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Reality Check: Surviving without Julio Jones

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Some people tried to deny it, noting the incredible catch he made on his team's final drive.

Others made no bones about what happened to Julio Jones Monday, when the screw in his surgically repaired foot broke, ending his season.

They're called CBSSports.com users, and they're the best. Where else but Jones' player page could you find a full gamut of commentary ranging from the reactive ...

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Wow! -- DntGetMurkd

... to the reflective ...

Crushing blow. -- NY Swag

... to the tabloidian ...

Welcome to dumpsville. -- IDI

... to the instructive ...

Run to the wire and grab Kenny Britt! -- GOGREEN2010

... to the sublime.

Why Britt? -- CTRL-FRK

For real. Somebody needs to tell GOGREEN2010 that he already went green and it's 2013. He seems to be living in the past.

But at least his heart is in the right place. Obviously, part of the discussion on Jones is how to replace him, but an injury of this severity to a player of his prominence has so many tangents, both practical and philosophical, that sticking to one shortchanges the discussion. And what better way to tackle them all than to turn it over to the floor?

What follows is a conversation artificially created by pulling user comments from the mysterious depths of the Internet, cleaning them up for mass consumption and interspersing them with my own thoughts and observations. It's less science-fictiony than it sounds.

It's also more valuable than it sounds. The thing about tangents is they take you where never thought you'd go. I promise even the non-Jones owners will come away with something useful.

Just once I'd like to go through a Fantasy Football season without my best player getting injured. [Feeble attempt at euphemism deleted.] -- VeryUndude

Some euphemisms are so clever in their construction or effortless in their usage that they take on a life of their own, actually enriching a language that never knew what it was missing. Others are just thinly veiled efforts to get by the censors. How very undudely of you, VeryUndude.

But at the same time, how very fitting of the circumstances. Most Jones owners would have considered him their best player at the time of his injury. If nothing else, he had reliability going for him, leading the league with 41 receptions while putting up more than 75 yards every week. Losing a player of that caliber, no matter how the rest of the season unfolds, would lead anyone to wonder, "What if?"

Before moving on to "why me," though, keep in mind most everyone in your league has a "what if." What about the owner who lost Steven Jackson -- a player he drafted even before Jones, most likely -- in Week 2? What about the owner who opted for Matt Ryan (we'll get to him in a minute) over Peyton Manning, not wanting to hitch his wagon to a 37-year-old only a couple years removed from neck surgery? What about the owner who's having to adjust his expectations for C.J. Spiller, Trent Richardson, Chris Johnson, Maurice Jones-Drew or, to a lesser extent, Doug Martin?

You could argue their misfortunes are the result of bad decisions and that they're getting exactly what they deserve, but it's not like they went rogue with those picks. They followed the consensus. OK, maybe not with Ryan over Manning, but even that wasn't so unreasonable, was it?

As a Jones owner, you feel like you're getting a raw deal because you were completely convinced you made the right call before having the rug pulled out from under you, but you could argue you're also getting exactly what you deserve. Jones hasn't been a model of health during his time with the Falcons and wasn't in college either, which explains why he had a screw in his foot in the first place. Some might argue an injury of this severity was a long time coming. Not saying I am, but it's a valid point.

I'm also not trying to kick you while you're down. Just offering some perspective. Things go wrong in Fantasy Football. It's a vicious, fiercely team-oriented game with too many variables to predict. As you've learned from experience, you're unlikely to avoid the misfortune, so even though it's a bummer when it happens, you have to be prepared for it.

That's why you don't get complacent. You keep playing the waiver wire, religiously putting in your claims Tuesday night, because in the end, an Alshon Jeffery is just as likely to win you the league as a Julio Jones.

Out for the year? I hate Fantasy Football. Everyone is hurt. -- sargent2424

It's kind of crazy how much we all invest in something so volatile. I'm not just talking money, but time, emotion, brain power, etc. Think of all we could accomplish if we applied those to something a little more substantive.

But we all know that's not going to happen. Fantasy Football may be the most unpredictable of the Fantasy games, but it's so widespread and accessible that the love-hate relationship is only going to continue. So maybe instead of obsessing over its unpredictability, you take advantage of it.

