Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2013 Draft Prep: Latest draft trends

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

It's amazing what happens when players perform well in the preseason. The hype sometimes spirals out of control.

In our third look at players moving up and down in the Average Draft Position on CBSSports.com, no one has improved their stock more than Browns tight end Jordan Cameron. He is up 64 spots from last week to No. 121 overall and is now being drafted as the No. 13 tight end.

FREE Draft Kits!
Mike Tolbert
Get everything you need to dominate on Draft Day in one convenient place with our Downloadable Draft Kit, complete with projections, rankings and outlooks for 2013!
Download your Draft Kit now!

It's warranted given the way Cameron has played through two preseason games, and if he does well in the third outing he could easily enter the Top 10. Some other guys moving up include Michael Vick, Bilal Powell and Kenbrell Thompkins, while some guys dropping include Lamar Miller, Zac Stacy and Denarius Moore.

We'll go over that and more in this analysis of ADP, which is a great tool to help you on Draft Day. The big day should be approaching soon, so be prepared.

The first round looks like this …

1. Adrian Peterson, running back, Vikings
2. Doug Martin,
running back, Buccaneers
3. Arian Foster,
running back, Texans
4. Jamaal Charles,
running back, Chiefs
5. C.J. Spiller,
running back, Bills
6. Marshawn Lynch,
running back, Seahawks
7. Ray Rice,
running back, Ravens
8. Calvin Johnson,
wide receiver, Lions
9. Drew Brees,
quarterback, Saints
10. Trent Richardson,
running back, Browns
11. LeSean McCoy,
running back, Eagles
12. Aaron Rodgers,
quarterback, Packers

Foster is the name to monitor, and he's already dropped one spot from where he's been all offseason. Even though he came off the physically unable to perform list Wednesday, we could see him continue to drop. Fantasy owners need to be concerned about his workload from last year, and I wouldn't draft Foster until at least No. 10 overall.

My first round in a standard league would be as follows: Peterson, Spiller, Charles, Martin, McCoy, Richardson, Lynch, Rice, Johnson, Foster, Alfred Morris and Stevan Ridley. I don't want a quarterback in Round 1, and neither should you. And Morris and Ridley have the potential to be Top 12 running backs again like they were in 2012.

My first round in a point-per-reception league would be as follows: Peterson, Spiller, Charles, Martin, Johnson, McCoy, Richardson, Rice, Foster, Jimmy Graham, Matt Forte and Reggie Bush. Graham is worth taking early in Round 2 in a standard league, but his potential to dominate the tight end position makes him worth drafting in Round 1 in a PPR format. The same goes for guys like Forte and Bush based on their expected reception totals. Lynch, Morris and Ridley are better suited as second-round guys in PPR.

Quarterback breakdown

Vick all reward, no risk: The top of the quarterback list remains the same with Brees, Rodgers and Peyton Manning the first three guys drafted, but Tom Brady and Matt Ryan have moved ahead of Cam Newton, who dropped to No. 6. Newton's poor preseason has some Fantasy owners down on him, which could be a mistake. Still, if he falls in your draft, that's only a benefit to someone who wants to target him in Round 4.

Three backup quarterbacks are on the rise in Vick, Carson Palmer and Brandon Weeden. Vick is up 26 spots to No. 116 overall as the No. 16 quarterback, Palmer is up 27 spots to No. 123 overall as the No. 17 passer and Weeden is up 16 spots to No. 178 overall as the No. 27 quarterback.

I hate saying this, but I'm starting to like Vick a lot as a Fantasy option again. The reason is there's all the reward and little risk. If you draft him in Round 10 or later based on his ADP and he struggles then you just cut him and find another backup quarterback on the waiver wire. But if he does play well in Chip Kelly's offense then he's either your new starter or someone you can trade.

Palmer's Fantasy value is also on the rise because of his potential to shine in Bruce Arians' offense and the opportunity to throw to Larry Fitzgerald. I like Palmer as a high-end backup as well, and keep in mind Andrew Luck attempted the fifth-most passes last season with Arians calling the plays for the Colts. Look for Palmer to throw this year until his arm falls off.

