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Quick Fantasy Hits for Week 2

Senior Fantasy Writer
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As we wade into more Fantasy action, there are some nuggets that are too in-depth to get into on Fantasy Football Today , too smart for Twitter and a little too short for the full column. This is where they fit. Enjoy these Week 2 Quick Hits:

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Four interesting observations using Week 1 target data:
1. It's safe to say Randall Cobb was the Target Superstar, converting every pass thrown his way. He finished Sunday with nine targets and nine catches. With Greg Jennings possibly out for Week 2, and Cobb showing he can be trusted to hold onto the ball, he could be in line for a very big week again.
2. For as bad as Ronnie Brown's rushing stats looked after Monday night's game, he converted all five of his targets. The only other running back who caught all of his targets (minimum of five) was Reggie Bush.
3. Reggie Wayne led all wide receivers with 18 targets. He finished with nine receptions. If Week 1 is any indication, Andrew Luck will be going to Wayne often.This benefits both players. Luck, maligned for having a "bad game" because he threw just one touchdown, still passed for over 300 yards in his NFL debut. He now has a receiver who will catch at least half the balls thrown his way.
4. While a lot of waiver wire attention has been paid to Andrew Hawkins and Stephen Hill, Damian Williams was targetetd six times and finished with five receptions, a percentage of 85.7 percent. He may make for a decent flier in deeper leagues, because even assuming Kenny Britt returns, there's still the problem of a hobbled Nate Washington.

Brandon Weeden could have a very good Week 2. To say Weeden had a nightmarish Week 1 (12-35, 118 yards, four interceptions) would be a massive understatement, but there were some factors that could give his owners optimism. For one, Weeden's receviers are a much more dynamic group than advertised. According to our ADP results, Greg Little was the only Browns wide receiver taken among the first 280 players, and, after Week 1, he looks like he might be in the middle -- or even at the back -- of the Cleveland pack. Mohamed Massaquoi was targeted eight times, Travis Benjamin was targeted six times and Little, Josh Gordon and Brandon Jackson were each targeted four times. Weeden seemed to overthrow every other pass, but they did try to go deep several times and the game actually started with a great slant play to Massaquoi. Things got very ugly after the first drive, but if Weeden can stop overthrowing everyone, he can emerge from Week 2 with a totally different set of numbers.

Really, dude? Weeden? In Weeden's NFL.com draft profile, listed among his strengths were these nuggets:
• "The ball zips off his arm, and he has the ability to fit it in any tight space."
• "He is an accurate passer on throws short and long, and he has that gunslinger mentality to go for the deep ball when it's an option."
• "He understands route progressions and throwing the ball to allow his receiver to make a play."
What this adds up to is a rookie who may have just been a little too pumped up for his first game. You don't just throw away years of scouting and data on one game. His weaknesses from the draft profile were centered around his lack of athleticism and limited scrambling ability, not overthrowing receivers and missing targets. By Week 4, if he can connect with some of his speedy receivers, Weeden's Week 1 performance may look like an aberration in a promising set of games.

Some fun quick kicker stats. In leagues where you get bonuses for distance, David Akers kicked a 63-yarder, Blair Walsh hit a 55-yarder and Sebastian Janikowski nailed a 51-yarder. St. Louis' Greg Zuerlein converted a 48-yard field goal. It's Walsh, though, who makes for an intriguing pickup this week. He hit a 55-yard field gial at the end of regulation -- along with three other field goals (of 20, 38, and 42 yards) and two extra points -- inside the dome at Mall of America Field. A sixth-round draft pick this year, Walsh is owned in just 6 percent of leagues. He hit the second-longest field goal of the week in a clutch situation and added another in overtime for the win. A rookie, his name isn't as comforting as the Janikowskis or Hansons of the world, but Walsh could end up being a top kicker in Fantasy this season, considering his Week 1 performance. Granted, we're talking kickers here, but sometimes Fantasy games are decided by just a few points and a dependable kicker with a big leg could be the difference in those tight matchups.

