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2014 Draft Prep: Sleepers, 2.0

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Breakouts, 2.0 | Busts, 2.0

Back in March, when we did the first version of this sleepers' column, it was before the start of free agency and well before the draft. Some of the choices we made then still hold, while others are not worth mentioning.

To recap, here are the Sleepers 1.0:

Robert Griffin III, QB, Redskins
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers
Marcus Lattimore, RB, 49ers
Latavius Murray, RB, Raiders
Khiry Robinson, RB, Saints
Christine Michael, RB, Seahawks
Justin Hunter, WR, Titans
Markus Wheaton, WR, Steelers
Jarrett Boykin, WR, Packers
Kenny Stills, WR, Saints
Kyle Rudolph, TE, Vikings
Joseph Fauria, TE, Lions

Of that group, the players I still believe in strongly are Griffin, Roethlisberger, Robinson, Michael, Hunter, Boykin and Rudolph. I'm OK with Wheaton and Stills, but they are just late-round fliers at best.

As for the rest, Lattimore was essentially replaced by Carlos Hyde during the NFL Draft, and the Raiders brought in free agent Maurice Jones-Drew, which impacts Murray in a negative way. And you can forget about Fauria now that the Lions added Eric Ebron in the first round of the NFL Draft.

For this version, we have a much better idea of how each player should perform this season. We will be updating this column a third time toward the end of the preseason, but hopefully many of these players will remain sleepers heading into your Draft Day.

Carson Palmer, QB, Cardinals

I'm a big fan of Bruce Arians' offense, and I'm expecting big things for the Cardinals' skill players this year. It's why Andre Ellington was a breakout in March, and Michael Floyd will be a Breakout 2.0. Palmer showed last year after Arizona's bye week that he appeared to finally grasp Arians' system. In his final eight games, Palmer had four outings with at least 24 Fantasy points, four games with at least 300 passing yards and five games with multiple touchdowns. He had a full offseason to master the offense, and all the reports are glowing. The offensive line is better, and Palmer has the chance to be this year's version of Philip Rivers as a quarterback you draft late but surprises as a Top 5 option. I plan to target him with a late-round pick in all leagues.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 135-140 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Philip Rivers, Andy Dalton, Johnny Manziel

Pierre Thomas, RB, Saints

The popular sentiment with the Saints is Darren Sproles was the best running back catching passes out of the backfield, and for the most part that was the case – except for last season. Most Fantasy owners would be surprised to know Thomas led all running backs in receptions in the NFL with 77, which was six better than Sproles. This is now at least 50 catches for Thomas in two of the past three seasons, and he could take on a bigger role in the passing game with Sproles gone. While Thomas won't dramatically increase his reception total, another season with 70-plus catches is likely. He will lose production on the ground to Khiry Robinson and Mark Ingram, and Travaris Cadet could also help replace Sproles. But Thomas should still be the best running back for the Saints, and he is worth drafting with a mid-round pick. Keep in mind that last year, Thomas was No. 23 in Fantasy points in a standard league and is capable of repeating that production in 2014.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 75-80 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Maurice Jones-Drew, Fred Jackson, Knowshon Moreno

Terrance West, RB, Browns

This is the one player for the Browns I'd be fine drafting based on his Average Draft Position, which should be around Round 8. I have no interest in Ben Tate in Round 5 or even Jordan Cameron in Round 5. Cleveland, which is expected to be without a suspended Josh Gordon, is going to be run dominant. And while Tate will start, he should share touches with West, who was drafted in the third round out of Towson. Tate missed time during offseason workouts and has proven to be injury prone, and while he was out West got a chance to showcase his skills. He is familiar with the zone-blocking scheme the Browns will use, and he could be Cleveland's best running back this year. He should be considered the second-best rookie running back this season behind Bishop Sankey, and he's worth drafting as a No. 3 running back with flex potential.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 85-90 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Khiry Robinson, Devonta Freeman, Knowshon Moreno

Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons

I got the chance to spend some time with Freeman this offseason when he was preparing for the NFL Draft with noted trainer Tony Villani in South Florida. I asked Freeman to describe his game, and he said he's a combination of Sproles, Ray Rice and Maurice Jones-Drew with "wiggle like Chris Johnson." It's an impressive combination, if accurate. "I'm physical, I'm tough, I love to block," Freeman said. We expect Freeman to get quite a bit of playing time with Steven Jackson, 30, on the downside of his career and an injury risk. If the Falcons are moving toward a passing team -- and they should be with Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Roddy White -- then giving Freeman an expanded role makes sense. He won't score a lot of touchdowns, but he could gain 1,000 total yards and five touchdowns. Like West, he's a No. 3 running back with flex potential.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 110-115 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Darren Sproles, DeAngelo Williams, Danny Woodhead

