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2013 Draft Prep: Pick-by-pick for No. 1 overall

Senior Fantasy Writer
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No. 1 overall | No. 2 | No. 3 | No. 4 | No. 5 | No. 6 | No. 7
No. 8 | No. 9 | No. 10 | No. 11 | No. 12

If you had the chance to choose your draft spot, what pick would you select in the first round? What position do you feel gives you the best advantage in building your team?

Is it No. 1 to draft Adrian Peterson? Do you want somewhere in the middle to grab Calvin Johnson? Maybe it's the end to have the chance at a high-end selection in the second round?

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There are a variety of ways to craft your team, and we're here to help. Some of you already know your draft slot, but others of you won't find out until just before the draft.

What my colleague Dave Richard and yours truly are doing here in this 12-part series is outlining a strategy for you to use with each pick. We are looking at all 12 picks individually in a 14-round draft and giving you an idea of what positions to target in each round.

We'll highlight some players who should be available with each pick, and hopefully this is a guide you can use on Draft Day in standard and PPR formats with a lineup of QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, FLEX (RB/WR/TE), K, DST and five reserve spots. Every draft is different, so don't expect to follow this plan exactly. But if you have an idea of what you want to do with each round you should be able to put together a solid squad.

We'll start with the first pick, which we're discussing here, and your choice is easy with Peterson. But what you do after Round 1 will likely decide your fate.

We'll go over all 14 picks for the No. 1 overall selection, and then you can check out the entire draft with this series in the coming weeks.

Editor's note: The percentages listed are what position you should target based on that round for each pick.

No. 1 overall -- Round 1
Round 1 - Standard QB 0% RB 100% WR 0% TE 0%
Round 1 - PPR QB 0% RB 100% WR 0% TE 0%

It would be a shock to see anyone draft another player other than Peterson after the way he played last season. He ran for 2,097 yards and 12 touchdowns and caught 40 passes for 217 yards and a touchdown, and he has the chance to post stellar stats again this year. Now, the other six 2,000-yard rushers in NFL history -- O.J. Simpson, Eric Dickerson, Barry Sanders, Terrell Davis, Jamal Lewis and Chris Johnson -- saw a decline in production the following year, but Peterson isn't expected to drop off enough to hurt his potential as the No. 1 overall pick.

Player you can get here: Adrian Peterson
My selection at No. 1 standard: Adrian Peterson
My selection at No. 1 PPR: Adrian Peterson

No. 1 overall -- Round 2
Round 2 - Standard QB 15% RB 40% WR 40% TE 5%
Round 2 - PPR QB 15% RB 30% WR 50% TE 5%

There are a lot of directions you can go in Round 2. If an elite quarterback is there like Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers you can pull the trigger on the likely No. 1 overall scorer in your league, but quarterback is deep and we would wait. Taking Rob Gronkowski is also a possibility (Jimmy Graham should be gone), but there's too much risk involved (at least at this point) with his back injury. Our suggestion is best player available with the goal to get at least one running back at this swing pick. A receiver is a must in PPR, and Randall Cobb and his potential for 100 catches is the easy pick. We'll also take a receiver in the standard league and go with Larry Fitzgerald, who should rebound at a high level with the addition of coach Bruce Arians and quarterback Carson Palmer.

Players you can get here (standard): Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Maurice Jones-Drew, Lamar Miller, Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson, Rob Gronkowski
Players you can get here (PPR): Stevan Ridley, Randall Cobb, Roddy White
My selection at No. 24 standard: Larry Fitzgerald
My selection at No. 24 PPR: Randall Cobb

No. 1 overall -- Round 3
Round 3 - Standard QB 15% RB 50% WR 30% TE 5%
Round 3 - PPR QB 15% RB 45% WR 35% TE 5%

As we said in Round 2, you want at least one running back with these two picks, and Maurice Jones-Drew is worth the gamble here. There's a big concern with Jones-Drew based on his comeback from last year's Lisfranc injury, but so far all signs have been positive in training camp. Stevan Ridley won't make it this far in standard leagues, but his lack of receptions (six in 2012, nine in two years) lowers his value in PPR. But he had over 1,200 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns last season, and he should again be a dominant force. If he falls to this spot as expected then pair him with Peterson and be excited about the start of your team.

