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2013 Draft Prep: Latest draft trends

Senior Fantasy Writer
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We're getting closer to when the majority of drafts happen for Fantasy owners, but drafts are going on all the time at this point in August. And the Average Draft Position data is starting to change.

There are subtle movements from a week ago like Trent Richardson dropping two spots to No. 9 overall. And some guys are moving dramatically like Chris Givens, who has jumped up 18 spots to No. 136 from our first look at ADP. You can see the trends in the data showing all the movement up and down for each player.

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Studying those trends should give you an indication that those players might be worth looking into. Maybe they had a big preseason performance that you missed. Or maybe there's an injury or position battle going on you should monitor prior to your draft.

The ADP is a great tool to help you prepare, and we're giving you a snapshot into some players rising and falling heading into the second weekend of preseason action. More will change after this week, so stay on top of the ADP data to help you on your Draft Day.

The first round looks like this ...

1. Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
2. Arian Foster, RB, Texans
3. Doug Martin, RB, Buccaneers
4. Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs
5. Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seahawks
6. C.J. Spiller, RB, Bills
7. Calvin Johnson, WR, Lions
8. Ray Rice, RB, Ravens
9. Trent Richardson, RB, Browns
10. LeSean McCoy, RB, Eagles
11. Drew Brees, QB, Saints
12. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers

How you start your team in the first round will dictate the rest of your roster, and there aren't many surprises with the first 10 picks. Calvin Johnson will likely be drafted higher in point-per-reception leagues, and he moved up one spot from last week.

Richardson dropped two spots because he has missed practice time as a precaution for his injured shin, but he played in the second preseason game Thursday against Detroit and ran well with six carries for 33 yards. He will fluctuate from No. 7 to No. 10 over the next few weeks.

Rice moved past Richardson, but based on his performance Thursday against the Falcons (eight carries for 10 yards and two catches for 7 yards), he could slide down again. And we'd expect McCoy to rise based on his outing Thursday with eight carries for 47 yards and a touchdown and three catches for 16 yards.

Rodgers has also moved into the Top 12, replacing Alfred Morris, who dropped to No. 13. We don't recommend drafting Rodgers or Brees in the first round, but Fantasy owners who love their quarterbacks find it hard to resist those two standout passers.

Quarterback breakdown

Robert Griffin III moving up: We're going to focus on guys who have moved up or down at least five spots in the previous week, but subtle changes are worth looking into as well. For example, Tom Brady has moved into the third round, and he's now being drafted ahead of Cam Newton as the No. 4 quarterback behind Brees, Rodgers and Peyton Manning.

Fantasy owners were originally concerned with Brady after losing his Top 4 targets from last year with Wes Welker, Aaron Hernandez, Brandon Lloyd and Danny Woodhead gone, but a solid preseason opener against the Eagles apparently put all those doubts to rest. We'd still take Newton and even Matt Ryan ahead of Brady, but he's still an elite Fantasy option even with a revamped receiving corps.

Other quarterbacks on the rise include Robert Griffin III (up nine spots to No. 56 overall), Colin Kaepernick (up six spots to No. 60), Andy Dalton (up seven spots to No. 112), Sam Bradford (up five spots to No. 131) and Carson Palmer (up five spots to No. 150). Of these guys, Griffin might continue to improve his ADP as reports of his health remain positive.

Dalton, Bradford and Palmer remain backups to covet, and they should be among the first No. 2 quarterbacks off the board with late-round picks. As for Kaepernick, I'm not buying his ADP at the end of Round 5, and I'd rather draft Tony Romo (No. 65 overall).

Nobody wants Tannehill or Rivers: Only two quarterbacks are falling in ADP, and they are Ryan Tannehill (down nine spots to No. 160) and Philip Rivers (down two spots to No. 147).

Tannehill came into training camp as a sleeper with the additions of Mike Wallace, Dustin Keller and Brandon Gibson, but he's been uninspiring to date. And Rivers lost his best receiver in Danario Alexander (ACL) and is showing more flaws than upside.

Running back breakdown

Richardson running in right direction: While Trent Richardson is falling in the first round, Daryl Richardson is among the biggest running back risers in ADP. The St. Louis Richardson's ADP has improved seven spots to No. 99.

