Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
Play Fantasy Use your Fantasy skills to win Cash Prizes. Join or start a league today. Play Now
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2013 Draft Prep: Latest draft trends

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

We're getting closer to when the majority of drafts happen for Fantasy owners, but drafts are going on all the time at this point in August. And the Average Draft Position data is starting to change.

There are subtle movements from a week ago like Trent Richardson dropping two spots to No. 9 overall. And some guys are moving dramatically like Chris Givens, who has jumped up 18 spots to No. 136 from our first look at ADP. You can see the trends in the data showing all the movement up and down for each player.

FREE Draft Kits!
Mike Tolbert
Get everything you need to dominate on Draft Day in one convenient place with our Downloadable Draft Kit, complete with projections, rankings and outlooks for 2013!
Download your Draft Kit now!

Studying those trends should give you an indication that those players might be worth looking into. Maybe they had a big preseason performance that you missed. Or maybe there's an injury or position battle going on you should monitor prior to your draft.

The ADP is a great tool to help you prepare, and we're giving you a snapshot into some players rising and falling heading into the second weekend of preseason action. More will change after this week, so stay on top of the ADP data to help you on your Draft Day.

The first round looks like this ...

1. Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
2. Arian Foster, RB, Texans
3. Doug Martin, RB, Buccaneers
4. Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs
5. Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seahawks
6. C.J. Spiller, RB, Bills
7. Calvin Johnson, WR, Lions
8. Ray Rice, RB, Ravens
9. Trent Richardson, RB, Browns
10. LeSean McCoy, RB, Eagles
11. Drew Brees, QB, Saints
12. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers

How you start your team in the first round will dictate the rest of your roster, and there aren't many surprises with the first 10 picks. Calvin Johnson will likely be drafted higher in point-per-reception leagues, and he moved up one spot from last week.

Richardson dropped two spots because he has missed practice time as a precaution for his injured shin, but he played in the second preseason game Thursday against Detroit and ran well with six carries for 33 yards. He will fluctuate from No. 7 to No. 10 over the next few weeks.

Rice moved past Richardson, but based on his performance Thursday against the Falcons (eight carries for 10 yards and two catches for 7 yards), he could slide down again. And we'd expect McCoy to rise based on his outing Thursday with eight carries for 47 yards and a touchdown and three catches for 16 yards.

Rodgers has also moved into the Top 12, replacing Alfred Morris, who dropped to No. 13. We don't recommend drafting Rodgers or Brees in the first round, but Fantasy owners who love their quarterbacks find it hard to resist those two standout passers.

Quarterback breakdown

Robert Griffin III moving up: We're going to focus on guys who have moved up or down at least five spots in the previous week, but subtle changes are worth looking into as well. For example, Tom Brady has moved into the third round, and he's now being drafted ahead of Cam Newton as the No. 4 quarterback behind Brees, Rodgers and Peyton Manning.

Fantasy owners were originally concerned with Brady after losing his Top 4 targets from last year with Wes Welker, Aaron Hernandez, Brandon Lloyd and Danny Woodhead gone, but a solid preseason opener against the Eagles apparently put all those doubts to rest. We'd still take Newton and even Matt Ryan ahead of Brady, but he's still an elite Fantasy option even with a revamped receiving corps.

Other quarterbacks on the rise include Robert Griffin III (up nine spots to No. 56 overall), Colin Kaepernick (up six spots to No. 60), Andy Dalton (up seven spots to No. 112), Sam Bradford (up five spots to No. 131) and Carson Palmer (up five spots to No. 150). Of these guys, Griffin might continue to improve his ADP as reports of his health remain positive.

Dalton, Bradford and Palmer remain backups to covet, and they should be among the first No. 2 quarterbacks off the board with late-round picks. As for Kaepernick, I'm not buying his ADP at the end of Round 5, and I'd rather draft Tony Romo (No. 65 overall).

Nobody wants Tannehill or Rivers: Only two quarterbacks are falling in ADP, and they are Ryan Tannehill (down nine spots to No. 160) and Philip Rivers (down two spots to No. 147).

Tannehill came into training camp as a sleeper with the additions of Mike Wallace, Dustin Keller and Brandon Gibson, but he's been uninspiring to date. And Rivers lost his best receiver in Danario Alexander (ACL) and is showing more flaws than upside.

Running back breakdown

Richardson running in right direction: While Trent Richardson is falling in the first round, Daryl Richardson is among the biggest running back risers in ADP. The St. Louis Richardson's ADP has improved seven spots to No. 99.

