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Top 15 quarterbacks for 2013

Dave Richard
Senior Fantasy Writer
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Editor's note: Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Nathan Zegura will share a snapshot of their rankings in January to give owners something to ponder.

Top 15 quarterbacks for 2013
Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard
Nathan Zegura
1. Aaron Rodgers, GB 1. Drew Brees, NO 1. Drew Brees, NO
2. Drew Brees, NO 2. Peyton Manning, DEN 2. Aaron Rodgers, GB
3. Tom Brady, NE 3. Aaron Rodgers, GB 3. Tom Brady, NE
4. Cam Newton, CAR 4. Tom Brady, NE 4. Cam Newton, CAR
5. Peyton Manning, DEN 5. Cam Newton, CAR 5. Peyton Manning, DEN
6. Matt Ryan, ATL 6. Matt Ryan, ATL 6. Matt Ryan, ATL
7. Matthew Stafford, DET 7. Matthew Stafford, DET 7. Matthew Stafford, DET
8. Tony Romo, DAL 8. Tony Romo, DAL 8. Tony Romo, DAL
9. Andrew Luck, IND 9. Andrew Luck, IND 9. Robert Griffin III, WAS
10. Eli Manning, NYG 10. Robert Griffin III, WAS 10. Andrew Luck, IND
11. Robert Griffin III, WAS 11. Russell Wilson, SEA 11. Eli Manning, NYG
12. Russell Wilson, SEA 12. Eli Manning, NYG 12. Josh Freeman, TB
13. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT 13. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT 13. Colin Kaepernick, SF
14. Colin Kaepernick, SF 14. Colin Kaepernick, SF 14. Russell Wilson, SEA
15. Andy Dalton, CIN 15. Andy Dalton, CIN 15. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
I'll take Rodgers at the top spot again because he's finished as the No. 1 or 2 Fantasy quarterback each of the past four years. Even in what was perceived as a down year for him in 2012 he was just two touchdowns and 100 passing yards behind Brees for the No. 1 spot. ... Peyton Manning just had his fifth year with at least 4,300 passing yards and 30 touchdowns and has the best receiving corps in the NFL. ... I was already concerned about Griffin before his knee surgery to repair a torn ACL and LCL because he struggled toward the end of his rookie year. After Week 7 he had just two games with more than 19 Fantasy points with both coming against two terrible defenses in Dallas and Philadelphia. He remains a No. 1 quarterback in 2013, but don't draft him before Round 6. And it is imperative to pair him with a high-end No. 2 option like Roethlisberger or Kaepernick. ... Stafford had 21 fewer passing touchdowns in 2012 than he did in 2011, and he finished as the No. 12 Fantasy quarterback as a result. He also had Calvin Johnson get tackled at the 1-yard line five times. Give him those 30 points if Johnson ended up scoring, and he moves up to No. 8. He'll rebound. ... Eli Manning had five games with at least three touchdowns at home in 2012 and three games on the road with no touchdowns. He's a top bounce-back candidate with a healthy Hakeem Nicks and a developing weapon in Rueben Randle. ... I love the upside of Wilson and Kaepernick, but they have a lot to prove to be considered reliable. Wilson obviously has the better track record since he was a Top 12 Fantasy passer in eight of his final nine games. Kaepernick did that in just four of his seven starts. -- Jamey Eisenberg
Be prepared to pass on a quarterback in Round 1, if not the first few rounds in typical leagues with 12 teams or fewer. There's just too much talent on the board when everyone needs to start just one quarterback. The best plan could be to wait until the third, fourth and fifth rounds to snare a passer. I like any of the Top 12 quarterbacks to be my starter in 2013. ... I originally had Griffin inside my Top 5 but couldn't see myself picking him over the likes of Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. Since then he's suffered a major knee injury and has fallen to 10th overall. That ranking is wholly dependent on him being available for the start of the season; any indication that he's behind in his rehab and he'll slide out of the Top 12 for sure. Also, anyone who drafts RG3 should also plan to pick another quarterback within the Top 15 in case he's not ready or not as effective as we hope. ... Putting Luck and Wilson as low-end starters is a nod to both of them improving this offseason. The key with taking either one of them is to also draft a veteran as a backup. Landing Luck/Roethlisberger or Wilson/Dalton should provide some stablility (and depth) at the position with Round 6-9 picks. ... It's eerie how all three of us have similar rankings -- the top 15 players are the same and they're basically tiered similarly. That could suggest that Fantasy owners will think similarly on Draft Day and the order in which quarterbacks will get taken will be predictable. -- Dave Richard
The quarterback position is deeper than ever as we head into the 2013 season. All 15 of these guys have Top 10 potential to me and I think we have a couple of tiers of distinction here. ... Brees, Rodgers and Brady are the cream of the crop and my Top 3 but I would not take them in the first round. ... Newton and Peyton Manning are the next two on my list and all could potentially finish No. 1 overall at the end of the year. ... Stafford (who will have more touchdowns in 2013) and Ryan could both finish in the Top 3 and even Romo could make a massive jump with Dez Bryant going to the next level. ... Griffin has dropped from No. 5 overall in the first release of these rankings to No. 9 given his recent ACL/LCL surgery. ... I am not at all worried about RG3 the passer and expect him to be ready to go early in the year, but he could see a drop off in his rushing totals and that uncertainty is why he is down. ... Griffin will move back into the Top 6-7 depending on his recovery and ability to be the dual threat quarterback that made him so productive for Fantasy owners. ... That gives us nine very elite quarterbacks and if Luck can cut down on his turnovers (do not forget that Peyton Manning chopped off 11 turnovers in his second season) we have 10. ... Eli will bounce back with a healthy Hakeem Nicks along with Rueben Randle's continued development. ... I know that the Buccaneers really want to get a top pass catching tight end for Freeman, who could easily be a Top 5 quarterback if he cuts down on his turnovers. ... Kaepernick and Wilson (I'd like to see more consistent passing yardage) could easily jump into the Top 7 with their ability to both run and pass the football and Big Ben is a solid No. 15 on the list. ... The quarterback position is loaded and if you snag one of the first eight, you will be in great shape in 2013. If you miss on those guys, you still have a great chance to get an elite point producer -- Nathan Zegura
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Player News
David Wilson
Starting job Wilson's to lose?
David Wilson, RB, NYG
1:57 PM
News: The Giants' official team website reports the starting running back job will be won in training camp and the preseason but that David Wilson is expected to earn it. "The general feeling is the job is Wilson’s to lose," wrote website writer and veteran Giants reporter Michael Eisen. The story adds Andre Brown is "in the mix" at running back.
Analysis: The speedster has immense upside in the Giants offense even though there will be weeks where Andre Brown will have more work and certainly scores more often. But if you give Wilson about 250 total touches over the season, which is feasible, then he'll have a chance at 1,200-plus total yards with his own share of scores. We consider Wilson a No. 2 Fantasy running back with upside. He's worth drafting as early as Round 4 so long as he's "in the mix" in training camp.

