Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Offseason Extra: The good and bad of 2012

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Every year you come to us looking for advice to draft your Fantasy team. And every year we do our best to provide useful information to help you win your league.

The highlights of our Draft Prep coverage is finding sleepers, breakouts and busts and also making predictions that we expect to come true. And when the season is over, we get to look back and see what we got right -- and unfortunately where we went wrong.

Check out our Fantasy Football podcast!
There is no better source for entertaining Fantasy advice than our Fantasy Football Today podcast. Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Adam Aizer will help you pass the time as you anticipate Draft Day 2014!
Latest episode | Subscribe today!

For example, I'm proud to say I touted Doug Martin, Stevan Ridley, Demaryius Thomas and Randall Cobb as stars, among others. But I also never expected Adrian Peterson or Peyton Manning to rebound at 100 percent, and I liked Michael Vick and Darren McFadden to have tremendous years.

Before we can fully move on to 2013, it's time to take one last look back to the beginning and see how we did in 2012. The best thing about this exercise is what we can learn moving forward to make sure your Fantasy team is successful next year.

Five we got right

Randall Cobb, WR, Packers
2012 projection: 45 catches for 774 yards and six touchdowns
2012 stats: 80 catches for 954 yards and eight touchdowns
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 170 overall (Round 15)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 53 overall (Round 5)
I thought Cobb would develop into a No. 3 Fantasy receiver, which is why he was listed as a sleeper, because even though the Packers were loaded with Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson and James Jones, they do a great job of getting their talented players on the field. Injuries to Jennings and Nelson helped Cobb tremendously, but he proved to be one of the best late-round picks of the season. Next year, with Jennings likely gone as a free agent, Cobb should be drafted as a solid No. 2 Fantasy receiver in all leagues.

Doug Martin, RB, Buccaneers
2012 projection: 244 carries for 1,176 yards and six touchdowns; 58 catches for 422 yards and three touchdowns
2012 stats: 319 carries for 1,454 yards and 11 touchdowns; 49 catches for 472 yards and one touchdown
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 38 overall (Round 4)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 6 overall (Round 1)
The opportunity for Martin was the most alluring thing because all he had to do was beat out LeGarrette Blount for the starting job, which wasn't hard, and he was a breakout candidate. He exceeded my expectations with 1,800 total yards and 12 total touchdowns, and he has the makings of a star. He projects as a slam-dunk Top 10 overall pick in 2013, and he could be drafted as early as No. 5 overall in all formats since he can easily average 50 catches a season.

Mike Wallace, WR, Steelers
2012 projection: 68 catches for 1,184 yards and four touchdowns
2012 stats: 64 catches for 836 yards and eight touchdowns
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 52 overall (Round 5)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 82 overall (Round 7)
I didn't like Wallace, which is why he was listed as a bust, because of his holdout and playing for new offensive coordinator Todd Haley, and the Steelers were committed to Antonio Brown as their No. 1 receiver. Wallace wasn't a complete wash in 2012, but he reached double digits in Fantasy points just five times with only two 100-yard games. He is a free agent this offseason and will almost surely leave the Steelers, but he should be considered a No. 2 Fantasy receiver depending on where he lands.

Stevan Ridley, RB, Patriots
2012 projection: 228 carries for 1,135 yards and seven touchdowns; 28 catches for 244 yards and one touchdown
2012 stats: 290 carries for 1,263 yards and 12 touchdowns; six catches for 51 yards
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 64 overall (Round 6)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 14 overall (Round 2)
I wrote a prediction column that Ridley would be better than his predecessor, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, but I also listed Ridley as a breakout candidate. I liked the opportunity for him to take over for Green-Ellis and become a featured option for the Patriots. There was risk involved, and we saw that with New England still using other guys in Shane Vereen, Danny Woodhead and Brandon Bolden, but Ridley still had a dominant season and looks like a low-end No. 1 running back heading into next year.

Demaryius Thomas, WR, Broncos
2012 projection: 73 catches for 1,165 yards and nine touchdowns
2012 stats: 94 catches for 1,434 yards and 10 touchdowns
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 49 overall (Round 5)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 27 overall (Round 3)
There was overwhelming evidence to suggest Thomas and Eric Decker would each have a big year, which is what I said in a prediction column, and Thomas also was a breakout candidate. They both finished as Top 10 Fantasy receivers thanks to the addition of Manning, and each guy was in his third year. Next year, Thomas should be considered a Top 5 Fantasy receiver worth drafting in early Round 3. Decker is a Top 12 candidate worth a pick as early as Round 4.

