Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2014 Draft Prep: ADP review, 3.0

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Editor's note: FanDuel.com is hosting a one-week long $100,000 Fantasy Football contest for just Week 1. It's only $10 to join and first prize is $10,000. Starts Sunday, September 7th at 1 p.m. ET. Enter now

Draft Averages | Rankings | Prep with our podcasts | Draft Index

We're entering the third week of preseason action and Fantasy drafts are ratcheting up. The Average Draft Position is starting to show an accurate description of how your leagues are looking compared to just mock drafts. It's great data to study.

Some of the risers based on two full weeks of preseason action are Jay Cutler, Fred Jackson, Kelvin Benjamin and Zach Ertz. Some of the fallers are Colin Kaepernick, Stevan Ridley, Jeremy Maclin and Eric Ebron.

After this weekend, we'll find out how Fantasy owners feel about Le'Veon Bell, who was starting to decline with the news of a shared backfield with LeGarrette Blount. His stock could fall further after being charged with marijuana possession and a DUI. Blount also was charged with marijuana possession. I'd still draft Bell toward the end of Round 2, but I'd love for him to slip into Round 3. And Blount is worth a late-round pick.

The ADP will continue to change after preseason games this weekend, so stay on top of this information to help you prepare for your Draft Day.

The first round looks like this …

1. Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs
2. LeSean McCoy, RB, Eagles
3. Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
4. Peyton Manning, QB, Broncos
5. Matt Forte, RB, Bears
6. Calvin Johnson, WR, Lions
7. Eddie Lacy, RB, Packers
8. Jimmy Graham, TE, Saints
9. Demaryius Thomas, WR, Broncos
10. Drew Brees, QB, Saints
11. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
12. DeMarco Murray, RB, Cowboys

The quarterbacks are on the rise as Manning moved ahead of Forte for the No. 4 overall spot and Rodgers has crept into Round 1, bumping Montee Ball out. I hope this is because of owners in two-quarterback leagues because there's no need to draft a quarterback that early in one-quarterback formats.

Ball has fallen because he's been out with the appendectomy, but he could play in the final preseason game. I like that he's falling because there's a better chance I can get him in Round 2.

If you take the quarterbacks out of the first round, Ball, Dez Bryant and Marshawn Lynch would move in. While I don't like Lynch at his ADP of No. 15 overall, I wouldn't mind Bryant at No. 12. He could easily challenge Johnson and Thomas for the No. 1 receiver spot this year.

Quarterback breakdown

Andrew Luck moving up: There are some Fantasy owners targeting Luck this season expecting a breakout campaign. Then there are others who shy away from Luck because he was uninspiring last year.

I think Luck will be great this season with the addition of Hakeem Nicks and return to health of Reggie Wayne and Dwayne Allen. Trent Richardson is struggling to run the ball in the preseason and the Colts have talked about opening up the passing game. It's about time.

He's the No. 6 quarterback off the board behind the aforementioned top three, Matthew Stafford and Tom Brady. I'd rather take Luck's upside than Brady and I think No. 6 is a great spot for him. The only other quarterback I like better than Luck is Matt Ryan, who could be a steal as the No. 8 quarterback behind Colin Kaepernick.

Jay Cutler on the rise: Cutler looks locked in this preseason with two solid performances in the first two games. He played well last year in his first season for coach Marc Trestman and if he can stay healthy for 16 games, he could have the best year of his career.

He is currently being drafted as the No. 12 quarterback and he's the perfect passer to wait for if you don't like drafting a quarterback early. One guy who is going ahead of him is Nick Foles at No. 58 overall compared to No. 83 for Cutler. I'd much rather have Cutler at that value.

Cam Newton on the rise: Newton didn't play great in his preseason debut against Kansas City, but it was good to see him on the field after offseason ankle surgery. He is still the No. 13 quarterback off the board behind Cutler at No. 84 overall.

I don't consider Newton a top-12 quarterback coming into the year, but I would definitely gamble on him as a high-end backup, especially if I draft an injury-prone starter like Cutler, Tony Romo or Robert Griffin III. Newton will have plenty of positive moments and this is a good spot to draft him based on his ADP.

Running back breakdown

Running backs on the decline: Of the top 30 running backs on the ADP list, there are 13 with a red arrow showing their value is on the decline. The biggest one is Ridley, who has dropped to No. 79 overall. This came after he fumbled in the second preseason game against the Eagles. I hope Ridley continues to fall because eventually he'll be a steal on Draft Day. The fumbles are a problem, but he'll still have stretches of dominance for a good running team like the Patriots.

