Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
Play Fantasy Use your Fantasy skills to win Cash Prizes. Join or start a league today. Play Now
      
Fantasy Football Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Gameday Inactives
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Playoff Extra: Super Bowl starts and sits

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

We're down to the final game of the season and it's the matchup many anticipated, with the top two seeds in Denver and Seattle advancing to Super Bowl XLVIII.

Between now and kickoff we're sure to hear plenty about Peyton Manning and his legacy, Richard Sherman and his mouth and how the weather will impact the game, since it's being played outdoors at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. As of Tuesday, Jan. 21, the weather there was as low as 11 degrees with 13 inches of snow and winds at 24 miles per hour.

That sounds like fun.

Check out our Fantasy Football podcast!
There is no better source for entertaining Fantasy advice than our Fantasy Football Today podcast. Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Adam Aizer will help you pass the time as you anticipate Draft Day 2014!
Latest episode | Subscribe today!

The worse the weather is, the more that should favor the Seahawks, who come into this game with the NFL's top-ranked defense and No. 1 pass defense. The Broncos have the No. 1 offense and passing attack, so bad elements will only hinder their aerial attack. Of course, it could be a beautiful day Feb. 2 at kickoff, so let's wait and see what develops.

What we do know is it should be exciting to see Manning and Co. try to dissect the Seahawks defense with their "Legion of Boom" secondary and if he'll take shots at Sherman. Most likely, Manning will find the mismatches in Seattle's secondary -- away from guys like Sherman, Earl Thomas and Kam Chancellor -- so don't be surprised if someone like Jacob Tamme sees more targets than usual in a mismatch.

Also, Marshawn Lynch -- the leader of Seattle's offense -- will have to deal with a Denver run defense that hasn't allowed a touchdown in four consecutive games, and Ryan Mathews in Week 15 is the lone running back to rush for 100 yards against the Broncos this season. While Sherman is the defensive star garnering most of the attention for Seattle, don't overlook the impact Terrance "Pot Roast" Knighton is making for Denver's defense.

It's going to be a great Super Bowl, and I predict the Broncos will win, 27-24. The weather could slow down the Broncos, but I still expect Manning to get his second Super Bowl ring. As usual, here are some Start ‘Em and Sit ‘Em suggestions for the big game for those of you planning for somwething on Super Sunday.

Start 'Em

Russell Wilson (at DEN): Wilson has been a horrible Fantasy quarterback to close the season. He hasn't been over 17 Fantasy points since Week 14, and in two playoff games against New Orleans and San Francisco he has combined for just 318 passing yards and one touchdown and eight carries for 16 yards and a fumble. But the Broncos have given up production to quarterbacks of late with Terrelle Pryor, Philip Rivers and Tom Brady all scoring at least 21 Fantasy points in the past three games. And if the Broncos go ahead in this game and Seattle is chasing points, then Wilson will have to make plays to keep the Seahawks alive. That was the case in the NFC Championship Game against the 49ers, when he had 103 passing yards and a touchdown in the second half for 10 Fantasy points, which is the most production he's had in the postseason thus far through two games. Manning is obviously the best quarterback in this game, but depending on your Playoff Challenge roster, don't be afraid of Wilson.

Knowshon Moreno (vs. SEA): Moreno is dealing with bruised ribs, but he's excepted to play in the Super Bowl barring a setback. While the matchup appears tough, Moreno should have the chance to score at least seven Fantasy points based on his production this season. He had at least seven points in 14 of his past 15 games overall, including both playoff matchups. He will definitely get the ball as a receiver with five or more catches in three of his past six games. And the Seahawks have given up production to running backs of late with Khiry Robinson and Anthony Dixon scoring touchdowns in each of the two playoff games the past two weeks. Since Week 14, Seattle has allowed three running backs -- Frank Gore, Rashard Mendenhall and Robinson -- to score at least eight Fantasy points. Look for Denver to spread out Seattle's defense and give Moreno some potential running room. We wouldn't shy away from him in the Playoff Challenge just because of Seattle's elite defense.