He will continue to rise as he separates himself from Zac Stacy and Isaiah Pead as the starter in St. Louis, and we consider him a No. 3 Fantasy running back in all formats. Some other running backs on the rise include Giovani Bernard (up five spots to No. 66), DeAngelo Williams (up five spots to No. 104), Bilal Powell (up 10 spots to No. 191) and Knile Davis (up 11 spots to No. 196).

Bernard has the chance to be a Top 20 running back this season (he's currently being drafted as the No. 28 running back), and his ADP should continue to rise. Williams (Jonathan Stewart), Powell (Chris Ivory) and Davis (Jamaal Charles) are all moving up as a result of injuries to the initial starters on the depth chart. Williams should open the season as the starter in Carolina, but Ivory and Charles should be fine, leaving Powell and Davis as handcuff options.

Giants starting to shrink: Two Giants are among the prominent running backs on the decline in David Wilson (down five spots to No. 39) and Andre Brown (down five spots to No. 81). The thought of them splitting carries must have Fantasy owners concerned, which is a mistake.

If Wilson is there in Round 4 then consider it a steal. And Brown could be even better value in Round 7. Both have the chance to be quality Fantasy options this season.

Other prominent running backs slipping in ADP include Ivory (down nine spots to No. 58), Eddie Lacy (down five spots to No. 64), Ahmad Bradshaw (down five spots to No. 68), Rashard Mendenhall (down 10 spots to No. 71), BenJarvus Green-Ellis (down six spots to No. 87). Stewart (down eight spots to No. 108), Stacy (down 11 spots to No. 109), Bernard Pierce (down five spots to No. 117), Bryce Brown (down five spots to No. 118), Fred Jackson (down six spots to No. 120), Danny Woodhead (down five spots to No. 128), Johnathan Franklin (down six spots to No. 134) and Mikel Leshoure (down 14 spots to No. 138).

Ivory, Lacy, Bradshaw, Mendenhall, Stewart, Pierce, Brown and Woodhead have battled injuries, which have owners concerned. Brown is also competing with Chris Polk for the No. 2 job behind McCoy, and Green-Ellis, Stacy, Jackson, Franklin and Leshoure have concerns about their role this season.

Of these running backs, I'd be happy drafting Ivory, Lacy and Mendenhall in Round 6, and Pierce and Brown in Round 10. I think those are quality investments, and if they continue to fall that will be even better, assuming all of them are healthy.

Wide receiver breakdown

Givens gaining on pack: Four receivers have seen a dramatic rise in their ADP from last week: Golden Tate (up 11 spots to No. 115), Chris Givens, Vincent Brown (up 14 spots to No. 149) and Cordarrelle Patterson (up 15 spots to No. 161). All have sleeper potential this year and could be the No. 1 receiver on their respective teams.

Tate, Givens and Brown make for excellent No. 4 receivers, and Patterson is a definite late-round flier in standard leagues. I like Givens the best of this group.

Some other receivers with their ADP on the rise include Pierre Garcon (up nine spots to No. 55), Steve Smith (up five spots to No. 63), DeSean Jackson (up seven spots to No. 79), DeAndre Hopkins (up seven spots to No. 124) and Malcom Floyd (up nine spots to No. 165). Floyd will likely start to decline after he suffered a knee injury in practice this week.

Play Playoff Challenge!
Player Challenge
NEW Playoff Challenge Championship Edition offers one more way to play postseason Fantasy Football and compete for cash prizes. Join now before time runs out!
Join a new league!

Jackson and Hopkins might present the best value from this group. Jackson's value improved when Jeremy Maclin (ACL) went down, and he could be an excellent No. 3 receiver in Round 7. And Hopkins is a great sleeper in Round 11 as the No. 2 receiver for the Texans opposite Andre Johnson. There should be a lot of single coverage for him all year.

Injury helping Nelson's value: Jordy Nelson is among the more prominent receivers with their ADP on the decline, and it's because his recent knee surgery could keep him out for the start of the season. He's dropped nine spots to No. 59.

That actually could work out in your favor if he continues to slip. Getting Nelson in Round 6 or 7 could be a tremendous bargain, especially if he ends up being ready for Week 1. When healthy, he's the second-best Packers receiver behind Randall Cobb.

Other receivers with their ADP on the decline include Josh Gordon (down five spots to No. 116), Denarius Moore (down five spots to No. 126), Justin Blackmon (down six spots to No. 145), Sidney Rice (down eight spots to No. 146) and Ryan Broyles (down six spots to No. 153).