If I never get another question about Andrew Hawkins, I will be a happy man. But it's part of the job. I swung and missed badly on Ronnie Brown last week, figuring, based on all the reports, coach comments, offensive system from last year and extenuating circumstances, that he'd get 20 touches in Week 1. But there was still a part of me that thought Curtis Brinkley could eat into carries. There's no better way to explain it than odds. It was 3/1 that Brown would get 20 touches and maybe 8/1 that Brinkley would get the most. But that's too long for Twitter. So, before another Week 2 debacle, here are some totally unofficial, quick odds on some of the biggest names from this week:

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Kevin Ogletree
Odds that he's this year's Laurent Robinson: 3/1
Odds that he's a one-week wonder: 8/1
Over/under on touchdowns for the entire season: 7
Odds that he doesn't have another 100-yard game this season: 16/1
I'm betting on: The over on TDs, but I'm not ready to declare him a Robinson-style 10 TD lock.

Stephen Hill
Odds that he leads the Jets in receiving yards: 10/1
Odds that he finishes the year with fewer than 600 receiving yards: 8/1
Odds that Tim Tebow finishes the season with more touchdowns than Hill: 4/1
Over/under on percentage owned by the start of Week 2 games: 65
I'm betting on: The over on percentage owned, and I might put a little faith in Tebow scoring more touchdowns. On the flip side to that, I don't see Hill leading the Jets in receving yards, but I can see him as an 800-yard, seven-touchdown receiver this season.

Alfred Morris
Odds that he starts all 16 games for Washington: 250/1
Odds that he rushes for 1,000 yards this season: 35/1
Odds that he doesn't have one 100-yard rushing game this season: 75/1
I'm betting on: The 1,000 yard rushing season. If he can stay healthy, Shanahan will stick with him for the entire season, which could have him (in that offense) at 1,000 yards by Week 11. Going with the 16-game slate is a slippery slope -- he could get hurt, or, if he does break out and Washington locks up a playoff bid, he could be rested in Week 17.

Trent Richardson
Odds that he doesn't have a 100 yard rushing game this season: 150/1
Odds that he'll miss time with an injury: 55/1
Over/under on touchdowns for the entire season: 8
Odds that he has his first 100-yard rushing game by Week 3: 45/1
I'm betting on: The over on touchdowns and the 100-yard game by Week 3. And I'll parlay that for a big payday. Richardson was rusty in Week 1 and may still be rusty in Week 2, but he should hit his stride by Week 3. After that, he could be a huge breakout candidate for the rest of the season.

Reggie Bush quietly had a great Week 1 game. Maybe a bigger deal wasn't made about it because Miami was so bad overall, but Bush averaged 4.9 yards per carry, while catching six passes for 46 yards. He's already managed 16 percent of his receiving total from last year and that number should remain steady, as Miami's lack of big playmaking wide receivers opens up plenty of opportunities for Bush to catch more passes. PPR owners may want to pay attention to Bush and maybe even offer a deal before he scores some touchdowns and starts to pile on his point totals. He's currently owned in 100 percent of leagues, but started in just 67 percent.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyFB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasyfootball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Report: Chargers hold workout for Austin Pettis
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) The Chargers held a workout for former Rams wideout Austin Pettis, according to ESPN.

Pettis was cut by St. Louis in October, and hasn't hooked on with a team just yet. The Chargers are dealing with a number of injuries at the receiver position, and are looking to sign Pettis as depth. Pettis caught 12 passes for 118 yards and a touchdown before he was cut. 


Report: Chargers punter Mike Scifres could end up on IR
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) Chargers punter Mike Scifres could wind up going on injured-reserve, according to FoxSports.

Scifres is progressing from a shoulder injury, but the team is pressed for roster spots. Scifres has already missed two games due to the injury, and was ruled out of for the team's regular season finale. The Chargers need to add a center to the active roster, and Scifres could be in danger of losing his spot so the team can add another lineman. 


Saints' Marques Colston reflects on down year
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) Saints wideout Marques Colston reflected on his less than stellar season on Friday, according to the New Orleans Advocate.

Colston, who rarely gives interviews, expressed his frustrations with the season. He's currently on pace to register his second-lowest yardage total in his nine seasons, and needs one touchdown in order to avoid setting a career-low in the category. Colston admitted the struggles got to him during the year. "It’s not a secret I didn’t play up to my own standards," he said. "I’ve got to live with that." He added, "I pride myself on trying to be part of the solution. Instead this year, I feel like I was part of the problem at times."

Colston did not want to address his future in New Orleans, instead opting to look forward to the team's final game this Sunday.