Counting on everyone to get hurt is exactly why Fantasy owners began handcuffing their running back however many years ago. Granted, not all handcuffs are worth it, but the ones with a strong skill set and natural fit in the offense hardly miss a beat when the starter goes down. Just look at how Joique Bell owners fared with Reggie Bush sidelined in Week 3. It's proven to be an effective strategy.

Of course, it's not so applicable to Jones owners. Fantasy-caliber wide receivers are a little more prevalent than running backs, and it's not like anyone expects Jones numbers from Harry Douglas. Still, it's worth mentioning for the Steven Jackson owner who might be on the fence about dropping Jacquizz Rodgers. Or the Eddie Lacy owner who just saw James Starks go back on waivers. Or the Ray Rice owner who thinks he's gotten all he can from Bernard Pierce. Or the Jamaal Charles owner who feels like he's wasting a roster spot on Knile Davis. Shoot, I'm still stashing Montee Ball. Not like Knowshon Moreno is known for staying healthy.

And speaking of Moreno, maybe he's the type of player you target in the middle rounds next year over dime-a-dozen types like Steve Johnson and Miles Austin. If everything's going to blow up anyway, you might as well get a head start on the players you can actually get excited about starting. Moreno, Jordan Cameron, Josh Gordon -- they all had plausible opportunities for big-time production even if they weren't quite as "safe" as Johnson or Austin.

Everyone is freaking out about Matt Ryan losing Julio Jones, and I know it's serious. But he basically hasn't had Roddy White all season. If White can come back healthy after the bye, it shouldn't be a huge dent to the offense. -- Zr0Tolerance (via Matt Ryan's player page)

Ah, yes ... White. If he can come back healthy, I'm right there with you. He was a stud before anyone had even heard of Jones and still has Tony Gonzalez to keep defenses honest. Though he's been limited by an ankle sprain this season, a week off might be exactly what he needs to get to feeling himself again.

But of course, it's not just the ankle now. White strained his hamstring against the Jets in Week 5, which might put him out of the lineup altogether.

More often than not, that second guy makes all the difference. Gonzalez will have defenders draped all over him now, forcing Ryan to broaden his horizons. I mentioned Harry Douglas, and he's sure to get open looks from time to time, but receivers like Jones and White never needed open looks. Ryan could throw the ball to them in coverage and trust them to come down with it. If he takes those chances with Douglas, he's likely to get picked.

Ultimately, I think the yards will be there for Ryan. He's a good player in his own right, and the Falcons offense is designed to throw the ball. But I could see his interceptions rising as he compensates for the talent around him, and I could see the Falcons opting for more running plays inside the 10-yard line.

Well, Julio ... like the Falcons, my team is 1-4 and doesn't deserve you. -- Mugiwaraboi

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Wait, wait ... hold up a minute. Given what the Falcons gave up to draft Jones, couldn't you argue he's the player they most deserve? I'm just saying ...

He was the only player on my team pulling his weight. (Looking at you A.J. Green, Doug Martin, David Wilson and Vincent Jackson.) Good luck with your recovery, pal. -- Mugiwaraboi (continued)

One thing that gets lost in the uproar over Jones' injury: The numbers he was putting up weren't entirely sustainable.

That's not to say he wouldn't have continued to be one of the top wide receivers in Fantasy, but he was on pace for 131.2 catches and 1,856 yards. You don't see numbers like that every year.

Because his season ended after only five games, he never had a chance for a down week. Somewhere along the line -- maybe after Steven Jackson came back or Roddy White fully recovered -- he would have had a clunker or two. Everybody does.

Just because he hadn't yet doesn't mean someone who has isn't pulling his weight. You've allowed Jones' consistency to set an impossible standard for everyone else.

Green is on pace for 99.2 catches for 1,155.2 yards and 9.6 touchdowns. Aren't those about the numbers you expected when you drafted him? He's had some ups and downs along the way, but that's normal even for the great ones. Maybe because his best game came in Week 1, you're worried defenses have him figured out or something, but to some degree, it's cyclical. The Bengals just used a two-headed rushing attack to take down a previously undefeated Patriots team, which means defenses will have to shift some of their focus to BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Giovani Bernard, which means they'll have to shift some away from Green, which means, sooner or later, he's putting up another 160 yards.