Wes Welker (vs. SEA): We'll find out if Manning is willing to challenge Sherman or Byron Maxwell, who have been the best cover corners for the Seahawks down the stretch. They line up on the outside and will likely match up with Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker. Manning likely will look toward Welker against slot corner Walter Thurmond, who isn't an easy target, but the Broncos might have more success with Welker than anyone else. Last year with the Patriots, Welker went into Seattle and had 10 catches for 138 yards and a touchdown. He struggled against the Patriots in the AFC Championship Game -- unless you consider taking out Aqib Talib (knee) a success -- with just four catches for 38 yards on five targets, but he did score in the previous playoff game against the Chargers with six catches for 38 yards. The Seahawks have allowed a receiver to score in consecutive games with Marques Colston and Anquan Boldin, and I like Welker the best of Denver's receivers in the Super Bowl in terms of potential success.

Sit 'Em

Eric Decker (vs. SEA): Decker and Thomas have the chance to see the most attention from Seattle's best corners in Sherman and Maxwell, and that should be a tough matchup for both. Thomas is too good to consider benching no matter the opponent, but Decker has struggled enough of late to show us he might have another bad game. In two playoff games thus far, he's combined for seven catches for 105 yards, and he had a ball bounce off his chest in the end zone in the Divisional round against San Diego that led to an interception. If the Broncos keep Thomas on the right side then he'll likely see a lot of Sherman, meaning Decker will get Maxwell. That's no easy task, as Maxwell was targeted four times in the NFC Championship Game in coverage against Michael Crabtree and Boldin, and he held them to one catch for 22 yards. And if the Broncos move Decker to the right side, well then Sherman should have a significant edge. We'll see how the Broncos get creative with their passing attack, but Decker is prone to these disappearing acts since he went four games in the regular season without a touchdown. In ranking Denver's receivers this week, he's third behind Welker and Thomas, and I have no problem sitting him in any Playoff Challenge.

Doug Baldwin (at DEN): Baldwin was a hero for the Seahawks in the NFC Championship Game with six catches for a season-high 106 yards, and he also added a 69-yard kickoff return. He did that despite playing through a significant hip injury suffered in the second quarter. The injury could come at the right time for Seattle with Percy Harvin (concussion) expected to return for the Super Bowl, and Harvin could slide into Baldwin's role should he be out. But even if Baldwin plays, his role will be reduced if Harvin is able to suit up as expected, so use caution when setting your lineup in any Playoff Challenge leagues. It was great to see Baldwin shine like he did against the 49ers, but Harvin's presence should douse any potential momentum. Besides, Baldwin has struggled on the road this season with only one game with double digits in Fantasy points. The good news was it came at the Giants in MetLife Stadium in Week 15 when he had six catches for 71 yards and a touchdown, but it was a game where Harvin didn't play.

Julius Thomas (vs. SEA): Thomas is among the best Fantasy tight ends -- he's No. 2 on my draft list for 2014 -- but that hasn't mattered to the Seahawks in the postseason. So far they have faced Jimmy Graham and Vernon Davis in consecutive games and held them to a combined three catches for 24 yards, which is incredible. Now, Seattle has allowed six touchdowns to tight ends this season with three reaching double digits in Fantasy points. And the Broncos are going to spread out this Seattle defense to allow Thomas plenty of room to operate in single coverage. He also will likely get close to the nine targets by himself that Graham (six) and Davis (three) combined for against Seattle, since he has 18 targets in the two playoff games and hasn't had fewer than five targets in eight consecutive games. But this Seattle defense will make it tough on Thomas, who has gone three games in a row without a touchdown. He's easily the best tight end left for any Playoff Challenge leagues, but don't be surprised if he's held to single digits in Fantasy points for the sixth time in his past seven games based on the matchup.