I'm not sure why Gordon and Broyles are falling, but I like their value in Round 10 and 13, respectively. I'd also gamble on Blackmon in Round 13 even though he's suspended for the first four games.

Tight end breakdown

Finley flying up draft boards: I'm excited to see Jermichael Finley among the tight ends on the rise. He is up 13 spots to No. 91.

I consider Finley a sleeper, and I expect him to improve dramatically on last year's No. 17 finish in standard leagues. Draft him with confidence in Round 8.

Other tight ends with their ADP on the rise include Tyler Eifert (up eight spots to No. 162) and Coby Fleener (up 24 spots to No. 179). Both are quality sleepers, especially Fleener with Dwayne Allen (foot) banged up.

Allen is among the two tight ends on the decline with Jermaine Gresham. Allen is down nine spots to No. 190, and Gresham is down five spots to No. 176. These two moves coincide with Eifert and Fleener getting more attention as better Fantasy options this year.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Gavin Escobar a threat to Jason Witten?
by Scott White | Senior Fantasy Writer
(1:13 am ET) Cowboys rookie tight end Gavin Escobar, who entered the day with just four catches all season, wasn't highly targeted Week 7 against the Giants, but he made the three targets he did get count, scoring two touchdowns, including one on an impressive 26-yard grab between two defenders in the third quarter.

In all, he had three catches for 65 yards -- numbers that would be easier to overlook if not for the two touchdowns and the fact that fellow tight end Jason Witten, to this point a mainstay in Fantasy, had only two catches for 27 yards. And it's not like he and quarterback Tony Romo were just failing to connect. Witten was targeted only twice the whole game.

Witten's production hasn't been up to his usual standards this season -- in seven games, he's averaging 3.3 catches for 38.0 yards -- but just based on their history together, you figured Romo would have a need for him sooner or later. Now with the emergence of Escobar, it's no longer so clear.

Escobar himself isn't worth adding except in deep leagues of 16 teams or more that don't have enough tight ends to go around. In those formats, he's the new Timothy Wright. But in leagues of 12 teams or fewer, Witten may be on the outs. He deserves a couple more weeks given his history, but keep an eye out for the next big thing at the position.


Larry Donnell here to stay?
by Scott White | Senior Fantasy Writer
(12:55 am ET) After catching just one pass in his previous two games combined, Giants tight end Larry Donnell got back on track Week 7 at Dallas, catching seven passes for a season-high 90 yards.

Considering it was the Giants' first game without star wide receiver Victor Cruz, Donnell was expected to play a bigger role in the passing game, but a resurgence of this magnitude should remind us all how he came to be owned in 83 percent of Fantasy leagues in the first place. Over the first four weeks, he averaged 6.3 catches for 59 yards, scoring four touchdowns.

One potential pitfall for Donnell is that he lost two fumbles in Week 7, giving him three fumbles lost for the season, but with so few tight ends capable of his kind of production in a given week, the Giants would have to suggest his playing time is in jeopardy for me to pass on Donnell in Fantasy.

His production fell when rookie wide receiver Odell Beckham entered the mix in Week 4. Now that Cruz is out of the mix, Donnell's production figures to rise again.


Odell Beckham shows he's worth adding
by Scott White | Senior Fantasy Writer
(12:42 am ET) Only three games into his career, Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham has emerged as one of quarterback Eli Manning's favorite red-zone targets, which is especially good news with another one of his favorite red-zone targets, Victor Cruz, lost for the season with a knee injury.

Beckham didn't have a lot of chances Week 7 at Dallas, but he made the most of the ones he got, scoring on catches of 9 and 5 yards. In all, he had four catches for 34 yards. His six targets were third-most on the team, behind wide receiver Rueben Randle's nine and tight end Larry Donnell's seven.

The six targets were a season high for Beckham. He has yet to catch more than four passes for more than 44 yards, but because he keeps getting looks in the end zone, he's worth adding in Fantasy even if it's just to stash him on your bench until you're ready to put your trust in him.


An encouraging performance for Eli Manning
by Scott White | Senior Fantasy Writer
(12:34 am ET) Playing his first game without star wide receiver Victor Cruz, who's out for the season with a torn patella tendon, Giants quarterback Eli Manning still managed to bounce back from arguably his worst game of the season with one of his best Week 7 at Dallas, completing 21 of 33 passes for 248 yards and three touchdowns.

It was his fifth game in six with multiple touchdown passes and his second with at least three. And he did it against a defense that had generally kept quarterbacks out of the end zone, recording nearly as many interceptions (seven) as it had allowed touchdown passes (eight) prior to Week 7.

