Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2012 Target Report: AFC West

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Throughout the year I highlighted various statistical facts and trends in my Tricks of the Trends article. With the year now complete, it is time to look back at each team and see what we can learn from the 2012 target, red zone and goal line data as we begin our preparations for the 2013 Fantasy season. I will profile each division separately and our fourth division to examine is the AFC West.

Denver Broncos

Target Leaders: Demaryius Thomas (141 total/8.8 per game), Eric Decker (122/7.6), Jacob Tamme (85/5.3)
Catch Rate Leaders: Knowshon Moreno (80.8 percent), Willis McGahee (78.8 percent), Brandon Stokley (77.6 percent),
Yards Per Target Leader: Demaryius Thomas (10.2), Brandon Stokley (9.4), Eric Decker (8.7)
Fantasy Points Per Target Leader: Eric Decker (1.51), Brandon Stokley (1.46), Demaryius Thomas (1.45)
Red Zone Quarterback Performance: Peyton Manning -- 30.1 percent touchdown rate third best in NFL (93 opportunities/ second in NFL with 28 touchdowns)
Red Zone Carry Leader: Willis McGahee (29/four)
Red Zone Target Leader: Eric Decker (25/12 both most in NFL)
Red Zone Touchdown Rate Leader: Eric Decker (48 percent), Brandon Stokley (40 percent)
Goal Line Quarterback Performance: Peyton Manning -- 47.4 percent (19 opportunities/nine touchdowns)
Goal Line Carry Leader: Willis McGahee (12/four)
Goal Line Target Leader: Eric Decker (six/three)
Goal Line Touchdown Rate Leader: Jacob Hester (100 percent), Knowshon Moreno (50 percent), Eric Decker (50 percent), Joel Dreesen (50 percent)

Check out our Fantasy Football podcast!
There is no better source for entertaining Fantasy advice than our Fantasy Football Today podcast. Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Adam Aizer will help you pass the time as you anticipate Draft Day 2014!
Latest episode | Subscribe today!

As long as Peyton Manning is piloting this ship, both Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker will be Fantasy gold. Thomas is the more explosive of the two and will lead this team in targets, receptions, yards per target (10.2 is studly) and big plays. ... Decker was the go-to man in the red zone, where he led the NFL with both 25 targets and 12 touchdowns. Decker is that safety valve for Manning and had a touchdown in nine of the last 13 games in 2012. ...One of the most impressive facts about the 2012 season is that Thomas, Decker and Stokley are the only wide receiver trio to all average over 1.4 Fantasy points per target; they ranked seventh, eighth and ninth respectively among all receivers with at least 50 targets. In other words, Peyton and his receivers were the most efficient scoring group in the NFL. ... Dreessen and Tamme would have been a good combo tight end, but neither did enough to be reliable week in and week out. Dreessen was actually better than Tamme in terms of catch rate and Fantasy points per target, but averaged only 6.1 yards per target. ...Willis McGahee was the main man before his injury and was supplanted by Moreno. Moreno helped many Fantasy owners win championships and actually had better scoring rates both inside the 20 and inside the five than McGahee in 2012. Whomever ends up as the main runner and goal line back for the Broncos in 2013 will once again be a solid No. 2 runner. ... Thomas is reportedly still learning how to be a complete NFL wide receiver and if he makes more strides in the offseason, he has a shot to be the top Fantasy receiver in 2013.

Kansas City Chiefs

Target Leaders: Dwayne Bowe (114 total/8.8 per game), Dexter McCluster (77/4.8)
Catch Rate Leaders: Shaun Draughn (80 percent), Jamaal Charles (73.5 percent), Dexter McCluster (67.5 percent)
Yards Per Target Leader: Tony Moeaki (8.1), Dwayne Bowe (7.0)
Fantasy Points Per Target Leader: Tony Moeaki (0.92), Dwayne Bowe (0.86)
Red Zone Quarterback Performance: Matt Cassel 18.2 percent touchdown rate (18 opportunities/ four touchdowns)
Red Zone Carry Leader: Jamaal Charles (25/one)
Red Zone Target Leader: Tony Moeaki (eight/one)
Red Zone Touchdown Rate Leader: Dwayne Bowe (25 percent)
Goal Line Quarterback Performance: Matt Cassel -- 67 percent (three opportunities/two touchdowns)
Goal Line Carry Leader: Peyton Hillis (four/one)
Goal Line Target Leader: Tony Moeaki (three/one)
Goal Line Touchdown Rate Leader: Dwayne Bowe (50 percent)

