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2014 Draft Prep: Jay Cutler will have a career season

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Here's a question for you. How would you feel about a quarterback who passed for 4,450 yards, 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions? My guess is you would like that a lot.

What if that quarterback had more than 360 Fantasy points? To put that in perspective, Andy Dalton was third in points last season with 353. You'd probably like that number in the majority of leagues, too.

Well, that's what Jay Cutler is capable of this season if he plays 16 games. And health is really the only knock on him. The prediction here is Cutler will have the best season of his career. He's a tremendous value pick based on his Average Draft Position at No. 82 overall as the No. 12 quarterback off the board.

Cutler and Josh McCown combined for those passing stats last year. When you factor in their rushing stats, the duo scored 366 Fantasy points in a standard league, which would have made them the No. 3 quarterback behind Peyton Manning and Drew Brees.

Now, it's difficult to say Cutler will replicate those stats on his own, and he's been injury-prone the past three years. He played in just 10 games in 2011 because of a thumb issue, missed one game in 2012 with a concussion and was limited to 11 games last season because of groin and ankle problems.

But he's healthy now and the Bears are committed to him. He signed a seven-year, $127 million deal this offseason with $54 million guaranteed. On top of that, they let McCown sign as a free agent in Tampa Bay without bringing in a top backup since Jordan Palmer and Jimmy Clausen are the other quarterbacks of note on the roster.

The Bears have faith in Cutler and so do we. The big reasons why are his receiving corps -- led by Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, Matt Forte and Martellus Bennett -- and coach Marc Trestman.

Trestman's offense helped Forte finish as a top-three running back in standard leagues, and Marshall and Jeffery were top-10 receivers. Cutler and McCown combined for a standout campaign, but now we want to see Cutler stand on his own.

When he was healthy last season, Cutler was awesome with six of 10 games (he was hurt early in the Week 7 game at Washington) with at least 20 Fantasy points. He opened the year with 20 or more points in five of six games and he should continue to thrive this season.

Cutler has been a solid Fantasy quarterback in the past -- he has three top-12 finishes on his resume from 2007 to 2009 -- but this could be the best year of his career. His best season was 2008 in Denver when he passed for 4,526 yards, 25 touchdowns and 18 interceptions. He finished with 312 Fantasy points as the No. 5 quarterback. He's been trying to reach that plateau again ever since.

With the Bears, Cutler's best season was 2009 when he passed for 3,666 yards, 27 touchdowns and 26 interceptions, but this year he should shatter those stats. He's going to be one of the best buys on Draft Day.

In my leagues, I like waiting for quarterbacks, and Cutler is usually my fallback option on Draft Day. I'll let other owners reach for their signal-callers early while I horde running backs and receivers, but I know a big reward is waiting for me when I snag Cutler later.

It might not work out how I hope, and Cutler's injury history speaks for itself, but if Cutler stays healthy and plays like we think he can, he could be the biggest difference-maker in all leagues.

His best year is going to happen in 2014.

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Player News
Chiefs won't change game plan with Knile Davis starting
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(10:08 am ET) Chiefs coach Andy Reid said if running back Jamaal Charles (ankle) can't play Sunday at Miami, the game plan won't change significantly with Knile Davis as the starter. "I don't think it would change much from what you saw [Sunday]," Reid told the Kansas City Star.

"[Davis] was involved in a lot of different areas."

Davis ran for 79 yards and two touchdowns and caught six passes for 26 yards in the Week 2 loss at Denver.


Redskins waive Bacarri Rambo
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(9:44 am ET) The Redskins waived safety Bacarri Rambo, according to FOX Sports. Rambo totaled two tackles in two games.

Mychal Kendricks should be fine for Week 3
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1:22 am ET) Eagles linebacker Mychal Kendricks, who left the Monday night win over the Colts with a calf injury, said afterward it was only a spasm and that he'll be fine for Sunday's game against the Redskins, reports the Philadephia Inquirer. Kendricks made seven tackles in the 30-27 victory.

Colts DST comes apart in second half
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1:15 am ET) The Colts DST enjoyed a fine first half against the Eagles, allowing just a pair of field goals. But the unit fell apart in the second half of a 30-27 home loss.

Philly rolled up 458 total yards as running back Darren Sproles (152 receiving yards) shot through Indy's defense on screens and dumpoffs. The Colts finished with one turnover, cornerback Greg Toler's acrobatic interception, and no sacks.

The Colts DST has given up 61 points in two games against high-powered offenses. Indy should have more luck Week 3 when it visits the plodding Jaguars.


Adam Vinatieri nails two field goals
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1:09 am ET) Colts kicker Adam Vinatieri nailed 46- and 27-yard field goals in the Week 2 loss to the Eagles. He added three PATs for a nine-point night.

Vinatieri visits the Jaguars in Week 3.


Hakeem Nicks goes for negative yardage
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1:07 am ET) Colts receiver Hakeem Nicks had a chance for a first-quarter touchdown Monday night, but he could not come down with a fade from Andrew Luck. Nicks ended up catching one of his three targets for minus-4 yards. On the reception, Nicks caught the ball behind the line and was swarmed by Eagles defenders.

Nicks will try to bounce back Week 3 at Jacksonville.


Several Colts pitch in
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(1:04 am ET) The Colts got contributions from a variety of players in the Week 2 loss to the Eagles. Among them, tight end Jack Doyle caught two passes for 12 yards, including a 2-yard score that was his first NFL touchdown. Rookie wideout Donte Moncrief had a 16-yard grab.

Reggie Wayne quiet on MNF
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:57 am ET) Colts wideout Reggie Wayne caught three passes for 28 yards in the Monday night loss to the Eagles. Wayne was targeted seven times, second-most on the team, but took a big step back from his nine-catch, 98-yard performance Week 1.

Wayne visits the Jaguars in Week 3.


T.Y. Hilton draws another 11 targets
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:54 am ET) Colts receiver T.Y. Hilton drew 11 targets for the second straight game Monday night. Hilton caught six passes for 65 yards against the Eagles but failed to generate the big plays he's known for; Andrew Luck overthrew Hilton on one bomb.

Through two games, Hilton has 10 catches for 106 yards and no scores. He visits Jacksonville in Week 3.


Trent Richardson enjoys best game as a Colt
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(12:50 am ET) Colts running back Trent Richardson failed to surpass 64 rushing yards in any game last season. He ran for 79 yards on 21 carries (3.8 ypc) in Monday's loss to the Eagles, adding a 16-yard catch on his lone target.

Richardson got off to a great start and had 57 rushing yards in the first half. He displayed better burst and was hard to bring down. Predictably, Richardson bogged down after halftime, even coughing up a third-quarter fumble.

Still, Richardson will look to build off this performance Week 3 at Jacksonville.


 
 
 
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