Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2013 Consistency Breakdown: Tight ends

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Consistency Breakdowns: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs

We keep waiting for the year when tight ends break out en masse.

We're still waiting.

Jimmy Graham still did his thing, as did Rob Gronkowski when he was healthy. Julius Thomas emerged, Vernon Davis re-established himself and Tony Gonzalez went out with a bang. But outside of those guys, the only tight end to average over 8.0 Fantasy points per game was Jordan Cameron at 8.5, helped in big part by a strong start to the season. Mainstays like Jason Witten, Antonio Gates and Greg Olsen all failed to hit that average. In total, eight tight ends averaged eight Fantasy points per game, but it includes Dwayne Allen (eight points in his only game) and Owen Daniels (who played five games).

Check out our Fantasy Football podcast!
There is no better source for entertaining Fantasy advice than our Fantasy Football Today podcast. Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Adam Aizer will help you pass the time as you anticipate Draft Day 2014!
Latest episode | Subscribe today!

Know this: Last year, the tight ends that finished in the Top 12 averaged 7.01 Fantasy points per week. This year, that average has been 7.7 points. So basically, if your tight end had eight Fantasy points it was on par with the average of the Top 12. So unlike the double-digit numbers we might judge running backs and receivers by, we're calling eight points by a tight end a successful stat line.

You can count on three drafting strategies next year: Go with a stud tight end with an early-round pick (Graham is going to be a sure-fire first-round pick), settle for a borderline stud a little later (Round 4, maybe 5 for someone like Vernon Davis) or wait forever and take a stab at one late just to fill out a roster. There will be a couple of sleepers as there are every year, and there will be familiar names that will show up on draft boards. But it seems rather clear that having a consistent Fantasy tight end can help your team pile on points week after week.

Consistent: Greg Olsen

Fantasy point average: 6.9 over 16 games / 8+ points: 8 of 16 games (50.0 pct.)
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 TOTAL
FPTS 5 14 5 bye 7 1 4 8 12 1 11 9 8 4 8 3 10 110

Olsen was fine half the time, and believe it or not, that made him seventh best in consistency among his position. But of the five tight ends with at least eight games with eight-plus Fantasy points, Olsen was the only one that had single digits (eight or nine points) four times. He had seven games with five points or less; last year he had 11 such games, so this is actually an improvement. Olsen might have finished as a Top 12 option each of the last two years but he's still someone you settle for in drafts.

Consistent: Jordan Cameron

Fantasy point average: 8.5 over 15 games / 8+ points: 7 of 15 games (46.7 pct.)
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 TOTAL
FPTS 16 9 24 15 3 6 11 8 0 bye 2 3 4 18 2 DNP 6 127

Anyone who owned Cameron would argue that he wasn't very consistent at all. After starting the season with four straight solid games, he came through with eight or more points just three other times in his remaining 11 games. But the sad reality is that Cameron was still among the Top 12 in not just Fantasy points for tight ends, but also consistency among tight ends. It also helped that Cameron had 10-plus points in five of the seven big games he had, tied for fifth best at the position. The preseason notion that Cameron would step up and have a big year was accurate -- he had massive career-highs across the board. We just wish it could have come with more weekly stability.

Consistent: Jermichael Finley

Fantasy point average: 9.2 over 5 games / 8+ points: 3 of 5 games (60.0 pct.)
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 TOTAL
FPTS 11 12 n/a bye 3 7 13 DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 46

The first thought everyone will have about Finley is whether or not he'll even play in 2014. Finley had spinal fusion surgery after a major neck injury cut his season short. He's a free agent and wants to sign somewhere this offseason, but it's not going to be a rich, long-term deal. The one thing Finley has on his side is a nice 2013 campaign where he exceeded the 10-point mark three times in effectively five games. He seems like he was on his way to a great year before the injury -- here's hoping he heads back in that direction if and when he finds a team to play for in 2014.