Players you can get here (standard): Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Maurice Jones-Drew, Lamar Miller, Andre Johnson, Rob Gronkowski
Players you can get here (PPR): Stevan Ridley, Roddy White
My selection at No. 25 standard: Maurice Jones-Drew
My selection at No. 25 PPR: Stevan Ridley

No. 1 overall -- Round 4
Round 4 - Standard QB 20% RB 35% WR 35% TE 10%
Round 4 - PPR QB 20% RB 35% WR 35% TE 10%

The reason we said to wait on a quarterback is you should be able to draft one after the first couple of rounds who can still be a Top 5 finisher. And Matt Ryan, Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford have the potential to fall to this spot (Brady's Average Draft Position is No. 38, Ryan is No. 42 and Stafford is No. 50). Dave and I practice what we preach, so quarterbacks will go later in our drafts, and Ryan is the pick here in standard leagues. In PPR, we want another receiver to pair with Cobb, and Pierre Garcon is a Top 15 option on my draft board. When healthy, he was dominant in 2012, and he is reportedly having an outstanding training camp.

Players you can get here (standard): Matt Ryan, Tom Brady, Shane Vereen, Giovani Bernard, Rashard Mendenhall
Players you can get here (PPR): Cam Newton, Montee Ball, Eddie Lacy, Pierre Garcon, Eric Decker
My selection at No. 48 standard: Matt Ryan
My selection at No. 48 PPR: Pierre Garcon

No. 1 overall -- Round 5
Round 5 - Standard QB 0% RB 40% WR 40% TE 20%
Round 5 - PPR QB 20% RB 30% WR 30% TE 20%

Running back depth is a priority this season, and if you can get three running backs in the first five rounds you should be in good shape. Two running backs I'm extremely fond of this year are Shane Vereen and Giovani Bernard, and in each draft you should have one available here -- if not both. Vereen has the chance to help the Patriots replace departed players like Danny Woodhead and Aaron Hernandez, and reports are he's already looking like a clone of former New England standout Kevin Faulk. He's a capable No. 3 running back in standard leagues. Bernard might end up as the starter for the Bengals, but he's expected to work on passing downs in Cincinnati ahead of BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Having a running back corps of Peterson, Ridley and Bernard in any format gives you a lot of flexibility moving forward. The same goes for Peterson, Jones-Drew and Vereen.

Players you can get here (standard): Shane Vereen, Giovani Bernard, Rashard Mendenhall
Players you can get here (PPR): Cam Newton, Montee Ball, Eddie Lacy, Eric Decker
My selection at No. 49 standard: Shane Vereen
My selection at No. 49 PPR: Giovani Bernard

No. 1 overall -- Round 6
Round 6 - Standard QB 0% RB 25% WR 45% TE 30%
Round 6 - PPR QB 20% RB 20% WR 30% TE 30%

I don't recommend drafting a quarterback and tight end together in the first five rounds, but we're in the clear now at this point. Jason Witten is better in PPR than standard formats based on his lack of touchdowns -- he had three touchdowns last season and five or less in four of the past five years -- but he still has over 1,000 receiving yards in three of the past four seasons. You have now locked up a Top 5 quarterback, three running backs, including the No. 1 overall pick, one stud receiver and a Top 5 tight end. That's pretty legit. In the PPR league you'd love a tight end who should see a high volume of targets, and Tony Gonzalez was No. 3 in targets among tight ends last season. Even at 37 he should remain a force.

Players you can get here (standard): Ronnie Hillman, Pierre Thomas, Torrey Smith, Tavon Austin, Jordy Nelson, Jason Witten
Players you can get here (PPR): Tony Romo, Andrew Luck, Ben Tate, Bryce Brown, Kenny Britt, Tony Gonzalez
My selection at No. 72 standard: Jason Witten
My selection at No. 72 PPR: Tony Gonzalez

No. 1 overall -- Round 7
Round 7 - Standard QB 0% RB 30% WR 70% TE 0%
Round 7 - PPR QB 40% RB 30% WR 30% TE 0%

Based on how your draft is going to this point you need a second receiver in the standard league. The elite options are likely gone by now, and you want someone with upside. Torrey Smith fits that description. He's entering his third season, which is typically the year receivers have a breakout campaign, and the Ravens need him to step up with Anquan Boldin gone and Dennis Pitta (hip) out. The good thing on waiting for receivers this year is you can add quality depth late compared to running backs, so this is a good strategy. We'll take a quarterback in the PPR league here, and I like Tony Romo over Andrew Luck, Colin Kaepernick and Russell Wilson. He might turn out to be among the best value picks at any position this season.

