Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Playoff Extra: Is there a QB hangover?

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

There is an interesting aspect to Super Bowl XLVII, but not because of the quarterbacks playing in the game. It's because of the names not competing.

This Super Bowl will be just the second one since 2000 to not have a quarterback named Brady, Manning or Roethlisberger in it. The other one was XXXVII when Tampa Bay beat Oakland 48-21. You can ask Tim Brown or Bill Callahan about that game, but that's a different topic for a different day.

Here, we are looking at what happens to Super Bowl quarterbacks the year after playing in the big game. The sample size we'll go over is from 2006 when Indianapolis beat Chicago 29-17 in Super Bowl XLI until now.

Check out our Fantasy Football podcast!
There is no better source for entertaining Fantasy advice than our Fantasy Football Today podcast. Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Adam Aizer will help you pass the time as you anticipate Draft Day 2014!
Latest episode | Subscribe today!

There have been some talented Fantasy quarterbacks over that span, including Peyton Manning, Eli Manning, Tom Brady and Ben Roethlisberger. Joe Flacco and Colin Kaepernick, the quarterbacks in this year's Super Bowl, aren't at that level yet, but you never know how each will develop, especially following a successful postseason run.

In looking at the winning and losing quarterbacks from the past six Super Bowls, three of the winners have seen an increase in Fantasy production the following year. The losers, however, have struggled.

On average, the Super Bowl winners have improved by almost 24 Fantasy points the following season, but there have been varying degrees of success. Aaron Rodgers and Roethlisberger saw an increase of more than 100 Fantasy points the year after winning the Super Bowl. But Eli Manning in 2012 saw his production decline by 54 points.

The losers have seen their Fantasy production drop by almost 116 points the next year, but that stat is skewed because of Brady and his knee injury in Week 1 of 2008. If you take Brady out of the equation, the losing quarterbacks have only declined by 44 Fantasy points on average. But the losers have struggled the following year with injuries to Roethlisberger, Brady and Rex Grossman.

There is a different reason for the success and failure of each quarterback the year after playing in the Super Bowl, which we'll address below. And Flacco and Kaepernick will each have their own story to tell in 2013 after playing in the big game.

For Kaepernick, his stats can only improve because he made just seven starts in the regular season after taking over for Alex Smith. At least we hope he'll improve barring a significant injury next season.

Editor's note: All stats listed below are regular season only.

XLVI: Giants 21, Patriots 17
Eli Manning, Giants
2011: 4,933 passing yards, 29 touchdowns and 16 interceptions; 15 rushing yards and one touchdown; four fumbles in 16 games (330 Fantasy points)
2012:
3,948 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and 15 interceptions; 30 rushing yards; three fumbles in 16 games (276 Fantasy points)
Difference:
Manning had a rough go of it in 2012 because of problems with his receiving corps. He lost Mario Manningham as a free agent to San Francisco, and Hakeem Nicks battled foot and knee injuries all year. We expect Manning to rebound in 2013, and he will bounce back as a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback.

Tom Brady, Patriots
2011: 5,235 passing yards, 39 touchdowns and 12 interceptions; 109 rushing yards and three touchdowns; two fumbles in 16 games (431 Fantasy points)
2012:
4,827 passing yards, 34 touchdowns and eight interceptions; 32 rushing yards and four touchdowns; one fumble in 16 games (397 Fantasy points)
Difference:
Brady's Fantasy points declined, but not by much. He lost Rob Gronkowski for five games due to a broken forearm, which hurt his production, and Aaron Hernandez missed six games with an ankle injury. The Patriots also improved their running game with Stevan Ridley over BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Brady will be 36 in 2013, but he remains an elite Fantasy quarterback.