My Playoff Challenge Team

Here's the progression of my Playoff Challenge teams starting with the Wild Card round:

QB: Andy Dalton, Bengals (49 units) 15 points
RB: Donald Brown, Colts (48 units) 21 points
RB: LeSean McCoy, Eagles (64 units) 14 points
WR: Anquan Boldin, 49ers (36 units) 3 points
WR: T.Y. Hilton, Colts (30 units) 34 points
TE: Vernon Davis, 49ers (38 units) 9 points
K: Alex Henery, Eagles (15 units) 6 points
DST: Eagles (20 units) 8 points

Then the Divisional round:

QB: Peyton Manning, Broncos (76 units) 19 points
RB: Donald Brown, Colts (48 units) 6 points
RB: Montee Ball, Broncos (21 units) 5 points
WR: Anquan Boldin, 49ers (36 units) 13 points
WR: T.Y. Hilton, Colts (30 units) 10 points
TE: Vernon Davis, 49ers (38 units) 6 points
K: Phil Dawson, 49ers (24 units) 11 points
DST: Broncos (27 units) 10 points

Then the Championship round:

QB: Peyton Manning, Broncos (76 units) 28 points
RB: Stevan Ridley, Patriots (33 units) 1 point
RB: Montee Ball, Broncos (21 units) 5 points
WR: Anquan Boldin, 49ers (36 units) 11 points
WR: Wes Welker, Broncos (41 units) 3 points
TE: Vernon Davis, 49ers (38 units) 1 point
K: Phil Dawson, 49ers (24 units) 5 points
DST: Broncos (27 units) 6 points

And now the Super Bowl:

QB: Peyton Manning, Broncos 76 units
RB: Marshawn Lynch, Seahawks 65 units
RB: Montee Ball, Broncos 21 units
WR: Empty (Player was eliminated)
WR: Wes Welker, Broncos 41 units
TE: Jacob Tamme, Broncos 6 units
K: Empty Player was eliminated
DST: Broncos 27 units

I only had two transactions remaining for the Super Bowl after losing Ridley, Boldin, Davis and Dawson. So it came down to finding the two players who made the most sense for the Super Bowl while leaving two empty spots. One was easy because of the kicker, which could come back to haunt me, but I'll take my chances with an empty spot there. The other decision was leaving the receiver or tight end open, and the units made the choice for me.

Since I went with Ball for the past two games I decided to add either Lynch or Moreno to get a stud running back, and I went with Lynch based on his incredible performance during the playoffs thus far. Through two games against New Orleans and San Francisco he has 50 carries for 249 yards and three touchdowns, and even the tough Broncos defense shouldn't slow him down too much. Since I already had Welker, I felt OK with my receiving corps since I'm concerned about Demaryius Thomas and Decker and don't have much faith in Seattle's receiving corps.

Using Lynch left me low on units, so I sacrificed at tight end and went with Tamme. As I stated above, don't be surprised if he makes a crucial play or two, and he had two catches for 24 yards and a touchdown against the Patriots last week. I'll need a lot to happen to catch up in the CBSSports.com Fantasy Staff buddy group since I'm currently at No. 117 out of the 1,293 entries. I have 250 points, and I'm 83 points behind the leader. At this point, I'm playing for pride, but good luck to everyone else in different leagues who still have the chance to win.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Jamey at @JameyEisenberg .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Alfred Morris running into tough matchup
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(5:57 pm ET) For as good as Alfred Morris is, owning him in Fantasy can leave you disappointed at times, given the Redskins' sometimes-inconsistent usage of him. You might want to skip the headache in Week 5, with the Seahawks on the way Monday night.

Morris has been productive in each game so far, and currently ranks fifth in the NFL in rushing yardage through four games. Unfortunately, he faces one of the toughest tests in the league this week. The Seahawks have yet to allow an opposing running back to score even six points this season, and their lone touchdown allowed came from little-used Packers fullback John Kuhn in Week 1. Morris has yet to face Seattle in his career, and they are unlikely to give him a very warm welcome.

Morris is nearly a must-start Fantasy option on a weekly basis, but this is one time you might want to avoid relying on him. The workload should be there, but Morris ranks outside of the top-30 for running backs in both Jamey Eisenberg and Dave Richard's Week 5 rankings.   


Jets add LeQuan Lewis, subtract Brandon Smith
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:55 pm ET) The Jets signed cornerback LeQuan Lewis to their practice squad and released corner Brandon Smith from the squad, reports the New York Daily News.