Players you can get here (standard): Ronnie Hillman, Pierre Thomas, Torrey Smith, Tavon Austin, Jordy Nelson
Players you can get here (PPR): Tony Romo, Andrew Luck, Ben Tate, Bryce Brown, Kenny Britt
My selection at No. 73 standard: Torrey Smith
My selection at No. 73 PPR: Tony Romo

No. 1 overall -- Round 8
Round 8 - Standard QB 0% RB 40% WR 60% TE 0%
Round 8 - PPR QB 0% RB 40% WR 60% TE 0%

This is the point in the draft where you're going to be excited and amazed at the receiver depth available to you. It's the reason we tell you to load up on running backs early and wait for receivers. In the standard league, we'll stick with looking for a high-upside No. 3 receiver, and Josh Gordon is a great addition. He is suspended for the first two games, but he's going to be the focal point of a downfield passing attack that should highlight his skills. In the PPR league, we'll grab one of the most underrated receivers in Fantasy -- Lance Moore. He was a Top 20 receiver last season, and he should continue to be heavily involved as a top target for Drew Brees (he had 104 targets in 2012).

Players you can get here (standard): Johnathan Franklin, Jonathan Stewart, Fred Jackson, Josh Gordon, Mike Wallace
Players you can get here (PPR): Zac Stacy, Bilal Powell, Lance Moore, Ryan Broyles, Michael Floyd
My selection at No. 96 standard: Josh Gordon
My selection at No. 96 PPR: Lance Moore

No. 1 overall -- Round 9
Round 9 - Standard QB 0% RB 50% WR 50% TE 0%
Round 9 - PPR QB 0% RB 50% WR 50% TE 0%

You're going to find, unfortunately, that the running back depth will dry up quickly, and you'll be reaching for players you might not have expected. We always recommend at least four running backs in a 14-round draft (five are preferable), so we'll take the likely No. 2 running back for the Packers in Johnathan Franklin. Eddie Lacy is expected to start, but Franklin should play a prominent role. He's a quality reserve given the options on the table. In the PPR league, we'll take one of our favorite sleepers in Ryan Broyles. I'd have no problem using Moore or Broyles as a flex option in this format, especially since Broyles could be a force as the slot receiver for the pass-happy Lions.

Players you can get here (standard): Johnathan Franklin, Jonathan Stewart, Mike Wallace
Players you can get here (PPR): Zac Stacy, Bilal Powell, Fred Jackson, Ryan Broyles, Michael Floyd
My selection at No. 97 standard: Johnathan Franklin
My selection at No. 97 PPR: Ryan Broyles

No. 1 overall -- Round 10
Round 10 - Standard QB 0% RB 50% WR 50% TE 0%
Round 10 - PPR QB 0% RB 50% WR 50% TE 0%

If you've already drafted your quarterback and tight end at this point and like the depth you have at running back and receiver the goal now is to take potential sleepers, fallback options who could help you in a pinch or handcuff running backs. In the PPR league we'll grab our fourth running back in Shonn Greene. While he's not expected to be a factor in the passing game and gets a significant downgrade in value going from the starter for the Jets to the backup for the Titans, he could still score a healthy amount of touchdowns. And if Johnson goes down then Greene could thrive. In the standard league, Alshon Jeffery could have a solid sophomore campaign for coach Marc Trestman. He's a great No. 4 receiver behind Fitzgerald, Smith and Gordon.

Players you can get here (standard): Alshon Jeffery, Justin Blackmon, Aaron Dobson, Denarius Moore, Seahawks DST
Players you can get here (PPR): Shonn Greene, LaMichael James, Knile Davis, Rueben Randle, Vincent Brown
My selection at No. 120 standard: Alshon Jeffery
My selection at No. 120 PPR: Shonn Greene

No. 1 overall -- Round 11
Round 11 - Standard QB 0% RB 40% WR 40% TE 0% DST 20%
Round 11 - PPR QB 0% RB 40% WR 40% TE 0% DST 20%

Every owner has a different philosophy on drafting a DST and when to do it. My advice is to do it when you feel comfortable, but wait until at least Round 10 if possible. With the way the standard league team has been built, this is a good time to pull the trigger on the No. 1 DST in the Seahawks. There's no need to draft a No. 2 quarterback for someone like Ryan, and the running back depth is terrible at this point. Since we already have four receivers, grabbing the Seahawks makes sense. In the PPR league we'll grab a running back with upside in LaMichael James. He might not see much action early on, but he could emerge as a receiving threat for the 49ers behind Frank Gore and Kendall Hunter.