The Chiefs were an historically bad offense in 2012 and Andy Reid will hope to turn that around in 2013. ...Charles had been one of the best red zone scorers in the league (averaged over 2.0 Fantasy points per red zone carry prior to 2012), until he found the end zone on just one of his 25 carries in 2012. Charles will be better in 2013, but a four percent red zone scoring rate is a killer. ... No wide receiver on the Chiefs averaged 7.0 yards or 1.0 points per target in 2012, worst in the NFL. ... Dwayne Bowe was the main man in the passing game at 8.8 targets per game, but he produced just a 52 percent catch rate and averaged 6.9 yards and 0.86 points per target. Bowe has just four touchdowns and two games with 100 yards receiving in his last 24 starts. He had none of either in his last nine games. Bowe could be gone in 2013 and no one seems ready to step up. ... Jon Baldwin caught 42 percent of his targets last year and averaged just 6.91 yards and 0.82 points per target. ... Tony Moeaki was the team's most efficient pass catcher, averaging 8.0 yards and 0.92 points per target. ... The key for the Chiefs will be getting Charles back in the passing game like he was in 2010. That year, Charles caught 45 passes for 468 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged 10.4 yards per catch and 7.3 yards per target. In 2012, Charles averaged 6.6 yards per catch and 4.8 yards per target.

Oakland Raiders

Target Leaders: Denarius Moore (114 total/7.6 per game), Brandon Myers (105/6.6), Darrius Heyward-Bey (80/5.3)
Catch Rate Leaders: Brandon Myers (75.2 percent), Marcel Reece (71.2 percent) Yards Per target Leader: Rod Streater (8.0), Brandon Myers (7.7), Darrius Heyward-Bey (7.6)
Fantasy Points Per Target Leader: Darrius Heyward-Bey (1.13), Rod Streater (1.05), Denarius Moore (1.02)
Red Zone Quarterback Performance: Carson Palmer -- 20 percent touchdown rate (75 opportunities/ 15 touchdowns)
Red Zone Carry Leader: Darren McFadden (31/one)
Red Zone Target Leader: Denarius Moore (15/five)
Red Zone Touchdown Rate Leader: Denarius Moore (33 percent)
Goal Line Quarterback Performance: Carson Palmer -- 61.5 percent (13 opportunities/eight touchdowns)
Goal Line Carry Leader: Darren McFadden (eight/one)
Goal Line Target Leader: Brandon Myers (five/three)
Goal Line Touchdown Rate Leader: Brandon Myers (60 percent)

Thankfully the zone blocking scheme that hindered Darren McFadden in 2012 will be gone and I expect a bounceback from Run DMC in 2013. ... McFadden was the worst red zone scorer (3.2 percent) among all runners with at least 13 red zone carries. He also had the worst goal line scoring rate among all runners with at least five chances. ... Denarius Moore went from averaging over 10 yards per target as a rookie to just 6.5 in his second season. Moore must catch a higher percentage of his targets (44 percent this year) if he ever wants to become a consistent producer in Oakland. He has been under a 50 percent catch rate in both NFL seasons. Moore did improve in the red zone, catching five touchdowns in 2012 with a 33 percent scoring rate, but must become more consistent between the 20s to realize his full potential. ... No receiver in Oakland caught more than 54 percent of his targets in 2012 and that will have to be fixed for this offense to really click. ... Rod Streater led the team at 8.0 yards per target and Darrius Heyward-Bey was the leader at 1.13 points per target, but neither was elite. ... Myers was the star of this passing game, catching 79 passes for 806 yards and four touchdowns. The fact that Myers caught 75 percent of his targets is even more impressive. He's a free agent and I would love to see him end up in Atlanta (replacing Tony Gonzalez) or Tampa Bay in 2013. ... McFadden also had his worst year as a pass catcher in 2012, averaging a career low 4.1 yards per target. ... The Raiders have some playmakers out wide, but Moore, DHB and Streater -- along with quarterback Carson Palmer -- will need to become more efficient and more consistent to produce steady Fantasy numbers week in and week out, because the potential is there.

