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Fantasy & Reality: Week 17 Fantasy pitfalls

Senior Fantasy Writer
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The albatross that is Week 17 is upon us. And though roughly two-thirds of Fantasy leagues have been decided by now, it doesn't mean that the season is over for everybody ... even though the regular season is over for the starters on a few NFL teams.

Playing into Week 17 is a fun challenge, but a game already dominated by improbabilities and uncertainties is compounded by the wishes of a team without the proverbial "something to play for." Everywhere you look there's risk in starting key players because their teams might not need them for the full 60 minutes. Some won't be used at all.

The good news this season is that there aren't many teams with playoff spots locked up. That should mean a lot of players who helped you get to Week 17 playing for you. That's how it should be when a championship is on the line.

Playoff implications for both teams

Cowboys at Redskins: For the second straight year, the Cowboys are on the road in a win-and-in game. Not only is the winner in the playoffs but they'll host the Seahawks in the Wild Card round. Not the best prize in the world but certainly one worth playing for. The loser will likely miss the playoffs but there is a scenario where the Redskins can still make it with a loss, though it will depend on results earlier in the day. Expect the starters for both teams to play the whole game.

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Packers at Vikings: The Vikings are in with a win on Sunday. The Packers are already locked into a home game, but they could land the No. 2 seed and a bye with a win. You won't see Aaron Rodgers' backup throw six touchdowns in this one.

Playoff implications for one team

Texans at Colts: With a win, the Texans will own the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Their starters will play.

The Colts, meanwhile, are locked into the No. 5 seed and have nothing to play for from a playoff standpoint. However, emotions will run high when their head coach, Chuck Pagano, makes his expected return from chemotherapy treatments for leukemia. Pagano is a first-time head coach who has worked as an assistant for a number of head coaches, much like interim head coach Bruce Arians. Neither have been at the helm of a team in this "meaningless" situation but they have both been around it. In Pittsburgh, Arians was part of a Steelers team that played their starters for most of blowout wins against Cleveland in 2010 and again versus Cleveland in 2008. In 2007, several starters rested for the whole game after the Steelers locked up the AFC North. Pagano was part of a Ravens team in 2007 that pulled their starters after putting the final touches on a convincing win. The hunch is that the Colts' top stars like Andrew Luck and Reggie Wayne will play most if not all of the game because of Pagano on the sideline and the electric atmosphere thanks to the home crowd and an opponent desperate for a win.

Ravens at Bengals: The Ravens have a home game locked up in the Wild Card round. It is unknown how hard they'll fight for a chance at the No. 3 seed but chances are they'll come out firing in an attempt to simply fine-tune the offense. As we noted with Pagano above, the Ravens have rarely been in a position to rest their starters under coach John Harbaugh. We'll probably see the first-team offense on the field for a decent portion of the game but not the whole thing. The Ravens might actually prefer to land the No. 4 seed to keep a home game with the Colts and see the Texans in Round 2, not the Broncos or Patriots.

The Bengals have clinched the No. 6 seed and have nothing to gain from playing. The last time Marvin Lewis' crew was in such a situation was when they won the AFC North title in 2009 -- the starters played a little bit and gave way to the backups soon thereafter against the Jets. They wound up playing the Jets at home the very next week and lost, something Lewis made mention of during a press conference this week. Even with Lewis saying he'll "play to win," it doesn't mean he'll try to do it with his starters for 60 minutes.

Dolphins at Patriots: If the Patriots want to have a chance at a bye, they need to win. Losses by Houston or Denver would give them a top-two seed, so expect the Pats' first-team offense to play until the game's in hand. The Dolphins are out of playoff contention but their first-year head coach will likely demand a good effort while potentially looking at some younger players.

Chiefs at Broncos: The Broncos land a bye with a win. If the Texans lose and the Broncos win then the Broncos will clinch the top seed in the AFC. John Fox said previously he wasn't resting his starters and chances are that will be the case until the Broncos build a big lead on the Chiefs. That should be by halftime.

Bears at Lions: The Bears land the NFC's sixth seed with a win and a Vikings loss. Because the Vikings play a late game, the Bears won't know their fate until after their game. Their starters will play. The Lions have nothing to play for, but Calvin Johnson will probably aim for over 2,000 receiving yards.

Eagles at Giants: The only team here with playoff hopes is the Giants, and they're faint. A Giants win gives them a chance at a wild card spot depending on other games later in the day. Perhaps the Giants will finish strong.

Cardinals at 49ers: The 49ers must win and also need a Packers loss to slide back into the No. 2 seed. The Packers and Niners play at the same time so expect Harbaugh's starters to stay in the game a while.

Rams at Seahawks: The Seahawks have clinched a playoff spot and can actually host a home game if they win and the Niners lose. They play at the same time so expect the Seahawks to put their best foot forward.

No playoff implications

Buccaneers at Falcons: The Falcons have the top seed wrapped up, something they've never had going into Week 17 under head coach Mike Smith. However, Smith has benched his starters for backups during a game as recently as last season. This might not be the week to roll with your Falcons starters.

Jets at Bills, Panthers at Saints, Browns at Steelers, Jaguars at Titans, Raiders at Chargers: A lot of teams with a lot of coaches who may or may not be associated with their teams at this time next week. There might be a surprise inactive or two among this crew, so stay close to CBSSports.com on Sunday when we get the official inactives.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Dave at @daverichard and on Facebook .

