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Week 9 Fantasy Trade Value Chart

Senior Fantasy Writer
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To trade or not to trade Megatron, that is the question. With apologies to William Shakespeare, who probably would have loved Fantasy Football had he tried it, that's the topic on the mind of everyone who has suffered along with Calvin Johnson's less-than-stellar statistics this season.

But after crunching the numbers, there are actually striking similarities for most of Johnson's numbers from last year and this year -- with one very obvious difference. Through his first seven games in 2011, Johnson was targeted 67 times and caught 41 passes for 679 yards and 10 touchdowns. Through his first seven games in 2012, Johnson was targeted even more -- 75 times -- and caught 41 passes for 638 yards but just one touchdown -- a Week 3 pass from Shaun Hill.

In the Lions' most recent game vs. the Seahawks, Johnson did not look well. It's been known he's been dealing with a sore knee and it looked like it affected him on a number of plays. There were multiple times where he was slow to get up and admitted he's playing in pain. He also had three drops in the game, and they're not his first drops on the season. According to Stats, Inc., Johnson has six drops through seven games, tied for the most of any receiver, and it doesn't include plays where he had the ball knocked away or where he lost possession when he falls to the ground. Two of those drops were in the end zone. Regardless, Johnson has left a lot of stats on the field.

And if Fantasy owners could get points for receivers drawing coverage, Johnson would still be a stud. It goes without saying that he's been seeing constant double- and triple-teams, especially in the red zone, and it's finally started to pay off for the Lions' other receivers who are open as a result (see Ryan Broyles' touchdown in Week 8 as an example).

The double teams aren't going away. The knee injury looks pretty significant and even though he's playing through it, there's some thought it's impacting his production. And as other receivers step up, the more 'decoy' he'll play, especially in the red zone. In fact, it's happening already -- check out the coverage the Seahawks paid to Johnson that opened up Ryan Broyles for an easy score last week. Even with the Lions' offense playing well last week, these are reasons to shop Johnson, assuming you're not getting offered peanuts for him.

But in case you're not convinced, here's one more factor: His schedule. The Lions play at Jacksonville this week before a challenging slate to end the season where every opponent is currently above .500 (that does include a home date with the 4-3 Colts). The nasty part comes in November when the Lions play at the Vikings, which is typically tough for them, before hosting the Packers and Texans within a five-day span. That puts a lot of pressure on a banged-up player like Johnson to come up big against tough defenses, even ones he's familiar with.

Giving Johnson away isn't an option -- he's just not worth pawning off for a couple of mid-level starters. But if the opportunity arises to trade him for a comparable stud -- a Jimmy Graham, a Doug Martin or even Willis McGahee, the thought here is to do it either this week or next week after he (hopefully) dominates the Jaguars.

Let's take a look at some trades involving Johnson in CBSSports.com leagues:

Calvin Johnson for Ryan Mathews: This is the kind of trade I think is acceptable for Johnson. While I might prefer another back -- one that is assured work on passing downs and/or the goal line -- at least Mathews is a heavy-volume runner with a favorable schedule ahead of him.

Calvin Johnson and Greg Jennings for Antonio Brown and Mike Wallace: I don't like this move for the Johnson owner. Not only are you settling for less than ideal value for Johnson and Jennings, but you're getting two receivers on the same team. Maybe in a PPR league this deal comes close if Jennings indeed misses time. This smacks of an impatient owner willing to drop Johnson for anything decent.

Calvin Johnson, Aaron Hernandez and Felix Jones for Ray Rice: Owners shouldn't expect to trade Johnson straight up for Rice -- he's too good of a stud for Calvin right now -- so pairing him with other talent is pretty much the only way to get to Rice. The only way this deal works for the Johnson/Hernandez/Jones owner is if he has great depth at receiver and tight end. If he doesn't, he's giving away plenty of points for just one back who has 20-point potential from week to week but has actually hit that mark just twice in seven games.

Calvin Johnson and Alex Green for Darren McFadden and Heath Miller: Here's a sensational trade if you're giving up Johnson. Darren McFadden himself isn't having the most phenomenal year, but he's been putting up decent stats of late (13-plus points in two of his last three) and Miller is having an outstanding year. Both are instant starters, whereas Green isn't and Johnson could have up and down moments the rest of the way.

