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Playoff Extra: Is there a QB hangover?

Senior Fantasy Writer
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There is an interesting aspect to Super Bowl XLVII, but not because of the quarterbacks playing in the game. It's because of the names not competing.

This Super Bowl will be just the second one since 2000 to not have a quarterback named Brady, Manning or Roethlisberger in it. The other one was XXXVII when Tampa Bay beat Oakland 48-21. You can ask Tim Brown or Bill Callahan about that game, but that's a different topic for a different day.

Here, we are looking at what happens to Super Bowl quarterbacks the year after playing in the big game. The sample size we'll go over is from 2006 when Indianapolis beat Chicago 29-17 in Super Bowl XLI until now.

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There have been some talented Fantasy quarterbacks over that span, including Peyton Manning, Eli Manning, Tom Brady and Ben Roethlisberger. Joe Flacco and Colin Kaepernick, the quarterbacks in this year's Super Bowl, aren't at that level yet, but you never know how each will develop, especially following a successful postseason run.

In looking at the winning and losing quarterbacks from the past six Super Bowls, three of the winners have seen an increase in Fantasy production the following year. The losers, however, have struggled.

On average, the Super Bowl winners have improved by almost 24 Fantasy points the following season, but there have been varying degrees of success. Aaron Rodgers and Roethlisberger saw an increase of more than 100 Fantasy points the year after winning the Super Bowl. But Eli Manning in 2012 saw his production decline by 54 points.

The losers have seen their Fantasy production drop by almost 116 points the next year, but that stat is skewed because of Brady and his knee injury in Week 1 of 2008. If you take Brady out of the equation, the losing quarterbacks have only declined by 44 Fantasy points on average. But the losers have struggled the following year with injuries to Roethlisberger, Brady and Rex Grossman.

There is a different reason for the success and failure of each quarterback the year after playing in the Super Bowl, which we'll address below. And Flacco and Kaepernick will each have their own story to tell in 2013 after playing in the big game.

For Kaepernick, his stats can only improve because he made just seven starts in the regular season after taking over for Alex Smith. At least we hope he'll improve barring a significant injury next season.

Editor's note: All stats listed below are regular season only.

XLVI: Giants 21, Patriots 17
Eli Manning, Giants
2011: 4,933 passing yards, 29 touchdowns and 16 interceptions; 15 rushing yards and one touchdown; four fumbles in 16 games (330 Fantasy points)
2012:
3,948 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and 15 interceptions; 30 rushing yards; three fumbles in 16 games (276 Fantasy points)
Difference:
Manning had a rough go of it in 2012 because of problems with his receiving corps. He lost Mario Manningham as a free agent to San Francisco, and Hakeem Nicks battled foot and knee injuries all year. We expect Manning to rebound in 2013, and he will bounce back as a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback.

Tom Brady, Patriots
2011: 5,235 passing yards, 39 touchdowns and 12 interceptions; 109 rushing yards and three touchdowns; two fumbles in 16 games (431 Fantasy points)
2012:
4,827 passing yards, 34 touchdowns and eight interceptions; 32 rushing yards and four touchdowns; one fumble in 16 games (397 Fantasy points)
Difference:
Brady's Fantasy points declined, but not by much. He lost Rob Gronkowski for five games due to a broken forearm, which hurt his production, and Aaron Hernandez missed six games with an ankle injury. The Patriots also improved their running game with Stevan Ridley over BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Brady will be 36 in 2013, but he remains an elite Fantasy quarterback.

XLV: Packers 31, Steelers 25
Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2010: 3,922 passing yards, 28 touchdowns and 11 interceptions; 356 rushing yards and four touchdowns; three fumbles in 15 games (344 Fantasy points)
2011: 4,643 passing yards, 45 touchdowns and six interceptions; 257 rushing yards and three touchdowns; one fumble in 15 games (475 Fantasy points)
Difference: Rodgers showed that his performance in 2010 was no fluke as he had an MVP season in 2011. The Super Bowl victory helped establish Rodgers as one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL -- something Fantasy owners have known for some time.

Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
2010: 3,200 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and five interceptions; 176 rushing yards and two touchdowns; two fumbles in 12 games (230 Fantasy points)
2011: 4,077 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; 70 rushing yards; five fumbles in 15 games (248 Fantasy points)
Difference: Roethlisberger would have been the No. 7 quarterback in 2010 if he played 16 games, but he was out to start the season with a suspension. Injuries limited him in 2011, which hurt his overall production. He should have improved by more than 18 Fantasy points since he played in three additional games.