As for Weeden, he has been stellar in the preseason and has put himself in the conversation as a late-round flier. In two-quarterback leagues, Weeden is an excellent backup option, and he should be considered a bye-week replacement in all formats.

Running back breakdown

Bell tolls for Fantasy owners: If you had any of your Fantasy drafts already then you likely took Le'Veon Bell with a pick anywhere from Round 3 to Round 5. And you aren't very happy now. Bell is dealing with a foot sprain and is expected to miss at least the first six weeks of the season.

Play Playoff Challenge!
Player Challenge
NEW Playoff Challenge Championship Edition offers one more way to play postseason Fantasy Football and compete for cash prizes. Join now before time runs out!
Join a new league!

He has dropped 12 spots to No. 56 overall, and his ADP should continue to free fall. I would only select Bell in re-draft leagues with a late-round pick at this point. His backups are Jonathan Dwyer, Isaac Redman, LaRod Stephens-Howling and newly-acquired Felix Jones, and none of them are appealing either. You might want to pass on the Steelers backfield on Draft Day.

Other guys with significant movement down include Darren McFadden, Miller, Chris Ivory, Ahmad Bradshaw, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Bryce Brown, Pierre Thomas, Zac Stacy, Johnathan Franklin, Mikel Leshoure, Isaiah Pead, Joseph Randle, LaMichael James, Knowshon Moreno, Robert Turbin, Denard Robinson and Mike Tolbert.

Fantasy owners have the usual concerns with McFadden and his health, and his poor preseason, including injuries to the offensive line, has caused him to drop six spots to No. 37 overall. If he's there in Round 4, however, consider him worth the risk.

Miller went from a breakout star prior to the preseason to finding himself in a battle for the starting job with Daniel Thomas, who is up 32 spots to No. 177. You can gamble on Thomas with a late-round flier if you want, but I'll gladly take Miller in Round 4 at No. 40 overall after he dropped seven spots. Talent wins out, and Miller is easily the best running back for the Dolphins.

Ivory (hamstring) and Bradshaw (foot) have dealt with injuries this preseason, but they should be ready to go for Week 1. I can understand the uncertainty with Ivory and Bradshaw given their history, but both remain flex options worth drafting, especially since they have dropped to Round 7. Powell is up 28 spots to No. 163 overall with Ivory being banged up, and he should be in the mix as a No. 4 running back just in case Ivory struggles.

Buying into Williams? Other guys on the rise include Daryl Richardson, DeAngelo Williams, Ben Tate and Joique Bell. Richardson, as we explained last week, is really the only Rams running back worth drafting. His ADP is Round 7 at No. 81 overall after moving up 18 spots, but you should target him in Round 6 as a high-end flex option.

Williams, who is up 11 spots to No. 93 overall, will benefit greatly if Jonathan Stewart (ankle) opens the season on the PUP list, but he's been miserable through three preseason games at just 2.4 yards per carry. I wouldn't draft him in Round 8, but he still could be a starter for the beginning of the year if Stewart is out.

Tate is gaining momentum, and rightfully so given Foster's status. He's someone I target in every draft, and his ADP is up six spots to No. 99 overall. Bell, who is up 18 spots to No. 203 overall, is the handcuff to Reggie Bush. You can give up on Leshoure in the majority of leagues.

Wide receiver breakdown

Thompkins thriving: Thompkins has been among the biggest risers in ADP at his position. He is up 22 spots to No. 162 overall, and he will likely continue to climb following his performance Thursday against the Lions with eight catches for 116 yards. He now has 13 catches for 142 yards through three preseason games and has locked up the starting job opposite Danny Amendola. He is a great No. 4 Fantasy receiver to target in Round 8. By comparison, Aaron Dobson is down nine spots to No. 161. I'd take a late-round flier on Dobson at this point, but that's about it.