Player Value Player Value Player Value
Arian Foster, RB, HOU 36 Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, NYG 15 Vernon Davis, TE, SF 7
Ray Rice, RB, BAL 33 Mike Wallace, WR, PIT 15 Josh Freeman, QB, TB 6
LeSean McCoy, RB, PHI 28 Cam Newton, QB, CAR 15 Philip Rivers, QB, SD 6
Adrian Peterson, RB, MIN 28 Aaron Hernandez, TE, NE 14 Lance Moore, WR, NO 6
Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB 27 Reggie Bush, RB, MIA 13 Titus Young, WR, DET 6
Drew Brees, QB, NO 26 Fred Jackson, RB, BUF 13 BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, CIN 6
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL 25 Denarius Moore, WR, OAK 13 Josh Gordon, WR, CLE 6
Tom Brady, QB, NE 25 Randall Cobb, WR, GB 13 Sidney Rice, WR, SEA 6
Marshawn Lynch, RB, SEA 25 DeMarco Murray, RB, DAL 12 Anquan Boldin, WR, BAL 6
Peyton Manning, QB, DEN 24 Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT 12 Greg Jennings, WR, GB 6
A.J. Green, WR, CIN 24 Dez Bryant, WR, DAL 12 Pierre Garcon, WR, WAS 6
Demaryius Thomas, WR, DEN 23 Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG 12 Carson Palmer, QB, OAK 5
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE 22 DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI 12 Alex Green, RB, GB 5
Julio Jones, WR, ATL 21 Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT 11 Donald Brown, RB, IND 5
Frank Gore, RB, SF 21 Tony Gonzalez, TE, ATL 11 Jonathan Stewart, RB, CAR 5
Robert Griffin III, QB, WAS 20 Tony Romo, QB, DAL 10 Jermaine Gresham, TE, CIN 5
Victor Cruz, WR, NYG 20 Darren Sproles, RB, NO 10 Brian Hartline, WR, MIA 5
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET 20 Steve Smith, WR, CAR 10 49ers/Bears/Texans DST 4
Jimmy Graham, TE, NO 19 C.J. Spiller, RB, BUF 10 Joe Flacco, QB, BAL 4
Doug Martin, RB, TB 19 Steve Johnson, WR, BUF 10 Andy Dalton, QB, CIN 4
Willis McGahee, RB, DEN 19 Torrey Smith, WR, BAL 10 Brent Celek, TE, PHI 4
Percy Harvin, WR, MIN 19 Andrew Luck, QB, IND 9 Jermichael Finley, TE, GB 4
Brandon Marshall, WR, CHI 19 Heath Miller, TE, PIT 9 Chris Givens, WR, STL 4
Roddy White, WR, ATL 19 Mikel Leshoure, RB, DET 9 Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, BUF 3
Trent Richardson, RB, CLE 18 Antonio Gates, TE, SD 9 Vick Ballard, RB, IND 3
Chris Johnson, RB, TEN 18 Brandon Lloyd, WR, NE 9 Michael Bush, RB, CHI 3
Matt Forte, RB, CHI 18 James Jones, WR, GB 9 Andre Brown, RB, NYG 3
Alfred Morris, RB, WAS 18 Michael Vick, QB, PHI 8 Shane Vereen, RB, NE 3
Darren McFadden, RB, OAK 18 Michael Turner, RB, ATL 8 Greg Olsen, TE, CAR 3
Jordy Nelson, WR, GB 18 Steven Jackson, RB, STL 8 Brandon Pettigrew, TE, DET 3
Vincent Jackson, WR, TB 18 Rashad Jennings, RB, JAC 8 Martellus Bennett, TE, NYG 3
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI 18 Matt Schaub, QB, HOU 8 Cecil Shorts, WR, JAC 3
Stevan Ridley, RB, NE 17 Jason Witten, TE, DAL 8 Michael Crabtree, WR, SF 3
Marques Colston, WR, NO 17 Owen Daniels, TE, HOU 8 Kendall Wright, WR, TEN 3
Ryan Mathews, RB, SD 17 Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC 8 Jeremy Kerley, WR, NYJ 3
Wes Welker, WR, NE 17 Jeremy Maclin, WR, PHI 8 Santana Moss, WR, WAS 3
Andre Johnson, WR, HOU 17 Shonn Greene, RB, NYJ 7 Andre Roberts, WR, ARI 3
Jamaal Charles, RB, KC 17 Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAC 7 Jay Cutler, QB, CHI 2
Eric Decker, WR, DEN 16 Antonio Brown, WR, PIT 7 Felix Jones, RB, DAL 2
Eli Manning, QB, NYG 16 Mike Williams, WR, TB 7 Brandon Gibson, WR, STL 2
Matthew Stafford, QB, DET 16 Kyle Rudolph, TE, MIN 7 LaRod Stephens-Howling, RB, ARI 2
Miles Austin, WR, DAL 16 Malcom Floyd, WR, SD 7 Scott Chandler, TE, BUF 2
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND 16 Kenny Britt, WR, TEN 7 Nate Washington, WR, TEN 2

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Player News
Jags sign Jeremiah George
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1:04 pm ET) The Jaguars signed rookie linebacker Jeremiah George off the Jets' practice squad, reports The Star-Ledger. He was a fifth-round pick out of Iowa State.