XLV: Packers 31, Steelers 25
Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2010: 3,922 passing yards, 28 touchdowns and 11 interceptions; 356 rushing yards and four touchdowns; three fumbles in 15 games (344 Fantasy points)
2011: 4,643 passing yards, 45 touchdowns and six interceptions; 257 rushing yards and three touchdowns; one fumble in 15 games (475 Fantasy points)
Difference: Rodgers showed that his performance in 2010 was no fluke as he had an MVP season in 2011. The Super Bowl victory helped establish Rodgers as one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL -- something Fantasy owners have known for some time.

Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
2010: 3,200 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and five interceptions; 176 rushing yards and two touchdowns; two fumbles in 12 games (230 Fantasy points)
2011: 4,077 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; 70 rushing yards; five fumbles in 15 games (248 Fantasy points)
Difference: Roethlisberger would have been the No. 7 quarterback in 2010 if he played 16 games, but he was out to start the season with a suspension. Injuries limited him in 2011, which hurt his overall production. He should have improved by more than 18 Fantasy points since he played in three additional games.

XLIV: Saints 31, Colts 17
Drew Brees, Saints
2009: 4,388 passing yards, 34 touchdowns and 11 interceptions; 33 rushing yards and two touchdowns; six fumbles in 15 games (350 Fantasy points)
2010: 4,620 passing yards, 33 touchdowns and 22 interceptions; two fumbles in 16 games (329 Fantasy points)
Difference: Despite his Fantasy production dropping by 21 points, Brees remained a No. 1 quarterback the year after winning the Super Bowl. The biggest difference for Brees was his turnovers, which increased by seven.

Peyton Manning, Colts
2009: 4,500 passing yards, 33 touchdowns and 16 interceptions in 16 games (340 Fantasy points)
2010: 4,700 passing yards, 33 touchdowns and 17 interceptions; 18 rushing yards; one fumble in 16 games (345 Fantasy points)
Difference: Manning was the lone losing quarterback in the past five seasons to see his Fantasy points increase on average while playing in the same amount of games in each year. The difference for him was his yardage increased while the rest of his stats were almost identical.

XLIII: Steelers 27, Cardinals 23
Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
2008: 3,314 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and 15 interceptions; 101 rushing yards and two touchdowns; seven fumbles in 16 games (200 Fantasy points)
2009: 4,328 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions; 79 rushing yards and two touchdowns; three fumbles in 15 games (305 Fantasy points)
Difference: The offense in Pittsburgh changed for Roethlisberger after this Super Bowl victory. He became more of a passer, and since then Roethlisberger has remained a borderline No. 1 Fantasy quarterback in the majority of leagues.

Kurt Warner, Cardinals
2008: 4,582 passing yards, 30 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; seven fumbles in 16 games (313 Fantasy points)
2009: 3,753 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; 10 rushing yards; six fumbles in 15 games (259 Fantasy points)
Difference: The 2009 season was Warner's last in the NFL before retiring, and the Cardinals showed more balance after their dynamic passing attack in 2008. Warner likely would have remained a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback if he returned in 2010.

XLII: Giants 17, Patriots 14
Eli Manning, Giants
2007: 3,336 passing yards, 23 touchdowns and 20 interceptions; 69 rushing yards and one touchdown; seven fumbles in 16 games (219 Fantasy points)
2008: 3,238 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and 10 interceptions; 10 rushing yards and one touchdown; two fumbles in 16 games (233 Fantasy points)
Difference: The reason Manning's Fantasy production improved in 2008 was he cut down on the turnovers. His 10 interceptions have been the fewest in his career since becoming a full-time starter.

Tom Brady, Patriots
2007: 4,806 passing yards, 50 touchdowns and eight interceptions; 98 rushing yards and two touchdowns; four fumbles in 16 games (477 Fantasy points)
2008: 76 passing yards in one game (one Fantasy point)
Difference: Brady had the best Fantasy season ever in 2007 before losing the Super Bowl, and his bad luck extended into the start of 2008 when he hurt his knee and was lost for the year. He has since made a nice recovery.