Stepfan Taylor, RB, Cardinals

As stated above with Palmer, I like the Cardinals this season, and Taylor is someone I plan to target with a late-round pick in standard leagues. Ellington will shine as a breakout candidate, but Taylor should be the "big back" running between the tackles. He'll have to prove he's better than free agent-signee Jonathan Dwyer, but if he gets the No. 2 job as expected, he could help replace Rashard Mendenhall, who had 217 carries for 687 yards and eight touchdowns. I think the touchdown total is possible, and I wouldn't be surprised if he has more rushing yards than Mendenhall behind a revamped offensive line. Taylor is a great handcuff for Ellington, but he can also be a potential starting option on his own. As long as Dwyer doesn't get in the way, Taylor will surprise a lot of Fantasy owners this year with a late-round pick.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 135-140 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Tre Mason, LeGarrette Blount, Darren Sproles

Lamar Miller, RB, Dolphins

I never expected to consider drafting Miller this season. He was a disappointment last year, the Dolphins added Knowshon Moreno this offseason and Miller would, at best, be a late-round flier. But then Moreno showed up to offseason workouts out of shape and ended up having knee surgery. He's expected to be ready for Week 1, but Miller will now have an entire offseason working as the starter for new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor, which gives him an opportunity to impress. And for all of Miller's troubles last season, he still managed at least eight Fantasy points in five of the seven games where he had at least 12 touches. He had double digits in carries just eight times, so hopefully he gets more work this year if Moreno is out. You can draft Miller with a late-round pick, and the Dolphins offensive line should be improved as long as Mike Pouncey (hip) isn't out long. There's now a reason for optimism with Miller heading into training camp.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 95-100 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Tre Mason, Jeremy Hill, Carlos Hyde

Bernard Pierce, RB, Ravens

We were still awaiting word on how long Rice could be suspended. Depending on how long he's out, Pierce could have an expanded role, which could even continue when Rice is active. The Ravens want to become more of a committee backfield after Rice struggled last season, and Pierce along with Justin Forsett and rookie Lorenzo Taliaferro will all be fighting for touches. Pierce wasn't so great last season either with 152 carries for 436 yards (2.9 yards per carry) and two touchdowns and 20 catches for 104 yards. But the hope is the addition of offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak and an improved offensive line can breathe life into this running game. If Pierce looks good in training camp, his value will rise, depending on how long Rice is out. He's easily worth a late-round pick in all leagues.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 115-120 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Darren Sproles, Danny Woodhead, Darren McFadden

Jeremy Maclin, WR, Eagles

Maclin is returning from last year's torn ACL, and all reports are he's back to 100 percent. He should be the No. 1 receiver for the Eagles this year. In two of the previous three seasons, Maclin was the best receiver for the Eagles, finishing with more Fantasy points than DeSean Jackson in 2010 -- he was the No. 12 receiver that year -- and 2012. We hope Chip Kelly's offense can help Maclin reach career highs since he's never had more than 70 catches or 965 yards in a season, but he could best those marks this year. Don't expect him to be Jackson because they have a different skill set, but he's a better gamble than Riley Cooper if you're looking at Philadelphia receivers on Draft Day. We would target Maclin with a mid-round pick as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver with starting potential.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 75-80 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Marques Colston, T.Y. Hilton, Eric Decker

Brandin Cooks, WR, Saints

Rookie receivers rarely make an impact for Fantasy owners right away, but Cooks could be an exception since he landed in New Orleans with Drew Brees and Sean Payton. The Saints traded up to draft Cooks in the first round at No. 20 overall, and he could help replace Sproles and/or Lance Moore. There's a role that should be carved out for Cooks, and Brees is excited to work with him in training camp. "From all indications, this guy can do a lot of things for us, and he's eager to fill a role that we need him to on offense," Brees said this offseason. Don't plan on drafting Cooks or any rookie receiver as a starter, but he should be considered a No. 3 or 4 option with a late-round pick. He will compete with Sammy Watkins and Mike Evans for the No. 1 rookie receiver this year.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 100-105 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Mike Evans, Reggie Wayne, Dwayne Bowe

Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Panthers

I have minimal expectations for Benjamin this season. But let's face it, someone has to catch the ball for the Panthers this year after Steve Smith, Brandon LaFell and Ted Ginn all left. Greg Olsen remains the top target and is likely the only receiving option worth drafting in Carolina, but Benjamin is worth consideration with a late-round flier, especially over his counterparts in Jerricho Cotchery or Jason Avant. Cam Newton should find it easy to connect with Benjamin, who is a giant at 6-foot-5, 235 pounds. Benjamin had 54 catches for 1,011 yards and 15 touchdowns last season at Florida State, and it wouldn't be a surprise for him to lead all rookie receivers in touchdowns. I'd consider him as a No. 4 receiver with a pick in Round 10 or later.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 150-155 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Marvin Jones, Anquan Boldin, Cecil Shorts

