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2013 Draft Prep: Pick-by-pick for No. 11 overall

Senior Fantasy Writer
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No. 1 overall | No. 2 | No. 3 | No. 4 | No. 5 | No. 6 | No. 7
No. 8 | No. 9 | No. 10 | No. 11 | No. 12

An important aspect on Draft Day that often gets overlooked is paying attention to what happens around you with everyone else in your league. Sometimes you get so focused on your own team you forget to check out what the other owners are doing.

It's crucial to do that when picking toward the end of a round, which we are here at pick No. 11 in our ongoing 12-part series looking at each pick in the first round of a standard and PPR draft. You need to know what the owner at No. 12 is going to do when you pick ahead of them in every odd round. The same applies to the owners at the top of the draft in even rounds.

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We say that because when you need or want a player, you want to anticipate what the owner behind you is going to do and remain a step ahead. For example, in this two-man draft I conducted with my colleague, Dave Richard, there were two instances in the standard league where I made a pick in advance of what Dave was likely planning.

We both went with two running backs with our first two picks at the end of the first round. I knew in Round 3 we both needed a receiver, but I also was looking at Darren Sproles. The top three receivers on my board were Randall Cobb, Victor Cruz and Vincent Jackson, in that order, so I took Cobb at No. 35 overall.

My thought was Dave would definitely take one receiver and probably two. I would have the choice of Sproles, Cruz or Jackson, but it was unlikely Cobb would make it back to me. Instead of taking Sproles in Round 3, I waited and got him in Round 4 along with the receiver I coveted after Dave drafted Cruz and Jackson.

The other instance was in Round 5 and 6. We both needed a quarterback heading into Round 5, but I wanted to wait to take a receiver, which I did in Danny Amendola. I was looking at two quarterback options in Robert Griffin III and Andrew Luck, and I would be happy with either one even though I have Griffin ranked higher. As luck would have it, Dave took Luck, leaving me with the quarterback I wanted.

All we're saying is be aware. Use the roster grid in the draft room. Pay attention. The more you know about what's going on around you the better your team will be.

Editor's note: The percentages listed are what position you should target based on that round for each pick.

No. 11 overall -- Round 1
Round 1 - Standard QB 10% RB 70% WR 10% TE 10%
Round 1 - PPR QB 0% RB 30% WR 20% TE 50%

The No. 11 spot in a standard league is likely the cutoff point of getting a player you actually love. Alfred Morris is considered the last elite-level running back, and he's an easy choice in standard formats if he falls to this pick. In the PPR league, this is the point to gamble on Jimmy Graham. It might seem shocking to draft a tight end in Round 1, but Graham has the potential to be the biggest difference maker at his position than anyone else, especially if Rob Gronkowski (back) is out for an extended period of time. And taking Graham here still allows you to draft a Top 15 running back in Round 2.

Players you can get here (standard): Alfred Morris, Matt Forte, Stevan Ridley, Dez Bryant, A.J. Green, Jimmy Graham
Players you can get here (PPR): Marshawn Lynch, Reggie Bush, Alfred Morris, Steven Jackson, Jimmy Graham, Dez Bryant, A.J. Green, Brandon Marshall
My selection at No. 11 standard: Alfred Morris
My selection at No. 11 PPR: Jimmy Graham

No. 11 overall -- Round 2
Round 2 - Standard QB 5% RB 30% WR 30% TE 35%
Round 2 - PPR QB 5% RB 60% WR 35% TE 0%

We'll pair Graham with a quality running back in Steven Jackson, who might be near the end of his career but should still do well in his first season with the Falcons. Jackson has more upside in PPR leagues than Morris, who will drop to the second round in this format. In the standard league, we'll go with consecutive running backs to start our team, and Stevan Ridley could be a steal. He should again be around 1,300 total yards and 12 touchdowns as the No. 1 rusher for the Patriots.

Players you can get here (standard): Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Stevan Ridley, Chris Johnson, Reggie Bush, Dez Bryant, A.J. Green, Julio Jones, Jimmy Graham
Players you can get here (PPR): Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Steven Jackson, Alfred Morris, Chris Johnson, Dez Bryant, Brandon Marshall, Larry Fitzgerald
My selection at No. 14 standard: Stevan Ridley
My selection at No. 14 PPR: Steven Jackson

No. 11 overall -- Round 3
Round 3 - Standard QB 15% RB 30% WR 45% TE 10%
Round 3 - PPR QB 10% RB 45% WR 45% TE 0%

Since we avoided receivers so far in the first two rounds in both leagues it's time to get at least one Top 12 option in this spot. In the standard league, Cobb makes sense since he has Top 10 potential, especially if the Packers do force feed him the ball in an effort to get him 100 receptions. In the PPR league we'll go with Cruz, who also has Top 10 potential and makes a good No. 1 receiver when you start your team with Graham and Jackson.