Inconsistent: Jason Witten

Fantasy point average: 7.9 over 16 games / 8+ points: 6 of 16 games (37.5 pct.)
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 TOTAL
FPTS 19 1 6 4 18 2 4 1 16 2 bye 15 5 7 13 1 13 127

We've all come to know and love Witten as a staple of Fantasy Football. Well, he's become one of the most inconsistent staples of Fantasy Football. While he had six games with 10-plus Fantasy points last year, those were his only games with at least eight. He had one game with seven, one with six and eight with five or fewer points. Brutal! This isn't a new development either -- last year he had seven games with five or fewer points, another two with six points and just five with 10-plus points. Witten also had just six 10-point games and seven with eight points in 2011. Witten's production is a commentary on tight ends in general: He's horribly inconsistent but still productive enough to find himself as a Top 12 tight end year after year because there aren't enough solid tight ends to compete with him.

Inconsistent: Antonio Gates

Fantasy point average: 6.4 over 16 games / 8+ points: 5 of 16 games (31.3 pct.)
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 TOTAL
FPTS 4 10 11 19 7 2 3 0 5 6 11 2 2 5 2 4 9 102

Gates had 10-plus points in three of his first four games to start 2013. In the 12 games after, he had over eight Fantasy points twice and eight games with five points or less. In fact, Gates has 10 games with eight-plus Fantasy points over the last two years and 16 in the last three! The issue is pushed further when you see that the Chargers have another tight end in Ladarius Green, who is more explosive than Gates heading into 2014. That doesn't mean Gates won't get a bunch of targets or touchdowns -- the two could play together at the same time -- but it's clear the big man we've called a cinch for Fantasy purposes is slowing down. Owed $5 million next year when he's 34 and catching passes at an average well under 11.5 yards per grab over the last two years, Gates can't be considered the stud he once was.

Inconsistent: Jared Cook

Fantasy point average: 5.5 over 16 games / 8+ points: 4 of 16 games (25.0 pct.)
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 TOTAL
16 24 1 4 4 2 4 3 3 9 1 0 14 4 4 0 2 9 88

It shocked me that Cook finished the 2013 season as a Top 12 tight end. It did not shock me that Cook finished 25th in consistency. He had a mammoth game in Week 1 and another sizable game in Week 12. Between those games he was consistent -- consistently awful. He had 31 Fantasy points total from Week 2 through Week 10 (nine games). How duped were we after all the glowing reports during training camp and then that huge Week 1? We all thought Cook was on his way to breaking out. Instead, he made the Titans look like geniuses -- they're the ones that didn't franchise him last offseason and let the Rams overpay for him. Meanwhile, the tight end the Titans did get -- Delanie Walker -- had just as many eight-plus-point games as Cook and finished one Fantasy point shy of tying him for 11th overall at the position. No one should have plans to draft Cook in 2014.

Consistency Rankings
Rank Player GP FPTS/gm 8+ Consistency Rank Player GP FPTS/gm 8+ Consistency
1 Dwayne Allen 1 8.0 1 100.0% 13 Garrett Graham 13 5.8 5 38.5%
2 Jimmy Graham 16 13.2 12 75.0% 14 Jason Witten 16 7.9 6 37.5%
3 Julius Thomas 14 10.3 10 71.4% 14 Charles Clay 16 7.1 6 37.5%
3 Rob Gronkowski 7 11.4 5 71.4% 14 Coby Fleener 16 5.1 6 37.5%
5 Vernon Davis 15 10.4 10 66.7% 14 Brent Celek 16 4.7 6 37.5%
6 Jermichael Finley 5 9.2 3 60.0% 14 Kyle Rudolph 8 5.6 3 37.5%
7 Tony Gonzalez 16 8.1 9 56.3% 19 Jordan Reed 9 7.2 3 33.3%
8 Greg Olsen 16 6.9 8 50.0% 19 Anthony Fasano 9 3.7 3 33.3%
9 Jordan Cameron 15 8.5 7 46.7% 21 Antonio Gates 16 6.4 5 31.3%
10 Timothy Wright 14 5.7 6 42.9% 21 Martellus Bennett 16 6.0 5 31.3%
11 Marcedes Lewis 10 5.4 4 40.0% 23 Delanie Walker 15 5.8 4 26.7%
11 Owen Daniels 5 8.2 2 40.0% 23 Jeff Cumberland 15 3.9 4 26.7%

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Dave at @daverichard .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Michael Bennett misses Seahawks' workouts
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(8:40 pm ET) Seahawks defensive lineman Michael Bennett missed the opening of the team's strength and conditions workout on Monday.