Some other receivers with their ADP on the rise include Chris Givens, Michael Floyd, Vincent Brown and Mohamed Sanu. Givens is up 24 spots to No. 112 overall, but I think that's low. I would start looking at Givens in Round 7. All of these guys have plenty of potential, but Givens is my favorite.

Giving up on the Raiders: Two receivers in Oakland are falling in Moore and Rod Streater. Moore is down six spots to No. 132 overall, and Streater is off the map at No. 218 overall after dropping 12 spots. It's understood given Matt Flynn is the quarterback, and no one wants to trust any of the Raiders.

I'd still take a flier on Moore, who is in his third year, but only with a late-round pick. And Streater has plenty of upside, but I'd wait to get him on waivers during the season if he starts playing well.

Some other receivers dropping include Jordy Nelson, Kenny Britt, Kendall Wright, Malcom Floyd and Santonio Holmes. I like seeing Nelson and Britt fall because that only makes their value that much better. I'd love to see Nelson fall to Round 7, and I'll take Britt in Round 9. They are both going to have quality seasons if they can stay healthy, but Nelson is still not playing after knee surgery in early August.

My favorite values at receiver: Some of the best buys at receiver based on ADP include T.Y. Hilton (No. 79 overall) in Round 7, Josh Gordon (No. 108 overall) in Round 9, Ryan Broyles (No. 146 overall) in Round 13 and Alshon Jeffery (No. 150 overall) in Round 13. Along with Thompkins, Givens and Floyd these are all receivers I target on Draft Day.

Tight end breakdown

Cameron the hot name: The way I tier my tight ends is Graham in the first two rounds, followed by Rob Gronkowski, Jason Witten, Tony Gonzalez and Vernon Davis in Rounds 4-6. If I miss on those guys, I'll wait for Jermichael Finley or Jared Cook in Round 7 or 8.

After those guys, it's a crap shoot, but the guy I find myself targeting is Cameron. He has the biggest breakout potential of anyone at the position, and you're seeing why in the preseason with two touchdowns through two games.

He is a Top 10 tight end in my opinion, and playing for Rob Chudzinski and Norv Turner will only enhance his talent. If he can stay healthy, which has been an issue throughout his career, he should be a solid starter in all leagues.

Two other tight ends on the rise include rookies Tyler Eifert and Zach Sudfeld. Eifert is up to No. 151 overall, and Sudfeld is up to No. 169 overall. I'd gamble on Sudfeld over Eifert because of Brady.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
WR Andre Johnson: I didn't join Colts for revenge against Texans
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4/18/2015) Perennial Pro Bowl wideout Andre Johnson insists that he did not sign as a free agent with the Colts with two matchups against his old Texans team in mind. He claims the move was because Indianapolis, led by quarterback Andrew Luck, gives him the best chance to win.

Johnson was surprisingly released by Houston, but revenge was not part of his game plan.

"(Leaving the Texans) hasn't even really set in," he told the Houston Chronicle. "I was just talking about that with someone (Thursday). Everybody thinks that I went to the Colts to try and get back at the Texans and stuff like that. That had nothing to do with it. I just went to the ... place where I felt was the best fit for me and where I can have a chance to win a championship.

"It wasn't about circling (game) dates or nothing against the Texans. I had 12 great years here. Been around some great people, built some great relationships, a lot of great friends. Houston's always going to be my home."

Johnson remained productive in 2014, but his yards-per-catch average declined to 11.0, its lowest since 2005.


Report: Jaguars restructure contract of Marcedes Lewis
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(4/18/2015) The Jaguars restructured the contract of tight end Marcedes Lewis, according to a report by Jacksonville.com.

Lewis did not receive an extension. This year will be the last year of his contract. The restructuring should reduce his cap number, which is currently $8.2 million. 


Jaguars sign Stefen Wisniewski
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(4/18/2015) The Jaguars announced the signing of free agent center Stefen Wisniewski on Saturday. 

Wisniewski reportedly signed a one-year contract for $2.5 million, per Jacksonville.com.