Martin is lacking in touchdowns so far and hasn't been particularly efficient with his carries, but especially now that the Buccaneers have turned to rookie Mike Glennon at quarterback, he's the entire offense. He's on pace for 1,368 rushing yards, for crying out loud. In today's NFL, any running back who reaches 1,000 is pulling his weight.

I can understand your frustration with Wilson and Jackson. Wilson has yet to offer any reason for optimism and is now dealing with injury, and Jackson, as compared to Martin, is a more likely casualty of the Buccaneers' switch to Glennon. I don't have especially high hopes for either going forward.

But my point is you have enough heavy hitters to make a run at the playoffs even without Jones. If you feel like you need a little extra something, you can always try the trade market. Maybe a couple of your better bench players could land you an undervalued Fred Jackson or Frank Gore. Or maybe you could make up for the loss of Jones by upgrading at quarterback. I don't know who you have there, but if it's someone relatively high-end like Matthew Stafford, Matt Ryan or even Philip Rivers, now might be a decent time to make a play for Aaron Rodgers, provided you have a good enough second player to include in the deal.

I rejected a trade involving Julio Jones and Willis McGahee on Friday. I could have had Doug Martin and DeSean Jackson, but I was drinking the Ryan-Jones Kool-Aid. Now, my season is over at 2-3. -- Mr. Niceguy

I hate to introduce Mr. Niceguy to Mr. Meanman, but I can't fathom why you would have turned down that trade in the first place. Given the shortage of quality running backs, Jones straight-up for Martin would have been at worst dead even, and Jackson is miles ahead of McGahee, who I consider a fringe waiver guy.

I understand every situation is different, but turning down two must-start guys (including a first-rounder) for the price of one would have required incredible depth, which you clearly don't have. If you did, you wouldn't be saying your season is over at 2-3.

Either way, I don't think it's over. If you've been playing the waiver wire all season, you should at least have a couple serviceable wide receivers on your bench, which should be enough to keep you competitive as long as you're stable at quarterback and running back. And then, if you keep playing the waiver wire, eventually you might strike gold at the position.

You've already missed out on Alshon Jeffery, I'm sure, but if history holds, we haven't seen the last big waiver claim at wide receiver.

Keenan Allen is a hot ticket! -- slippydog19

Who knows? Maybe it's him. He's already been claimed in all of my leagues, but he's still owned in only 47 percent. Clearly, he fills an important role in the Chargers passing game. I worried what might happen to Philip Rivers' numbers after downfield threat Malcom Floyd went down with a neck injury, but after back-to-back games of 400-plus yards for Rivers, I'm thinking Allen is sufficiently meeting that need.

Other potentially available wide receivers who I'm eyeing include DeAndre Hopkins, who has struggled recently but clearly has tons of potential playing opposite the injury-prone Andre Johnson, Nate Washington, who had back-to-back 100-yard games for the Titans before understandably taking a step back against the Chiefs, Golden Tate, who was finally the Seahawk' most targeted receiver Sunday after earning rave reviews this preseason, Terrance Williams, who has been terrific in place of the injured Miles Austin, Donnie Avery, who made the most of a couple downfield looks before hurting his shoulder last week, Rueben Randle, who has shown enough as a No. 3 to have me longing for the next Hakeem Nicks injury, and Harry Douglas, who -- as much as I've pooh-poohed him here -- is sure to offer something halfway decent if both Jones and White are missing.

And if you're lucky enough to have more than just a couple serviceable wide receivers on your bench, it's probably overkill. See if you can find a guy with a couple holes to fill and offer up a 2-for-1. A buy-low would be ideal. Someone on CBSSports.com recently swapped Vernon Davis and Dwayne Bowe for Larry Fitzgerald. That's the sort of trade that, if it works out as I think it will, with Carson Palmer making better use of his top target in the weeks ahead, will bring you just about back to where you started with Jones in your lineup.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB or Facebook . You can also follow Scott via Twitter @CBSScottWhite .

