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2012 Fantasy outlooks: Baltimore Ravens

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Torrey Smith is talking a big game this season, and that's something we like to hear from a player with his level of talent. He's expecting a breakout campaign, and Fantasy owners should plan to target him on Draft Day.

Smith told me at Anquan Boldin's charity event in April that his goal for 2012 is to gain at least 1,000 yards and score 10 touchdowns. He expects to improve on his productive rookie year in 2011.

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"Just being consistent," Smith said. "If I was consistent with my plays last year I would have had well over 1,000 yards. That's my goal. I just have to be more focused, become a better technician and be more consistent. Everything else will take care of itself."

Smith had 50 catches, 841 yards and seven touchdowns last year, and he's already working this offseason on improving. He wants to be a more complete receiver.

Of his seven scores last year, three came in one game (Week 3 at the Rams), and he scored in consecutive games once. His yardage was also wobbly as there was only one occasion where he had back-to-back games with at least 50 yards.

"I feel like I was able to have an OK season last year," Smith said. "That's pretty much as raw as it gets for me. I feel like I have nowhere to go but up. I'm far from a finished product. I just want to work this whole summer, try to get my technique down and go out and dominate next year."

We like Smith a lot heading into this year, and he has the chance to be a solid Fantasy contributor. His teammates agree.

Boldin told me he likes Smith's work ethic. Ray Rice said in an interview that Smith has "freakish talent" and is ready to become a star.

"For him, the sky's the limit," Boldin said. "He's one of those guys that's willing to learn and willing to get better."

Added Rice: "Now he has to just channel that talent into the fundamentals. But he's got it."

Smith should be viewed as a No. 3 Fantasy option coming into the season, but he could be a starter in all leagues if he continues to progress based on his rookie year. He should be drafted beginning in Round 5 in the majority of formats.

Fantasy Value Chart
Player Draft Day value Estimated round
Quarterbacks
Joe Flacco 12
Running Backs
Ray Rice 1
Bernard Pierce ND
Anthony Allen ND
Damien Berry ND
Wide Receivers
Torrey Smith 5
Anquan Boldin 8
Jacoby Jones ND
Tandon Doss ND
Tight Ends
Ed Dickson ND
Dennis Pitta ND
Kickers/Defense
Billy Cundiff ND
Ravens DST ND
ND - not expected to get drafted

Bust ... Anquan Boldin, wide receiver
Boldin is coming off a 2011 season where he actually set a career high with 15.6 yards per catch, but Fantasy owners will tell you he looked slow and old. The reality is Boldin is not the same receiver he was with the Cardinals for a variety of reasons. For starters, he is slower and older at 31 (32 in October) and entering his 10th year in the NFL. But the biggest reason for his decline in stats is his role has changed on a run-based team. He plays inside more with Baltimore than he did with Arizona, and he's not used as much in the red zone. Joe Flacco also isn't close to the quarterback Kurt Warner was, and Boldin's production will continue to decline this year. The addition of Jacoby Jones will force Boldin to play more in the slot, and he will also lose targets to tight end Ed Dickson over the middle. Based on his role in the offense, Boldin is still worth drafting as a No. 3 receiver with a mid-round pick. But if you think Boldin can still be a viable starter for you in the majority of leagues then you'll be sorry.

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Late-round flier ... Ed Dickson, tight end
I'm not big on telling Fantasy owners to draft two tight ends in the majority of standard leagues, but if you're so inclined then take a flier on Dickson. He will continue to share playing time with Dennis Pitta, and Boldin will take away targets over the middle. But Dickson had a productive year in 2011 with 54 catches for 528 yards and five touchdowns. He closed the season with two touchdowns in his final three games, and he finished just 15 Fantasy points outside the Top 12 tight ends in standard formats. If he can increase his production slightly in his third year then he could be a steal with a late-round pick. Remember, tight ends tend to surprise us on a yearly basis, and Dickson could be among the group of potential breakout options with Jermaine Gresham, Jared Cook and Jacob Tamme. He's definitely at the tail end of that group, but Dickson could end up as a quality target for Flacco this season.