XLI: Colts 29, Bears 17
Peyton Manning, Colts
2006: 4,397 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and nine interceptions; 36 rushing yard and four touchdowns; one fumble in 16 games (360 Fantasy points)
2007: 4,040 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; three rushing touchdowns; one fumble in 16 games (331 Fantasy points)
Difference: Manning's best year of his career was 2004 when he had 49 touchdowns, but his 35 total scores in 2006 still stands at No. 2 during his tenure with the Colts. It was hard to duplicate that performance in 2007, but Manning was still a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback as expected.

Rex Grossman, Bears
2006: 3,197 passing yards, 23 touchdowns and 20 interceptions; five fumbles in 16 games (207 Fantasy points)
2007: 1,411 passing yards, four touchdowns and seven interceptions; 27 rushing yards; three fumbles in eight games (54 Fantasy points)
Difference: Grossman was never considered a starting Fantasy option even with the Super Bowl run, and he fell apart in 2007. First he was benched in favor of Brian Griese, and then he was lost for the season with a knee injury.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg and on Facebook .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Report: Raiders release wide receiver James Jones
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:36 am ET) The Raiders have reportedly released wide reciever James Jones, according to CSN Bay Area.

General manager Reggie McKenzie informed Jones of his termination Sunday. In his only season with Oakland, Jones had 73 catches for 666 yards and six touchdowns. The team will save $3.43 million against the 2015 salary cap.


Eagles coach Chip Kelly: Tim Tebow not just a camp arm
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) Eagles coach Chip Kelly thinks Tim Tebow could eventually develop into a quarterback and isn't just a camp arm, as Mark Sanchez said last month, according to NFL.com.

Tebow was signed in April as the fourth quarterback on the roster after the team traded for Sam Bradford and re-signed Sanchez.

"No, I think everybody here that we bring to our organization is here to compete for a job," Kelly said. "That's what Timmy is going to do. He's an unbelievable competitor. ... If we were just going to have guys throw drills, we'd take (Mike) Mayock in the offseason and bring him down here and let him throw to them."

Tebow hasn't played in the league since 2012.


Cowboys RB Darren McFadden maybe used as kick returner in 2015
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) Cowboys running back Darren McFadden could see an expanded role next season, as a kick or punt returner, according to the Dallas Morning News.

Wide receiver Dwayne Harris left during the offseason for the Giants, leaving a vacant spot in the return game.

"We have some guys we feel who can go return right now both punt returners and kickoff returners," coach Jason Garrett said. "And hopefully we'll get a chance to bring some guys in college free agent type guys we targeted as well. We like the guys we have and we feel like we can go play right now with them and also create some competition with some younger guys."

McFadden was a kick returner for the Raiders in 2014 where he had three returns for 59 yards.

"He certainly could," Garrett said. "He's done it in his past."


Jersey No. 11 holds significance for Texans WR Jaelen Strong
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) Texans wide receiver Jaelen Strong was pegged as a potential first-round pick entering the 2015 NFL draft. 

However, he had to wait quite a while in the green room to hear his name called. In the third round, the Texans took Strong, a productive wideout at Arizona State. Strong, surprised at the fall in the draft, picked a jersey number to remind himself of what happened to him. 

Strong was the 11th receiver selected this past weekend. Therefore, 11 is the jersey number Strong will wear this season, to remind himself that 10 other receivers were selected ahead of him. 

"Number 11 to remind me that 10 receivers were taken before me in the Draft," Strong wrote on his Instagram page. "So much hunger in my heart. Thanks Houston!"


Jaguars agree to terms with 9 UDFAs, including Nick Marshall
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) The Jaguars announced they will sign nine rookie undrafted free agents, including former Auburn quarterback Nick Marshall.

Marshall will move to cornerback as a professional football player.

As Auburn's starting quarterback in 2014, he threw for 2,532 yards and 20 touchdowns. In 2013, Marshall led the Tigers to the BCS National Championship, where Auburn lost to Florida State. 

Marshall has some experience with the Jaguars. At the Senior Bowl, where he played as a corner, he was coached by the Jaguars' coaching staff. 