Though two of his touchdown passes went to rookie wide receiver Odell Beckham, who wasn't even available to him the first four weeks, Manning did a nice job of spreading the ball around. None of the touchdowns went to his two leading receivers, Larry Donnell and Rueben Randle.

Judging by this performance, Manning knows how to make use of the weapons the Giants have and doesn't need Cruz to remain successful in Fantasy. His bad games can be really bad, but his good games have been frequent enough for you to give him another shot when he returns from a bye Week 9 against Indianapolis.


Andre Holmes comes back down to earth
by Scott White | Senior Fantasy Writer
(12:26 am ET) Raiders wide receiver Andre Holmes, who blew up for 121 yards and two touchdowns Week 6 against San Diego, took a long time to get going Week 7 against Arizona, catching his first pass about midway through the fourth quarter. Not surprisingly, he finished with just three catches for 34 yards. 

It's not like he was invisible before then. He nearly had a great catch on a long pass along the sidelines in the second quarter, but it was ruled incomplete. He did have only two targets apart from his three receptions, though.

Clearly, it was a disappointing showing, but it's not like quarterback Derek Carr forgot about him. Only James Jones and Darren McFadden had more targets, tying for the team lead with eight. Holmes spent much of the game covered by Patrick Peterson, who remains one of the better cornerbacks in the NFL. Holmes still has incredible play-making ability and will have better days.

But this performance shows why you can't trust him on an every-week basis yet. His matchup Week 8 against Cleveland is another tricky one because of cornerback Joe Haden, who has struggled at times this season but limited the Jaguars' Cecil Shorts to three catches for 12 yards in Week 7. You might want to leave Holmes on your bench for this one.


49ers' Phil Dawson makes 1-of-2 field-goal attempts in Week 7
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:22 am ET) 49ers knicker Phil Dawson made only one of his two field-goal attempts in Week 7, adding two extra points in his team's 42-17 loss to the Broncos.

Dawson couldn't deliver from 51 yards out in the first quarter, pushing the attempt wide left, but was true from 22 yards out in the second quarter. He's 13 of 16 on field-goal attempts this season but had been 10-for-10 in his previous three games coming into Week 7. The 49ers have a bye in Week 8 before facing the Rams the following week.


49ers TE Vernon Davis catches two passes in Week 7 loss
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:20 am ET) 49ers tight end Vernon Davis caught just two of his five targets for 21 yards in his team's 42-17 loss to the Broncos in Week 7.

Davis was coming off an ugly Week 6 performance in which he dropped two passes, and he didn't fare much better in the team's blowout loss against the Broncos. He has 14 receptions for 142 yards and two touchdowns heading into the team's Week 8 bye. The 49ers will face the Rams after the week off.


49ers WR Michael Crabtree held to 27 yards in Week 7 loss
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:16 am ET) 49ers wide receiver Michael Crabtree caught four of his seven targets for just 27 yards in his team's 42-17 loss to the Broncos in Week 7.

While the 49ers averaged 11.1 yards per reception as a team Sunday, top options Crabtree (6.8 YPC) and Anquan Boldin (7.1 YPC) could find no room to work, leading to disappointing performances despite the offense dialing up 46 passes in the loss. Crabtree hasn't topped 50 yards in any of his last four games, and he owns 32 receptions, 322 yards and three touchdowns in seven games this year. The 49ers have a bye in Week 8 before facing the Rams the following week.


Anquan Boldin catches seven passes in 49ers' Week 7 loss
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:13 am ET) 49ers wide receiver Anquan Boldin caught seven of his 10 targets for 50 yards in his team's 42-17 loss to the Broncos in Week 7.

Boldin had at least one bad drop in the game and was unable to find much room to work downfield. He came into the week average 12.4 yards per reception but managed just 7.1 YPC against the Broncos. Boldin has collected 39 receptions for 447 yards and one touchdown in seven games. The 49ers have a bye in Week 8 before facing the Rams the following week.


49ers WR Steve Johnson scores touchdown in Week 7 loss
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:10 am ET) 49ers wide receiver Steve Johnson caught five passes for a team-high 79 yards and one touchdown in his team's 42-17 loss to the Broncos in Week 7.

Johnson hauled in a four-yard score in the back of the end zone with only 11 seconds left in the first half to send the 49ers into halftime with a 21-10 deficit. The Broncos took over from there, scoring three touchdowns in the third quarter. Johnson has reached the end zone in three of his last four games, and he's up to 25 receptions, 315 yards and three scores on the season. The 49ers have a bye in Week 8 before facing the Rams the following week.


 
 
 
Rankings