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Offseason Primers: Minnesota Vikings

Senior Fantasy Writer
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It's safe to say there were a lot of improbabilities in the Vikings 2012 season. It was improbable that their star running back, Adrian Peterson, would not only be ready to play in Week 1 after tearing his ACL late in the prior season but rush for over 2,000 yards. It was improbable that quarterback Christian Ponder, not Peterson, would ultimately steer the team to a playoff berth without the benefit of a quality receiver like Percy Harvin. Heck, it was improbable that the Vikings were a playoff team!

And how improbable was it that the Vikings were forced to use backup quarterback Joe Webb in their playoff loss at Green Bay?

2012 Touches Leaders
786 total touches (rush attempts + receptions)
Adrian Peterson 388 (348 car., 40 rec.) 49.4%
Percy Harvin 84 (62 rec., 22 car.) 10.7%
Toby Gerhart 70 (50 car., 20 rec.) 8.9%
Christian Ponder 60 car. 7.6%
Kyle Rudolph 53 rec. 6.7%
Michael Jenkins 40 rec. 5.1%
All Others 91 11.6%

Fantasy Football deals with probabilities as much as improbabilities, but there's seemingly one sure player on the Vikings: Peterson. His story from 2012 was enough to make him the league MVP after rushing for the second-most yards in a single season with 2,097 yards. He added 12 touchdowns on the ground and one more through the air. Peterson regained his form as a dominant rusher capable of rumbling for over 120 yards on the ground per week, which he did in half of his regular season games. He's got a hammerlock on the amount of work he'll get from week to week (he had under 20 touches just three times last season) and will run behind a solid offensive line. Though there's a smidge of concern Peterson could exhaust himself after taking on 370 carries over 17 games last year, the reality is that he's too good a player to pass up taking if made available on Draft Day. Owners shouldn't hesitate to take him with the first overall pick.

The rest of the Vikings? Defensively it's looking good but offensively there are a lot of questions after the team traded one of the NFL's most explosive playmakers.

Jarius Wright -- Sleeper

2012 Target Leaders
483 pass attempts
Kyle Rudolph 96 19.3%
Percy Harvin 85 17.6%
Michael Jenkins 72 14.9%
Jerome Simpson 52 10.8%
Adrian Peterson 51 10.6%
All Others 127 26.3%

With Percy Harvin moving on to the Seahawks and Greg Jennings serving as an outside receiver the door is open for Jarius Wright to contribute in his second season. He sat out the first nine games of the year, only getting playing time once Harvin got hurt. Wright didn't have a major impact in place of Harvin but did cobble together two touchdowns on 22 catches for 310 yards. He also caught 60 percent of his targets. But that little experience combined with what he did in college helps project him into someone worth taking. At Arkansas he set the school's career records for catches (168) and yards (2,934) and is second in school history with 24 touchdowns.He's also pretty much the same size as Harvin, so the measurables are there if the Vikings wanted to try and use Wright like they did Harvin. That's definitely not to say Wright will produce like Harvin but if given the chance to see over 60 percent of the snaps week in and week out he could work his way into 50-catch territory with some modest numbers to go with it.

Greg Jennings -- Mid-round value

Jennings' arrival in Minnesota should be welcomed considering the lack of receiving threats on the roster before he came to town. He'll be in a familiar role – the No. 1 receiver – but won't have quite as good of a quarterback throwing to him. That's an obvious factor that hampers his value compared to years past. Health is also a concern after missing 11 games over the last two seasons with leg, groin and abdomen problems. The glimmer of hope comes in what Jennings did for the Packers just before he left, catching 25 passes for 280 yards and four touchdowns over his last four games including two in the postseason.That's the kind of stuff the Vikings offense needs to keep going strong. Jennings might be boiled down to a top-of-the-line possession receiver but he should still be effective so long as he's upright. Best of all, Jennings can be had at a much later point in drafts compared to recent years as you can probably make it to Round 7 and still see him there. Consider him a No. 3 Fantasy receiver with obvious upside.

Kyle Rudolph -- Top 10 tight end

Expected 2013 Draft Averages
Christian Ponder Late-round pick
Adrian Peterson Top 2 overall
Toby Gerhart Late-round handcuff
Greg Jennings 65-80 overall
Jarius Wright Late-round pick
Kyle Rudolph 115-125 overall
Blair Walsh Late-round pick
Vikings DST Undrafted

We doubt we won't tell you anything you don't already know but Rudolph is absolutely in the conversation regarding tight ends you can draft and start right away. In 16 games last season Rudolph didn't record more than 67 yards per contest but did have eight games with at least 7 Fantasy points, one of three tight ends to land that many productive games in 2012. Ponder and the Vikings coaching staff already recognize Rudolph as a major red-zone threat and he's come up big there, scoring all of his eight touchdowns down there with 12 of 15 red-zone targets caught. There's room for improvement as Rudolph had the worst target conversion percentage of any tight end with at least 90 targets, catching just 56 of the 96 passes sent his way. An improvement in that area along with more targets in general would better serve Fantasy owners, but the reality is that he'll get picked with a mid-to-late choice anyway.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Dave at @daverichard and on Facebook .