The Jaguars will also bring in Miami linebacker Thurston Armbrister , Syracuse defensive tackle Eric Crume , Auburn running back Corey Grant , Oregon State tight end Connor Hamlett , Minnesota-Mankato guard Chris Reed, Maryland linebacker Matt Robinson , Pittsburgh linebacker Todd Thomas and Kansas State quarterback Jake Waters


Lions unsure if Travis Swanson will start at center
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) When the Lions drafted Travis Swanson a year ago, the idea was for him to emerge as a starting center for the franchise by 2015. 

There's now some doubt, at least that's what the Lions themselves are saying after acquiring veteran Manny Ramirez in a trade on Thursday during the NFL draft. 

"I don't know," Lions offensive line coach Jeremiah Washburn said, via the Detroit Free Press. "And I'm not trying to be evasive, I just don't know. What is it, May 2, 3rd? The depth kind of develops itself, which is a nice thing. Going through OTAs, mini-camp, training camp, it always takes care of itself."

Swanson is still the favorite to start at center, though it does appear the Lions want to put him in a competitive situation. 


Panthers not concerned with Devin Funchess' 40 time
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) Panthers rookie receiver Devin Funchess didn't impress scouts too much when he ran a 4.7 40-yard dash time at the NFL scouting combine this past February. 

But that didn't stop the Panthers from selecting him the second round on Friday during the NFL draft. The Panthers were impressed enough in Funchess, based on his big-play ability and size at 6-5, 230 pounds, to add him to their roster. 

"People are going to talk about his 40 time in Indy, but the kid plays fast, and he ran fast at the pro day at Michigan (4.48 40-yard dash)," Panthers general manager Dave Gettleman said, via the team's official website. "Like with Kelvin (Benjmin) last year, you can't coach size. He plays fast. He's a smooth and fluid big man. We really like that about him, and he's a very smart kid."


Browns GM: Ifo Ekpre-Olomu can be a starting cornerback
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) Former Oregon cornerback Ifo Ekpre-Olomu was considered a first-round prospect before tearing an ACL this past December, which sidelined him for the first-ever College Football Playoff. 

Due to the uncertainty of his injury, Ekpre-Olomu experienced a substantial fall from potential first-rounded to the seventh round. The Browns ended up grabbing Ekpre-Olomu with the 241st overall pick.

Assuming Ekpre-Olomu can rehab his knee back into shape, Browns general manager Ray Farmer said Ekpre-Olomu has a great future in the NFL. 

"We felt this kid can be a starter if he’s 100 percent," Farmer said, via ESPN.com


Matt Jones' arrival won't change Redskins RB Alfred Morris' role
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) It doesn't hurt to have more than one quality running back to tote the ball in the NFL. But when a solid runner is taken in the first few rounds of the draft, it can be an ominous sign for a back used to being the primary ball carrier. 

That's not the case with Redskins running back Alfred Morris. Though the Redskins drafted Florida's Matt Jones in the third round, coach Jay Gruden said there are no plans to change Morris' role in the offense. 

"Alfred won't be affected," Gruden said, via ESPN.com. "Alfred's still the running back here. He's had three great seasons and that won't change. But to add another guy that can come in here and pound the rock a little bit doesn't hurt anything. It'll help Alfred in that regard, taking some carries off him. For the most part Alfred will be getting the bulk of the carries and Matt will get some too, obviously."

In a tough season for everyone on the Redskins, Morris ran got 1,074 yards and eight touchdowns. Jones provides some insurance as a big-bodied 6-2, 226-pound back that could actually help Morris this season. 

"He's a little bit different than what we've had around here," Gruden said. 


Falcons waive tight end Kyle Miller
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/3/2015) The Falcons announced on Sunday that they have waived tight end Kyle Miller

Miller was with the Falcons' practice squad in 2014. He was originally signed as an undrafted free agent by the Jaguars in 2012. 


 
 
 
Rankings