Keeper-league target ... Bernard Pierce, running back
The Ravens are hopeful there won't be a problem with Rice's contract situation heading into training camp, but if he's a holdout then the No. 2 running back in Baltimore will be a popular player for Fantasy owners. The Ravens have three players competing for the job in Pierce, Anthony Allen and Damien Berry. We expect Pierce to win the role, and he is worth drafting as a handcuff option to Rice. In deep keeper leagues, Fantasy owners should take a flier on Pierce. He played well for Temple and finished his career ranked second in rushing yards (3,570) despite playing only three seasons. The 6-foot, 218-pounder scored 53 career touchdowns, including 21 as a senior, when he finished with 1,481 yards on the ground. Baltimore drafted Pierce in Round 3 of the NFL Draft, and he could be the backup to Rice for several years depending on what happens with Rice's contract.

Schedule breakdown

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
CIN @PHI NE CLE @KC DAL @HOU bye @CLE OAK @PIT @SD PIT @WAS DEN NYG @CIN
The Ravens will have their hands full in their first three games against the Bengals, Eagles and Patriots. A saving grace is that two of those games are at home, along with a matchup vs. the Browns in Week 4. They'll face a lot of potent offenses, actually, and that includes both Manning brothers in consecutive weeks starting in Week 15. Maybe the Ravens DST won't be quite as effective as we're used to, especially with Terrell Suggs (Achilles' tendon) out. And with the passing offense in mind, the schedule is mostly good. Fact is, if the Ravens are in a bunch of high-scoring games, they'll need more than Rice to compete. They also take on the Steelers twice in three weeks, which is odd.

Training camp topics

The Ravens have three major talking points worth monitoring during training camp which will have an impact on Draft Day. None is bigger than Rice, who hopefully will play out the season under the franchise tag or sign a long-term deal. We hope Rice does not hold out because he is a Top 3 overall selection in the majority of leagues. A lengthy holdout could ruin his value (see Chris Johnson circa 2011).

2011 Touches Leaders
Player Touches
Ray Rice 291 carries, 76 catches
Ricky Williams 108 carries, 13 catches
Anquan Boldin 57 catches
Torrey Smith 50 catches, 4 carries
Ed Dickson 54 catches

This is also a potential contract year for Flacco, and we want to see if he's ready to have a big season. For years, Fantasy owners have been cautiously optimistic about Flacco having a breakout season. And for years, owners have been disappointed. Flacco has been decidedly mediocre in his four seasons in Baltimore, never topping 3,622 passing yards or 25 touchdowns in a single year.

Flacco has the talent and weapons to succeed, but he has yet to put it all together. If he is playing for a new contract that could be the extra motivation he needs. We consider him a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback worth a late-round pick, but he could end up as a steal on Draft Day if this is his breakout campaign.

On defense, the Ravens lost a huge contributor when standout pass rusher Suggs suffered a torn Achilles' tendon in May. Replacing his 25 sacks over the past two years is impossible, but the Ravens are hopeful rookie Courtney Upshaw can help fill the role. Upshaw could be a great late-round flier in all IDP leagues.

Injury update

Smith (hernia; probable for the start of training camp) ... Suggs (Achilles' tendon; out for year)

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

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Player News
LB Chaz Sutton added to practice squad by Titans
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:31 pm ET) The Titans have added rookie outside linebacker Chaz Sutton to their practice squad. He had been released by the Redskins in early September.

Giants safety Antrel Rolle excused from practice Wednesday
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(12:31 pm ET) Giants safety Antrel Rolle was excused from practice Wednesday due to personal reasons. The Giants will play the Jaguars in Week 13.

Lewis: Bengals LB Burfict could return to practice this week
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:24 pm ET) A knee injury that has prevented Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict from playing since Oct. 26 has him out of practice again Wednesday. But Marvin Lewis has stated that he could return to a session later this week.

Burfict contributed to 29 tackles in five games before going down. Only a quick and successful return this week would give him a chance to playing more than on a limited basis Sunday at Tampa Bay.


Gruden: Colt McCoy to start Week 13, RG3 will be backup QB
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(12:10 pm ET) Redskins coach Jay Gruden confirmed in a conference call with Colts reporters Wednesday quarterback Robert Griffin III has been benched in favor of Colt McCoy for Sunday's game at Indianapolis. Gruden added Griffin will be the backup quarterback Week 13. 

"Colt (McCoy) is going to start this week at quarterback. I felt like he deserved a bit of a promotion," Gruden said.

McCoy will be facing a Colts defense yielding 249.4 passing yards per game. Indianapolis has also allowed 18 passing touchdowns, while recording nine interceptions and 28 sacks in 11 games.


