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Quick Fantasy Hits for Week 14

Senior Fantasy Writer
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As we wade into a 14th week of action, there are some nuggets that are too in-depth for the podcast, too long for Twitter and a little too short for the full column. Enjoy these Week 14 Quick Hits.

The Buffalo Bills and St. Louis Rams are suddenly DST forces. And they play each other this week. Over their last three games, the Rams have scored the second-most points and the Bills have scored the fifth-most among all DSTs (on the season, the Rams rank 15th and the Bills are 17th). But the more dependable of the two defenses might be the Bills. Over the last three games, Buffalo has four interceptions, 10 sacks and have forced six fumbles. The Rams, meanwhile, got a tremendous boost from their Week 12 performance against the lowly Cardinals -- four interceptions and two defensive touchdowns. They've been getting steady sack numbers, as well -- eight in the last three -- but the Bills will have the advantage in Week 14, as Sam Bradford has been an easy target this year, being the third-most sacked quarterback in the NFL, while Fitzpatrick isn't even in the top 20.

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Have a pass-catching running back? The teams that have given up the most receiving yards to opposing running backs this season are ...

New Orleans (52.17 receiving yards per game to RBs)
Tennessee (50.92)
San Diego (49.67)
New England (48.83)
Carolina (48.25)

And their opponents in Week 14? Ahmad Bradshaw (24.7 receiving yards per game over his last three), Vick Ballard (9.3), Jonathan Dwyer (14.3), Arian Foster (15) and Michael Turner (6.7) -- although Jacquizz Rodgers has averaged 20.3 over his last three and Jason Snelling has caught an average of three passes for 28.7 yards per game over his last three, as well.

It seems like Bradshaw could see a decent bump in value, especially in PPR leagues, as New Orleans -- permissive in essentially every defensive measure -- is very bad at containing pass-catching RBs. In deeper leagues, Rodgers and Snelling -- and it should be stressed, we're talking 18-team-ish leagues here -- could see some success against Carolina

The flip side to this? The teams who have allowed the fewest receiving yards to RBs:

Pittsburgh (19.17 receiving yards per game to RBs)
Arizona (19.5)
Dallas (23.67)
Indianapolis (35.67)
Detroit (36.17)

In Week 14, they face Ryan Mathews (25.7 receiving yards per game over his last three), Marshawn Lynch (4), BenJarvus Green-Ellis (10), Chris Johnson (16.3) and Alex Green (10.7).

Mathews already faced a tough task going against the Steelers defense, but whatever value Mathews may have left -- and it isn't much, based on his average rank of 30 among RBs in our rankings -- could have come from his ability to catch passes (he's been targeted 17 times in the last three weeks, fourth among RBs). But with Pittsburgh being the hardest on pass-catching RBs, as well as allowing the fifth-fewest Fantasy points to opposing running backs overall, Week 14 does not look especially good for Mathews.

More running back fun! In the last three games, Steven Jackson (268 yards) and Shonn Greene (239 yards) are both in the top 10 among rushing leaders. Jackson is also ninth in receiving yards among running backs over the last three. In fact, since St. Louis' Week 9 bye, Steven Jackson has gained 100 total yards in three of four games. He's been a different player since the bye:

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In the first eight weeks, Jackson had 20 carries once.
In the last four weeks, Jackson had 20 carries three times

In the first eight weeks, Jackson's high in catches was four and his yardage high was 31.
In the last four weeks, Jackson's high in catches was five and his yardage high was 69.

Jackson has 195 carries this season and has yet to fumble.

In the first eight weeks, Jackson had 10 or more Fantasy points once.
In the last four weeks, Jackson had 10 or more Fantasy points three times.

If consistency is what you seek ... Then here's a fun exercise in how many players have been able to maintain decent Fantasy scoring levels the last several weeks:

Running backs: In Week 12, 29 running backs scored in double-digit Fantasy points. Fifteen repeated the feat in Week 13. Only five backs (BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Trent Richardson, Mikel Leshoure, C.J. Spiller and Jamaal Charles) have scored double-digits in Weeks 11, 12 and 13. And only Charles and Spiller have gone double-digits in the last four weeks.

Wide receivers: In Week 12, 25 wide receivers scored in double-digits. Six repeated the feat in Week 13. Only four receivers (Dez Bryant, Calvin Johnson, Cecil Shorts and Demaryius Thomas) hit double-digits in Weeks 11-13. And all four actually extended the streak back to Week 10. Only Johnson can go back to Week 9, though, and point to five straight weeks of double-digit Fantasy production.

Tight ends: Six tight ends hit double-digits in Week 12, so we're going to expand the cut-off to eight points -- 14 tight ends managed eight or more points. Only two tight ends (Kyle Rudolph and Jacob Tamme) managed to hit the eight-point mark in Week 13. And neither extended that to a third week. If we make the cut-off six points, though, Jermaine Gresham has hit that mark five weeks in a row and Dallas Clark has done it four weeks in a row.

