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2013 Draft Prep: Latest draft trends

Senior Fantasy Writer
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It's amazing what happens when players perform well in the preseason. The hype sometimes spirals out of control.

In our third look at players moving up and down in the Average Draft Position on CBSSports.com, no one has improved their stock more than Browns tight end Jordan Cameron. He is up 64 spots from last week to No. 121 overall and is now being drafted as the No. 13 tight end.

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It's warranted given the way Cameron has played through two preseason games, and if he does well in the third outing he could easily enter the Top 10. Some other guys moving up include Michael Vick, Bilal Powell and Kenbrell Thompkins, while some guys dropping include Lamar Miller, Zac Stacy and Denarius Moore.

We'll go over that and more in this analysis of ADP, which is a great tool to help you on Draft Day. The big day should be approaching soon, so be prepared.

The first round looks like this …

1. Adrian Peterson, running back, Vikings
2. Doug Martin,
running back, Buccaneers
3. Arian Foster,
running back, Texans
4. Jamaal Charles,
running back, Chiefs
5. C.J. Spiller,
running back, Bills
6. Marshawn Lynch,
running back, Seahawks
7. Ray Rice,
running back, Ravens
8. Calvin Johnson,
wide receiver, Lions
9. Drew Brees,
quarterback, Saints
10. Trent Richardson,
running back, Browns
11. LeSean McCoy,
running back, Eagles
12. Aaron Rodgers,
quarterback, Packers

Foster is the name to monitor, and he's already dropped one spot from where he's been all offseason. Even though he came off the physically unable to perform list Wednesday, we could see him continue to drop. Fantasy owners need to be concerned about his workload from last year, and I wouldn't draft Foster until at least No. 10 overall.

My first round in a standard league would be as follows: Peterson, Spiller, Charles, Martin, McCoy, Richardson, Lynch, Rice, Johnson, Foster, Alfred Morris and Stevan Ridley. I don't want a quarterback in Round 1, and neither should you. And Morris and Ridley have the potential to be Top 12 running backs again like they were in 2012.

My first round in a point-per-reception league would be as follows: Peterson, Spiller, Charles, Martin, Johnson, McCoy, Richardson, Rice, Foster, Jimmy Graham, Matt Forte and Reggie Bush. Graham is worth taking early in Round 2 in a standard league, but his potential to dominate the tight end position makes him worth drafting in Round 1 in a PPR format. The same goes for guys like Forte and Bush based on their expected reception totals. Lynch, Morris and Ridley are better suited as second-round guys in PPR.

Quarterback breakdown

Vick all reward, no risk: The top of the quarterback list remains the same with Brees, Rodgers and Peyton Manning the first three guys drafted, but Tom Brady and Matt Ryan have moved ahead of Cam Newton, who dropped to No. 6. Newton's poor preseason has some Fantasy owners down on him, which could be a mistake. Still, if he falls in your draft, that's only a benefit to someone who wants to target him in Round 4.

Three backup quarterbacks are on the rise in Vick, Carson Palmer and Brandon Weeden. Vick is up 26 spots to No. 116 overall as the No. 16 quarterback, Palmer is up 27 spots to No. 123 overall as the No. 17 passer and Weeden is up 16 spots to No. 178 overall as the No. 27 quarterback.

I hate saying this, but I'm starting to like Vick a lot as a Fantasy option again. The reason is there's all the reward and little risk. If you draft him in Round 10 or later based on his ADP and he struggles then you just cut him and find another backup quarterback on the waiver wire. But if he does play well in Chip Kelly's offense then he's either your new starter or someone you can trade.

Palmer's Fantasy value is also on the rise because of his potential to shine in Bruce Arians' offense and the opportunity to throw to Larry Fitzgerald. I like Palmer as a high-end backup as well, and keep in mind Andrew Luck attempted the fifth-most passes last season with Arians calling the plays for the Colts. Look for Palmer to throw this year until his arm falls off.

As for Weeden, he has been stellar in the preseason and has put himself in the conversation as a late-round flier. In two-quarterback leagues, Weeden is an excellent backup option, and he should be considered a bye-week replacement in all formats.

Running back breakdown

Bell tolls for Fantasy owners: If you had any of your Fantasy drafts already then you likely took Le'Veon Bell with a pick anywhere from Round 3 to Round 5. And you aren't very happy now. Bell is dealing with a foot sprain and is expected to miss at least the first six weeks of the season.