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Player News
Saints RB Khiry Robinson tweets he's 'back in action'
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5:59 pm ET) Saints running back Khiry Robinson, who has been sidelined the last five games with a forearm injury, has indicated that he's on the brink of returning, per the New Orleans Times-Picayune.

Robinson was listed as out of practice Wednesday, but he tweeted that he's "back in action." If he indeed can play Sunday in Pittsburgh, the team will have its full complement of running backs for the first time in more than a month.


RB Forsett: I want to stay with Ravens on long-term deal
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5:53 pm ET) Blossoming Ravens running back Justin Forsett is seeking a long-term contract with the team.

"Definitely, this is a great place, a great organization," he told the Baltimore Sun. "It's hard not to want to be here. Definitely, I'm sure after the season sometime they'll get something done. I would love to sign here. I've been waiting my whole career to find a home somewhere, to not have to move every offseason. So, what would be nice."

Forsett is 97 yards short of 1,000 on the season and has scored seven touchdowns in emerging as the featured back in the wake of the Ray Rice suspension. Forsett exploded for 182 yards and two scores in the Monday night defeat of New Orleans.


Report: Herron likely to start ahead of Richardson again Sunday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5:39 pm ET) Colts running back Dan Herron will likely to continue starting over Trent Richardson when the team plays Washington on Sunday.

It had been reported that Herron started in Week 13 because Richardson was dealing with the flu, but it was in reality because he outperformed him in practice, according to ESPN. He then produced more on the field against Jacksonville, averaging 5.4 YPC on 12 attempts and adding five receptions while Richardson managed 42 yards and a touchdown in 13 tries.


Ravens LB Terrell Suggs out Wednesday with foot ailment
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5:30 pm ET) Ravens linebacker Terrell Suggs missed Wednesday practice with a foot injury. He had been limited in recent weeks with a neck issue, but he played in 84 percent of the snaps Monday night.

Suggs, who has missed just 10 games during his 12-year career, is unlikely to be sidelined Sunday against San Diego, according to ESPN.


49ers list Week 13 injury report
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(5:22 pm ET) The 49ers released their Week 13 injury report Wednesday, and they listed tight end Derek Carrier (foot), tackle Anthony Davis (concussion) and defensive tackle Glenn Dorsey  (forearm) as out for Thursday's game against the Seahawks.

Cornerback Tramaine Brock (hamstring), wide receiver Bruce Ellington (ankle) and tight Vance McDonald (back) were all listed as questionable, while running back Frank Gore (knee), wide receiver Brandon Lloyd (quadricep), defensive end Ray McDonald (knee), running back Bruce Miller(shoulder), safety Eric Reid (ankle), defensive end Justin Smith (back) and safety Raymond Ventrone (groin) were all listed as probable.


Report: DT Garrison Smith hooks on with Saints
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5:20 pm ET) The Saints have reportedly signed defensive tackle Garrison Smith to their practice squad. The rookie had been cut by Miami before the season.

Colts waive one linebacker, sign another from Titans
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5:13 pm ET) The Colts have waived Victor Butler and claimed fellow inside linebacker Shaun Phillips off waivers from the Titans.

Butler was re-signed Monday after losing his roster spot six days earlier.


Browns S Whitner, Bills RB Jackson having war of words
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4:55 pm ET) Running back Fred Jackson and former Bills teammate Donte Whitner, who now suits up as a starting strong safety for the Browns, have embarked on a war of words heading into the battle between the two teams Sunday.

Whitner tweeted this summer about the team's proposed move to Toronto, asking how Bills fans feel about it and following it up with an "LOL." Jackson hasn't been laughing out loud.

"If you talk down to anybody, you can't be respected," he said via ESPN. "That's just me, that's how I feel about it. For him to stay stuff like that, about people that we love in this organization, he'll never get my respect for that." Jackson also called Whitner "an idiot."

Whitner did not back off, claiming that his words could now have more of a purpose.

"[The Toronto Bills comment] wasn't excessive. It wasn't a joke. I knew that it would get to them. I knew it would ruffle a feather. If they're over there talking about this, maybe we are in their heads. Maybe I'm in their heads. Maybe. We don't know, but the goal is to go 1-0, the goal is to get them talking about things other than football, and I guess that's what they're doing."


Patterson, McKinnon held out of Vikings' practice Wednesday
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(4:48 pm ET) Vikings wide receiver Cordarrelle Patterson (knee) and running back Jerick McKinnon (lower back) were held out of practice Wednesday. The Vikings are preparing to play the Panthers in Week 13.

Bucs looking for 'the answer' for lackluster running game
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(4:44 pm ET) The Buccaneers have struggled to run the football in 2014, and coach Lovie Smith knows it too well. The Bucs have rushed for fewer than 100 yards in eight of their last nine games and rank second to last in the NFL in rushing yards per game (84.0 ypg).

"A defense can just tee off on you if you can’t run the football," Smith said, per The Tampa Tribune. "When you can’t run the ball consistently in this league, it hurts."

The Bucs did rush for more than 100 yards in each of their first two games. Since then, they are averaging 73.8 rushing yards per game and 3.4 yards per carry.

The Bucs are averaging 21.7 run plays per game, which is the second-fewest in the NFL. Only one time this year has a Bucs' running back carried the ball more than 20 times. Offensive coordinator Marcus Arroyo admits it might be time to change that, and get running backs Doug Martin, Charles Sims and Bobby Rainey more carries.

"We haven’t tried that yet," Arroyo said when asked if the solution might be as simple as calling 30 or more rushing plays per game. "Maybe that is the answer."


 
 
 
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