Players you can get here (standard): Peyton Manning, Darren Sproles, Montee Ball, Eddie Lacy, Randall Cobb, Vincent Jackson, Victor Cruz, Rob Gronkowski
Players you can get here (PPR): Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Darren McFadden, Frank Gore, Shane Vereen, Victor Cruz, Marques Colston, Danny Amendola
My selection at No. 35 standard: Randall Cobb
My selection at No. 35 PPR: Victor Cruz

No. 11 overall -- Round 4
Round 4 - Standard QB 20% RB 20% WR 40% TE 20%
Round 4 - PPR QB 10% RB 45% WR 45% TE 0%

As we've said over and over again throughout this series, stockpiling running back depth is paramount, and we'll take our third option in the standard league. Getting Morris, Ridley and Sproles gives up depth as well as a solid flex with three Top 20 running backs. We still have plenty of time to load up on receivers over the next few rounds. In the PPR league we want our second running back, and Darren McFadden is the best on the board. When you wait until Round 4 to take your second running back, in any format, you want someone with his upside even though he comes with extreme injury risk.

Players you can get here (standard): Peyton Manning, Darren Sproles, Montee Ball, Eddie Lacy, Marques Colston, Dwayne Bowe, Wes Welker, Rob Gronkowski
Players you can get here (PPR): Aaron Rodgers, Darren McFadden, Frank Gore, Shane Vereen, Danny Amendola, Dwayne Bowe, Reggie Wayne
My selection at No. 38 standard: Darren Sproles
My selection at No. 38 PPR: Darren McFadden

No. 11 overall -- Round 5
Round 5 - Standard QB 20% RB 10% WR 50% TE 20%
Round 5 - PPR QB 20% RB 30% WR 50% TE 0%

We need to stockpile some running back depth in the PPR league, so getting Rashard Mendenhall makes sense here. He should be the every-down back for the Cardinals, and he serves as a solid flex option in any format. You just have to hope he can stay healthy and the Cardinals offensive line improves this season. In the standard league, we'll take our second receiver in this spot with Amendola. If he can stay healthy he should approach 100 catches as he replaces Wes Welker in New England.

Players you can get here (standard): Robert Griffin III, Chris Ivory, Andre Brown, Daryl Richardson, Danny Amendola, Steve Smith, Cecil Shorts, Tony Gonzalez
Players you can get here (PPR): Tom Brady, Rashard Mendenhall, Ryan Mathews, Chris Ivory, Steve Johnson, Antonio Brown, Hakeem Nicks
My selection at No. 59 standard: Danny Amendola
My selection at No. 59 PPR: Rashard Mendenhall

No. 11 overall -- Round 6
Round 6 - Standard QB 40% RB 10% WR 30% TE 20%
Round 6 - PPR QB 20% RB 30% WR 50% TE 0%

This is the spot in most leagues where I'll begin to look at a quarterback, and Griffin sitting there has me confident I made the right move. This is just about his Average Draft Position at No. 56 overall, so for those of you who say he would never be there in your league, the data doesn't back that up. We now have three standout running backs and two solid receivers before drafting a quarterback, and our team is off to a great start. In the PPR league, we'll take the best value on the board, which is Antonio Brown, who makes for an excellent second receiver in Round 6, especially with the way our roster is coming together.

Players you can get here (standard): Robert Griffin III, Andre Brown, Daryl Richardson, Ronnie Hillman, Steve Smith, Cecil Shorts, James Jones, Tony Gonzalez
Players you can get here (PPR): Tom Brady, Chris Ivory, Ahmad Bradshaw, Ronnie Hillman, Antonio Brown, Hakeem Nicks, James Jones
My selection at No. 62 standard: Robert Griffin III
My selection at No. 62 PPR: Antonio Brown

No. 11 overall -- Round 7
Round 7 - Standard QB 0% RB 30% WR 50% TE 20%
Round 7 - PPR QB 30% RB 30% WR 40% TE 0%

I'm never opposed to playing a receiver in the flex spot in a PPR league, and we'll gamble on upside here with Jordy Nelson. He's going to fall after having knee surgery in training camp, but if he's ready for Week 1 then this pick is a steal. Don't hesitate to draft Nelson, especially as your third receiver, since he's the Packers second-best receiving threat when healthy behind Cobb. We made the same pick in the standard league, and having Nelson behind Cobb and Amendola is scary good.