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He has dropped 12 spots to No. 56 overall, and his ADP should continue to free fall. I would only select Bell in re-draft leagues with a late-round pick at this point. His backups are Jonathan Dwyer, Isaac Redman, LaRod Stephens-Howling and newly-acquired Felix Jones, and none of them are appealing either. You might want to pass on the Steelers backfield on Draft Day.

Other guys with significant movement down include Darren McFadden, Miller, Chris Ivory, Ahmad Bradshaw, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Bryce Brown, Pierre Thomas, Zac Stacy, Johnathan Franklin, Mikel Leshoure, Isaiah Pead, Joseph Randle, LaMichael James, Knowshon Moreno, Robert Turbin, Denard Robinson and Mike Tolbert.

Fantasy owners have the usual concerns with McFadden and his health, and his poor preseason, including injuries to the offensive line, has caused him to drop six spots to No. 37 overall. If he's there in Round 4, however, consider him worth the risk.

Miller went from a breakout star prior to the preseason to finding himself in a battle for the starting job with Daniel Thomas, who is up 32 spots to No. 177. You can gamble on Thomas with a late-round flier if you want, but I'll gladly take Miller in Round 4 at No. 40 overall after he dropped seven spots. Talent wins out, and Miller is easily the best running back for the Dolphins.

Ivory (hamstring) and Bradshaw (foot) have dealt with injuries this preseason, but they should be ready to go for Week 1. I can understand the uncertainty with Ivory and Bradshaw given their history, but both remain flex options worth drafting, especially since they have dropped to Round 7. Powell is up 28 spots to No. 163 overall with Ivory being banged up, and he should be in the mix as a No. 4 running back just in case Ivory struggles.

Buying into Williams? Other guys on the rise include Daryl Richardson, DeAngelo Williams, Ben Tate and Joique Bell. Richardson, as we explained last week, is really the only Rams running back worth drafting. His ADP is Round 7 at No. 81 overall after moving up 18 spots, but you should target him in Round 6 as a high-end flex option.

Williams, who is up 11 spots to No. 93 overall, will benefit greatly if Jonathan Stewart (ankle) opens the season on the PUP list, but he's been miserable through three preseason games at just 2.4 yards per carry. I wouldn't draft him in Round 8, but he still could be a starter for the beginning of the year if Stewart is out.

Tate is gaining momentum, and rightfully so given Foster's status. He's someone I target in every draft, and his ADP is up six spots to No. 99 overall. Bell, who is up 18 spots to No. 203 overall, is the handcuff to Reggie Bush. You can give up on Leshoure in the majority of leagues.

Wide receiver breakdown

Thompkins thriving: Thompkins has been among the biggest risers in ADP at his position. He is up 22 spots to No. 162 overall, and he will likely continue to climb following his performance Thursday against the Lions with eight catches for 116 yards. He now has 13 catches for 142 yards through three preseason games and has locked up the starting job opposite Danny Amendola. He is a great No. 4 Fantasy receiver to target in Round 8. By comparison, Aaron Dobson is down nine spots to No. 161. I'd take a late-round flier on Dobson at this point, but that's about it.

Some other receivers with their ADP on the rise include Chris Givens, Michael Floyd, Vincent Brown and Mohamed Sanu. Givens is up 24 spots to No. 112 overall, but I think that's low. I would start looking at Givens in Round 7. All of these guys have plenty of potential, but Givens is my favorite.

Giving up on the Raiders: Two receivers in Oakland are falling in Moore and Rod Streater. Moore is down six spots to No. 132 overall, and Streater is off the map at No. 218 overall after dropping 12 spots. It's understood given Matt Flynn is the quarterback, and no one wants to trust any of the Raiders.

I'd still take a flier on Moore, who is in his third year, but only with a late-round pick. And Streater has plenty of upside, but I'd wait to get him on waivers during the season if he starts playing well.

Some other receivers dropping include Jordy Nelson, Kenny Britt, Kendall Wright, Malcom Floyd and Santonio Holmes. I like seeing Nelson and Britt fall because that only makes their value that much better. I'd love to see Nelson fall to Round 7, and I'll take Britt in Round 9. They are both going to have quality seasons if they can stay healthy, but Nelson is still not playing after knee surgery in early August.