XLIV: Saints 31, Colts 17
Drew Brees, Saints
2009: 4,388 passing yards, 34 touchdowns and 11 interceptions; 33 rushing yards and two touchdowns; six fumbles in 15 games (350 Fantasy points)
2010: 4,620 passing yards, 33 touchdowns and 22 interceptions; two fumbles in 16 games (329 Fantasy points)
Difference: Despite his Fantasy production dropping by 21 points, Brees remained a No. 1 quarterback the year after winning the Super Bowl. The biggest difference for Brees was his turnovers, which increased by seven.

Peyton Manning, Colts
2009: 4,500 passing yards, 33 touchdowns and 16 interceptions in 16 games (340 Fantasy points)
2010: 4,700 passing yards, 33 touchdowns and 17 interceptions; 18 rushing yards; one fumble in 16 games (345 Fantasy points)
Difference: Manning was the lone losing quarterback in the past five seasons to see his Fantasy points increase on average while playing in the same amount of games in each year. The difference for him was his yardage increased while the rest of his stats were almost identical.

XLIII: Steelers 27, Cardinals 23
Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
2008: 3,314 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and 15 interceptions; 101 rushing yards and two touchdowns; seven fumbles in 16 games (200 Fantasy points)
2009: 4,328 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions; 79 rushing yards and two touchdowns; three fumbles in 15 games (305 Fantasy points)
Difference: The offense in Pittsburgh changed for Roethlisberger after this Super Bowl victory. He became more of a passer, and since then Roethlisberger has remained a borderline No. 1 Fantasy quarterback in the majority of leagues.

Kurt Warner, Cardinals
2008: 4,582 passing yards, 30 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; seven fumbles in 16 games (313 Fantasy points)
2009: 3,753 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; 10 rushing yards; six fumbles in 15 games (259 Fantasy points)
Difference: The 2009 season was Warner's last in the NFL before retiring, and the Cardinals showed more balance after their dynamic passing attack in 2008. Warner likely would have remained a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback if he returned in 2010.

XLII: Giants 17, Patriots 14
Eli Manning, Giants
2007: 3,336 passing yards, 23 touchdowns and 20 interceptions; 69 rushing yards and one touchdown; seven fumbles in 16 games (219 Fantasy points)
2008: 3,238 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and 10 interceptions; 10 rushing yards and one touchdown; two fumbles in 16 games (233 Fantasy points)
Difference: The reason Manning's Fantasy production improved in 2008 was he cut down on the turnovers. His 10 interceptions have been the fewest in his career since becoming a full-time starter.

Tom Brady, Patriots
2007: 4,806 passing yards, 50 touchdowns and eight interceptions; 98 rushing yards and two touchdowns; four fumbles in 16 games (477 Fantasy points)
2008: 76 passing yards in one game (one Fantasy point)
Difference: Brady had the best Fantasy season ever in 2007 before losing the Super Bowl, and his bad luck extended into the start of 2008 when he hurt his knee and was lost for the year. He has since made a nice recovery.

XLI: Colts 29, Bears 17
Peyton Manning, Colts
2006: 4,397 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and nine interceptions; 36 rushing yard and four touchdowns; one fumble in 16 games (360 Fantasy points)
2007: 4,040 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; three rushing touchdowns; one fumble in 16 games (331 Fantasy points)
Difference: Manning's best year of his career was 2004 when he had 49 touchdowns, but his 35 total scores in 2006 still stands at No. 2 during his tenure with the Colts. It was hard to duplicate that performance in 2007, but Manning was still a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback as expected.

Rex Grossman, Bears
2006: 3,197 passing yards, 23 touchdowns and 20 interceptions; five fumbles in 16 games (207 Fantasy points)
2007: 1,411 passing yards, four touchdowns and seven interceptions; 27 rushing yards; three fumbles in eight games (54 Fantasy points)
Difference: Grossman was never considered a starting Fantasy option even with the Super Bowl run, and he fell apart in 2007. First he was benched in favor of Brian Griese, and then he was lost for the season with a knee injury.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

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Player News
Vikings' Adrian Peterson to begin probation on Wednesday
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Vikings running back Adrian Peterson will begin his probation on Wednesday, according to the St. Paul Pioneer Press.

Peterson will begin community service, and will undergo counseling to determine whether he has a drug problem. Peterson will report to a probation officer once a month in order to take a drug test. The strict drug testing stems from an Oct. 8 pre-trail urinalysis. Peterson admitted to "smoking a little weed," though the results from the test were never disclosed. 

Probation officials will also determine whether Peterson needs to attend parenting classes. 

Per his plea agreement, Peterson was fined $4,000 and ordered to perform 80 hours of community service. He's required to perform at least 16 hours per month, which would allow him to complete to program prior to training camp.

Peterson is under contract with the Vikings for next season, and is set to earn $12.75 million. The team is not allowed to communicate with Peterson during his suspension. 


