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Week 9 Fantasy Trade Value Chart

Senior Fantasy Writer
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To trade or not to trade Megatron, that is the question. With apologies to William Shakespeare, who probably would have loved Fantasy Football had he tried it, that's the topic on the mind of everyone who has suffered along with Calvin Johnson's less-than-stellar statistics this season.

But after crunching the numbers, there are actually striking similarities for most of Johnson's numbers from last year and this year -- with one very obvious difference. Through his first seven games in 2011, Johnson was targeted 67 times and caught 41 passes for 679 yards and 10 touchdowns. Through his first seven games in 2012, Johnson was targeted even more -- 75 times -- and caught 41 passes for 638 yards but just one touchdown -- a Week 3 pass from Shaun Hill.

In the Lions' most recent game vs. the Seahawks, Johnson did not look well. It's been known he's been dealing with a sore knee and it looked like it affected him on a number of plays. There were multiple times where he was slow to get up and admitted he's playing in pain. He also had three drops in the game, and they're not his first drops on the season. According to Stats, Inc., Johnson has six drops through seven games, tied for the most of any receiver, and it doesn't include plays where he had the ball knocked away or where he lost possession when he falls to the ground. Two of those drops were in the end zone. Regardless, Johnson has left a lot of stats on the field.

And if Fantasy owners could get points for receivers drawing coverage, Johnson would still be a stud. It goes without saying that he's been seeing constant double- and triple-teams, especially in the red zone, and it's finally started to pay off for the Lions' other receivers who are open as a result (see Ryan Broyles' touchdown in Week 8 as an example).

The double teams aren't going away. The knee injury looks pretty significant and even though he's playing through it, there's some thought it's impacting his production. And as other receivers step up, the more 'decoy' he'll play, especially in the red zone. In fact, it's happening already -- check out the coverage the Seahawks paid to Johnson that opened up Ryan Broyles for an easy score last week. Even with the Lions' offense playing well last week, these are reasons to shop Johnson, assuming you're not getting offered peanuts for him.

But in case you're not convinced, here's one more factor: His schedule. The Lions play at Jacksonville this week before a challenging slate to end the season where every opponent is currently above .500 (that does include a home date with the 4-3 Colts). The nasty part comes in November when the Lions play at the Vikings, which is typically tough for them, before hosting the Packers and Texans within a five-day span. That puts a lot of pressure on a banged-up player like Johnson to come up big against tough defenses, even ones he's familiar with.

Giving Johnson away isn't an option -- he's just not worth pawning off for a couple of mid-level starters. But if the opportunity arises to trade him for a comparable stud -- a Jimmy Graham, a Doug Martin or even Willis McGahee, the thought here is to do it either this week or next week after he (hopefully) dominates the Jaguars.

Let's take a look at some trades involving Johnson in CBSSports.com leagues:

Calvin Johnson for Ryan Mathews: This is the kind of trade I think is acceptable for Johnson. While I might prefer another back -- one that is assured work on passing downs and/or the goal line -- at least Mathews is a heavy-volume runner with a favorable schedule ahead of him.

Calvin Johnson and Greg Jennings for Antonio Brown and Mike Wallace: I don't like this move for the Johnson owner. Not only are you settling for less than ideal value for Johnson and Jennings, but you're getting two receivers on the same team. Maybe in a PPR league this deal comes close if Jennings indeed misses time. This smacks of an impatient owner willing to drop Johnson for anything decent.

Calvin Johnson, Aaron Hernandez and Felix Jones for Ray Rice: Owners shouldn't expect to trade Johnson straight up for Rice -- he's too good of a stud for Calvin right now -- so pairing him with other talent is pretty much the only way to get to Rice. The only way this deal works for the Johnson/Hernandez/Jones owner is if he has great depth at receiver and tight end. If he doesn't, he's giving away plenty of points for just one back who has 20-point potential from week to week but has actually hit that mark just twice in seven games.

Calvin Johnson and Alex Green for Darren McFadden and Heath Miller: Here's a sensational trade if you're giving up Johnson. Darren McFadden himself isn't having the most phenomenal year, but he's been putting up decent stats of late (13-plus points in two of his last three) and Miller is having an outstanding year. Both are instant starters, whereas Green isn't and Johnson could have up and down moments the rest of the way.