My favorite values at receiver: Some of the best buys at receiver based on ADP include T.Y. Hilton (No. 79 overall) in Round 7, Josh Gordon (No. 108 overall) in Round 9, Ryan Broyles (No. 146 overall) in Round 13 and Alshon Jeffery (No. 150 overall) in Round 13. Along with Thompkins, Givens and Floyd these are all receivers I target on Draft Day.

Tight end breakdown

Cameron the hot name: The way I tier my tight ends is Graham in the first two rounds, followed by Rob Gronkowski, Jason Witten, Tony Gonzalez and Vernon Davis in Rounds 4-6. If I miss on those guys, I'll wait for Jermichael Finley or Jared Cook in Round 7 or 8.

After those guys, it's a crap shoot, but the guy I find myself targeting is Cameron. He has the biggest breakout potential of anyone at the position, and you're seeing why in the preseason with two touchdowns through two games.

He is a Top 10 tight end in my opinion, and playing for Rob Chudzinski and Norv Turner will only enhance his talent. If he can stay healthy, which has been an issue throughout his career, he should be a solid starter in all leagues.

Two other tight ends on the rise include rookies Tyler Eifert and Zach Sudfeld. Eifert is up to No. 151 overall, and Sudfeld is up to No. 169 overall. I'd gamble on Sudfeld over Eifert because of Brady.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg .

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Player News
Vikings' Bridgewater 'extremely comfortable' with leadership role
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) Vikings second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is embracing his role as leader of the offense, the Star Tribune reports.

"I’m a young guy still on the team, but guys are pushing me forward to say something in the huddle, or break the team down, or break the offense down," Bridgewater said. "That just gives you that confidence in yourself, confidence in your leadership and I’ve been extremely comfortable doing that so far."

Coach Mike Zimmer is satsfied with the work Bridgewater has done during the offseason.

"It’s hard to never not be pleased with Teddy because he’s such a hard worker," Zimmer said. "We wanted him to get bigger and stronger; he looks a little bit bigger to me. He’s always worked real hard. The leadership things are starting to come better. I think he’s been doing a good job the two days we’ve been out here against the defense."

Bridgewater made 12 starts in his rookie season and played 13 games in all, racking up 2,919 yards, 14 touchdowns and 12 interceptions while completing 64.4 percent of his passes.


Broncos WR Emmanuel Sanders hoping to reach 1,000 yards
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) Broncos wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders believes the new offensive scheme in Denver will effect his numbers, accoridng to the team's website.

Sanders is working with new offensive coordinator Rick Dennison and coach Gary Kubiak to install the team's new offense and noted it's very different from last year's spread attack.

"You talk about going from a no-huddle offense to an offense that's huddling up, to an offense that is predicated off running a football and then throwing it. It's different," Sanders said. 

"It's a totally different set up, but I tell you what, the more and more I'm in it," said Sanders. "Because we can get the run game going and just use my vertical speed on cross routes and all these different combinations of routes is based off the play action, then I think the offense will be successful with Peyton Manning at the helm."

Sanders, who totaled 1,404 yards and nine touchdowns in 2014, doesn't think he'll accomplish the same numbers.

"Of course obviously it's not going to be one of those offenses, well I'm praying that it is, but obviously it's not going to be one of those offenses where you catch it and you're going to have two receivers catching over 100 passes," said Sanders. "Hopefully, my goal is really to try to get a 1,000 yards to just help this team win ball games."


Cowboys rookie La'el Collins taking reps at RT in OTAs
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) Cowboys rookie offensive lineman La'el Collins started offseason team activities on Wednesday taking reps at right tackle, according to the Dallas Morning News.

Collins, who was signed as an undrafted free agent, could also see time at left guard. But the rookie is taking his first reps with the team at right tackle with Darrion Weems while Doug Free recovers from ankle surgery.

"We think he has the physical ability to play a couple of different spots," coach Jason Garrett said. "He was a tackle for most of his career in college but did play guard. We see him as a guy who can maybe do both of those things as he goes.

"The big thing for him is to try to get him acclimated as quickly as we can. So right now he's going to play right tackle for us. He and Darrion Weems are competing at that spot in Doug Free's absence and we'll just see how that unfolds." 


Vikings' Adrian Peterson on absence from OTAs: 'It's business'
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) Vikings running back Adrian Peterson said in a statement on Wednesday that his absence from OTAs has "nothing to do with wanting to be traded," ESPN reports.