Players you can get here (standard): Justin Blackmon, Aaron Dobson, Denarius Moore, Seahawks DST
Players you can get here (PPR): LaMichael James, Knile Davis, Rueben Randle, Vincent Brown
My selection at No. 121 standard: Seahawks DST
My selection at No. 121 PPR: LaMichael James

No. 1 overall -- Round 12
Round 12 - Standard QB 0% RB 50% WR 50% TE 0% DST 0%
Round 12 - PPR QB 0% RB 40% WR 40% TE 0% DST 20%

You're just looking for value here in the standard league, and Kendall Wright showed promise as a rookie for the Titans last year with 64 catches for 626 yards and four touchdowns. The Titans have some quality weapons with Johnson, Kenny Britt and Wright, but the key to their success will be Jake Locker. We hope he can make Wright successful enough that he's a spot starter or trade bait. In the PPR league, we'll handcuff Peterson with Toby Gerhart.

Players you can get here (standard): Marcel Reece, Denard Robinson, Kendall Wright, Brandon LaFell
Players you can get here (PPR): Toby Gerhart, Mikel Leshoure, Brian Hartline, Texans DST, Broncos DST
My selection at No. 144 standard: Kendall Wright
My selection at No. 144 PPR: Toby Gerhart

No. 1 overall -- Round 13
Round 13 - Standard QB 0% RB 80% WR 0% TE 0% DST 0% K 20%
Round 13 - PPR QB 0% RB 0% WR 0% TE 0% DST 80% K 20%

You shouldn't take a kicker until your last pick the majority of the time, so this round is typically when you'll target either a DST or a value pick with upside. We already went with a DST in Round 11 in the standard league and just drafted our No. 5 receiver in Round 12. It's a good idea to handcuff your top running back if possible, and Gerhart is the pick here to back up Peterson. Gerhart won't play as well as Peterson if he gets hurt, but in 2011 when Peterson was injured he had either 100 total yards or a touchdown in five of his final six games. The Texans DST is the pick in the PPR league to cover that spot, and they should be a solid unit again in 2013.

Players you can get here (standard): Toby Gerhart, Marcel Reece, Denard Robinson, Brandon LaFell
Players you can get here (PPR): Texans DST, Broncos DST, Packers DST
My selection at No. 145 standard: Toby Gerhart
My selection at No. 145 PPR: Texans DST

No. 1 overall -- Round 14
Round 14 - Standard QB 0% RB 0% WR 0% TE 0% DST 0% K 100%
Round 14 - PPR QB 0% RB 0% WR 0% TE 0% DST 0% K 100%

Plain and simple, take the kicker you like the best. You should look for a late bye week to avoid making a wasted transaction early, and you want someone who plays in a favorable environment if possible. I seem to end up with Dan Bailey a lot, and he fits my criteria with a bye in Week 11 on a good offensive team indoors. But you should be fine with anyone from the group listed below.

Players you can get here: Dan Bailey, Randy Bullock, Mason Crosby
My selection at No. 168 standard: Dan Bailey
My selection at No. 168 PPR: Dan Bailey

No. 1 overall -- Final Rosters
Standard PPR
QB Matt Ryan QB Tony Romo
RB Adrian Peterson RB Adrian Peterson
RB Maurice Jones-Drew RB Stevan Ridley
WR Larry Fitzgerald WR Randall Cobb
WR Torrey Smith WR Pierre Garcon
FLEX Shane Vereen FLEX Giovani Bernard
TE Jason Witten TE Tony Gonzalez
K Dan Bailey K Dan Bailey
DST Seahawks DST Texans
BENCH Josh Gordon BENCH Lance Moore
BENCH Johnathan Franklin BENCH Ryan Broyles
BENCH Alshon Jeffery BENCH Shonn Greene
BENCH Kendall Wright BENCH LaMichael James
BENCH Toby Gerhart BENCH Toby Gerhart

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg .

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Player News
Matt Schaub rejoins Raiders Wednesday
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(6:06 pm ET) Raiders quarterback Matt Schaub has rejoined the club Wednesday, according to the San Francisco Chronicle

Schaub was away for a couple days while dealing with a non-injury situation. He rejoined the club Wednesday, and could play Week 6 if Derek Carr is unable to go. 


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(6:00 pm ET) Panthers just-signed running back Chris Ogbonnaya impressed Ron Rivera on Wednesday. The team hopes the former Cleveland back can bolster what has been an injury-plagued backfield.