San Diego Chargers

Target Leaders: Malcom Floyd (85 total/5.1 per game), Antonio Gates (80/5.3), Danario Alexander (62/6.2)
Catch Rate Leaders: Ronnie Brown (83.1 percent), Ryan Mathews (69.6 percent), Malcom Floyd (65.9 percent)
Yards Per Target Leader: Danario Alexander (10.6), Malcom Floyd (9.6)
Fantasy Points Per Target Leader: Danario Alexander (1.74 -- best among all receivers with at least 60 targets), Malcom Floyd (1.31), Antonio Gates (1.2)
Red Zone Quarterback Performance: Philip Rivers -- 25 percent touchdown rate (72 opportunities/ 18 touchdowns)
Red Zone Carry Leader: Jackie Battle (16/three)
Red Zone Target Leader: Ronnie Brown (13/zero)
Red Zone Touchdown Rate Leader: Danario Alexander (67 percent), Antonio Gates (55 percent)
Goal Line Quarterback Performance: Philip Rivers -- 50 percent (10 opportunities/five touchdowns)
Goal Line Carry Leader: Jackie Battle (nine/three)
Goal Line Target Leader: Malcom Floyd (three/two)
Goal Line Touchdown Rate Leader: Malcom Floyd (67 percent)

You know the Chargers offense was messed up when they had four total rushing touchdowns inside the red zone all season long. ... Ronnie Brown was the team's top target in the red zone, but he did not catch one of their 15 red zone passing touchdowns. ... For all of the hate directed at Ryan Mathews, some of the blame has to fall on the coaches, as Mathews had 15 red zone carries all year and did not receive a single carry or target inside the five yard line. In 2011, Mathews scored on four of his five goal line carries. Hopefully the new regime will let Mathews play on third downs and in the red zone, because if they do not, he will be forever known as an injury-prone bust. ... Danario Alexander led all receivers with a 1.74 points per target average and his 10.6 yards per target was also tops in the NFL. Alexander has battled health problems for his entire career, but showed that he can be a dominant receiver in the NFL, catching 37 passes for 658 yards and seven touchdowns in just nine games. Yes, Alexander was the most efficient receiver in the NFL in 2012. ... Malcom Floyd was once again extremely efficient in 2012, catching 65.9 percent of his passes and averaging 9.6 yards and 1.31 points per target (both Top 20 at the position). Floyd just needs more targets, but he has never been able to stay healthy enough to receive them for an extended period of time. ... Antonio Gates was great in the red zone last year with six scores and a 55 percent scoring rate, but his game in the middle of the field is falling off of a cliff. Gates averaged a career low 11 yards per catch in 2012 and his 6.6 yards per target was, you guessed it, also the worst number he has ever produced. If Gates were to fall below seven touchdowns in 2013, his Fantasy production would be crushed because he was held to less than 50 yards receiving in all but three games in 2012. Gates did not reach 50 yards in a single game over the last seven games of the season. ... New head coach Mike McCoy should help this offense, but I am not sure Philip Rivers or Gates will ever be the same and both seem to be on the downside of their respective careers, so buyer beware in 2013.

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Bears' Bennett: Trestman will be 'excellent coordinator' for Ravens
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(12:34 pm ET) Marc Trestman lasted only two seasons as the Bears coach before losing his job. Bears tight end Martellus Bennett said on NFL Network on Friday that Trestman's demise in Chicago was plagued by his inability to control a locker room full of personalities.