Jordan Reed won't play Thursday
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1:00 pm ET) Redskins tight end Jordan Reed (hamstring) said he won't play Thursday against the Giants and even "sounded sketchy" about returning Week 5 against the Seahawks, reports the Washington Post.

Allen Robinson improving, defining his role
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(12:56 pm ET) Allen Robinson has stepped into a larger role in the Jaguars' offense over the last two weeks, and showed that he has developed a quick rapport with new starting quarterback Blake Bortles in Week 3. Should Fantasy owners be expecting that to continue?

Robinson did not see a single snap in the preseason, as he watched undrafted rookie Allen Hurns surpass him on the depth chart while getting extensive playing time with Bortles. That did not seem to hinder Robinson's development much, as he was Bortles' favorite target Sunday. Bortles threw eight of his 24 passes to Robinson, completing six of them for 73 yards. Though he didn't haul in either of Bortles' touchdowns, the duo was on the same page immediately, which should bode well for Robinson moving forward.

Robinson is going to struggle with inconsistency, as all rookies do, but he has already established himself as a solid option in Jacksonville. Robinson still played just 70 percent of the team's snaps Sunday, but his strong relationship with Bortles could help him in that regard. At the very least, at just nine-percent ownership, Robinson makes for a nice long-term flier moving forward.   


Tyrann Mathieu coming along slowly
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:52 pm ET) Cardinals safety Tyrann Mathieu has played a total of 20 snaps in the past two games as he works his way back from ACL surgery. "I'm still a few weeks away from being the guy I want to be," he told the Arizona Republic.

"That confidence is going to come, just with more playing time."

Mathieu hopes to return stronger after the team's Week 4 bye.


Joe McKnight not worth your waiver-wire love
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(12:36 pm ET) Alright, Chiefs backup running back Joe McKnight scored twice in Week 3, and that was a nice scene for him. Unfortunately, nobody owned him in Fantasy then, as he really came out of nowhere following Jamaal Charles' injury. Is McKnight someone Fantasy owners should be targeting moving forward following his breakout?

McKnight was a non-factor in the running game, but Alex Smith leaned on him heavily as a receiver out of the backfield. He led the team with six receptions on seven targets for 64 yards against the Dolphins, and made his biggest impact with a pair of receiving touchdowns in the red zone.

McKnight did his work while seeing the field in just 21 percent of the Chief's offensive plays; he touched the ball on 46.7 percent of his snaps. That is a pretty unsustainable number for anyone, let alone a little-used return specialist. With Charles' return looming and Knile Davis entrenched as the change-of-pace back, there is little reason to add McKnight, despite last week's success. 


Cardinals cut Drew Butler
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:33 pm ET) The Cardinals released punter Drew Butler to make room for newly-signed running back Marion Grice.

Update: Odell Beckham practices
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:32 pm ET) Contrary to previous reports indicating he wouldn't practice this week, Giants rookie Odell Beckham participated in some receiver drills at the start of practice Tuesday, reports ESPN.com. Beckham ran routes and caught passes, a positive sign as he tries to come back from a lingering hamstring injury.

Miles Burris in a protective boot
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:28 pm ET) Raiders middle linebacker Miles Burris wore a protective boot at a community event in London on Tuesday. Burris has played every snap this season and has 20 tackles for the Raiders, who face Miami at Wembley Stadium on Sunday.

The Raiders have not updated Burris' status.


Jeremy Kerley worth more than a look
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(12:21 pm ET) With Eric Decker's hamstring continuing to cause him problems, Jeremy Kerley stepped up in a big way in Week 3 against the Bears. And, though his overall numbers this season are not particularly impressive, there are reasons to think Kerley might be a worthwhile Fantasy option moving forward.

Kerley had just 60 yards on eight receptions and no touchdowns through the first two games, before recording seven catches for 81 yards and a score in Week 3. However, his overall numbers would look a lot more impressive of the 36-yard touchdown he hauled in late in Week 2 had counted -- as well all know, that play was blown dead by a late timeout from the Jets' sideline.

Kerley leads the Jets in targets, with 23.1 percent of the team's passes going his way through three games. That might not be a sustainable number, but he has clearly developed a rapport with Geno Smith. As long as Decker's hamstring remains an issue -- and it seems like it is going to be so -- Kerley certainly deserves to be owned in more than seven percent of leagues.  


Steelers hopeful Dri Archer, Ramon Foster return Sunday
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(12:19 pm ET) Steelers coach Mike Tomlin said he is hopeful running back Dri Archer (ankle) and left guard Ramon Foster (ankle) can play Week 4 against the Bucs. Archer has missed two games and Foster sat out Week 3.

 
 
 
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