Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2012 Draft Prep: Not the year to gamble on AP

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Christmas Eve 2011 wasn't fun for Adrian Peterson, the Vikings or Fantasy owners. Everyone got stuck with a bad wish list. We all must have been naughty.

Peterson suffered a torn ACL and MCL in his left knee the day before Christmas against the Redskins, and his comeback has been one of the biggest storylines this offseason. We all hope Peterson will be ready for Week 1 against Jacksonville, and Fantasy owners want to know where to take him on Draft Day.

2012 Draft Prep essentials
Fantasy News
Rankings | Top 200 | Player Profiles
CBSSports.com Draft Averages
Mock Drafts | Projections | Draft Index

If you're asking me, the answer is stay away based on where you have to draft him. The prediction here is Peterson will have the worst season of his career, and I don't want him on my Fantasy team based on the cost. I'll let someone else reach for Peterson, and I would only draft him if he fell to the right spot, which is likely Round 4.

Average Draft Position shows Peterson being drafted in Round 2, which is too expensive for me. I'd rather take my chances with Ryan Mathews, Fred Jackson, Jamaal Charles, Trent Richardson or Ahmad Bradshaw, who are all being taken after Peterson based on ADP. All of them have a healthier outlook coming into the season than Peterson.

For starters, let's take a look at running backs coming back from a torn ACL. Over the past 15 years, some of the more prominent running backs to suffer a torn ACL include Jamal Anderson (hurt in 1999), Terrell Davis (1999), Edgerrin James (2001), Jamal Lewis (2001), Deuce McAllister (2005) and Ronnie Brown (2007).

The good news is that nearly all of these running backs had success the year after getting hurt. Only Davis didn't return to form after suffering his torn ACL, but Anderson (1,400 total yards and six touchdowns), James (1,300 total yards and three touchdowns), Lewis (1,700 total yards and seven touchdowns), McAllister (1,200 total yards and 10 touchdowns) and Brown (1,100 total yards and 10 touchdowns) were all successful.

The bad news for Peterson's comeback is all of these running backs got hurt early in the year. Brown suffered his torn ACL the latest in Week 7 in 2007. They all had ample recovery time to return the following year. It's why we like Charles (torn ACL in Week 2 last season) to be a better Fantasy option this season over Peterson because he should be farther along in his recovery.

Peterson has said he is preparing to face the Jaguars in the season opener, even though he has been limited in training camp and won't play in the preseason.

Check out our Fantasy Football podcast!
There is no better source for entertaining Fantasy advice than our Fantasy Football Today podcast. Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Adam Aizer will help you pass the time as you anticipate Draft Day 2014!
Latest episode | Subscribe today!

"My goals are still the same," Peterson told the Minnesota media last week. "I look forward to being back the first week."

We're glad Peterson is optimistic, but the Vikings seem to be taking a more cautious approach, which is smart. They need to save Peterson from himself if need be, and coach Leslie Frazier doesn't want to take any chances with his best player rushing back too soon from a serious injury.

"We need to determine what's the next step," Frazier said in a news conference. "We have some ideas of how we want to approach it, but a lot of it is how he feels with some of the things we're going to give him."

What the Vikings should do is ease Peterson back into action. The smart thing would be to sit him out for a couple of weeks and rely on Toby Gerhart, who is looking like a great value pick in Round 9 based on his ADP. Gerhart could end up playing a vital role for the Vikings this year if Peterson suffers any sort of setback.

Instead, look for Peterson's first game action since the injury to come against Jacksonville. Any owner who invested in him in Round 2 or higher will be holding their breath the first time he touches the ball. I don't want that kind of anxiety. This is just Fantasy Football, after all.

If you're inclined to draft Peterson just make sure to invest in Gerhart. At least he'll have you covered should Peterson go down again.