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Player News
Report: Patriots hoping to sign Darrelle Revis to long-term extension
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1/26/2015) The Patriots are reportedly looking to sign cornerback Darrelle Revis to a long-term extension, according Ian Rapoport of the NFL Network.

However, New England has not ruled out paying Revis the $20 million team option in 2015, Rapoport reports. The decision needs to be made by April 1, when a $12 million roster bonus kicks in for Revis.

Revis totaled 47 tackles in 16 games for the Patriots, grabbing two interceptions and forcing one fumble.


C.J. Spiller expecting 'March Madness' style free agency
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1/26/2015) Bills running back C.J. Spiller is getting healthy again. Spiller, who has fully recovered from a shoulder injury, just ended the final season of his contract and is looking at his options for next season.

"Physically, I’m back to 100 percent, back to doing normal activities," Spiller told The Post and Courier on Friday. "As far as football, free agency will start in March, and I’ll get with my people next week and get a game plan together."

Spiller has played five seasons for the Bills, only playing two full years. He ran for 1,244 yards in 2012 with six touchdowns.

"I guess you could say it’ll be March Madness," Spiller said with a smile. "It’ll be a fun March."


Report: Rams among teams interested in trade for Eagles' Foles
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/26/2015) Teams are beginning to show interest in Eagles quarterback Nick Foles, as reports are surfacing Philadelphia is unsure of what to do with the third-year quarterback, per NJ.com. A source said the Rams have interest in Foles should the Eagles choose to trade him this offseason. 

The Titans and Texans have also been mentioned as teams that would have interest in Foles, if he hits the trade market.

It's still unclear if the Eagles would be willing to move Foles. NJ.com reported last week the Eagles, who have the 20th pick in the NFL Draft, are considering making a run at Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota in the draft. 

"From No. 20, it's certainly not going to be easy,'' a source said. "It's probably going to take moving up twice to do it. There's going to be some wheeling and dealing involved.

"Can it happen? I don't know. But they're going to try."

Eagles head coach Chip Kelly recruited Mariota to Oregon and coached him for two years.

"Obviously, [with] my relationship with coach Kelly, it'd be a lot of fun to be a part of that offense and be a part of that team," Mariota said when asked about a potential reunion with Kelly.

Foles is 15-9 as a starter in the NFL, but he has yet to play a full season. He has completed 61.6 percent of his passes for 6,753 yards, 46 touchdowns and 17 interceptions.


Colts' Luck on new contract: 'There's nothing there right now'
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/26/2015) An ESPN report surfaced last week stating the Colts were working on making quarterback Andrew Luck the highest-paid player in the NFL. When asked about the subject at the Pro Bowl, Luck seemed surprise when he heard the news.

"There's nothing there right now," Luck said, per The Indianapolis Star. "I didn't think about it all during the season and it's only been a few days since it ended. I haven't thought about it. I will have conversations with my agent just because you have to prepare, but I'm not sure where that report came from."

Luck has two years remaining on the $22 million deal he signed as a rookie in 2012. It includes a team option for 2016, which must be exercised later this year.

Luck just completed his third season in the NFL. He has been to the Pro Bowl every year he's been in the NFL. He's gone 11-5 in every season as an NFL starter. He threw for a career-best 40 touchdowns in 2014 and led Indianapolis to the AFC title game this season.


Seahawks' Sherman disappointed he won't receive gifts from Pro Bowl
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/26/2015) In case you missed Sunday's Pro Bowl, Team Irvin knocked off Team Carter, 32-28, thanks to a second-half rally, which included touchdown catches by Emmanuel Sanders and Jimmy Graham.

While many Pro Bowl players that made the original roster were absent from the game due to injuries, Pro Bowl players from the Patriots and Seahawks also did not play due to preparations for next Sunday's Super Bowl.

One player who seemed upset about missing the Pro Bowl was Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman. However, it was for a reason you probably wouldn't suspect.

“Only thing I’m disappointed in is they won’t give us our gifts from the Pro Bowl, which is kind of dumb,” Sherman said, per The Boston Globe. “The NFL is the only league that punishes the players who actually make the All-Star game by not giving them their gifts. It’s supposed to be watches and some other stuff, but we don’t get them so I couldn’t tell you.”