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Collie played four seasons with the Colts and one with the Patriots. In his last NFL action, he caught four passes for 57 yards in the 2014 AFC Championship Game.


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McCoy, who is due to count $11.95 million against the cap in 2015, turned in his fourth 1,000-yard season in the last five years in 2014, finishing with 1,319 rushing yards on 312 carries and 155 receiving yards on a career-low 28 receptions. All five of his touchdowns came on the ground.


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"We're going to exhaust every resource we can," Ryan said. "We'll look at free agents. We'll look at the draft. We'll look at anything."

The Bills have former first-round pick EJ Manuel on their roster, but Ryan said he would not commit to Manuel as his starting quarterback at this time.

"To say that he's definitely going to be the guy, it's way too early to say that," Ryan said.


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"I can't wait to play for him. I've heard nothing but good things," Jackson said Wednesday of Ryan during an interview on ESPN New York 98.7 FM. "I'm looking forward to that [first] conversation when I sit down and talk to him."

The Bills finished 9-7 in 2014, which was their best record since 2004. While Jackson believes Ryan is going to "be that catalyst that comes in and pushes us over that hump," he didn't have many bad things to say about coach Doug Marrone, who opted out of his contract New Year's Eve.

"I thought he was a tremendous coach," Jackson said. "He showed up, he worked hard, he pushed players to give their best effort. He got us to a 9-7 record -- we hadn't won nine games in 10 years. There's definitely some things about him that made him a great coach. It's just the way he exited. I don't think anybody expected that. 

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Raiders defensive end Justin Tuck indicated if Suh wanted to sign with Oakland, then he would be welcomed in Raider Nation.

"(He's) Raider-ish," Tuck said, per the Detroit Free Press. "And that's one of the reasons why I know Raider Nation would applaud that move, beyond the fact that he's an awesome football player. He kind of fits the mold of ... the toughness and the ferocious player that built the Oakland Raiders."

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On Thursday, Foles addressed the rumors and stated he is expecting to be back on the Eagles' roster in 2015.

"Yeah you hear about it," Foles said in between doing paid appearances at Super Bowl XLIX, per NJ.com. "You are going to hear about it every single year. That's just part of it. The main word is 'rumor.' You can't put too much into it....I plan on being in Philly.

"I only listen to (head coach) Chip Kelly. That's what is most important. He is the one that will make the decision. Right now all I am going to do is work because I plan on being back in Philadelphia and playing with my team. That's all I ever thought. So that is what I plan on doing and I'm not looking at it any other way."

Foles added he hasn't talked with Kelly since the end of the season.

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Dwyer was sentenced to 18 months of probation and community service following the plea, according to a court spokesman.

The 25-year-old Dwyer was arrested Sept. 17 for a July 21 incident in which he allegedly head-butted his wife in the face and broke her nose after she refused his sexual advances and bit his lip, according to reports taken at the time.

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(1/29/2015) While the football world anxiously awaits official word from Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning about his playing status for the 2015 season, Patriots quarterback Tom Brady -- and longtime Manning rival -- said Thursday he hopes the five-time NFL MVP will continue his career.

"What a great player he's been for this league," Brady said Thursday, per NFL.com. "He's a great competitor, and I've been fortunate to play against him a bunch of times. I certainly hope he comes back, 'cause the league will miss him if he doesn't. But those decisions are up to him. I'm sure it's up to whether he's mentally and physically -- that's what he wants to do. But I certainly hope he's back."

Archie Manning, Peyton's father, told NFL Network on Thursday that his son hasn't made a decision yet.

"Well, Peyton evaluates things; he's pretty good at that," he said. "I can't tell him what to do, and he hasn't told me what he's going to do. But I do know that he's really giving a lot of things a lot of thought. He's thinking about where he is physically, he wants to see how he can do this some more, trying to get over an injury."

Archie added starting over with new Broncos coach Gary Kubiak will not be an issue for Peyton, if he decides to return next season.

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by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) During a radio interview Wednesday night, Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III indicated the dislocated ankle he suffered in Week 2 against the Jaguars hindered him the rest of the season. He missed six games due to the injury.

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Griffin will be entering the final guaranteed year of his contract in 2015. The Redskins have until May 3 to decide if they want to exercise the fifth-year option on his contract for 2016. 

Griffin added his focus this offseason will simply be on getting healthy.

“Last year, I wasn’t healthy, and it sucked,” Griffin told ESPN 980. “There’s no other way to say it other than that. When you dislocate your ankle in the second week of the season, when you and your team had big things in mind. So I guess it’s just getting healthy, getting a mental break, getting a chance to spend time with family, and then formulate my plan going forward from this year so we can go out there and win games.”


 
 
 
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