"The reason I'm not attending OTAs has nothing to do with wanting to be traded. It's about securing my future with the Vikings. It's business, not personal and I understand that firsthand. Go Vikings."

It was reported earlier Wednesday that coach Mike Zimmer said that Peterson could "either play for us or not play." The running back has expressed frustration with team management for not showing him support during his legal case for child abuse.


Report: Falcons' Dezmen Southward undergoes knee surgery
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) Falcons defensive backs Dezmen Southward underwent a minor-knee operation Wednesday, reports the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

Southward did not attend Tuesday's OTA and it is not known how long he'll be sidelined.


Julius Thomas trying to fit into Jaguars' offense
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) Jaguars tight end Julius Thomas said after Wednesday's organized team activity that he intends to make it work with quarterback Blake Bortles, reports The Florida Times-Union.

"There is no 'Here's me coming in, and Blake's going to get on my page.' I'm going to be on Blake's page," Thomas said. "Whatever he expects, that's what I am going to do. He's the quarterback. He's the one in control of that huddle, and I like catching passes so I will make sure I do exactly what he wants."

With Thomas entering his first season with the Jaguars, he said it will take time to develop a rapport with Bortles.

"I think that getting good chemistry with a quarterback probably takes a couple of thousand passes," Thomas said.


Cowboys RB Darren McFadden not concerned with playing time
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) With the Cowboys just beginning their organized team activities this week, running back Darren McFadden said he just wants to concentrate on becoming familiar with the team, reports the team's official website.

"For me, I'm just going out there grinding," he said. "However the coaches put me out there – whether it's first team or second team. When it comes time for them to make a decision, it's totally up to them. I'm just trying to get that playbook down and take advantage of this opportunity."

McFadden is competing with Joseph Randle to be the first-team running back, and he said he just wants to work hard and not worry about how many repetitions he's receiving with the first team.

"Once you've been in a place so long like Oakland, you can get set in your ways," McFadden said Wednesday, after his second OTA practice with the Cowboys. "Coming out here and being around guys that work so hard, it just brings out the best in you. It's something I look forward to."


Chiefs' Mike Catapano on his health: I feel better than ever
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) After missing the entire 2014 season with a gastrointestinal virus, Chiefs defensive end Mike Catapano was able to participate in the team's OTA on Wednesday, reports The Kansas City Star.

"Every time I step on the field now it's with purpose and with extra vigor that I never really had," Catapano said. "It feels great. I feel better than ever."

Catapano played in 15 games during his rookie season in 2013 and he totaled four tackles and one sack. He said he's ready to surpass that in 2015.

"I'm ready to show that I offer a lot to this team. I'm ready to step up in big situations and starting situations," Catapano said. "I just want to keep getting better every day… and play to the best of my abilities."


Broncos' Manning, Sanders keeping up with Thomas during holdout
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) Broncos wide receiver Demaryius Thomas is holding out of offseason workouts while he continues to negotiate a long-term deal with the team, but teammates Emmanuel Sanders and Peyton Manning have been keeping up with the star receiver, the Denver Post reports.

"One thing a lot of people don’t realize is when you’re playing on a one-year deal, there’s a lot of things going through your head," Sanders said. "As much as you guys want to say, ‘Don’t think about it,' of course it’s going to cross your mind because you’re talking about a lot of money at stake. When you’re playing these one-year deals, it’s a lot of stress on you. No matter how much you don’t want it to be, it’s going to happen. We’re all human."

Manning would like to have Thomas in workouts but understands the business aspects of his decision.

"I keep up with Demaryius. He’s my buddy," Manning said. "They got that business side of it to work out, but he’s been a great teammate to me, been a great friend to me since I’ve been here in Denver, so I keep up with him. Obviously want him to get back here as soon as possible, but we want what’s best for him, and he certainly deserves what’s best for him."

Thomas has started 16 games for three straight season, topping 90 receptions, 1,400 yards and 10 touchdowns in each.


Raiders sign Horace Miller, Milton Williams
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(5/27/2015) The Raiders have signed linebacker Horace Miller and wide receiver Milton Williams, the team announced on Wednesday.

Miller was waived by the Panthers earlier this offseason after spending one week on the active roster but seeing no playing time. Williams originally signed with the Raiders earlier this month before being waived a few days later.


 
 
 
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