Players you can get here (standard): BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Ben Tate, Mark Ingram, Jordy Nelson, Mike Williams, Kenny Britt, Jared Cook
Players you can get here (PPR): Eli Manning, DeAngelo Williams, Bryce Brown, Ben Tate, Jordy Nelson, Mike Wallace, DeSean Jackson
My selection at No. 83 standard: Jordy Nelson
My selection at No. 83 PPR: Jordy Nelson

No. 11 overall -- Round 8
Round 8 - Standard QB 0% RB 40% WR 40% TE 20%
Round 8 - PPR QB 50% RB 30% WR 20% TE 0%

I've said before in this series one thing I would avoid in any format is drafting a tight end and quarterback in the first five rounds. Since we took Graham in Round 1, we had to wait for a quarterback, so we'll settle for a potential Top 10 option in Eli Manning. He's going to rebound this year and finish as at least a Top 12 quarterback, which he was the two years prior to his failed 2012 campaign. In the standard league, we'll take a running back with upside in Mark Ingram. This, finally, could be his breakout season, and don't be shocked if he reaches double digits in touchdowns.

Players you can get here (standard): Mark Ingram, Vick Ballard, Zac Stacy, Mike Williams, Kenny Britt, Miles Austin, Jared Cook
Players you can get here (PPR): Eli Manning, Colin Kaepernick, Bryce Brown, Ben Tate, Vick Ballard, DeSean Jackson, Michael Floyd, Lance Moore
My selection at No. 86 standard: Mark Ingram
My selection at No. 86 PPR: Eli Manning

No. 11 overall -- Round 9
Round 9 - Standard QB 0% RB 20% WR 40% TE 40%
Round 9 - PPR QB 0% RB 60% WR 40% TE 0%

Running back would probably make more sense in the PPR league, but we can't pass up talent when it's staring us in the face. Golden Tate will open the season as the best receiver in Seattle with Percy Harvin (hip) hurt, and he should do well in a contract year. Like Nelson, we can use Tate as a flex option in this format. In the standard league, we'll add a receiver with upside in Ryan Broyles. The Lions led the NFL in passing attempts last season, and Broyles should be the No. 2 receiver opposite Calvin Johnson. That means plenty of targets and plenty of single coverage.

Players you can get here (standard): Shonn Greene, Joique Bell, Christine Michael, Ryan Broyles, DeAndre Hopkins, Justin Blackmon, Kyle Rudolph
Players you can get here (PPR): Jonathan Stewart, Isaiah Pead, Joique Bell, Golden Tate, Justin Blackmon, Emmanuel Sanders
My selection at No. 107 standard: Ryan Broyles
My selection at No. 107 PPR: Golden Tate

No. 11 overall -- Round 10
Round 10 - Standard QB 10% RB 20% WR 30% TE 40%
Round 10 - PPR QB 10% RB 60% WR 30% TE 0%

It's a coincidence to get Russell Wilson here in both formats, but for each team he makes sense if he's still on the board. If it's not Wilson then consider the highest No. 2 quarterback an option here because it's needed. For Griffin, coming off last year's knee injury, there's still risk of a setback, so cover your roster just in case. And for Manning, there's still the risk of him struggling again, especially if Hakeem Nicks is banged up as he was last season. Wilson, while not a Top 12 quarterback on my board, makes for a great replacement option in case either Griffin or Manning struggle.

Players you can get here (standard): Russell Wilson, Shonn Greene, Joique Bell, Christine Michael, Anquan Boldin, Emmanuel Sanders, Rueben Randle, Kyle Rudolph
Players you can get here (PPR): Russell Wilson, Isaiah Pead, Joique Bell, Shonn Greene, Justin Blackmon, Emmanuel Sanders, Alshon Jeffery
My selection at No. 110 standard: Russell Wilson
My selection at No. 110 PPR: Russell Wilson

No. 11 overall -- Round 11
Round 11 - Standard QB 0% RB 20% WR 30% TE 40% DST 10%
Round 11 - PPR QB 0% RB 60% WR 30% TE 0% DST 10%

We're confident in our team in the PPR league, so it's time to take high-upside selections when they are available. You should generally wait toward the end of your draft to take a DST, but if you feel comfortable with your roster then act early. That's where we are in this round, and we'll take the 49ers DST since the Seahawks are already gone. In the standard league, we'll look for a receiver with upside, and I continue to like Denarius Moore since he's the No. 1 receiver for the Raiders. I'm not confident in quarterback Matt Flynn, but Moore still has potential in his third year.