Patriots' Tom Brady on Deflategate: 'My feelings got hurt'
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(1/26/2015) If you have been out of the loop for the last week, then you might be unaware the Patriots have been under a lot of scrutiny since the AFC title game due to improperly inflated footballs used against the Colts. The media hoopla has transformed the controversy into what we know as Deflategate.

If you haven't been out of the loop, then you are well aware of the nonstop coverage it has received the last week and despite the Patriots pleas for it to go away, it just won't.

Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has had to deal with the backlash from Deflategate, and he found himself talking about the subject again Monday morning during an interview with WEEI.

“It’s all speculation,” Brady said. “I’ve tried to wrap my head around it, too. I’ve done that and I’m trying to move past that, because I continue to try to rehash things. I personalized a lot of things and thought this was all about me, and my feelings got hurt. Then I moved past it, because it’s not serving me. What’s serving me is try to prepare for the game ahead. I’ll deal with whatever happens later. I’ll have my opportunity to try to figure out what happened and figure out a theory like everyone else is trying to do. But this isn’t the time for that. Honestly, I’m not interested in trying to find out right now, because we have the biggest game of our season ahead.”

One topic Brady didn't have a problem addressing was the speculation coach Bill Belichick threw him under the bus during a press conference on Thursday. But Brady came to the defense of Belichick, who has won three Super Bowls as the Patriots coach.

“I’ve never once felt that we’re not on the same page,” Brady said. “He’s a great coach. He’s the only coach I’ve ever played for; he’s the only coach I’d ever want to play for. There’s a lot of people over the years that have criticized him, but I’d say there’s not one player who’s ever played for him who’s not had an unbelievable amount of respect for him and how he prepares and his diligence and his preparation."


Giants' Odell Beckham says he played with hamstring tears
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(1/26/2015) Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham said he played all season with two tears in his hamstrings, according to the New York Daily News.

Beckham took part in the Pro Bowl on Sunday, but admitted he's still not fully healed. Beckham said the injuries prevented him from getting to that "last gear that I wanted to have." He added that the injuries really bothered him against the Eagles and Colts. Beckham said he was "stumbling" and falling over during those games. He added that he's not sure whether he'll ever be 100 percent again.

The rookie had a tremendous season, hauling in 91 balls for 1,305 yards and 12 touchdowns. 


Patriots' Tom Brady meeting with NFL after Super Bowl 49
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(1/25/2015) Patriots quarterback Tom Brady doesn't expect to meet with the NFL until after Super Bowl XLIX, according to NFL.com.

The Patriots have been in the headlines all week due to Deflategate, and it appears the situation won't be resolved until after the season. "I believe they're going to do [a meeting] after the season," Brady said. "So we'll deal with it after this game. I think everybody is locked in, ready to go for the Super Bowl." Both Brady and coach Bill Belichick have held separate press conferences during the week to deny the team's involvement in deflating their footballs. 

The Patriots are subject to punishment from the NFL if the league finds any wrongdoing during the investigation. 


Earl Thomas on bad shoulder: 'I'll still play fearless'
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1/25/2015) Seahawks safety Earl Thomas, who dislocated his shoulder in the NFC Championship Game, could remain limited in practice this week ahead of the Super Bowl, reports the Seattle Times. But he said he won't be thinking about the injury against the Patriots.

"When I come alive nothing is limited,’’ he said. “I’ll still play fearless, throw my body around, and let whatever happens, happens.’’

Thomas did allow that he might have to rely more on his teammates.

“My mindset is I have an opportunity to really trust my teammates,’’ he said. “This is the first game I’m going to have to trust them because of my injury. So I really, really, really trust my teammates, and that’s what I’m banking on, my teammates doing what they need to do and I need to come through myself.’’

It's unclear if Thomas will need offseason surgery.

The Seahawks are 1-point underdogs after opening as 2.5-point favorites.


Colts QB Matt Hasselbeck pondering retirement
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1/25/2015) Colts backup quarterback Matt Hasselbeck told ESPN.com he's not sure if he'll retire or return for a 17th season. Hasselbeck, 39, appeared in four games this season and played well, posting a 102.6 passer rating.

He's set to hit unrestricted free agency.


 
 
 
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