You want a kicker fact? Here's a nice one: the Jaguars have given up the most Fantasy points to kickers this year, including an average of 11.3 over the last four games. Facing the Jags this week? Nick Folk, who scored one point in Week 13. It's a risky proposition, but the Jags have been especially permissive to kickers, both recently and overall this season, meaning Folk -- despite being out of the top 24 at his position in Fantasy points -- could be lined up for a decent game. Deep league players may want to take note.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyFB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasyfootball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Report: Panthers RB Chris Ogbonnaya carted off Friday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:37 am ET) Panthers backup running back Chris Ogbonnaya was carted off the field from practice Friday, the Charlotte Observer has reported. The injury and its severity have yet to be announced.

Redskins RB Alfred Morris blames self for poor ground game
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:32 am ET) Redskins featured back Alfred Morris is blaming the man he sees in the mirror for the rushing woes that have plagued his team in recent weeks.

The Redskins led the NFL in rushing in 2012 and ranked fifth last season despite their 3-13 record, greatly due to Morris, who totaled more yards on the ground than anyone in the league not named Adrian Peterson the last two years. But Washington sits 21st this season in rushing yards and 20th in YPC. Morris has just 187 yards rushing in the last four games combined.

In studying his subpar performance Sunday against Tennessee, he noticed minor differences in the path he takes while carrying the ball, the Washington Times is reporting. He claims it's too close to the line of scrimmage, thereby limiting cutback opportunities and preventing his offensive linemen from effectively setting up their blocks.

"I can't really read it out like I'm supposed to," he said. "You think it's nothing, like, 'Oh, it's just a tight track.' But when you really look at it, especially after watching last week's film, it was like, 'Man. Geez. If my track was just a little wider, I could've pressed that more and set that block up a little better so I can get downhill.' It's little things like that. They make a huge difference."


Falcons is good shape as they prepare for Lions
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:21 am ET) The Falcons are fairly healthy heading into their Sunday game against Detroit. Only defensive tackle Jonathan Babineaux (foot) appears destined to sit despite his status as questionable. Also questionable is wide receiver Harry Douglas (foot).

The probables are left guard Justin Blalock (back), wide receiver Julio Jones (ankle) and linebacker Prince Shembo (knee). All three were limited in practice Friday.


Rams SS McDonald says he's fine after sustaining concussion
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:17 am ET) Rams starting strong safety T.J. McDonald had declared himself "fine" after sitting out Wednesday practice as part of concussion protocol and returning to the field Thursday on a limited basis, per the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.

McDonald has not missed a snap this season and appears all but set to play in Week 8 at Kansas City. He has contributed to 38 tackles.


Bengals WR A.J. Green: I could still play Sunday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:10 am ET) Prolific Bengals wide receiver A.J. Green does not believe his non-participation in Friday practice dooms him to inactivity Sunday against Baltimore. He is claiming he could still play, the team website has reported.

Green, who vowed to play after the Week 7 blanking at Indianapolis, has been sidelined the last two games with a nagging toe injury.


Report: Falcons WR Harry Douglas a game-time decision
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:04 am ET) A second straight day of practice for Falcons wideout Harry Douglas has him considered a game-time decision for Sunday against Detroit, per the team website. He has missed four consecutive games with a foot injury.

His inclusion Friday was a good sign in that it proved his foot responded well to the Thursday session. But Mike Smith emphasized that no decision has been made in regard to his status for Sunday.

"Harry's done very well," Smith said. "He will be a decision that we make as we get closer to the game, but he's been able to come out and participate in practice the past two days ... I like the progress he's made through the week."

Douglas has 12 catches for 121 yards and one touchdown in three games played this season.


Belichick deflects questions about Patriots CB Darrelle Revis
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(10:56 am ET) Bill Belichick declined to elaborate Friday on any issues between him and Patriots cornerback Darrelle Revis, who was sent home Tuesday after arriving late for a team meeting.

"Anything between me and the players is between myself and the players," he told Boston.com.

Pressed about the incident and how it could impact the status of the veteran for the Week 8 game against visiting Chicago, Belichick merely talked about the difficulty of the matchup.


Lions stud WR Calvin Johnson questionable for Sunday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(10:48 am ET) Lions superstar wide receiver Calvin Johnson has been deemed questionable for the Sunday game against Atlanta in London.

Johnson practiced on a limited basis the past three days after missing the last two games with an ankle injury. He has struggled with the issue most of the year. Johnson caught just three passes for 19 yards in the previous two games combined and will likely be limited even if he does play in Week 8.


Three Lions tight ends appear doomed to inactivity Sunday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(10:43 am ET) The Lions are nearly certain to be sans three tight ends for their Sunday game against Atlanta. Both Eric Ebron (hamstring) and Joseph Fauria (ankle) have been ruled out while starter Brandon Pettigrew (foot) has been designated as doubtful.

Their absences could launch Jordan Thompson into the starting role. He was recently signed off the practice squad. Fullback Jed Collins could also earn some reps at tight end.


Lions RB Reggie Bush deemed doubtful for battle in Britain
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(10:36 am ET) Despite his claims to the contrary, Lions running back Reggie Bush appears destined to miss the Week 8 game against Atlanta. He has been deemed doubtful for the clash in London.

Bush has been sidelined from practice since Thursday with an ankle injury.


 
 
 
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