Steelers CB Ike Taylor relieved now that he's back
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:52 am ET) Steelers veteran cornerback Ike Taylor has admitted at getting antsy over when he would return to action after missing eight games to a broken forearm. He is back at practice and should play Sunday against New Orleans.

"The first thing I thought about was how long until I get back," Taylor told the team website. "The first thing I asked the doctors was about the two long plates in my arm. He said you just broke your forearm, what do you know about the plates? I am not a doctor, but I stayed at a Holiday Inn. At the same time that is how it is. That's my mind frame, how long it's going to take to get back."

Taylor added, however, that he never feared the injury was career-threatening.


Pettine: Incident would not bench Browns QB Manziel
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:32 am ET) An incident early Saturday morning involving Browns quarterback Johnny Manziel, which prompted general manager Ray Farmer to criticize him for being out so late, will not prevent Mike Pettine from playing him if needed.

"Unless something unforeseen comes up, just given what I know, it would not have an impact on any decision to play him," Pettine told the Northeast Ohio Media Group.

Barring an injury to starter Brian Hoyer, who has guided the team to a 7-4 record and playoff contention despite personal inconsistencies, such a circumstance is unlikely to occur. Pettine said he "never considered" playing Manziel at all in Week 12 in Atlanta. But the coach did address the current situation with Manziel, who allegedly struck a man who claimed to be a big Browns fans and asked for a hug.

Manziel's party is claiming that he was accosted.

"I've had a talk with Johnny, as has (Farmer)," Pettine said. "I mean, he was very upfront and notivied us immediately what had occurred. But as far as in the building, he's been a true professional, he's done everything that's been asked of him - but obviously this is something that's unfortunate."


Giants holding three out of practice Wed., three others limited
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(11:19 am ET) Giants coach Tom Coughlin said defensive lineman Mathias Kiwanuka (knee), guard Adam Snyder (knee) and linebacker Jameel McClain (knee) will not practice Wednesday. He added linebacker Jacquian Williams (concussion, shoulder), offensive tackle Justin Pugh (quadriceps) and defensive lineman Cullen Jenkins (calf) will be limited to individual drills.

The Giants are preparing to play the Jaguars in Week 13.


Browns WR Gordon feels alienated by some in organization
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:15 am ET) Browns All-Pro wideout Josh Gordon told friend and fellow receiver Nate Burleson in an interview for NFL Network that he has felt alienated by some in the organization since being suspended for 10 games for violating the league's drug policy.

Gordon returned to action in Week 12 to catch eight passes for 120 yards and key a critical victory in Atlanta.

"The lowest point of all this I think was the disassociation from a lot of friends you thought were close or you thought were kind of cool with really not checking on you anymore, [not] hitting you up anymore, [not] wanting to hang out," Gordon said. "As far as even people in here (with the Browns), I don't want to throw names around, but I can see it.

"I'm definitely really observant so I see how people might just be more standoffish (than) they were before. It's kind of like a disease. People they want to see it, but they don't really want to touch it."

Gordon and the Browns are at Buffalo on Sunday.


Giants WR Odell Beckham (back) will not be limited in practice
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(11:12 am ET) Giants coach Tom Coughlin said wide receiver Odell Beckham will practice in full Wednesday. Beckham injured his back Sunday against the Cowboys, but was able to return to the game.

Beckham will aim for his fourth 100-yard performance in his last five games Week 13 at Jacksonville. Beckham has totaled 31 catches for 503 yards and two touchdowns in four November games. The Jaguars are yielding 257.5 passing yards per game, which is the sixth-highest average in the NFL, and have allowed 19 passing touchdowns in 11 games.


Bears LB Lance Briggs might be out 'a few weeks' due to injury
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(10:28 am ET) Bears linebacker Lance Briggs said Tuesday night during a television interview the groin injury he suffered Week 12 against the Bucs could sideline him for "maybe a few weeks," per The Chicago Tribune

Briggs' comment contradicts coach Marc Trestman's statement Tuesday that Briggs is considered a game-time decision for Thursday's contest against the Lions.

Briggs said he was injured Sunday while trying to jam Bucs wide receiver Mike Evans on a short passing route.

"I think I somehow got locked in on him," Briggs said. "I got twerked a little bit and pulled out. It kind of felt like I did the splits. When I fell and tried to get up, I knew something was wrong."


 
 
 
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