Player Value Player Value Player Value
Arian Foster, RB, HOU 36 Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, NYG 15 Vernon Davis, TE, SF 7
Ray Rice, RB, BAL 33 Mike Wallace, WR, PIT 15 Josh Freeman, QB, TB 6
LeSean McCoy, RB, PHI 28 Cam Newton, QB, CAR 15 Philip Rivers, QB, SD 6
Adrian Peterson, RB, MIN 28 Aaron Hernandez, TE, NE 14 Lance Moore, WR, NO 6
Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB 27 Reggie Bush, RB, MIA 13 Titus Young, WR, DET 6
Drew Brees, QB, NO 26 Fred Jackson, RB, BUF 13 BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, CIN 6
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL 25 Denarius Moore, WR, OAK 13 Josh Gordon, WR, CLE 6
Tom Brady, QB, NE 25 Randall Cobb, WR, GB 13 Sidney Rice, WR, SEA 6
Marshawn Lynch, RB, SEA 25 DeMarco Murray, RB, DAL 12 Anquan Boldin, WR, BAL 6
Peyton Manning, QB, DEN 24 Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT 12 Greg Jennings, WR, GB 6
A.J. Green, WR, CIN 24 Dez Bryant, WR, DAL 12 Pierre Garcon, WR, WAS 6
Demaryius Thomas, WR, DEN 23 Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG 12 Carson Palmer, QB, OAK 5
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE 22 DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI 12 Alex Green, RB, GB 5
Julio Jones, WR, ATL 21 Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT 11 Donald Brown, RB, IND 5
Frank Gore, RB, SF 21 Tony Gonzalez, TE, ATL 11 Jonathan Stewart, RB, CAR 5
Robert Griffin III, QB, WAS 20 Tony Romo, QB, DAL 10 Jermaine Gresham, TE, CIN 5
Victor Cruz, WR, NYG 20 Darren Sproles, RB, NO 10 Brian Hartline, WR, MIA 5
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET 20 Steve Smith, WR, CAR 10 49ers/Bears/Texans DST 4
Jimmy Graham, TE, NO 19 C.J. Spiller, RB, BUF 10 Joe Flacco, QB, BAL 4
Doug Martin, RB, TB 19 Steve Johnson, WR, BUF 10 Andy Dalton, QB, CIN 4
Willis McGahee, RB, DEN 19 Torrey Smith, WR, BAL 10 Brent Celek, TE, PHI 4
Percy Harvin, WR, MIN 19 Andrew Luck, QB, IND 9 Jermichael Finley, TE, GB 4
Brandon Marshall, WR, CHI 19 Heath Miller, TE, PIT 9 Chris Givens, WR, STL 4
Roddy White, WR, ATL 19 Mikel Leshoure, RB, DET 9 Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, BUF 3
Trent Richardson, RB, CLE 18 Antonio Gates, TE, SD 9 Vick Ballard, RB, IND 3
Chris Johnson, RB, TEN 18 Brandon Lloyd, WR, NE 9 Michael Bush, RB, CHI 3
Matt Forte, RB, CHI 18 James Jones, WR, GB 9 Andre Brown, RB, NYG 3
Alfred Morris, RB, WAS 18 Michael Vick, QB, PHI 8 Shane Vereen, RB, NE 3
Darren McFadden, RB, OAK 18 Michael Turner, RB, ATL 8 Greg Olsen, TE, CAR 3
Jordy Nelson, WR, GB 18 Steven Jackson, RB, STL 8 Brandon Pettigrew, TE, DET 3
Vincent Jackson, WR, TB 18 Rashad Jennings, RB, JAC 8 Martellus Bennett, TE, NYG 3
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI 18 Matt Schaub, QB, HOU 8 Cecil Shorts, WR, JAC 3
Stevan Ridley, RB, NE 17 Jason Witten, TE, DAL 8 Michael Crabtree, WR, SF 3
Marques Colston, WR, NO 17 Owen Daniels, TE, HOU 8 Kendall Wright, WR, TEN 3
Ryan Mathews, RB, SD 17 Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC 8 Jeremy Kerley, WR, NYJ 3
Wes Welker, WR, NE 17 Jeremy Maclin, WR, PHI 8 Santana Moss, WR, WAS 3
Andre Johnson, WR, HOU 17 Shonn Greene, RB, NYJ 7 Andre Roberts, WR, ARI 3
Jamaal Charles, RB, KC 17 Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAC 7 Jay Cutler, QB, CHI 2
Eric Decker, WR, DEN 16 Antonio Brown, WR, PIT 7 Felix Jones, RB, DAL 2
Eli Manning, QB, NYG 16 Mike Williams, WR, TB 7 Brandon Gibson, WR, STL 2
Matthew Stafford, QB, DET 16 Kyle Rudolph, TE, MIN 7 LaRod Stephens-Howling, RB, ARI 2
Miles Austin, WR, DAL 16 Malcom Floyd, WR, SD 7 Scott Chandler, TE, BUF 2
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND 16 Kenny Britt, WR, TEN 7 Nate Washington, WR, TEN 2

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Dave at @daverichard and on Facebook .

