elite Fantasy quarterback, just one notch behind Rodgers.

3. Tom Brady, Patriots
2011 stats: 5,235 passing yards, 39 touchdowns and 12 interceptions; 109 rushing yards and three touchdowns; two fumbles
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 430 (26.9)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 13 overall (Round 2)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 10 overall (Round 1)
Brady just continues to be the model of consistency for Fantasy quarterbacks with his third season with at least 36 touchdowns since 2007 and his second year with at least 4,800 passing yards over that span. This was the second time since 2007 that he had more than 40 total touchdowns, and he should continue to keep throwing in 2012 at a high level. It would be great if the Patriots gave him a deep threat to complement Wes Welker, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez, but those three weapons are still enough to help Brady excel in all formats. He is a great consolation prize if you miss out on Rodgers or Brees, and he should be drafted in the first round.

4. Cam Newton, Panthers
2011 stats: 4,051 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and 17 interceptions; 706 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns; 27 receiving yards; two fumbles
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 394 (24.6)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 145 overall (Round 13)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 18 overall (Round 2)
Newton wasn't drafted in most Fantasy leagues as a rookie in 2011, so he became one of the best waiver wire additions of the year. He will be drafted as a Top 5 quarterback in 2012, and he should be selected in Round 2 in all formats. His rushing ability sets him apart from most quarterbacks, and he has the chance to account for 5,000 total yards and 35-plus touchdowns on a yearly basis. The Panthers need to enhance his receiving corps because Steve Smith needs help, but Newton and Stafford are the top quarterbacks in the second tier of Fantasy options behind Rodgers, Brees and Brady. And as you saw last year, it's not a big drop-off from those three to Newton.

2012 bust QBs
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bills
Mark Sanchez, Jets
Tim Tebow, Broncos

5. Matthew Stafford, Lions
2011 stats: 5,038 passing yards, 41 touchdowns and 16 interceptions; 78 rushing yards; one fumble
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 415 (25.9)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 69 overall (Round 6)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 22 overall (Round 2)
You can argue that Stafford should be drafted ahead of Newton since Stafford was better in 2011, but we expect Newton to improve in his sophomore campaign and pass Stafford. Still, both are elite, and Stafford should be considered a Top 5 option in all leagues. He is one of four quarterbacks in NFL history to pass for 5,000 yards, and he has the best receiver in the NFL in Calvin Johnson as well as solid complementary weapons in Titus Young, Nate Burleson and Brandon Pettigrew. We always expected Stafford to be a great Fantasy quarterback if he could stay healthy, and he played 16 games for the first time in his career. He was great for Fantasy owners at crunch time with at least 32 points in his final three games of the season. We hope that performance carries over into 2012 and continues for another full season.

6. Michael Vick, Eagles
2011 stats: 3,303 passing yards, 18 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; 589 rushing yards and one touchdown; four fumbles
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 258 (19.8)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 8 overall (Round 1)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 28 overall (Round 3)
Vick was a bust in 2011 since he was drafted as the No. 2 quarterback behind Rodgers but finished No. 11 behind Sanchez. He should rebound in 2012 after he finished the season on a high note with at least 23 Fantasy points in his final three games. We'll see what the Eagles do at receiver with DeSean Jackson a free agent, but if he returns he needs to play better. The good news for Vick is Andy Reid is back as the head coach, and hopefully Jeremy Maclin can stay healthy for a full season. Vick is going to be a steal on Draft Day if he can stay healthy for 16 games, but his playing style will always leave him at risk for injury. Still, it will be a great pick if you take Vick in Round 3 or later based on what he's capable of doing when healthy.