He will continue to rise as he separates himself from Zac Stacy and Isaiah Pead as the starter in St. Louis, and we consider him a No. 3 Fantasy running back in all formats. Some other running backs on the rise include Giovani Bernard (up five spots to No. 66), DeAngelo Williams (up five spots to No. 104), Bilal Powell (up 10 spots to No. 191) and Knile Davis (up 11 spots to No. 196).

Bernard has the chance to be a Top 20 running back this season (he's currently being drafted as the No. 28 running back), and his ADP should continue to rise. Williams (Jonathan Stewart), Powell (Chris Ivory) and Davis (Jamaal Charles) are all moving up as a result of injuries to the initial starters on the depth chart. Williams should open the season as the starter in Carolina, but Ivory and Charles should be fine, leaving Powell and Davis as handcuff options.

Giants starting to shrink: Two Giants are among the prominent running backs on the decline in David Wilson (down five spots to No. 39) and Andre Brown (down five spots to No. 81). The thought of them splitting carries must have Fantasy owners concerned, which is a mistake.

If Wilson is there in Round 4 then consider it a steal. And Brown could be even better value in Round 7. Both have the chance to be quality Fantasy options this season.

Other prominent running backs slipping in ADP include Ivory (down nine spots to No. 58), Eddie Lacy (down five spots to No. 64), Ahmad Bradshaw (down five spots to No. 68), Rashard Mendenhall (down 10 spots to No. 71), BenJarvus Green-Ellis (down six spots to No. 87). Stewart (down eight spots to No. 108), Stacy (down 11 spots to No. 109), Bernard Pierce (down five spots to No. 117), Bryce Brown (down five spots to No. 118), Fred Jackson (down six spots to No. 120), Danny Woodhead (down five spots to No. 128), Johnathan Franklin (down six spots to No. 134) and Mikel Leshoure (down 14 spots to No. 138).

Ivory, Lacy, Bradshaw, Mendenhall, Stewart, Pierce, Brown and Woodhead have battled injuries, which have owners concerned. Brown is also competing with Chris Polk for the No. 2 job behind McCoy, and Green-Ellis, Stacy, Jackson, Franklin and Leshoure have concerns about their role this season.

Of these running backs, I'd be happy drafting Ivory, Lacy and Mendenhall in Round 6, and Pierce and Brown in Round 10. I think those are quality investments, and if they continue to fall that will be even better, assuming all of them are healthy.

Wide receiver breakdown

Givens gaining on pack: Four receivers have seen a dramatic rise in their ADP from last week: Golden Tate (up 11 spots to No. 115), Chris Givens, Vincent Brown (up 14 spots to No. 149) and Cordarrelle Patterson (up 15 spots to No. 161). All have sleeper potential this year and could be the No. 1 receiver on their respective teams.

Tate, Givens and Brown make for excellent No. 4 receivers, and Patterson is a definite late-round flier in standard leagues. I like Givens the best of this group.

Some other receivers with their ADP on the rise include Pierre Garcon (up nine spots to No. 55), Steve Smith (up five spots to No. 63), DeSean Jackson (up seven spots to No. 79), DeAndre Hopkins (up seven spots to No. 124) and Malcom Floyd (up nine spots to No. 165). Floyd will likely start to decline after he suffered a knee injury in practice this week.

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Jackson and Hopkins might present the best value from this group. Jackson's value improved when Jeremy Maclin (ACL) went down, and he could be an excellent No. 3 receiver in Round 7. And Hopkins is a great sleeper in Round 11 as the No. 2 receiver for the Texans opposite Andre Johnson. There should be a lot of single coverage for him all year.

Injury helping Nelson's value: Jordy Nelson is among the more prominent receivers with their ADP on the decline, and it's because his recent knee surgery could keep him out for the start of the season. He's dropped nine spots to No. 59.

That actually could work out in your favor if he continues to slip. Getting Nelson in Round 6 or 7 could be a tremendous bargain, especially if he ends up being ready for Week 1. When healthy, he's the second-best Packers receiver behind Randall Cobb.

Other receivers with their ADP on the decline include Josh Gordon (down five spots to No. 116), Denarius Moore (down five spots to No. 126), Justin Blackmon (down six spots to No. 145), Sidney Rice (down eight spots to No. 146) and Ryan Broyles (down six spots to No. 153).

I'm not sure why Gordon and Broyles are falling, but I like their value in Round 10 and 13, respectively. I'd also gamble on Blackmon in Round 13 even though he's suspended for the first four games.