Players you can get here (standard): Michael Bush, Mikel Leshoure, Rashad Jennings, Denarius Moore, Rod Streater, Chris Givens, Tyler Eifert, Jordan Cameron
Players you can get here (PPR): Jacquizz Rodgers, Lance Dunbar, Kendall Hunter, Chris Givens, Aaron Dobson, 49ers DST
My selection at No. 131 standard: Denarius Moore
My selection at No. 131 PPR: 49ers DST

No. 11 overall -- Round 12
Round 12 - Standard QB 0% RB 0% WR 0% TE 80% DST 20%
Round 12 - PPR QB 0% RB 70% WR 30% TE 0% DST 0%

We don't have a tight end in the standard league, so at this point you're looking for someone with sleeper potential. Jordan Cameron has emerged as one of the top sleepers this preseason, and he has more upside than someone like Owen Daniels or Brandon Pettigrew. And if he falters then we can drop him for Daniels or Pettigrew during the season. In the PPR league, with just three running backs on the roster, we'll get a handcuff option in Jacquizz Rodgers, who would become the starter in Atlanta if Jackson missed any time.

Players you can get here (standard): Jordan Cameron, Owen Daniels, Brandon Pettigrew, Bengals DST
Players you can get here (PPR): Jacquizz Rodgers, Kendall Hunter, Daniel Thomas, Chris Givens, Aaron Dobson
My selection at No. 134 standard: Jordan Cameron
My selection at No. 134 PPR: Jacquizz Rodgers

No. 11 overall -- Round 13
Round 13 - Standard QB 0% RB 0% WR 0% TE 0% DST 80% K 20%
Round 13 - PPR QB 0% RB 70% WR 30% TE 0% DST 0% K 0%

We'll go with another handcuff running back in the PPR league with Rashad Jennings to back up McFadden. We know McFadden has a lengthy injury history, so the No. 2 running back in Oakland makes a lot of sense, especially given the makeup of our roster. We now have the Raiders running backs and the Falcons running backs locked up, and along with Mendenhall we should have enough depth to start our team. In the standard league, it's time for a DST, and the Falcons were a Top 10 unit in 2012 and should have the chance to repeat that performance.

Players you can get here (standard): Falcons DST, Vikings DST, Buccaneers DST
Players you can get here (PPR): Rashad Jennings
My selection at No. 155 standard: Falcons DST
My selection at No. 155 PPR: Rashad Jennings

No. 11 overall -- Round 14
Round 14 - Standard QB 0% RB 0% WR 0% TE 0% DST 0% K 100%
Round 14 - PPR QB 0% RB 0% WR 0% TE 0% DST 0% K 100%

It's time for a kicker in both leagues, and you should do whatever you can to save your kicker for the last round. We end up with our No. 1 kicker in Stephen Gostkowski since Dave likes Blair Walsh as his top kicker. The Patriots offense is going to again be dominant, and Gostkowski should have plenty of chances to shine.

Players you can get here (standard): Stephen Gostkowski, Matt Prater, Matt Bryant
Players you can get here (PPR): Stephen Gostkowski, Matt Prater, Matt Bryant
My selection at No. 158 standard: Stephen Gostkowski
My selection at No. 158 PPR: Stephen Gostkowski

No. 11 overall -- Final Rosters
Standard PPR
QB Robert Griffin III QB Eli Manning
RB Alfred Morris RB Steven Jackson
RB Stevan Ridley RB Darren McFadden
WR Randall Cobb WR Victor Cruz
WR Danny Amendola WR Antonio Brown
FLEX Darren Sproles FLEX Jordy Nelson
TE Jordan Cameron TE Jimmy Graham
K Stephen Gostkowski K Stephen Gostkowski
DST Falcons DST 49ers
BENCH Jordy Nelson BENCH Rashard Mendenhall
BENCH Russell Wilson BENCH Russell Wilson
BENCH Mark Ingram BENCH Golden Tate
BENCH Ryan Broyles BENCH Jacquizz Rodgers
BENCH Denarius Moore BENCH Rashad Jennings

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg .

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