Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Playoff Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Daily Fantasy
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2012 Draft Prep: Not the year to gamble on AP

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Christmas Eve 2011 wasn't fun for Adrian Peterson, the Vikings or Fantasy owners. Everyone got stuck with a bad wish list. We all must have been naughty.

Peterson suffered a torn ACL and MCL in his left knee the day before Christmas against the Redskins, and his comeback has been one of the biggest storylines this offseason. We all hope Peterson will be ready for Week 1 against Jacksonville, and Fantasy owners want to know where to take him on Draft Day.

2012 Draft Prep essentials
Fantasy News
Rankings | Top 200 | Player Profiles
CBSSports.com Draft Averages
Mock Drafts | Projections | Draft Index

If you're asking me, the answer is stay away based on where you have to draft him. The prediction here is Peterson will have the worst season of his career, and I don't want him on my Fantasy team based on the cost. I'll let someone else reach for Peterson, and I would only draft him if he fell to the right spot, which is likely Round 4.

Average Draft Position shows Peterson being drafted in Round 2, which is too expensive for me. I'd rather take my chances with Ryan Mathews, Fred Jackson, Jamaal Charles, Trent Richardson or Ahmad Bradshaw, who are all being taken after Peterson based on ADP. All of them have a healthier outlook coming into the season than Peterson.

For starters, let's take a look at running backs coming back from a torn ACL. Over the past 15 years, some of the more prominent running backs to suffer a torn ACL include Jamal Anderson (hurt in 1999), Terrell Davis (1999), Edgerrin James (2001), Jamal Lewis (2001), Deuce McAllister (2005) and Ronnie Brown (2007).

The good news is that nearly all of these running backs had success the year after getting hurt. Only Davis didn't return to form after suffering his torn ACL, but Anderson (1,400 total yards and six touchdowns), James (1,300 total yards and three touchdowns), Lewis (1,700 total yards and seven touchdowns), McAllister (1,200 total yards and 10 touchdowns) and Brown (1,100 total yards and 10 touchdowns) were all successful.

The bad news for Peterson's comeback is all of these running backs got hurt early in the year. Brown suffered his torn ACL the latest in Week 7 in 2007. They all had ample recovery time to return the following year. It's why we like Charles (torn ACL in Week 2 last season) to be a better Fantasy option this season over Peterson because he should be farther along in his recovery.

Peterson has said he is preparing to face the Jaguars in the season opener, even though he has been limited in training camp and won't play in the preseason.

Check out our Fantasy Football podcast!
There is no better source for entertaining Fantasy advice than our Fantasy Football Today podcast. Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Adam Aizer will help you pass the time as you anticipate Draft Day 2014!
Latest episode | Subscribe today!

"My goals are still the same," Peterson told the Minnesota media last week. "I look forward to being back the first week."

We're glad Peterson is optimistic, but the Vikings seem to be taking a more cautious approach, which is smart. They need to save Peterson from himself if need be, and coach Leslie Frazier doesn't want to take any chances with his best player rushing back too soon from a serious injury.

"We need to determine what's the next step," Frazier said in a news conference. "We have some ideas of how we want to approach it, but a lot of it is how he feels with some of the things we're going to give him."

What the Vikings should do is ease Peterson back into action. The smart thing would be to sit him out for a couple of weeks and rely on Toby Gerhart, who is looking like a great value pick in Round 9 based on his ADP. Gerhart could end up playing a vital role for the Vikings this year if Peterson suffers any sort of setback.

Instead, look for Peterson's first game action since the injury to come against Jacksonville. Any owner who invested in him in Round 2 or higher will be holding their breath the first time he touches the ball. I don't want that kind of anxiety. This is just Fantasy Football, after all.

If you're inclined to draft Peterson just make sure to invest in Gerhart. At least he'll have you covered should Peterson go down again.

Believe me, none of us want to see Peterson standing on the sidelines. He has been one of the best Fantasy running backs during his career, and we want him healthy and active. His production speaks for itself. He has double digits in touchdowns in all five years of his career, and prior to last season he never had fewer than 1,500 total yards. But he did all of that production on two good knees, and his health status has me concerned.

This will likely be the worst season of Peterson's career. He's not someone I plan to target on Draft Day. I hate having to say that, but his knee injury will prevent him from being a superstar Fantasy option in 2012.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Redskins reach contract extension with Trent Williams
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(4:06 pm ET) The Redskins made offensive tackle Trent Williams the highest paid tackle in NFL history after the two sides reached a five-year deal worth $66 million, reports the NFL Network.

Williams will average $13.2 million during the contract with $43.25 million guaranteed. Williams has started 70 games for the Redskins over the last five seasons.


Redskins QB Robert Griffin III out for Saturday's game
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
(9:41 am ET) Going back on previous reports, the Redskins have decided to hold quarterback Robert Griffin III out of Saturday's preseason game against the Ravens.

Griffin is still dealing with the after effects of the concussion he sustained last week against the Lions. He will be reevaluated in 1-2 weeks before the team determines if he can return to game action.


Cowboys OT R.J. Dill suspended four games for PEDs
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(8/28/2015) The NFL suspended Cowboys backup offensive lineman R.J. Dill for four games after he was found to be in violation of the league's performance enhancing substance abuse policy, the league announced Friday.

Dill was not expected to make the team's roster and was competing for a backup role.


Broncos sign TE Dan Light, waive WR Solomon Patton
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/28/2015) The Broncos have announced that they have signed tight end Dan Light and waived wide receiver Solomon Patton to make room on the roster.

Patton, who was claimed off waivers in May from Tampa Bay, has yet to catch a pass in the NFL.

Light is a rookie free agent out of Fordham who impressed the team during a tryout Friday. He caught 177 passes over four years at the college level.


Buccaneers WR Kenny Bell a no-go for Saturday game
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/28/2015) A hamstring strain will prevent Buccaneers rookie wide receiver Kenny Bell from playing in the preseason game Saturday against Cleveland, per the Tampa Tribune.

Bell also dealt with a hamstring issue in June. It remains to be seen how long this one keeps him sidelined.


Steelers expect Maurkice Pouncey to miss first eight games
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(8/28/2015) The Steelers are expecting to place center Maurkice Pouncey on the injured reserve/designated to return list, which would keep him sidelined for the first eight games of the season, according to the team's official website.

Pouncey is dealing with a broken fibula, which he suffered during a recent preseason game.


Titans RB David Cobb dealing with calf injury
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(8/28/2015) Titans running back David Cobb will not play in Friday's preseason game at Kansas City due to an injured calf, reports The Tennessean.

Cobb suffered the injury during Thursday's practice. He had been receiving some first-team reps.


Jets sign backup QB Josh Johnson
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/27/2015) The Jets have signed Josh Johnson after working him out Thursday. They released fellow backup quarterback Jake Heaps to create roster space.

Johnson has played in 29 career games, but has not thrown a pass since 2011. He has completed 54 percent of his passes for five touchdowns and 10 interceptions.


Redskins QB Robert Griffin III cleared for Saturday game
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/27/2015) Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III is ready to roll for the third preseason game Saturday in Baltimore, per the Washington Post.

Griffin was diagnosed as symptom-free from the concussion he sustained last week against Detroit.


Report: Giants SS Nat Behre done for year with calf injury
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/27/2015) Nat Berhe is apparently the latest Giants safety to have his season ended before it really began. He will have calf surgery Friday, sources have told per NJ.com.

Three other Giants safeties have already been lost for the year.

Behre played in all 16 games, but started none for the Giants as a rookie in 2014 and contributed to 14 tackles.


 
 
 
Rankings