Marshawn Lynch among Seahawks' probables
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch is listed as probable for Week 17 against the Rams.

Lynch was listed on the injury report with a back injury, but has been able to battle through the issue all season. He did not practice on Wednesday and Thursday, but was able to put in a full practice on Friday.

The team should also have Tony Moeaki and Russell Okung. Both players were listed as probable on the final injury report. 

Cooper Helfet, Chris Matthews, Tharold Simon and Max Unger are listed as questionable, and will be game-time decisions. 

Both Demarcus Dobbs and Jermaine Kearse have already been ruled out for the contest. 


Report: Saints' Jimmy Graham to have MRI on shoulder
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) Saints tight end Jimmy Graham will have an MRI on his shoulder next week, according to the New Orleans Advocate

Graham initially injured his shoulder back in Week 5, but has been able to play through the injury all season. While his touchdown total has remained solid, Graham's yardage is down this year. It's possible he's more injured than he's let on all season, and the injury is serious enough that the team will send him for the MRI. Once the team has a diagnosis, Graham will evaluate with team doctors.


Rams list Scott Wells, Janoris Jenkins as probable, E.J. Gaines doubtful
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) The Rams have listed center Scott Wells (back) and cornerback Janoris Jenkins (back) as probable for Sunday's game against the Seahawks after both were able to participate fully in practice Friday.

Cornerback E.J. Gaines, who is dealing with a concussion, is considered doubtful for the game. If he is unable to go, rookie Lamarcus Joyner or Marcus Roberson could see an uptick in playing time.

The Rams 12 1/2-point underdogs against the Seahawks Sunday.


Cardinals list four as questionable for Sunday against San Francisco
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) With quarterback Drew Stanton (knee) already declared out, the Cardinals listed four players as questionable for Sunday's game against the 49ers including Deone Bucannon (knee), John Carlson (calf), Johnathan Cooper (wrist) and Dan Williams (foot).

Linebacker Larry Foote is also listeed as doubtful for the game with a knee injury. Foote has not missed a game this season, totaling 84 tackles and two sacks.

The Cardinals have also listed the following players as probable: Lorenzo Alexander (knee), Jaron Brown (toe), Calais Campbell (hip), Larry Fitzgerald (knee), Rashad Johnson (ankle), Ted Larsen (shoulder), Tyrann Mathieu (thumb) and Matt Shaughnessy (shoulder).


49ers rule out three for Sunday against the Cardinals
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) The 49ers have deemed running back Carlos Hyde (ankle), wide receiver Steve Johnson (knee) and safety Eric Reid (concussion) as out for Sunday's game against the Cardinals.

It is the second straight game out for both Hyde and Johnson. Hyde finishes his rooke season with 83 carries for 333 yards and four touchdowns while Johnson had 35 catches for 435 yards and three touchdowns this year.

Wide receiever Bruce Ellington (hamstring), cornerbacks Tramaine Brock (hamstring) and Perrish Cox (shoulder) and linebacker Ahmad Brooks (thumb) are all listed as questionable.

Michael Crabtree (knee), Chris Culliver (knee), Brandon Lloyd (groin), Marcus Martin (illness) and Justin Smith (back) are all listed as probable.

The 49ers are currently 6 1/2-point favorites against Arizona Sunday.


Lions' Dominic Raiola loses appeal, remains suspended for Week 17
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) Lions center Dominic Raiola's one-game suspension was upheld by the league following his appeal. Raiola received the one-game suspension earlier in the week after stomping on the leg on Bears defensive lineman Ego Ferguson in Week 16.

The Lions are currently 7 1/2-point underdogs on the road against the Packers in Week 17.


Raiders list seven player on Week 17 injury report
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12/26/2014) The Raiders listed seven players on its final injury report for Week 17 against Denver. Wide receiver Vincent Brown (groin), cornerback Chimdi Chekwa (hamstring), and wide receiver Denarius Moore (knee, ankle) were ruled out for for Sunday. Cornerback T.J. Carrie (ankle), linebacker Khalil Mack (hamstring) and tackle Menelik Watson (foot, ankle) were labeled questionable.

Meanwhile, defensive back Ras-I Dowling (hamstring) got the green light after being a limited participant all week. He was deemed probable for the final game of the season.


 
 
 
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