LeSean McCoy
Knee flares up on LeSean
LeSean McCoy, RB, PHI
1:44 PM
News: Eagles running back LeSean McCoy was pulled from an OTA practice Monday with knee discomfort according to PhillyMag.com. He was on a sideline late in practice working on his own and getting stretched out by trainers. Per the Philadelphia Inquirer McCoy looked fine and said he "did something to his knee."
Analysis: It doesn't sound too serious. So long as McCoy is healthy and active for training camp there's nothing to be worried about. McCoy is expected to see a ton of work in the Eagles offense under new coach Chip Kelly. He has potential for a very good year, making him a Top 15 pick in all formats. Pairing him with Bryce Brown in Round 9 is a very smart idea.

Rob Gronkowski
Doctors confident in Gronk
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
10:42 AM
News: ESPN reports that Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski, who is scheduled to undergo the fourth surgery on his left forearm on Monday, should be OK. The report says doctors feel confident that the infection has been eradicated, but they won't know for sure until they take tests during the procedure and then examine those over the next week. A new plate is expected to replace the one already in his arm and he will begin a new 10-11 week recovery period.
Analysis: We're glad to hear that Gronkowski should be OK after the forearm surgery, but he still has to deal with the upcoming procedure on his back, which should take place in 3-4 weeks. The goal is get Gronkowski back on the field for training camp, but he might not be ready until just before the start of the season. If Gronkowski is 100 percent with all his ailments then he has the chance to remain the No. 1 tight end in Fantasy with a pick in Round 2. But based on his health in May, he is dropping down the rank lists to more of a Top 5 Fantasy tight end. He's still worth drafting by Round 3 or 4 in the majority of leagues, but his value has taken a hit with another forearm surgery and the potential back problem. Stay tuned, and hopefully we get more good news as the offseason moves on.

Robert Griffin III
RG3 begins throwing
Robert Griffin III, QB, WAS
10:34 AM
News: The father for Robert Griffin III told USA Today his son has been throwing a football since late April. That suggests he's ahead of schedule and could be ready to play in Week 1 against the Eagles on Sept. 9. RG3 posted on Twitter he had been doing "a couple of roll out throws," meaning he's running and throwing at the same time. "Everybody in the organization is targeting that season opener," Robert Griffin II said.
Analysis: The father added that RG3 is a little ahead of himself in his rehab compared to when he tore his right ACL in college, another good sign. Griffin tore up his knee on January 6 and the typical recovery from just an ACL procedure is nine months. His knee was damaged beyond that -- he also injured his MCL and PCL. Training camp opens on July 25, less than seven months after he got hurt. The Redskins' first game takes place September 9, eight months and three days after he got hurt. If the Redskins approach the injury with the long-term picture in mind then they might not rush him back so soon. A Fantasy gameplan: Draft Griffin with a pick in Round 7 or 8 and pair him with Carson Palmer in the final rounds. Palmer has a great early-season schedule and the Cardinals take on the Panthers in Week 5 when the Redskins are on bye. We'll keep you posted on RG3.