"Trestman, I think, first off, the issue that he had, probably, was managing us all, all the different personalities," Bennett said. "There's a lot of big personalities (in the locker room). And I think, for a first-time head coach in the NFL, dealing with all the personalities that you have, I think that's hard when you got guys like me, you know, (Brandon) Marshall ... Lance Briggs on defense, (Charles) Tillman.

"There's so many guys with such outgoing personalities that managing those guys and bringing them all together is what a leader needs to do, you know? And that's one of the toughest things."

Although Trestman was fired in late December, he wasn't out of work for long, landing the job as the Ravens offensive coordinator after Gary Kubiak left to become the Broncos coach. Bennett believes Trestman will have success in his new role.

"Calling plays, he was excellent," Bennett said. "I think he's going to be an excellent coordinator for the Ravens.  Strategically, he was great. But on the field, guys just weren't executing.

"A lot of it comes back to the player preparation. If you're not preparing to a high level, then the coaches can only do so much; the game's not played on paper, it's played on grass. On paper, we look great. On grass, we looked bad."


Marijuana charges dropped against LeGarrette Blount in Pennsylvania
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12:10 pm ET) Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount will not face charges for marijuana possession in Pennsylvania, Blount’s attorney said Friday.

Blount and Steelers running back Le’Veon Bell were pulled over and arrested for pot possession in August, a day before a preseason game. Blount satisfied his penalty by working community service in Boston. He will not have to appear in court in Pittsburgh next week. 


Seahawks leaving playing status decision up to Richard Sherman
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(12:08 pm ET) Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said Friday it will be up to cornerback Richard Sherman if he plays in Sunday's Super Bowl against the Patriots. It is not because of the elbow injury he sustained in the NFC title game against the Packers. It's because Sherman's girlfriend might go into labor with the couple's first child sooner than expected.

"If (Sherman) is faced with that decision, we'll support him," Carroll said, per the Associated Press. "I can't wait to see little Petey."

Sherman said Thursday that his unborn son isn't due for another couple of weeks, and added "he was going to do his father a favor" and wait to be born until after the Super Bowl.


Vikings' Adrian Peterson to begin probation on Wednesday
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Vikings running back Adrian Peterson will begin his probation on Wednesday, according to the St. Paul Pioneer Press.

Peterson will begin community service, and will undergo counseling to determine whether he has a drug problem. Peterson will report to a probation officer once a month in order to take a drug test. The strict drug testing stems from an Oct. 8 pre-trail urinalysis. Peterson admitted to "smoking a little weed," though the results from the test were never disclosed. 

Probation officials will also determine whether Peterson needs to attend parenting classes. 

Per his plea agreement, Peterson was fined $4,000 and ordered to perform 80 hours of community service. He's required to perform at least 16 hours per month, which would allow him to complete to program prior to training camp.

Peterson is under contract with the Vikings for next season, and is set to earn $12.75 million. The team is not allowed to communicate with Peterson during his suspension. 


Austin Collie signs with CFL's BC Lions
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Free-agent receiver Austin Collie has signed with the BC Lions of the Canadian Football League, the team announced Thursday.

"I’m excited to be joining the Lions and very much look forward to playing in the CFL," said Collie. "The wide-open play of the Canadian game and the passion of fans across the league is going to be a lot of fun to experience."

Collie played four seasons with the Colts and one with the Patriots. In his last NFL action, he caught four passes for 57 yards in the 2014 AFC Championship Game.


Eagles RB LeSean McCoy: 'I don't want to take less money'
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Eagles running back LeSean McCoy reiterated Thursday that while he'd be willing to restructure his contract if asked, he would not accept a pay cut, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

"I know how hard it is to keep a team together and I want to be part of this team. But I don't want to take less money," McCoy said. "I want to figure a way to make it happen [where] we're all together."

