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Quick Fantasy Hits for Week 2

Senior Fantasy Writer
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As we wade into more Fantasy action, there are some nuggets that are too in-depth to get into on Fantasy Football Today , too smart for Twitter and a little too short for the full column. This is where they fit. Enjoy these Week 2 Quick Hits:

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Four interesting observations using Week 1 target data:
1. It's safe to say Randall Cobb was the Target Superstar, converting every pass thrown his way. He finished Sunday with nine targets and nine catches. With Greg Jennings possibly out for Week 2, and Cobb showing he can be trusted to hold onto the ball, he could be in line for a very big week again.
2. For as bad as Ronnie Brown's rushing stats looked after Monday night's game, he converted all five of his targets. The only other running back who caught all of his targets (minimum of five) was Reggie Bush.
3. Reggie Wayne led all wide receivers with 18 targets. He finished with nine receptions. If Week 1 is any indication, Andrew Luck will be going to Wayne often.This benefits both players. Luck, maligned for having a "bad game" because he threw just one touchdown, still passed for over 300 yards in his NFL debut. He now has a receiver who will catch at least half the balls thrown his way.
4. While a lot of waiver wire attention has been paid to Andrew Hawkins and Stephen Hill, Damian Williams was targetetd six times and finished with five receptions, a percentage of 85.7 percent. He may make for a decent flier in deeper leagues, because even assuming Kenny Britt returns, there's still the problem of a hobbled Nate Washington.

Brandon Weeden could have a very good Week 2. To say Weeden had a nightmarish Week 1 (12-35, 118 yards, four interceptions) would be a massive understatement, but there were some factors that could give his owners optimism. For one, Weeden's receviers are a much more dynamic group than advertised. According to our ADP results, Greg Little was the only Browns wide receiver taken among the first 280 players, and, after Week 1, he looks like he might be in the middle -- or even at the back -- of the Cleveland pack. Mohamed Massaquoi was targeted eight times, Travis Benjamin was targeted six times and Little, Josh Gordon and Brandon Jackson were each targeted four times. Weeden seemed to overthrow every other pass, but they did try to go deep several times and the game actually started with a great slant play to Massaquoi. Things got very ugly after the first drive, but if Weeden can stop overthrowing everyone, he can emerge from Week 2 with a totally different set of numbers.

Really, dude? Weeden? In Weeden's NFL.com draft profile, listed among his strengths were these nuggets:
• "The ball zips off his arm, and he has the ability to fit it in any tight space."
• "He is an accurate passer on throws short and long, and he has that gunslinger mentality to go for the deep ball when it's an option."
• "He understands route progressions and throwing the ball to allow his receiver to make a play."
What this adds up to is a rookie who may have just been a little too pumped up for his first game. You don't just throw away years of scouting and data on one game. His weaknesses from the draft profile were centered around his lack of athleticism and limited scrambling ability, not overthrowing receivers and missing targets. By Week 4, if he can connect with some of his speedy receivers, Weeden's Week 1 performance may look like an aberration in a promising set of games.

Some fun quick kicker stats. In leagues where you get bonuses for distance, David Akers kicked a 63-yarder, Blair Walsh hit a 55-yarder and Sebastian Janikowski nailed a 51-yarder. St. Louis' Greg Zuerlein converted a 48-yard field goal. It's Walsh, though, who makes for an intriguing pickup this week. He hit a 55-yard field gial at the end of regulation -- along with three other field goals (of 20, 38, and 42 yards) and two extra points -- inside the dome at Mall of America Field. A sixth-round draft pick this year, Walsh is owned in just 6 percent of leagues. He hit the second-longest field goal of the week in a clutch situation and added another in overtime for the win. A rookie, his name isn't as comforting as the Janikowskis or Hansons of the world, but Walsh could end up being a top kicker in Fantasy this season, considering his Week 1 performance. Granted, we're talking kickers here, but sometimes Fantasy games are decided by just a few points and a dependable kicker with a big leg could be the difference in those tight matchups.

If I never get another question about Andrew Hawkins, I will be a happy man. But it's part of the job. I swung and missed badly on Ronnie Brown last week, figuring, based on all the reports, coach comments, offensive system from last year and extenuating circumstances, that he'd get 20 touches in Week 1. But there was still a part of me that thought Curtis Brinkley could eat into carries. There's no better way to explain it than odds. It was 3/1 that Brown would get 20 touches and maybe 8/1 that Brinkley would get the most. But that's too long for Twitter. So, before another Week 2 debacle, here are some totally unofficial, quick odds on some of the biggest names from this week:

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Kevin Ogletree
Odds that he's this year's Laurent Robinson: 3/1
Odds that he's a one-week wonder: 8/1
Over/under on touchdowns for the entire season: 7
Odds that he doesn't have another 100-yard game this season: 16/1
I'm betting on: The over on TDs, but I'm not ready to declare him a Robinson-style 10 TD lock.