"We had the opportunity to spend time with Stefen earlier this month and remained in contact with him with the hopes of getting a deal done," GM David Caldwell said. "We are excited to get him on board before we officially start our offseason conditioning program next week. He gives us great position flexibility along our offensive line as he has started at both center and guard during his career. He has a familiarity with our offensive system and brings a lot of experience to our offensive line room."


49ers looking to extend Michael Wilhoite
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2015) After the unexpected retirements of two linebackers, the 49ers are looking to lock up Michael Wilhoite to a contract extension. 

Wilhoite is an exclusive rights free agent, but GM Trent Baalke told the media he hopes to negotiate a long-term deal. 

"We’re working on something with him as we speak … He’s kind of in a unique situation. He was kind of caught in a numbers deal," Baalke said, per SFGate.com.


DeMeco Ryans likes improved Eagles' defense
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2015) Eagles linebacker DeMeco Ryans likes the changes that the team has made to its defense in the offseason.

"We got better on the outside, which we struggled at last year,” Ryans said, per ESPN. “We had a lot of struggles there on the outside at the corner position, so I feel we've upgraded there with (Byron) Maxwell , a guy that you've seen make a lot of plays for the Seahawks. A guy like Kiko (Alonso), who his rookie year was a really outstanding player, up for defensive rookie of the year, a playmaker all over the field, and another guy in (Walter) Thurmond , who is expected to definitely push guys to be the starting corner on the other side. So I feel like we upgraded at a lot of positions, and I feel like it's really going to improve our defense."


Kubiak: Time for Broncos' backup Brock Osweiler to step up
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2015) Broncos quarterback Brock Osweiler hasn't had much playing time, as Peyton Manning's backup, but coach Gary Kubiak wants to see progress from him.

"I think it's time for Brock to take a big step as a player," Kubiak said, per NFL.com. "A lot of times in this league, the young quarterbacks don't get the opportunity to be behind a player of Peyton's status and learn before they get the opportunity in this league ... I think Brock needs to take advantage of this. But he's going to be very competitive. I'm very impressed with his skills. I'm very impressed with how hard he works in the classroom. I know he's got all of the ability."


Kubiak: Broncos will run no-huddle with Peyton Manning
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2015) Gary Kubiak said he plans to take advantage of future Hall of Fame quarterback Peyton Manning when designing the Broncos' offense for next season. 

We'll definitely be running the hurry-up offense," Kubiak said per NFL.com. "Peyton's been the best at the business at it for many years, so that's a strength that we'll stay with."

That doesn't mean everything will be the same for Manning. Kubiak said he planned on having Manning under center more than in recent seasons. 


Steelers claim LS Brandon Hartson off waivers
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2015) The Steelers announced on Friday that they claimed long snapper Brandon Hartson off of waivers. 

Hartson was waived by the Chiefs on Thursday. 


S Chris Banjo signs EFA tender with Packers
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2015) Packers safety Chris Banjo signed his exclusive-rights tender on Friday, according to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel

The tender is good for one year and is worth $585,000 for the 2015 season. 


Trent Baalke praises 49ers LB Aldon Smith's offseason work ethic
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2015) 49ers linebacker Aldon Smith has had plenty of off-field issues since entering the NFL.

After serving a nine-game suspension a year ago for violating the NFL's personal-conduct and substance-abuse policy, Smith returned and only tallied two sacks. 

The time off followed by sub-par performances has ignited Smith on the practice field thus far, according to general manager Trent Baalke. 

"He’s probably in as good a shape as he’s been in a long time," Baalke said, via the San Jose Mercury News. "He’s starting to develop into a leader out there, which is good to see and been a pleasure to watch."

Baalke knows that Smith has an uphill climb in repairing his image. But while Smith attempts to do so, Baalke wanted the San Francisco media to know that Smith is doing what he can to improve ont he playing field. 

“He’s got a great look in his eye,” Baalke said. “He’s doing well. I look forward to having you guys visit with him.”


 
 
 
Rankings