7. Peyton Manning, Colts
2011 stats: Did not play
2011 Fantasy points (average): Did not play
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 39 overall (Round 4)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 37 overall (Round 4)
Manning is a risky Fantasy option heading into 2012 unless he shows during training camp and preseason action that he's 100 percent with his neck. We know the Colts could draft Andrew Luck at No. 1 overall, but Manning will remain the starter if healthy. And if he is back then whoever drafts him is going to have an amazing Fantasy team because Manning is among the best quarterbacks when healthy. During his 13-year career he has averaged 4,218 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and 15 interceptions, but he has three seasons with at least 4,500 passing yards and six years with at least 33 total touchdowns. The Colts have to decide on bringing back free agent receivers Reggie Wayne and Pierre Garcon, but the key is Manning. If he's ready to play then he is worth drafting here because his upside is higher than Eli Manning, Romo or Rivers.

8. Eli Manning, Giants
2011 stats: 4,933 passing yards, 29 touchdowns and 16 interceptions; 15 rushing yards and one touchdown; four fumbles
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 331 (20.7)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 86 overall (Round 8)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 40 overall (Round 4)
The Giants need to lock up Mario Manningham, who is a free agent, and sign a tight end to upgrade over Jake Ballard, but Manning has a legit receiving corps highlighted by Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz. He now has three years in a row with more than 4,000 passing yards, including a career high in 2011, and he has 30 total touchdowns in each of the past two seasons. Manning is trending in the right direction, and Fantasy owners can wait to draft him in Round 4 or later and still get tremendous value. The Giants have become a passing team the past two years, and the difference for Manning in 2011 was cutting down on the turnovers with just 20 compared to 30 in 2010. If he can continue to limit his mistakes then his value will continue to rise, and he could end up as a Top 5 Fantasy quarterback in 2012.

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9. Tony Romo, Cowboys
2011 stats: 4,184 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions; 46 rushing yards and one touchdown; three fumbles
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 327 (20.4)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 35 overall (Round 3)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 44 overall (Round 4)
The Cowboys have to decide if they want Laurent Robinson back as a free agent, but even without him Romo would still have a tremendous receiving corps with Miles Austin, Dez Bryant and Jason Witten. Romo had eight games with at least 21 Fantasy points in 2011, and he closed the season with multiple touchdowns in seven of the final eight games he was able to finish. I can see Romo being drafted ahead of Vick and both Mannings, and I can also see him being drafted behind Rivers. He will continue to remain a lightning rod for NFL fans and Fantasy owners who constantly question his ability. But this is now three times in the past five years where he has passed for 4,000-plus yards, and he has two seasons with at least 32 total touchdowns over that span. And with his receivers expected to improve (Bryant) and remain healthy (Austin) then Romo should also have a big season in 2012.

10. Philip Rivers, Chargers
2011 stats: 4,624 passing yards, 27 touchdowns and 20 interceptions; 36 rushing yards and one touchdown; five fumbles
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 300 (18.8)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 18 overall (Round 2)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 50 overall (Round 5)
Rivers should be a steal on Draft Day because you can take him late, and his value should remain high. The key for Rivers will be if Vincent Jackson and Mike Tolbert return as free agents because they were valuable weapons for him. It works out for Rivers that Norv Turner will remain his head coach, but Jackson could leave with A.J. Smith still the general manager. If Jackson is back then Rivers could be taken as high as the No. 6 quarterback based on his overall body of work. Prior to 2011 he had three years in a row with at least 4,000 passing yards, 29 total touchdowns and a combined 33 interceptions. The turnovers ruined his season in 2011, but he should rebound in a big way, especially if Jackson returns. Rivers should end up as great value on Draft Day.

11. Matt Ryan, Falcons
2011 stats: 4,177 passing yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions; 84 rushing yards and two touchdowns; three fumbles
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 318 (19.9)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 40 overall (Round 4)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 58 overall (Round 5)
Ryan will enter 2012 as a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback and he'll be a great value on Draft Day. He could crack the Top 10 if Peyton Manning doesn't recover from his neck problem, but Ryan should not be considered an elite Fantasy option. He had seven games with at least 20 Fantasy points in 2011 and six of them came indoors. Until he becomes more consistent outside then his Fantasy value will be limited. The good news for Ryan is he has an outstanding receiving corps with Roddy White, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez, who will return for one more season. He has a great schedule next year facing the AFC West, and he has 10 games indoors with eight at home and games at New Orleans and Detroit. We just hope Ryan can improve and build off his performance in 2011.

12. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
2011 stats: 4,077 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; 70 rushing yards; five fumbles
2011 Fantasy points (weekly average): 248 (16.5)
2011 Average Draft Position: No. 50 overall (Round 5)
2012 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 65 overall (Round 6)
It was a tough choice to rank Roethlisberger ahead of Matt Schaub, but I expect Roethlisberger to be throwing more now that Rashard Mendenhall (torn ACL) could be out to start the season. Roethlisberger has at least 4,000 passing yards in two of his past three seasons, and he has at least 28 total touchdowns twice in his past five years. Mike Wallace, Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Sanders are a solid receiving corps, and the Steelers have a favorable schedule next year against opponents from the AFC West. Schaub is a solid choice at No. 12 also, but I would lean toward Roethlisberger in this spot. He also will present great value on Draft Day since you can take him with a mid-round pick. A good strategy is to draft Roethlisberger and Schaub with consecutive picks to have yourself covered at quarterback in case one falters.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

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Player News
Report: Giants Jason Pierre-Paul hurt in fireworks accident
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(7/5/2015) Giants defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul reportedly hurt his hand in a Fourth of July fireworks accident in Miami, according to the Daily News

The paper reports that the injury is not considered career-threatening, but that varying accounts of what happened have been reported. The Giants have not confirmed nor denied the incident. 

The Giants applied the franchise tag to Pierre-Paul this offseason, but the 26-year-old has not yet signed it as he seeks a long-term deal, meaning that he technically is not under contract. 

Pierre-Paul had 53 tackles and 12 1/2 sacks last year for New York. 


Report: Torn pectoral sidelines Vikings CB Josh Robinson
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(7/4/2015) The Vikings secondary took a hit last month when cornerback Josh Robinson sustained a partially torn pectoral muscle, a league source has told ESPN.

The nickel back played in 690 snaps last season and was expected to battle several others for playing time. The injury could sideline him from training camp and land him on the PUP list.


Report: Packers' Andrew Quarless arrested on gun charges
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(7/4/2015) Packers tight end Andrew Quarless was arrested for firing a gun twice in Miami on Saturday, per the Miami New Times.

Quarless was involved in a fight at South Beach and fired the gun into the ground. 


Titans receivers can thrive in YAC with Marcus Mariota's accuracy
by Ruben Palacios | Staff Writer
(7/3/2015) The Titans wide receiving corps could gain more yards after the catch this season because of rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota and his accurate throws, per ESPN.com.

The Titans were 24th in the league in yards after the catch last season, but with Mariota under center that can all change.

“If you have an accurate quarterback, it allows us to get more yards after that catch,” wide receiver Harry Douglas said. “And that’s one thing that makes a receiver dynamic -- first being able to catch the ball and then being able to do some things with it after you catch it. I feel like [to this point] Marcus has done everything he needs to do to get the ball to his receivers.”


Saints RB Khiry Robinson doesn't feel he's on outside looking in
by Ruben Palacios | Staff Writer
(7/3/2015) Saints running back Khiry Robinson might be the least known of his backfield counterparts, but he doesn't feel like the off man out, per ESPN.com.

Robinson knows the team is heavily invested in the likes of Mark Ingram and C.J. Spiller, but he's still confident he can thrive in whatever role the Saints put him in.

“I’m the type of person, I’m gonna get what I get and do what I do with it. So whether it’s 20 carries or one carry, I’m gonna do the best of my ability every play,” Robinson said.

Robinson has shown flashes of success during his three years in the league. Injuries played a key role against him last season, which can ultimately put him as the third back on the depth chart. He will use the offseason to continue to improve and challenge his counterparts for playing time.

“I just gotta keep working,” Robinson. “It’s all love in the backfield. We all work together, try to help each other. So I think it’s a good thing we’ve got a full backfield again. So if anybody goes down, we’ve got another player right up there to do the same thing.”