Stephen Hill
Odds that he leads the Jets in receiving yards: 10/1
Odds that he finishes the year with fewer than 600 receiving yards: 8/1
Odds that Tim Tebow finishes the season with more touchdowns than Hill: 4/1
Over/under on percentage owned by the start of Week 2 games: 65
I'm betting on: The over on percentage owned, and I might put a little faith in Tebow scoring more touchdowns. On the flip side to that, I don't see Hill leading the Jets in receving yards, but I can see him as an 800-yard, seven-touchdown receiver this season.

Alfred Morris
Odds that he starts all 16 games for Washington: 250/1
Odds that he rushes for 1,000 yards this season: 35/1
Odds that he doesn't have one 100-yard rushing game this season: 75/1
I'm betting on: The 1,000 yard rushing season. If he can stay healthy, Shanahan will stick with him for the entire season, which could have him (in that offense) at 1,000 yards by Week 11. Going with the 16-game slate is a slippery slope -- he could get hurt, or, if he does break out and Washington locks up a playoff bid, he could be rested in Week 17.

Trent Richardson
Odds that he doesn't have a 100 yard rushing game this season: 150/1
Odds that he'll miss time with an injury: 55/1
Over/under on touchdowns for the entire season: 8
Odds that he has his first 100-yard rushing game by Week 3: 45/1
I'm betting on: The over on touchdowns and the 100-yard game by Week 3. And I'll parlay that for a big payday. Richardson was rusty in Week 1 and may still be rusty in Week 2, but he should hit his stride by Week 3. After that, he could be a huge breakout candidate for the rest of the season.

Reggie Bush quietly had a great Week 1 game. Maybe a bigger deal wasn't made about it because Miami was so bad overall, but Bush averaged 4.9 yards per carry, while catching six passes for 46 yards. He's already managed 16 percent of his receiving total from last year and that number should remain steady, as Miami's lack of big playmaking wide receivers opens up plenty of opportunities for Bush to catch more passes. PPR owners may want to pay attention to Bush and maybe even offer a deal before he scores some touchdowns and starts to pile on his point totals. He's currently owned in 100 percent of leagues, but started in just 67 percent.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyFB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasyfootball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Mark Sanchez: Eagles said Tim Tebow was just a camp arm
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(11:59 am ET) Eagles quarterback Mark Sanchez said he wasn't concerned that the team signed Tim Tebow, because the Eagles told him Tebow was just there to throw in camp.

"We needed another guy to throw while Sam's (Bradford) still recovering. So that's the reason (for the signing), at least as explained to me," Sanchez said, per CSN Philadelphia

The Eagles signed Tebow on Monday. He hasn't played in the NFL since getting cut by the Patriots at the end of training camp prior to the 2013 season. He spent last year as a television analyst for the SEC Network. 

Tebow and Sanchez were teammates on the Jets in 2012. Tebow's presence as a back-up created a quarterback controversy among fans and media that last ed throughout the season. 


Vikings CB Terence Newman has familiarity with Mike Zimmer
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) Vikings cornerback Terence Newman won't have a steep learning curve now that he's with his new team. 

Newman played under Vikings coach Mike Zimmer when he was the defensive coordinator with the Cowboys. Drafted in 2003, Newman learned Zimmer's defense from his rookie season through 2006, before Zimmer left to take the same position with the Falcons. 

“I just know exactly what to expect from him as a coach, as well as everybody else in this locker room,” Newman told the Vikings' website. “You play your best football under him.”

In his career, Newman has recorded 741 tackles and 37 interceptions. Entering his 13th NFL year, Newman has already impressed his teammates with voluntary workouts underway. 

“I met with him and he seemed like a great guy,” cornerback Xavier Rhodes said. “Like he’s going to come in and teach us what we need to know about the technique of the game and about the defense because he’s been in it before, so he’s going to help us out a lot. He’s a big asset to this team and the defense.”


Chiefs pick up option on NT Dontari Poe
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) The Chiefs have exercised their fifth-year option on two-time Pro Bowl nose tackle Dontari Poe, per NFL.com. He is set in Kansas City through 2016, when he will earn $6.146 million.

The 350-pound Poe has earned the money. He racked up six sacks and contributed to 46 tackles in 2014.


Lions GM Mayhew OK with James Ihedigbo skipping workouts
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) Safety James Ihedigbo was the lone absence from voluntary workouts this week for the Lions. But general manager Martin Mayhew understands. After all, Ihedigbo's agent has stated that he would not work without a new contract.