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Player News
Redskins list Kedric Golston as questionable to return vs. Eagles
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5:46 pm ET) Redskins defensive lineman Kedric Golston had to leave Saturday’s game against the Eagles with a shoulder injury.

The team reported his return is questionable.


Redskins LB Trent Murphy downgraded to out for rest of week 16
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(5:15 pm ET) Redskins outside linebacker Trent Murphy was downgraded from questionable to out for the remainder of Week 16 with a hand injury, per the team's official website. Murphy left Saturday's game against Philadelphia in the opening quarter with the injury. He did not record a tackle. Jackson Jeffcoat will take over for him the rest of the way.

Michael Vick: Jameis Winston is 'future of the NFL'
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5:12 pm ET) When Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston does make it to the NFL, he will already have the support of Jets quarterback Michael Vick.

Despite Winston’s troubles away from the field, Vick believes Winston will be the league’s next big star.

"I think he's the future of the NFL," Vick said, per ESPN.

While some NFL teams are concerned about Winston’s character, Vick believes Winston's talent on the field will overshadow any mistakes he makes off it.

"But I do know one thing: He may make some poor decisions, but he gets on that football field and he plays his ass off," Vick said. "Yeah, he can mature. He'll mature. I see him maturing as time goes on. Like, this year hasn't been as bad of a year as the first year was for Jameis. I think the kid will continue to improve." 


Redskins LB Trent Murphy taken to locker room with hand injury
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(4:59 pm ET) Redskins linebacker Trent Murphy was escorted to the locker room with a hand injury Saturday afternoon against the Eagles in Week 16. Murphy suffered the injury in the opening quarter of the game and has been ruled questionable to return, per the team's official website.

Report: Patriots' Julian Edelman will not play Sunday vs. Jets
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(4:39 pm ET) Sources indicated Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman did not travel with the team to New York and will not play Sunday against the Jets, reports the Boston Herald.

Edelman was listed as questionable with a concussion. In 14 games, Edelman has 92 receptions for 972 yards and four touchdowns.

With Edelman out, wideout Danny Amendola could be in line for more playing time. Amendola has 15 catches for 113 yards and one touchdown in 14 games.


Buccaneers place S Major Wright on IR
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(4:22 pm ET) The Buccaneers announced a pair of roster moves on Saturday, per the team's official website. Tampa Bay placed safety Major Wright on season-ending injured reserve with an injury to the ribs and promoted cornerback C.J. Wilson from the practice squad to the active roster.

Wright appeared in 12 games this season, registering 51 combined tackles, his lowest total since 2010.


49ers LB Chris Borland placed on injured reserve
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(4:16 pm ET) The 49ers have placed rookie linebacker Chris Borland on season-ending injured reserve with an ankle injury, reports NFL.com. Borland was in the midst of a breakthrough rookie campaign before going down with the injury in Week 15. Nick Moody will likely start the final two games of the season in place of Borland.

Borland appeared in 14 games and posted 107 total tackles, one sack and two interceptions.


Report: 49ers RB Frank Gore will play Saturday
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(4:06 pm ET) A source told Ian Rapoprt of the NFL Network that 49ers running back Frank Gore will indeed play Saturday night against San Diego. Gore entered Week 16 questionable after suffering a concussion the previous. It appears as if he has been medically cleared and will be in the starting lineup come kickoff.

Gore may be playing his final two games with the 49ers as he is set to become a free agent at the end of the season. Through 14 games, he has rushed for 804 yards and three touchdowns on 204 carries, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt, the lowest during his 10 years in the league.

The 49ers have dropped from a 1 1/2-point to just a 1-point home favorite against the Chargers.


Report: Panthers QB Cam Newton medically cleared to start
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(3:32 pm ET) Panthers quarterback Cam Newton has been medically cleared to play in Week 16, according to Ian Rapoport of the NFL Network. He'll be in the starting lineup for Sunday's pivotal clash against the Browns, just 11 days removed from a car accident in which he suffered two small fractures in his back.

Newton was unable to play the previous due to the injuries he suffered in the collision. Through 12 games, Newton has passed for 2,812 yards with 16 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He has rushed for 425 yards and three touchdowns on 85 carries.

He was officially ruled as probable leading up to Week 16. Carolina has moved from a 3-point to a 4-point favorite at home against Cleveland.


Dolphins promote WR Matt Hazel to active roster
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(3:31 pm ET) The Dolphins announced they promoted wide receiver Matt Hazel from the team’s practice squad to the 53-man roster.

To make room for Hazel, the team released linebacker Jake Knott .


 
 
 
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