Tight end breakdown

Finley flying up draft boards: I'm excited to see Jermichael Finley among the tight ends on the rise. He is up 13 spots to No. 91.

I consider Finley a sleeper, and I expect him to improve dramatically on last year's No. 17 finish in standard leagues. Draft him with confidence in Round 8.

Other tight ends with their ADP on the rise include Tyler Eifert (up eight spots to No. 162) and Coby Fleener (up 24 spots to No. 179). Both are quality sleepers, especially Fleener with Dwayne Allen (foot) banged up.

Allen is among the two tight ends on the decline with Jermaine Gresham. Allen is down nine spots to No. 190, and Gresham is down five spots to No. 176. These two moves coincide with Eifert and Fleener getting more attention as better Fantasy options this year.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg .

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Vikings' Adrian Peterson to begin probation on Wednesday
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) Vikings running back Adrian Peterson will begin his probation on Wednesday, according to the St. Paul Pioneer Press.

Peterson will begin community service, and will undergo counseling to determine whether he has a drug problem. Peterson will report to a probation officer once a month in order to take a drug test. The strict drug testing stems from an Oct. 8 pre-trail urinalysis. Peterson admitted to "smoking a little weed," though the results from the test were never disclosed. 

Probation officials will also determine whether Peterson needs to attend parenting classes. 

Per his plea agreement, Peterson was fined $4,000 and ordered to perform 80 hours of community service. He's required to perform at least 16 hours per month, which would allow him to complete to program prior to training camp.

Peterson is under contract with the Vikings for next season, and is set to earn $12.75 million. The team is not allowed to communicate with Peterson during his suspension. 


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"I’m excited to be joining the Lions and very much look forward to playing in the CFL," said Collie. "The wide-open play of the Canadian game and the passion of fans across the league is going to be a lot of fun to experience."

Collie played four seasons with the Colts and one with the Patriots. In his last NFL action, he caught four passes for 57 yards in the 2014 AFC Championship Game.


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"I know how hard it is to keep a team together and I want to be part of this team. But I don't want to take less money," McCoy said. "I want to figure a way to make it happen [where] we're all together."

McCoy, who is due to count $11.95 million against the cap in 2015, turned in his fourth 1,000-yard season in the last five years in 2014, finishing with 1,319 rushing yards on 312 carries and 155 receiving yards on a career-low 28 receptions. All five of his touchdowns came on the ground.


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(1/29/2015) When asked about who his starting quarterback would be in 2015, Bills coach Rex Ryan said the team would look at every available option, reports The Buffalo News.

"We're going to exhaust every resource we can," Ryan said. "We'll look at free agents. We'll look at the draft. We'll look at anything."

The Bills have former first-round pick EJ Manuel on their roster, but Ryan said he would not commit to Manuel as his starting quarterback at this time.

"To say that he's definitely going to be the guy, it's way too early to say that," Ryan said.


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(1/29/2015) Bills veteran running back Fred Jackson said he hasn't had the opportunity to meet with new coach Rex Ryan, but that didn't stop him from expressing his excitement about the new coaching regime in Buffalo.

"I can't wait to play for him. I've heard nothing but good things," Jackson said Wednesday of Ryan during an interview on ESPN New York 98.7 FM. "I'm looking forward to that [first] conversation when I sit down and talk to him."

The Bills finished 9-7 in 2014, which was their best record since 2004. While Jackson believes Ryan is going to "be that catalyst that comes in and pushes us over that hump," he didn't have many bad things to say about coach Doug Marrone, who opted out of his contract New Year's Eve.

"I thought he was a tremendous coach," Jackson said. "He showed up, he worked hard, he pushed players to give their best effort. He got us to a 9-7 record -- we hadn't won nine games in 10 years. There's definitely some things about him that made him a great coach. It's just the way he exited. I don't think anybody expected that. 

"Players, the way we found out is we got a generic text from him, saying that he was moving on and he had chosen to opt out of his contract." 


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Raiders defensive end Justin Tuck indicated if Suh wanted to sign with Oakland, then he would be welcomed in Raider Nation.

"(He's) Raider-ish," Tuck said, per the Detroit Free Press. "And that's one of the reasons why I know Raider Nation would applaud that move, beyond the fact that he's an awesome football player. He kind of fits the mold of ... the toughness and the ferocious player that built the Oakland Raiders."

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"The thing about him, you know what you're getting every day. Some of the tactics, you could probably do without, but he's a hell of a football player," Tuck said. "I would love to have the opportunity to line up beside of him and let him take all the double teams that I normally take."