Rod Streater, WR, Raiders

If Streater were on a different team Fantasy owners might have more optimism heading into this season, but because it's the Raiders he's going to get overlooked. But Streater is entering his third year, and a breakout is definitely possible. His stats are trending in the right direction from 39 catches, 584 yards and three touchdowns as a rookie in 2012 to 60 catches, 888 yards and four touchdowns last year. We hope he will continue to progress this year, and the upgrade at quarterback with Matt Schaub should definitely help. The Raiders will likely be trailing in a lot of games, which means a lot of passing, and Streater should be the best receiver in Oakland ahead of James Jones, Denarius Moore, Andre Holmes and Greg Little. I have no problem gambling on him with a late-round flier.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 180-185 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Danny Amendola, Odell Beckham, Steve Smith

Heath Miller, TE, Steelers

Miller had a career year in 2012 with 71 catches for 816 yards and eight touchdowns, and he was the No. 4 Fantasy tight end behind Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski and Tony Gonzalez. He suffered a torn ACL in Week 16 that year and never looked like himself in 2013. Well, Roethlisberger said this offseason "the old Heath" is back, and he is worth drafting with a late-round pick if you miss on a Top 10 Fantasy tight end and don't like your other options. I put Miller in the same category as Eric Ebron, Martellus Bennett and Ladarius Green, and Miller might have the best year of that group. The Steelers have to replace Emmanuel Sanders and Cotchery, and Miller should be No. 2 on the pecking order behind Antonio Brown. Miller could easily return as a Top 10 tight end this season.
Will likely be drafted ... Pick No. 140-145 overall
I'd take him ahead of: Ladarius Green, Antonio Gates, Delanie Walker

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Player News
Report: Torn pectoral sidelines Vikings CB Josh Robinson
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(7/4/2015) The Vikings secondary took a hit last month when cornerback Josh Robinson sustained a partially torn pectoral muscle, a league source has told ESPN.

The nickel back played in 690 snaps last season and was expected to battle several others for playing time. The injury could sideline him from training camp and land him on the PUP list.


Report: Packers' Andrew Quarless arrested on gun charges
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(7/4/2015) Packers tight end Andrew Quarless was arrested for firing a gun twice in Miami on Saturday, per the Miami New Times.

Quarless was involved in a fight at South Beach and fired the gun into the ground. 


Titans receivers can thrive in YAC with Marcus Mariota's accuracy
by Ruben Palacios | Staff Writer
(7/3/2015) The Titans wide receiving corps could gain more yards after the catch this season because of rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota and his accurate throws, per ESPN.com.

The Titans were 24th in the league in yards after the catch last season, but with Mariota under center that can all change.

“If you have an accurate quarterback, it allows us to get more yards after that catch,” wide receiver Harry Douglas said. “And that’s one thing that makes a receiver dynamic -- first being able to catch the ball and then being able to do some things with it after you catch it. I feel like [to this point] Marcus has done everything he needs to do to get the ball to his receivers.”


Saints RB Khiry Robinson doesn't feel he's on outside looking in
by Ruben Palacios | Staff Writer
(7/3/2015) Saints running back Khiry Robinson might be the least known of his backfield counterparts, but he doesn't feel like the off man out, per ESPN.com.

Robinson knows the team is heavily invested in the likes of Mark Ingram and C.J. Spiller, but he's still confident he can thrive in whatever role the Saints put him in.

“I’m the type of person, I’m gonna get what I get and do what I do with it. So whether it’s 20 carries or one carry, I’m gonna do the best of my ability every play,” Robinson said.

Robinson has shown flashes of success during his three years in the league. Injuries played a key role against him last season, which can ultimately put him as the third back on the depth chart. He will use the offseason to continue to improve and challenge his counterparts for playing time.

“I just gotta keep working,” Robinson. “It’s all love in the backfield. We all work together, try to help each other. So I think it’s a good thing we’ve got a full backfield again. So if anybody goes down, we’ve got another player right up there to do the same thing.”


Browns OL Michael Bowie itching to compete for starting spot
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(7/3/2015) Browns offensive lineman Michael Bowie is not required to report to training camp until the end of July. But never mind that - he's heading out after the last Independence Day firework explodes in the sky.