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Player News
Vikings' Adrian Peterson to begin probation on Wednesday
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Vikings running back Adrian Peterson will begin his probation on Wednesday, according to the St. Paul Pioneer Press.

Peterson will begin community service, and will undergo counseling to determine whether he has a drug problem. Peterson will report to a probation officer once a month in order to take a drug test. The strict drug testing stems from an Oct. 8 pre-trail urinalysis. Peterson admitted to "smoking a little weed," though the results from the test were never disclosed. 

Probation officials will also determine whether Peterson needs to attend parenting classes. 

Per his plea agreement, Peterson was fined $4,000 and ordered to perform 80 hours of community service. He's required to perform at least 16 hours per month, which would allow him to complete to program prior to training camp.

Peterson is under contract with the Vikings for next season, and is set to earn $12.75 million. The team is not allowed to communicate with Peterson during his suspension. 


Austin Collie signs with CFL's BC Lions
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Free-agent receiver Austin Collie has signed with the BC Lions of the Canadian Football League, the team announced Thursday.

"I’m excited to be joining the Lions and very much look forward to playing in the CFL," said Collie. "The wide-open play of the Canadian game and the passion of fans across the league is going to be a lot of fun to experience."

Collie played four seasons with the Colts and one with the Patriots. In his last NFL action, he caught four passes for 57 yards in the 2014 AFC Championship Game.


Eagles RB LeSean McCoy: 'I don't want to take less money'
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Eagles running back LeSean McCoy reiterated Thursday that while he'd be willing to restructure his contract if asked, he would not accept a pay cut, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

"I know how hard it is to keep a team together and I want to be part of this team. But I don't want to take less money," McCoy said. "I want to figure a way to make it happen [where] we're all together."

McCoy, who is due to count $11.95 million against the cap in 2015, turned in his fourth 1,000-yard season in the last five years in 2014, finishing with 1,319 rushing yards on 312 carries and 155 receiving yards on a career-low 28 receptions. All five of his touchdowns came on the ground.


Bills' Rex Ryan won't commit to EJ Manuel as starting QB
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) When asked about who his starting quarterback would be in 2015, Bills coach Rex Ryan said the team would look at every available option, reports The Buffalo News.

"We're going to exhaust every resource we can," Ryan said. "We'll look at free agents. We'll look at the draft. We'll look at anything."

The Bills have former first-round pick EJ Manuel on their roster, but Ryan said he would not commit to Manuel as his starting quarterback at this time.

"To say that he's definitely going to be the guy, it's way too early to say that," Ryan said.


Bills RB Fred Jackson excited to play for new coach Rex Ryan
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Bills veteran running back Fred Jackson said he hasn't had the opportunity to meet with new coach Rex Ryan, but that didn't stop him from expressing his excitement about the new coaching regime in Buffalo.

"I can't wait to play for him. I've heard nothing but good things," Jackson said Wednesday of Ryan during an interview on ESPN New York 98.7 FM. "I'm looking forward to that [first] conversation when I sit down and talk to him."

The Bills finished 9-7 in 2014, which was their best record since 2004. While Jackson believes Ryan is going to "be that catalyst that comes in and pushes us over that hump," he didn't have many bad things to say about coach Doug Marrone, who opted out of his contract New Year's Eve.

"I thought he was a tremendous coach," Jackson said. "He showed up, he worked hard, he pushed players to give their best effort. He got us to a 9-7 record -- we hadn't won nine games in 10 years. There's definitely some things about him that made him a great coach. It's just the way he exited. I don't think anybody expected that. 

"Players, the way we found out is we got a generic text from him, saying that he was moving on and he had chosen to opt out of his contract." 


Justin Tuck: Raider Nation would appluad signing Ndamukong Suh
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) If defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh doesn't sign a long-term deal with the Lions, then he will become a free agent March 10 and there will be plenty of teams interested in the Pro Bowl lineman. 

Raiders defensive end Justin Tuck indicated if Suh wanted to sign with Oakland, then he would be welcomed in Raider Nation.

"(He's) Raider-ish," Tuck said, per the Detroit Free Press. "And that's one of the reasons why I know Raider Nation would applaud that move, beyond the fact that he's an awesome football player. He kind of fits the mold of ... the toughness and the ferocious player that built the Oakland Raiders."

It is speculated Suh will receive a contract worth at least $100 million. Tuck believes the three-time All-Pro deserves such a lucrative deal.

"The thing about him, you know what you're getting every day. Some of the tactics, you could probably do without, but he's a hell of a football player," Tuck said. "I would love to have the opportunity to line up beside of him and let him take all the double teams that I normally take."