Five we got wrong

Vincent Jackson, WR, Buccaneers
2012 projection: 68 catches for 1,122 yards and five touchdowns
2012 stats: 72 catches for 1,384 yards and eight touchdowns
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 70 overall (Round 6)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 33 overall (Round 3)
Jackson was listed as a bust candidate because I thought the transition to a new offense in Tampa Bay and a downgrade in quarterback from Philip Rivers would hurt his production. Instead, he ended up as a Top 10 Fantasy receiver with career highs in catches and yards. He was still somewhat inconsistent with eight games with double digits in Fantasy points and six games with five points or less, but when he was on he was dominant. He should be considered a Top 10 option again in 2013.

Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
2012 projection: 246 carries for 1,213 yards and eight touchdowns; 34 catches for 312 yards and one touchdown
2012 stats: 348 carries for 2,097 yards and 12 touchdowns; 40 catches for 217 yards and one touchdown
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 24 overall (Round 2)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 1 overall (Round 1)
My concern with Peterson, which is why I predicted he would struggle in 2012, was that his knee wouldn't hold up after last year's ACL tear, and that he rushed back too soon. Clearly I couldn't have been more wrong. He is a medical marvel and deserves recognition as an MVP candidate -- for the NFL and Fantasy owners -- because he might be the steal of the draft at No. 24 overall. He will be the first player drafted in all leagues next year.

Peyton Manning, QB, Broncos
2012 projection: 291 of 465 passing for 4,565 yards, 33 touchdowns and 12 interceptions
2012 stats: 400 of 583 passing for 4,659 yards, 37 touchdowns and 11 interceptions
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 46 overall (Round 4)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 43 overall (Round 4)
At the time I wrote the prediction column, Peyton was being drafted ahead of Eli Manning, which I thought was a mistake. I was wrong. I expected Eli to be the better Fantasy quarterback with Peyton coming back from a year off following neck surgery. Instead, Peyton was a Top 5 Fantasy quarterback and Eli had his worst year since 2008. Next year, Peyton will be drafted as a Top 5 quarterback and even though Eli will rebound, he's far from his brother's class as a Fantasy option.

Darren McFadden, RB, Raiders
2012 projection: 264 carries for 1,211 yards and 12 touchdowns; 44 catches for 311 yards and four touchdowns
2012 stats: 216 carries for 707 yards and two touchdowns; 42 catches for 258 yards and one touchdowns
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 9 overall (Round 1)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 32 overall (Round 3)
I expected McFadden to have a career season in 2012 because of Oakland's commitment to the running game and Michael Bush being gone. Instead, McFadden could never adjust to the new zone-blocking scheme under offensive coordinator Greg Knapp -- who was fired this offseason -- and he again missed time with injury, sitting out four games with a sprained ankle. Fantasy owners may never again trust McFadden, but he's still worth drafting as a No. 2 running back in Round 3.

Michael Vick, QB, Eagles
2012 projection: 244 of 433 passing for 3,899 yards, 30 touchdowns and 15 interceptions; 88 carries for 664 yards and six touchdowns
2012 stats: 204 of 351 passing for 2,362 yards, 12 touchdowns and 10 interceptions; 62 carries for 332 yards and one touchdown
2012 Average Draft Position: No. 42 overall (Round 4)
2013 Projected Average Draft Position: No. 165 overall (Round 14)
Vick had a lot of upside coming into 2012, which is why I predicted a Top 5 finish. He was healthy, DeSean Jackson was happy and Vick always had the potential to play at a high level in this offense. But his offensive line fell apart, he battled injuries again (missing six games with a concussion) and his career is now in shambles heading into the offseason. Rightfully so, Fantasy owners are done with Vick, and he will only be drafted as a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback if he remains a starter in 2013.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Giants' Bennett Jackson making transition to safety
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/23/2015) Giants second-year cornerback Bennett Jackson is spending the offseason transitioning to safety. 

"At the end of the day, I’m a DB,’" Jackson said, per the New York Post. "I think my strengths are cover skills, I got good speed and I got good ball skills. The thing it’s gonna take for me to get out there and make an impact is, I just got to learn the defense and really just communicate the calls fluently."

"It is all in front of him," coach Tom Coughlin said. "We think he can cover. He has done a good job of getting us lined up and then we will see how he plays."


O'Brien impressed with Jadeveon Clowney's work ethic
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/23/2015) Texans coach Bill O'Brien has been impressed with the work defensive end Jadeveon Clowney has put in to recover from microfracture surgery in his knee. 

"I've been impressed with the way JD's been working," O'Brien said, per HoustonTexans.com. "He's been out there. He's in early. He's rehabbing. But he's also being able to take part in some of the things that we do in the weight room. He's not able to do all of the things that we do on the field just yet, because of his rehab. But he's on the right track."


AJ McCarron throwing deep for Bengals
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/23/2015) Bengals quarterback AJ McCarron has recovered from the shoulder soreness that bothered him for most of his rookie year. 

McCarron is now throwing deep again. "I feel great," McCarron said, per the Cincinnati Enquirer. "Body feels great and I feel like I'm slinging it better than I ever have, really."