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(1/29/2015) There has been a lot of talk about quarterback Nick Foles' future with the Eagles, especially since Philadelphia coach Chip Kelly's former pupil at Oregon -- Marcus Mariota -- will be part of this year's draft class.

On Thursday, Foles addressed the rumors and stated he is expecting to be back on the Eagles' roster in 2015.

"Yeah you hear about it," Foles said in between doing paid appearances at Super Bowl XLIX, per NJ.com. "You are going to hear about it every single year. That's just part of it. The main word is 'rumor.' You can't put too much into it....I plan on being in Philly.

"I only listen to (head coach) Chip Kelly. That's what is most important. He is the one that will make the decision. Right now all I am going to do is work because I plan on being back in Philadelphia and playing with my team. That's all I ever thought. So that is what I plan on doing and I'm not looking at it any other way."

Foles added he hasn't talked with Kelly since the end of the season.

"We haven't talked a lot. He has a lot going on," Foles said. "This time of year you really just get away from everything. He is busy looking at the draft, doing all that. I saw he is more of the decision maker. Haven't really talked to him too much, but I'm sure I'll hear from him soon."


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(1/29/2015) Cardinals running back Jonathan Dwyer pleaded guilty Thursday in Maricopa County (Ariz.) Superior Court to a single count of disorderly conduct pertaining to his domestic violence case, according to The Arizona Republic.

Dwyer was sentenced to 18 months of probation and community service following the plea, according to a court spokesman.

The 25-year-old Dwyer was arrested Sept. 17 for a July 21 incident in which he allegedly head-butted his wife in the face and broke her nose after she refused his sexual advances and bit his lip, according to reports taken at the time.

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(1/29/2015) While the football world anxiously awaits official word from Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning about his playing status for the 2015 season, Patriots quarterback Tom Brady -- and longtime Manning rival -- said Thursday he hopes the five-time NFL MVP will continue his career.

"What a great player he's been for this league," Brady said Thursday, per NFL.com. "He's a great competitor, and I've been fortunate to play against him a bunch of times. I certainly hope he comes back, 'cause the league will miss him if he doesn't. But those decisions are up to him. I'm sure it's up to whether he's mentally and physically -- that's what he wants to do. But I certainly hope he's back."

Archie Manning, Peyton's father, told NFL Network on Thursday that his son hasn't made a decision yet.

"Well, Peyton evaluates things; he's pretty good at that," he said. "I can't tell him what to do, and he hasn't told me what he's going to do. But I do know that he's really giving a lot of things a lot of thought. He's thinking about where he is physically, he wants to see how he can do this some more, trying to get over an injury."

Archie added starting over with new Broncos coach Gary Kubiak will not be an issue for Peyton, if he decides to return next season.

"Yeah, but he loves Gary. He likes Gary," Archie Manning said. "He liked John Fox. He liked Adam Gase. All those things, I think, are considered with. But my deal is he's always made good decisions; he's pretty thorough. He's going to evaluate a lot of things, and I think he'll make a good decision."


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by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/29/2015) During a radio interview Wednesday night, Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III indicated the dislocated ankle he suffered in Week 2 against the Jaguars hindered him the rest of the season. He missed six games due to the injury.

“I had never suffered an ankle injury of that severity before, so I didn’t really know what to expect,” Griffin said, per The Washington Times. “It just became more and more tough the more games that we lost, because you know how hard your guys work, and you want to get out there and help them win games.

“I could’ve sat out the rest of last year, with how bad the ankle was, but I felt like I could play, and I wanted to get out there and play with my guys and help them win games. And that didn’t happen when I got back out there. Then coach made a decision [to bench me]. That was an unfortunate decision, and something we all had to go with because that was coach’s choice.”

Griffin will be entering the final guaranteed year of his contract in 2015. The Redskins have until May 3 to decide if they want to exercise the fifth-year option on his contract for 2016. 

Griffin added his focus this offseason will simply be on getting healthy.

“Last year, I wasn’t healthy, and it sucked,” Griffin told ESPN 980. “There’s no other way to say it other than that. When you dislocate your ankle in the second week of the season, when you and your team had big things in mind. So I guess it’s just getting healthy, getting a mental break, getting a chance to spend time with family, and then formulate my plan going forward from this year so we can go out there and win games.”


 
 
 
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