Mike Gillislee
Gillislee has chance to start
Mike Gillislee, RB, MIA
10:25 AM
News: The South Florida Sun-Sentinel reports that Dolphins rookie Mike Gillislee, who ran for 1,152 yards and 10 touchdowns in his senior season at Florida, will compete with Lamar Miller, a 2012 fourth-round pick, and Daniel Thomas, a 2011 second-round pick, for the starting tailback spot during training camp this summer. Gillislee was drafted in the fifth round this year.
Analysis: We'd be shocked if Gillislee was the starting running back this season, but he doesn't have to leap frog proven veterans. Miller is unproven after barely playing as a rookie, and Thomas has struggled in two years. Still, Miller is expected to start, and Gillislee has the chance to beat out Thomas for the No. 2 job. Keep an eye on what happens, and unless Gillislee somehow ascends to the top of the depth chart he is only worth drafting with a late-round flier in standard leagues. In rookie-only formats take a chance on Gillislee with a second-round pick.

Michael Vick
Vick: New offense is 'a lot easier'
Michael Vick, QB, PHI
9:15 AM
News: In an interview with 97.5 The Fanatic in Philadelphia, Michael Vick said his critics "know nothing about football" and preferred not to address issues about his play up to this point. That's because he's excited about the future, mainly working in Chip Kelly's new up-tempo no-huddle offense. Vick's working on ball security with Kelly, just one of several areas he has to clean up in order to efficiently play, which he's excited to do. "We had a lot of deeper throws last year, which required more time," Vick said. "It's just a big difference. Not to say there was anything wrong with the West Coast system, I loved it. I spent seven years in it, and it was cool. But I think the change of pace for me at this point in my career is good and the game is a lot easier now."
Analysis: If Vick likes the new offense and thinks it's easier to run, that can only mean good things for his statistics. There's still a camp battle to be had with Nick Foles and rookie Matt Barkley but we expect Vick to get the job. How long he has it is another question since he has a propensity for getting hurt. Vick is one of the appealing No. 2 Fantasy QBs to draft with a mid-round pick this summer, particularly to pair up with a starter you end up waiting for on Draft Day.

Josh Gordon
Gordon continues drawing praise
Josh Gordon, WR, CLE
2:37 PM
News: The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports that "the game comes outrageously easy" for second-year receiver Josh Gordon. The report says that if Gordon keeps his concentration and work ethic at NFL caliber, he could have a breakout season in the new "throw it downfield" offense.
Analysis: So far all we've gotten are glowing reports on Gordon this offseason, and we hope he lives up to the hype. We like Gordon as a solid No. 3 Fantasy receiver with upside. He's worth drafting with a mid-round pick.

Mike Goodson
Goodson watching practice
Mike Goodson, RB, NYJ
1:35 PM
News: As the Jets opened OTA practices on Monday running back Mike Goodson was on the sidelines. Goodson was slated to work in the rotation at running back but was arrested last week on drug and weapon charges. There's been speculation that Goodson's spot on the roster is in jeopardy because of his incident. "Still in fact-finding mode," Jets owner Woody Johnson told NFL Network regarding Goodson, adding GM John Idzik and coach Rex Ryan will talk to him about it further.
Analysis: By not practicing, Goodson can't get hurt. Players who get hurt practicing are promised the entirety of their annual contract. This suggests the Jets are non-committal to Goodson at this point and could move on from him. With Chris Ivory, Bilal Powell and Joe McKnight still on the roster, Goodson could be cut without much worry from the coaches or front office. We'll see what happens but Goodson shouldn't be on anyone's Fantasy team.

Darren Fells
Fells back with Seattle
Darren Fells, TE, SEA
2:52 PM
News: Tight end Darren Fells re-signed with the Seahawks. He's the brother of NFL veteran Daniel Fells.
Analysis: Fells, a former basketball player, has good size (6-foot-7, 281 pounds) but not a lot of football experience. He's got a long way to make it in the NFL.

Reshad Jones
Jones not at Dolphins OTAs
Reshad Jones, DB, MIA
2:47 PM
News: Dolphins safety Reshad Jones was not present for the start of OTA workouts Monday according to the Miami Herald. He had perfect attendance until then. There's speculation he's unhappy with the lack of progress in contract extension talks.
Analysis: Jones is in the final year of his deal and is coming off his best season yet, totaling 94 tackles with four interceptions, nine passes defensed, two forced fumbles and a sack. We like Jones as a No. 2 Fantasy DB worth a mid-round pick so long as he's in camp on time.

 
 
 
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