Brooks Reed injured, may miss time at Falcons' OTAs
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/23/2015) Falcons linebacker Brooks Reed suffered a groin injury during the recently-completed voluntary minicamp, per ESPN.

The injury was termed "minor", but it still might keep Reed from full participation in the Falcons' upcoming OTAs, which start Tuesday. 


GM: EJ Manuel on 'equal footing' with Bills' other QBs
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/23/2015) Bills general manager Doug Whaley denied reports that the team is moving on from quarterback EJ Manuel

The team acquired Matt Cassel and Tyrod Taylor in the offseason.

In an interview with Jim Rome, Whaley said, "I look at it this way, in this business controversy sells,. The more controversy that you can drum up then the more intereste people are going to be."

"For us we’re excited about the future of all three of those guys," Whaley said. "It’s going to be a great competition. And we can keep three quarterbacks. So I dismiss that as just someone trying to get something stirred during this down time and lack of media stories for the NFL." 

Whaley said all three quarterbacks have an equal shot of winning the starting job. 

"I look for him to come in and compete and try to take the job," he said. "Everybody has got an equal footing. It’s a clean slate for all four of our quarterbacks. We’re not tied to anybody. We just want the best man to start."


Bengals' Vontaze Burfict may start year on PUP
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/23/2015) Bengals linebacker Vontaze Burfict's rehab may not be progressing as quickly as the team had hoped.

Burfict had microfracture knee surgery and initial post-surgery reports said that he could be recovered by the start of training camp. 

This week, the team's website said that Burfict's status was "up in the air" and that a return by the start of the season would be a "tight call".

If Burfict isn't ready by the opener, the Bengals may choose to put him on the physically unable to perform (PUP) list. 


So far, so good for Texans rookie CB Kevin Johnson
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5/23/2015) First impressions aren't necessarily important for first-round picks in the NFL. They are far more critical to lower selections and undrafted free agents who desperately need to raise a few eyebrows immediately lest they be back out looking for work.

But whether necessary or not, Texans first-rounder Kevin Johnson is making one heck of a first impression on Bill O'Brien. The clornerback opened some eyes at minicamp.

"This is a guy that's a very quick guy," O'Brien said. "He's a tall guy. He's a guy that has really good transition ability. He's got what I call really good recover transition. If he's getting beat, he can stick his foot in the ground and really make up a lot of ground.

"He's a very bright player. If you ask him questions in the morning meeting, he really has obviously studied the night before. He's working out on his own and doing things to help stay up on material that's being installed."

Johnson believes he needs to do the little things right to make a big impact in his rookie year.

"From the training room to the classroom to the film study, everything is just more detailed," he told the team website. "I'm just trying to take it all in and use everything around here and just get better."


Bears CB Tim Jennings could transition into slot role
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5/23/2015) Bears cornerback Tim Jennings is "still trying to figure out" where he will fit into the secondary this season, the Chicago Tribune is reporting.

The nine-year veteran, who is entering his sixth season in the Windy City, has 95 career starts and led the league in interceptions in 2012. He is even a two-time Pro Bowler. But he spent significant time as the slot corner in minicamp. That's an unsatisfying role for him that he just might be forced to embrace.

Defensive coordinator Vic Fangio prefers his outside corners tall and physical. Jennings is 5-8, 185 pounds. He might still earn an outside role opposite Kyle Fuller, but do achieve that goal he must at the very least outperform free agent pickup Alan Ball, who better fits the ideal description.

If the words of new coach John Fox are any indication, that's unlikely to happen.

"Dimension-wise, he's built like a nickel corner," Fox said. "He's played it before."

Jennings has started all but three games over the last seven years.


Report: Cardinals' Daryl Washington unsure of NFL standing
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/22/2015) Cardinals linebacker Daryl Washington is approaching the one-year mark for his suspension though his NFL status is still in limbo. 

But according to a report from FOX Sports 910 in Phoenix, Washington is unsure about his status with the league. He was suspended a year ago on May 30, 2014 for being a multiple offender of the NFL's substance-abuse policy. 

However, he was expected to apply for reinstatement a month ago but did not do so. 

Assuming Washington is reinstated to the NFL at some point he will likely be subjected to punishment under the NFL's domestic violence policy. On March 24, 2014, he pleaded guilty to assaulting his ex-girlfriend. 


Titans' Massaquoi rehabbing shoulder, to miss OTA's
by Ruben Palacios | Staff Writer
(5/22/2015) Outside linebacker Jonathan Massaquoi will not participate in the Titans' first organized team activities, per ESPN.com.

Massaquoi, who was claimed off waivers from the Falcons earlier this year, is recovering from shoulder surgery. He had a bone spur removed from the area, but the procedure was categorized as a minor cleanup.

Massaquoi recorded 22 tackles in 15 games with Atlanta last season.


 
 
 
Rankings