Nick Foles: 'I plan on being in Philly' in 2015
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) There has been a lot of talk about quarterback Nick Foles' future with the Eagles, especially since Philadelphia coach Chip Kelly's former pupil at Oregon -- Marcus Mariota -- will be part of this year's draft class.

On Thursday, Foles addressed the rumors and stated he is expecting to be back on the Eagles' roster in 2015.

"Yeah you hear about it," Foles said in between doing paid appearances at Super Bowl XLIX, per NJ.com. "You are going to hear about it every single year. That's just part of it. The main word is 'rumor.' You can't put too much into it....I plan on being in Philly.

"I only listen to (head coach) Chip Kelly. That's what is most important. He is the one that will make the decision. Right now all I am going to do is work because I plan on being back in Philadelphia and playing with my team. That's all I ever thought. So that is what I plan on doing and I'm not looking at it any other way."

Foles added he hasn't talked with Kelly since the end of the season.

"We haven't talked a lot. He has a lot going on," Foles said. "This time of year you really just get away from everything. He is busy looking at the draft, doing all that. I saw he is more of the decision maker. Haven't really talked to him too much, but I'm sure I'll hear from him soon."


Dwyer pleads guilty in domestic violence case, gets probation
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Cardinals running back Jonathan Dwyer pleaded guilty Thursday in Maricopa County (Ariz.) Superior Court to a single count of disorderly conduct pertaining to his domestic violence case, according to The Arizona Republic.

Dwyer was sentenced to 18 months of probation and community service following the plea, according to a court spokesman.

The 25-year-old Dwyer was arrested Sept. 17 for a July 21 incident in which he allegedly head-butted his wife in the face and broke her nose after she refused his sexual advances and bit his lip, according to reports taken at the time.

Dwyer's wife told police she reported the incident in September because she feared for their child's safety after seeing reports of Vikings running back Adrian Peterson's arrest on child-abuse charges.

The Cardinals placed Dwyer on the reserve/non-football injury list after his September arrest. He did not play again during the 2014 season.


Tom Brady on Peyton Manning: 'I certainly hope he comes back'
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) While the football world anxiously awaits official word from Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning about his playing status for the 2015 season, Patriots quarterback Tom Brady -- and longtime Manning rival -- said Thursday he hopes the five-time NFL MVP will continue his career.

"What a great player he's been for this league," Brady said Thursday, per NFL.com. "He's a great competitor, and I've been fortunate to play against him a bunch of times. I certainly hope he comes back, 'cause the league will miss him if he doesn't. But those decisions are up to him. I'm sure it's up to whether he's mentally and physically -- that's what he wants to do. But I certainly hope he's back."

Archie Manning, Peyton's father, told NFL Network on Thursday that his son hasn't made a decision yet.

"Well, Peyton evaluates things; he's pretty good at that," he said. "I can't tell him what to do, and he hasn't told me what he's going to do. But I do know that he's really giving a lot of things a lot of thought. He's thinking about where he is physically, he wants to see how he can do this some more, trying to get over an injury."

Archie added starting over with new Broncos coach Gary Kubiak will not be an issue for Peyton, if he decides to return next season.

"Yeah, but he loves Gary. He likes Gary," Archie Manning said. "He liked John Fox. He liked Adam Gase. All those things, I think, are considered with. But my deal is he's always made good decisions; he's pretty thorough. He's going to evaluate a lot of things, and I think he'll make a good decision."


RG3: 'I could've sat out the rest of last year' after hurting ankle
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) During a radio interview Wednesday night, Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III indicated the dislocated ankle he suffered in Week 2 against the Jaguars hindered him the rest of the season. He missed six games due to the injury.

“I had never suffered an ankle injury of that severity before, so I didn’t really know what to expect,” Griffin said, per The Washington Times. “It just became more and more tough the more games that we lost, because you know how hard your guys work, and you want to get out there and help them win games.

“I could’ve sat out the rest of last year, with how bad the ankle was, but I felt like I could play, and I wanted to get out there and play with my guys and help them win games. And that didn’t happen when I got back out there. Then coach made a decision [to bench me]. That was an unfortunate decision, and something we all had to go with because that was coach’s choice.”

Griffin will be entering the final guaranteed year of his contract in 2015. The Redskins have until May 3 to decide if they want to exercise the fifth-year option on his contract for 2016. 

Griffin added his focus this offseason will simply be on getting healthy.

“Last year, I wasn’t healthy, and it sucked,” Griffin told ESPN 980. “There’s no other way to say it other than that. When you dislocate your ankle in the second week of the season, when you and your team had big things in mind. So I guess it’s just getting healthy, getting a mental break, getting a chance to spend time with family, and then formulate my plan going forward from this year so we can go out there and win games.”


 
 
 
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