The two-week program is voluntary for veterans, so Bennett won't be punished for missing it. The Seattle Times reported that Bennett was not satisfied with his contract. Bennett is in the second year of a four-year, $28.5 million contract. 

A source told the Times that Bennett won't report, because he wants the team to renegotiate. 


Dolphins waive OG Davonte Wallace
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(7:55 pm ET) The Dolphins waived offensive guard Davonte Wallace on Tuesday, the team announced.

Wallace, 23, has yet to appear in an NFL game over the last two seasons.


Raiders move Taiwan Jones to running back
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(7:14 pm ET) After spending the last two seasons as a cornerback, the Raiders will move Taiwan Jones back to running back this season, reports CSNBayArea.com.

Jones was drafted in 2011 as a running back out of Eastern Washington. He has been playing in the defensive back field since the 2013 season. Jones missed 15 games last season with a foot injury.


Raiders' Del Rio on Michael Crabtree: Good to have him on team
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(6:27 pm ET) Raiders coach Jack Del Rio said he is pleased the team was recently able to add veteran wide receiver Michael Crabtree, reports CSNBayArea.com.

"It's great to have Michael on board," Del Rio said. "Obviously, he's a guy that's been a productive player on a real good team the last several years and comes in here eager to join our organization and become a good teammate and to find his way and create a role for himself. So, he's a guy that has an outstanding catching radius, a real good understanding of how to get himself open and find some of the soft spots in a defense. He knows how to go up and make the contested catch and those kinds of things. We feel good about being able to acquire Michael."

Crabtree is trying to rebound after a disappointing 2014 season where he caught 68 passes for 698 yards and four touchdowns.


Ravens sign LS Patrick Scales to exclusive rights tender
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(6:12 pm ET) The Ravens signed long snapper Patrick Scales to his exclusive rights tender, the team announced.

Attorney: Greg Hardy seeks to have domestic charges expunged
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5:34 pm ET) Cowboys defensive end Greg Hardy has filed a petition to have domestic violence charges expunged from the record, according to his attorney per the Charlotte Observer.

The process to have the charges removed could take up to four months.

"Every day Americans who have misdemeanor charges dismissed file for expungement of the charges from their record," said Chris Fialko, Hardy's attorney.

Hardy has the charges against him dismissed in February after his accuser and ex-girlfriend Nicole Holder was unable to testify in a jury trial. Holder received a settlement from Hardy in an undisclosed amount, according to prosecutors.


Stephen Jones: Cowboys' Tony Romo will have big year
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(4:50 pm ET) Cowboys chief operating officer Stephen Jones is optimistic about his team's quarterback for the upcoming season. 

In an appearance on Dallas' KRLD-FM radio, Jones predicted that Tony Romo will have a career year. 

"No question in my mind," Jones said. "I think he keeps getting better. I actually had a visit with him ... and he said he's felt as good as he has felt in years, in terms of his off-season and how his body feels and the work that he's doing. The last couple of years he has been dealing with off-season surgeries and some uncomfortable things. But he said he thinks he's ready to have the best year he's ever had."


Chiefs waive CB Shaquille Richardson
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(3:46 pm ET) The Chiefs released cornerback Shaquille Richardson on Tuesday, the team announced.

Richardson was signed to a one-year deal in February. He has never appeared in an NFL game.


Cowboys sign Lance Dunbar, Chris Jones to tender offers
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(3:43 pm ET) The Cowboys signed running back Lance Dunbar and punter Chris Jones to their restricted free agent tender offers Tuesday, reports The Dallas Morning News. The offers were for $1.542 million.

Jerrell Freeman skipping Colts' voluntary workouts
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(3:29 pm ET) Colts linebacker Jerrell Freeman was a no-show at the team's offseason workouts that started on Monday.

Freeman is a restricted free agent and still hasn't signed his offer from the team, per the Indy Star. The Colts offered a one-year $2.35 million deal that would require a second-round pick as compensation from any team that signs Freeman. 

Freeman has until Friday to get an offer from another team. The Colts workouts are voluntary, so there will be no penalty for Freeman missing them.


 
 
 
Rankings