Browns OL Michael Bowie itching to compete for starting spot
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(7/3/2015) Browns offensive lineman Michael Bowie is not required to report to training camp until the end of July. But never mind that - he's heading out after the last Independence Day firework explodes in the sky.

Bowie is itching to get started. He missed all of last season due to a shoulder injury after starting for Seattle on its Super Bowl title team in 2013. He is seeking to stay in tip-top shape in an attempt to land a starting spot on a Cleveland line that is the strength of the team.

"It's up to them to decide who is the best five," Bowie told the team website. "All I can do is take care of my business. Hopefully I can get a shot. That's what I'm working for."

Bowie participated fully in the offseason program, working mostly with the second team at right tackle. That will likely be the spot at which he competes for a starting job. Incumbent Mitchell Schwartz has not performed particularly well there and Mike Pettine has vowed there will be competition all over the field in camp.


Redskins OLB Ryan Kerrigan nearly recovered from knee surgery
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(7/3/2015) Redskins outside linebacker Ryan Kerrigan appears to be on target to join the team for training camp after undergoing arthroscopic knee surgery that prevented him from participating in earlier offseason activities.

Kerrigan, who registered a career-high 13 1/2 sacks a year ago, had the operation to alleviate pain in the area.

"My leg feels really good and I'm glad I got the surgery - not just for football but it makes my everyday life feel better so I'm glad I got it done," he told CSN Washington. "Now it's just a matter of getting stronger and getting into shape."

Kerrigan added that he's been running and now only needs to regain strength to insure his place at training camp.


Texans waive DT Brandon Ivory
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(7/2/2015) The Texans waived rookie defensive tackle Brandon Ivory on Thursday, according to ESPN.com

Ivory was arrested on first degree burglary charges in Tuscaloosa, Ala. just one day ago. Ivory's agent Jeff Guerriero said Ivory is not guilty of the charge. 

"I spoke to Brandon he is not guilty and his name will be cleared of all charges," Guerriero said. 


Chargers TE Antonio Gates suspended 4 games for PED use
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(7/2/2015) Chargers tight end Antonio Gates has been suspended four games for violating the NFL's performance-enhancing drugs policy, the team announced. 

It's unknown at this time what drug Gates tested positive for. Gates, in a statement, said he was unaware that he took a banned substance

"In my 12 years in the NFL, I have taken tremendous pride in upholding the integrity of the NFL shield and all that it entails," Gates said. "I have taken extreme care of my body with a holistic approach and I have never knowingly ingested a substance that was banned by the NFL. In an effort to recover from this past season, I used supplements and holistic medicines, and unfortunately, I have now learned that those substances always present a risk because they may contain banned substances even if the ingredient list doesn’t reflect them.

"As an NFL veteran and team leader, I should have done my due diligence to ensure that what I was taking for recovery was within the NFL guidelines. I understand that I am responsible for what is in my body and I have always believed that ignorance is no excuse when it comes to these issues. I take full responsibility for my actions. I’d like to express my sincere apologies to the Chargers, my teammates, coaches, fans and the league who have always supported me and expected and gotten nothing but the highest level of integrity from me."

With Gates out for four games, the Chargers will turn to Ladarius Green as the team's top tight end, though it was expected for Green to continue getting more looks in the passing game. Green is entering the final season of his rookie contract. 

The Chargers expressed disappointment in Gates for his suspension but plans to stick with the longtime veteran through the suspension. 

"We are tremendously disappointed for our team and our fans as well as Antonio, but no more disappointed than Antonio is with himself," the Chargers stated. "Antonio is a member of the Chargers' family and we will continue to support him 100-percent. We have the utmost confidence he will stay in excellent shape for the season and be ready to go when he returns in Week 5. While it's unfortunate to not have him to start the season, we have complete confidence our tight end group will continue to play at a high level."  


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by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
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Jones will miss Green Bay's season-opener against the Bears. In 2014, Jones totaled 22 tackles and 1 1/2 sacks in 13 games played. 


 
 
 
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