"I look forward to talking with James," Mayhew told ESPN. "I understand what he's going through. I've been through that myself as a player, when I felt that a time in my career that I was underpaid and I had to deal with that.

"So I have empathy for him. I understand what he's going through and I look forward to sitting down and talking with him. I have great respect for him as a player, as a man. I've gotten to know him a little bit away from football and I understand how he feels."

Mayhew declined to discuss whether the Liins will rework Ihedigbo's contract.

The 31-year-old Ihedigbo contributed 71 tackles and two sacks with a career-high four interceptions in 2014 despite missing three games at the start of the year with a nerve injury. He earned Pro Bowl alternate status.


Eagles withdraw qualifying offer to RB Chris Polk
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) Running back Chris Polk is now a free agent. 

According to the NFL transaction wire, the Eagles rescinded their $1.6 million tender they offered this past March. The Eagles placed the tender on Polk, previously a restricted free agent, before signing both DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews in free agency. 

With Darren Sproles on the roster, it didn't make much sense for Polk to stay with the Eagles. 

In 2014, Polk ran for 172 yards and four touchdowns. 


RB Bobby Rainey signs qualifying offer with Buccaneers
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) The Buccaneers have announced that running back Bobby Rainey has signed a one-year qualifying offer the team extended to him before the free agency period. He was a restricted free agent and was given an opportunity to negotiate with other teams.

Rainey will compete for playing time with Tampa Bay. He rushed for 406 yards in 2014, but faded at the end of the season with just two carries in the last six games combined.


Jaguars planning to play 2015 season without Justin Blackmon
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) As far as the Jaguars are concerned, Justin Blackmon will not be lining up at receiver for them this season. 

At least that's the approach Jacksonville is taking. Blackmon has been indefinitely suspended since Nov. 1 2013 for three violations of the substance-abuse policy under the old CBA.

"Our process hasn't changed," Caldwell said, via ESPN.com. "[We] plan to go without him, but if he emerges, he emerges, and he's going to go in with those top guys and compete with those other guys. Hopefully we're able to get some news, but if not we weren't planning on [having Blackmon]. We're just going to go [without him]."

Before he can re-join the Jaguars, he'll need to file an application for reinstatement, with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell making a decision within a 60-day window. The application letter would include details of the treatment he's received. 

Since being selected with the fourth overall pick in the 2012 draft, Blackmon has only played in 20 games. He has 1,280 yards and six touchdowns in his career. 


Cowboys' Greg Hardy called 'woman beater' by teammate
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) Cowboys defensive end Greg Hardy got into an altercation with teammate Davon Coleman during a voluntary offseason workout, according to a report from Yahoo! Sports

Hardy reportedly questioned Coleman's work ethic during a conditioning drill, which led Coleman to call Hardy a "woman beater."

Hardy was accused of domestic abuse and was found guilty by a North Carolina judge. On the subsequent appeal, prosecutors dropped charges against Hardy and the case was never presented in front of a jury. 

Hardy has been suspended by the NFL for 10 games due to what transpired in that case. According to FOX Sports, the confrontation between Hardy and Coleman remained verbal


Lions and Rob Sims' representation haven't spoken in 3 weeks
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) The Lions need a left guard and Rob Sims would be a solid option if the two sides can strike a deal for the veteran to return. 

However, talks have stalled between the Lions' front office and Sims' representation. Speaking to reporters on Friday, Lions general manager Martin Mayhew said it's been nearly a month since he's spoken to Sims' camp. 

"We've had some discussion with Rob," Mayhew said, via MLive.com. "I spoke to his agent probably about three weeks ago and we had an offer out to him. That's kind of where we are right now. We'll have to kind of wait and see what happens."

The Lions could still opt to draft a lineman early to fill the position, too. 

Sims, who entered the NFL in 2006, has been with the Lions for the past five seasons. 


Andre Ellington OK with Cardinals drafting another running back
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/24/2015) If the Cardinals decide to draft a running back in one of the higher rounds, running back Andre Ellington would be OK with it. 

Ellington was a three-down back for Arizona last year that got plenty of touches in the running and passing games. But if the Cardinals use a high pick on a running back, that could cut into Ellington's touches. 

That's something that wouldn't bother Ellington. 

“It’s whatever will better our team,” Ellington told the team's website. “That’s most important. No one is going to hate any decisions. I’m sure those guys will make the best decisions to help the team. We’ll accept any guy who comes in.”

Another quality runner could help Ellington, who dealt with numerous injuries a year ago, in the long run. His season ended last December after undergoing hernia surgery. 


 
 
 
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