Bowie is itching to get started. He missed all of last season due to a shoulder injury after starting for Seattle on its Super Bowl title team in 2013. He is seeking to stay in tip-top shape in an attempt to land a starting spot on a Cleveland line that is the strength of the team.

"It's up to them to decide who is the best five," Bowie told the team website. "All I can do is take care of my business. Hopefully I can get a shot. That's what I'm working for."

Bowie participated fully in the offseason program, working mostly with the second team at right tackle. That will likely be the spot at which he competes for a starting job. Incumbent Mitchell Schwartz has not performed particularly well there and Mike Pettine has vowed there will be competition all over the field in camp.


Redskins OLB Ryan Kerrigan nearly recovered from knee surgery
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(7/3/2015) Redskins outside linebacker Ryan Kerrigan appears to be on target to join the team for training camp after undergoing arthroscopic knee surgery that prevented him from participating in earlier offseason activities.

Kerrigan, who registered a career-high 13 1/2 sacks a year ago, had the operation to alleviate pain in the area.

"My leg feels really good and I'm glad I got the surgery - not just for football but it makes my everyday life feel better so I'm glad I got it done," he told CSN Washington. "Now it's just a matter of getting stronger and getting into shape."

Kerrigan added that he's been running and now only needs to regain strength to insure his place at training camp.


Texans waive DT Brandon Ivory
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(7/2/2015) The Texans waived rookie defensive tackle Brandon Ivory on Thursday, according to ESPN.com

Ivory was arrested on first degree burglary charges in Tuscaloosa, Ala. just one day ago. Ivory's agent Jeff Guerriero said Ivory is not guilty of the charge. 

"I spoke to Brandon he is not guilty and his name will be cleared of all charges," Guerriero said. 


Chargers TE Antonio Gates suspended 4 games for PED use
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(7/2/2015) Chargers tight end Antonio Gates has been suspended four games for violating the NFL's performance-enhancing drugs policy, the team announced. 

It's unknown at this time what drug Gates tested positive for. Gates, in a statement, said he was unaware that he took a banned substance

"In my 12 years in the NFL, I have taken tremendous pride in upholding the integrity of the NFL shield and all that it entails," Gates said. "I have taken extreme care of my body with a holistic approach and I have never knowingly ingested a substance that was banned by the NFL. In an effort to recover from this past season, I used supplements and holistic medicines, and unfortunately, I have now learned that those substances always present a risk because they may contain banned substances even if the ingredient list doesn’t reflect them.

"As an NFL veteran and team leader, I should have done my due diligence to ensure that what I was taking for recovery was within the NFL guidelines. I understand that I am responsible for what is in my body and I have always believed that ignorance is no excuse when it comes to these issues. I take full responsibility for my actions. I’d like to express my sincere apologies to the Chargers, my teammates, coaches, fans and the league who have always supported me and expected and gotten nothing but the highest level of integrity from me."

With Gates out for four games, the Chargers will turn to Ladarius Green as the team's top tight end, though it was expected for Green to continue getting more looks in the passing game. Green is entering the final season of his rookie contract. 

The Chargers expressed disappointment in Gates for his suspension but plans to stick with the longtime veteran through the suspension. 

"We are tremendously disappointed for our team and our fans as well as Antonio, but no more disappointed than Antonio is with himself," the Chargers stated. "Antonio is a member of the Chargers' family and we will continue to support him 100-percent. We have the utmost confidence he will stay in excellent shape for the season and be ready to go when he returns in Week 5. While it's unfortunate to not have him to start the season, we have complete confidence our tight end group will continue to play at a high level."  


Packers' Datone Jones out 1 game for substance-abuse violation
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(7/2/2015) Packers defensive lineman Datone Jones will be suspended for one game for violating the NFL's substance-abuse policy, according to NFL.com. 

Jones will miss Green Bay's season-opener against the Bears. In 2014, Jones totaled 22 tackles and 1 1/2 sacks in 13 games played. 


Cowboys LB Rolando McClain suspended four games for 2015
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(7/2/2015) The Cowboys announced that linebacker Rolando McClain has been suspended for the first four games of the 2015 season due to violating the NFL's substance-abuse policy. 

McClain hasn't been able to participate much in offseason workouts due to going under offseason knee surgery. McClain will be eligible to practice in training camp and is expected to be healthy by then. 

"I apologize to my family, the Cowboys organization, my teammates and Cowboys fans for my mistake. I will not break the rules of my profession in the future, and I regret my error," McClain said in a statement, via CSN Bay Area. "I look forward to returning to the field on week 5, when I hope to help my team beat the Patriots.

In 2014, McClain, who had previously retired twice before being traded from the Ravens to the Cowboys, totaled 81 tackles and a sack in 13 games played.


 
 
 
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