Panthers add Tauren Poole, Horace Miller to practice squad
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:50 pm ET) The Panthers signed running back Tauren Poole and linebacker Horace Miller to their practice squad.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins an interesting long-term prospect
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(5:48 pm ET) Buccaneers tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins returned from a foot injury and immediately served as a key part of the offense in Week 4. Does the rookie second-rounder have sleeper Fantasy potential moving forward?

Seferian-Jenkins was targeted on seven of quarterback Mike Glennon's 42 throws in Sunday's game, a number that left him third on the team. He brought in three of those passes, a decent number considering Glennon struggled with his accuracy all game. The fact that Glennon looked his way so often might be a good sign, since it was the pair's first game together.

After a collegiate career that saw him total 1,840 yards in three seasons, Seferian-Jenkins has a chance to become a big part of this Tampa Bay offense. However, he obviously has a lot to prove before you want to rely on him. Keep an eye on Seferian-Jenkins' play in Week 5 against the Saints, and consider adding him if he and Glennon show a good rapport. 


Lions put Montell Owens on IR
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:47 pm ET) The Lions put running back Montell Owens on injured reserve with a hamstring injury, ending his season.

LaMichael James signs with Dolphins
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:42 pm ET) Former 49ers running back LaMichael James signed with the Dolphins, reports Fox Sports. San Francisco released the oft-injured back following the season opener.

Luke Willson has a lot to prove with increased role
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(5:35 pm ET) The Seahawks will turn to Luke Willson to start at tight end in the coming weeks, with Zach Miller sidelined by ankle surgery. Should Fantasy owners take notice?

Miller had logged 83.5 percent of the team's snaps through three games, so Willson should be in line for a much larger role as the starter. Of course, Miller was nearly a nonfactor in the passing game so far, having been targeted just seven times. Between he and Willson, quarterback Russell Wilson has targeted tight ends just eight times on 87 attempts, after 20.6 percent of his passes went their way a year ago.

Willson might be the better pass catcher of the Seahawks tight end tandem, but we don't have much to go on here. There are better tight end options worth targeting on waivers, at least until Willson proves himself. 


Christian Ponder preparing to start
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:28 pm ET) Vikings quarterback Christian Ponder took the first-team reps Monday and Tuesday while rookie Teddy Bridgewater watched with an ankle injury. "I'm preparing to play, but we're hoping the best for Teddy," Ponder told reporters.

"I've talked to Teddy. He's doing everything he can to prepare and be ready to play."

Ponder has started 35 games, but none with Norv Turner as offensive coordinator. He could be under center Thursday in Green Bay. "It's a very different style of offense than what we've ran the previous three years," Ponder said. "Without Adrian [Peterson], it's different. Defenses play us differently without Adrian. I'm comfortable and fit well in it."


Denard Robinson still a sleeper, but worth checking out
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(5:26 pm ET) Jaguars running back Denard Robinson has not made much of an impact since being given a larger role in the offense, but he might be someone worth taking a flier on in Fantasy anyways.

The Jaguars have relied on Toby Gerhart less and less as the season has gone on, and for good reason. He is averaging just 2.6 yards per carry through four games, with a long run of just 10 yards. And, while Robinson has not been much better (3.3 yards per carry), the team appears willing to give him a bigger role, if only for a change of pace.

Robinson might have some extra value long term in PPR leagues, even if he ultimately never overtakes Gerhart for the starting job. Robinson has been targeted seven times in 70 offensive snaps, compared to seven targets for Gerhart in 133 snaps.

Clearly, the Jaguars are not thrilled with their investment in Gerhart this offseason, so Robinson is going to get more chances to cut into his playing time if he can show a pulse. At this point, Robinson is a long way from starting, but in deeper leagues, he might have some upside.


Luke Willson gets starting opportunity
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:11 pm ET) With Seahawks tight end Zach Miller recovering from ankle surgery, Luke Willson will start Monday's game in Washington, reports the Seattle Post-Intelligencer. The second-year pro caught 20 passes for 272 yards and a touchdown as a rookie.

"When you're the backup guy, you're kind of always prepared for it," Willson said. "I don't really feel like I'm really entering any new territory."

A fifth-round pick out of Rice, Willson started two games last year when Miller hurt his hamstring.


 
 
 
Rankings