McCoy, who is due to count $11.95 million against the cap in 2015, turned in his fourth 1,000-yard season in the last five years in 2014, finishing with 1,319 rushing yards on 312 carries and 155 receiving yards on a career-low 28 receptions. All five of his touchdowns came on the ground.


Bills' Rex Ryan won't commit to EJ Manuel as starting QB
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) When asked about who his starting quarterback would be in 2015, Bills coach Rex Ryan said the team would look at every available option, reports The Buffalo News.

"We're going to exhaust every resource we can," Ryan said. "We'll look at free agents. We'll look at the draft. We'll look at anything."

The Bills have former first-round pick EJ Manuel on their roster, but Ryan said he would not commit to Manuel as his starting quarterback at this time.

"To say that he's definitely going to be the guy, it's way too early to say that," Ryan said.


Bills RB Fred Jackson excited to play for new coach Rex Ryan
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Bills veteran running back Fred Jackson said he hasn't had the opportunity to meet with new coach Rex Ryan, but that didn't stop him from expressing his excitement about the new coaching regime in Buffalo.

"I can't wait to play for him. I've heard nothing but good things," Jackson said Wednesday of Ryan during an interview on ESPN New York 98.7 FM. "I'm looking forward to that [first] conversation when I sit down and talk to him."

The Bills finished 9-7 in 2014, which was their best record since 2004. While Jackson believes Ryan is going to "be that catalyst that comes in and pushes us over that hump," he didn't have many bad things to say about coach Doug Marrone, who opted out of his contract New Year's Eve.

"I thought he was a tremendous coach," Jackson said. "He showed up, he worked hard, he pushed players to give their best effort. He got us to a 9-7 record -- we hadn't won nine games in 10 years. There's definitely some things about him that made him a great coach. It's just the way he exited. I don't think anybody expected that. 

"Players, the way we found out is we got a generic text from him, saying that he was moving on and he had chosen to opt out of his contract." 


Justin Tuck: Raider Nation would appluad signing Ndamukong Suh
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) If defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh doesn't sign a long-term deal with the Lions, then he will become a free agent March 10 and there will be plenty of teams interested in the Pro Bowl lineman. 

Raiders defensive end Justin Tuck indicated if Suh wanted to sign with Oakland, then he would be welcomed in Raider Nation.

"(He's) Raider-ish," Tuck said, per the Detroit Free Press. "And that's one of the reasons why I know Raider Nation would applaud that move, beyond the fact that he's an awesome football player. He kind of fits the mold of ... the toughness and the ferocious player that built the Oakland Raiders."

It is speculated Suh will receive a contract worth at least $100 million. Tuck believes the three-time All-Pro deserves such a lucrative deal.

"The thing about him, you know what you're getting every day. Some of the tactics, you could probably do without, but he's a hell of a football player," Tuck said. "I would love to have the opportunity to line up beside of him and let him take all the double teams that I normally take."


Nick Foles: 'I plan on being in Philly' in 2015
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) There has been a lot of talk about quarterback Nick Foles' future with the Eagles, especially since Philadelphia coach Chip Kelly's former pupil at Oregon -- Marcus Mariota -- will be part of this year's draft class.

On Thursday, Foles addressed the rumors and stated he is expecting to be back on the Eagles' roster in 2015.

"Yeah you hear about it," Foles said in between doing paid appearances at Super Bowl XLIX, per NJ.com. "You are going to hear about it every single year. That's just part of it. The main word is 'rumor.' You can't put too much into it....I plan on being in Philly.

"I only listen to (head coach) Chip Kelly. That's what is most important. He is the one that will make the decision. Right now all I am going to do is work because I plan on being back in Philadelphia and playing with my team. That's all I ever thought. So that is what I plan on doing and I'm not looking at it any other way."

Foles added he hasn't talked with Kelly since the end of the season.

"We haven't talked a lot. He has a lot going on," Foles said. "This time of year you really just get away from everything. He is busy looking at the draft, doing all that. I saw he is more of the decision maker. Haven't really talked to him too much, but I'm sure I'll hear from him soon."


 
 
 
Rankings