Believe me, none of us want to see Peterson standing on the sidelines. He has been one of the best Fantasy running backs during his career, and we want him healthy and active. His production speaks for itself. He has double digits in touchdowns in all five years of his career, and prior to last season he never had fewer than 1,500 total yards. But he did all of that production on two good knees, and his health status has me concerned.

This will likely be the worst season of Peterson's career. He's not someone I plan to target on Draft Day. I hate having to say that, but his knee injury will prevent him from being a superstar Fantasy option in 2012.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Patriots claim Harland Gunn off waivers
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(6:53 pm ET) The Patriots were awarded guard Harland Gunn, who was waived by Atlanta a day earlier, on Sunday, per ESPN

Gunn played in 13 games for Atlanta over the last two seasons. 


Redskins RB Matt Jones suffers knee injury Sunday
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5:50 pm ET) Redskins running back Matt Jones is being evaluated after sustaining a knee injury during Sunday's practice, reports The Washington Post.

Jones was a third-round draft pick in the 2015 draft and is expected to compete for the starting running back role.


Redskins WR DeSean Jackson dealing with finger issue
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5:45 pm ET) Redskins wide receiver DeSean Jackson suffered a dislocated finger during Saturday's practice and is having the injury further evaluated Sunday, reports The Washington Post

Jackson caught 56 passes for 1,169 yards and six touchdowns last season.


49ers DT Darnell Dockett is 'ready to go'
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5:38 pm ET) 49ers defensive tackle Darnell Dockett did not participate in Saturday's practice, but coach Jim Tomsula said the team was just being cautious, reports ESPN.com.

"He's ready to go," Tomsula said of Dockett. "There's no limitations on him from the training room."

Tomsula added that the plan is to limit Dockett's work during team drills to protect his surgically-repaired knee, which cost him the entire 2014 season.


Report: Broncos LB Von Miller no longer in NFL drug program
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5:32 pm ET) Broncos linebacker Von Miller was recently released from the NFL's drug program, a source told The Denver Post.

With Miller not failing a drug test over the last two years along with a new drug policy, Miller has been removed from the program and will no longer require multiple tests each week.

Miller violated the league's drug policy in 2013 and was suspended for six games.


Eagles limit running back DeMarco Murray in Sunday's practice
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5:27 pm ET) Despite not being listed with an injury, Eagles running back DeMarco Murray did not participate in any of the team drills during Sunday's practice, reports ESPN.com.

Murray participated in the early portion of the practice, but then watched the rest from the sideline. Coach Chip Kelly did not mention any injury to Murray before the practice began.


Bengals DE Michael Johnson suffers apparent knee injury Sunday
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(4:24 pm ET) Bengals defensive end Michael Johnson had to be carted off the practice field Sunday after sustaining an apparent knee injury, reports NFL.com.

After the practice, coach Marvin Lewis said Johnson will be OK, but he still needs to be evaluated, according to ESPN.

Johnson produced four sacks and 27 tackles in 14 games last season. He signed a four year, $14 million deal during the offseason.


Jets DE Muhammad Wilkerson leaves practice with hamstring injury
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(3:58 pm ET) Jets defensive lineman Muhammad Wilkerson left Sunday's training camp practice early after suffering a hamstring injury . 

 Coach Todd Bowles said that Wilkerson "tweaked" his hamstring, and the team doesn't think it's serious, per ESPN New York.


Browns' Luke Lundy, Vinston Painter suffer injuries Sunday
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(3:18 pm ET) Browns running back Luke Lundy had to leave Sunday's practice after sustaining a concussion, reports the Elyria Chronicle-Telegram.

Moreover, offensive tackle Vinston Painter suffered a neck injury, which also forced him to leave practice early.


Chiefs waive RB LaVance Taylor; sign RB Darrin Reaves
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(3:14 pm ET) The Chiefs parted ways with one running back and signed another Sunday. The team announced it waived running back LaVance Taylor, while signing running back Darrin Reaves.

 
 
 
Rankings