"Chris had a good day," Rivera told the team website. "He's a smart young man. He's been in a very similar system. There is a lot of overlap with the terminology. He seemed to assimilate very nicely to it."

Ogbonnaya has racked up 660 rushing yards and 714 receiving yards in 46 games in the NFL, mostly with the Browns.


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(5:53 pm ET) Though Joique Bell missed practice Wednesday after leaving early in Week 4 with a concussion, the Lions aren't ruling him out for Week 5 against Buffalo. But even if he plays, you probably wouldn't want to start him in Fantasy.

The Bills rank third against the run, allowing 71.5 yards per game and just 2.9 per carry. They limited the Texans' Arian Foster to 6 yards on eight carries in Week 4 and have allowed the sixth-fewest Fantasy points to running backs this season.

Those yards per carry may have been skewed by the Chargers' Donald Brown's 62 yards on 31 carries in Week 3. It's pretty clear by now he's just a bad running back. But it's not like Bell has been a world-beater himself. Splitting carries with Reggie Bush, he has only once run for even 40 yards in a game this season and is averaging 3.2 yards per carry.

Especially coming back from a concussion, he's just a desperation play this week.


Cowboys WR Dez Bryant finally practices in full Wednesday
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FFT Blog: Looking at the most-dropped list
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(5:47 pm ET) At the Fantasy Football Today blog, we took a look at the most-dropped players in CBSSports.com leagues.

The five most-dropped players are Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins and tight end Niles Paul, Chargers running back Donald Brown, Panthers running back DeAngelo Williams and Buccaneers running back Bobby Rainey

You probably won't regret dropping Williams or Paul given their injuries, and Cousins' next few matchups will probably bring out more bad habits. However, if Brown is available in your league (as he is in 19 percent of leagues), you might want to snatch him. He has a tough matchup in Week 5, but we think he can run all over the Raiders in Week 6. 


Derek Carr believes he'll play against Chargers
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(5:42 pm ET) Raiders quarterback Derek Carr believes he can play against the Chargers Week 6, according to the Bay Area News Group.

Carr injured his ankle against the Dolphins Week 4. The Raiders are on a bye Week 5, so Carr will have an extra week to get healthy. 


Buccaneers WR Vincent Jackson not on Wednesday IR
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5:40 pm ET) A wrist ailment that has been plaguing Buccaneers wide receiver Vincent Jackson apparently did not prevent him from practicing Wednesday. He was not listed on the team's injury report.

Jackson has yet to break loose in any game this season. He is averaging just three catches for 33 yards in four games, though he has scored two touchdowns.


Reggie Bush either a good or bad start
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Which makes Week 5 an especially tricky one for Reggie Bush owners. The Lions are hosting the Bills, and Bush, with his shared role with Joique Bell, has certainly failed to deliver with more favorable matchups this year. But Bell is recovering from a concussion and may not play at all Sunday. Considering Bush got the lion's share of the workload after Bell went down in Week 4, he may be looking at a feature role.

Would the matchup negate the increased workload? In Bush's case, I'd say know. He's still one of the best at catching the ball out of the backfield, which should make up for any struggles he'd have running the ball.

Of course, this is all hypothetical. If Bell is able to play, the two will likely split carries as usual, and with this matchup, that's not an appealing prospect. Keep an eye on the situation.


Vernon Davis unable to go Wednesday
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(5:28 pm ET) San Francisco tight end Vernon Davis was unable to practice Wednesday.

Davis is dealing with a back injury, but downplayed the severity of the issue. Davis declared himself "day-to-day" early Wednesday. He caught just two passes for 8 yards before leaving the game last week. 


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(5:25 pm ET) Eddie Lacy is struggling to overcome several obstacles in his second season as featured back for the Packers. The result has been a distinct drop in production.

Lacy rushed for 1,178 yards a year ago and won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. But he has yet to exceed 50 yards in any game in 2014. His longest run has been 17 yards and he's averaging a mere 3.0 YPC. He is on pace to rush for just 644 yards this season.

Among the changes to which Lacy has been forced to adapt is the no-huddle offense and the shotgun formation. The Packers ran the no-huddle a year ago, but Lacy did not start until quarterback Aaron Rodgers went down - and the no-huddle went down with him. That's when Lacy began to thrive.

"Last year, we were able to run the ball a lot because A-Rod went down, so we just ran the ball a lot," Lacy explained to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel on Wednesday. "Having him back definitely it's not going to be that type of season. We just have to get in the backfield, run the ball when we're called upon and pass protect and let them throw the ball."

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