Some of the other running backs falling include Ball, Arian Foster, C.J. Spiller, Ryan Mathews, Frank Gore, Ray Rice, Chris Johnson, Richardson and Ben Tate. The ones who make the most sense are Foster, Spiller and Richardson based on their poor play or lack of action this preseason.

Like Ridley, eventually those guys will fall to a spot where it's good value to draft them, so keep an eye on their ADP this weekend. I still think you'll get good production from Spiller in Round 4 and Richardson in Round 6 if that's where they end up. Foster in Round 2 is still a little risky.

Jackson Bill-ding momentum: While Spiller continues to struggle, Jackson is picking up speed on draft boards. He is up to No. 92 overall and rising.

The Bills plan to use Jackson at the goal line and in the passing game even though Spiller will remain the starter. Jackson could end up as a tremendous value pick, but the concern is he's 33 years old and might break down from the extra work.

Prior to last year, Jackson missed six games in each of the previous two seasons. If he falters, Spiller's value would likely improve.

Saints going in different directions: Mark Ingram's ADP is on the rise to No. 137 overall and Khiry Robinson is falling to No. 126 overall. Ingram could pass Robinson this weekend with another solid performance.

The Saints have Ingram as the starter and Pierre Thomas will work on passing downs. Robinson is the hybrid of both, but his stock is dropping because Ingram has looked good through two games, including a touchdown in both outings.

Thomas is still the best running back in New Orleans, but Ingram is looking like a strong second option. He's easily worth a late-round flier at this point and should be taken ahead of Robinson.

Wide receiver breakdown

Receivers on the rise: As the top 30 running backs are dropping in ADP, the top 30 receivers are on the rise. Of that group, 16 have a green arrow pointing up next to their name.

The ones showing the biggest increases include Larry Fitzgerald, Roddy White, Golden Tate and T.Y. Hilton. It's interesting that veterans like Fitzgerald and White are gaining steam.

For Fitzgerald, he remains a solid threat for the Cardinals even with third-year receiver Michael Floyd pushing him for the No. 1 role. Fitzgerald is worth his ADP at No. 39 overall.

White will see more time in the slot this season with Tony Gonzalez retired and he should rebound after last year's injury-plagued campaign. He's a great value pick at No. 53 overall.

Young receivers moving up: Two young receivers on the rise are rookie Kelvin Benjamin and second-year sensation Justin Hunter. Benjamin's ADP is up to No. 117 overall while Hunter is at No. 135.

Benjamin scored a touchdown in his preseason debut against Buffalo and he almost connected on a big play from Newton against the Chiefs. He looks like the definitive No. 1 option for the Panthers and could be the best receiver of this loaded rookie class if he and Newton develop a quick rapport.

As for Hunter, he had a huge second preseason game against the Saints with four catches for 111 yards and two touchdowns. The result? Fantasy owners are buying in. He's gone from sleeper to breakout and we hope his ADP doesn't get overblown. He is currently at No. 135 overall.

New England's receivers: Julian Edelman is the Patriots' top receiver at No. 70 overall, but who comes after him on Draft Day? As of now, the second-best options are Danny Amendola at No. 137, Brandon LaFell at No. 158, Aaron Dobson at No. 159 and Kenbrell Thompkins going mostly undrafted.

Edelman's value is fair and we'll see who emerges from that next group. I'd gamble on Amendola next with Dobson as a nice sleeper if he can overcome his foot woes. Thompkins' value will rise if Dobson can't stay on the field. LaFell is someone to avoid.

Most likely, Edelman will be the only Patriots receiver drafted in the majority of leagues.

Tight end breakdown

Kyle Rudolph, Zach Ertz stars of preseason: Two tight ends playing well in the preseason so far are Rudolph and Ertz. Both have huge breakout potential.

Rudolph gets a boost this season with the addition of new offensive coordinator Norv Turner, who has done well with tight ends in his career going back to Dallas and Jay Novacek to as recently as last season with Jordan Cameron in Cleveland. Rudolph is being drafted at No. 94 overall and he's a great tight end to wait for on Draft Day.

Ertz showed flashes of his potential as a rookie last year, but his preseason performance this season suggests he could be a star. The Eagles need help at receiver with DeSean Jackson gone and injuries limiting Jeremy Maclin (hamstring) and Riley Cooper (ankle) to start the preseason. Ertz is another great buy at No. 100 overall.

Rob Gronkowski slipping: Gronkowski isn't expected to play this preseason coming off last year's torn ACL, so Fantasy owners are getting a little nervous, even though he's slated to play in Week 1. His ADP has dropped to No. 33 overall.

I would draft Gronkowski toward the end of Round 2 because when healthy he's a difference-maker. I know it seems like forever since he's been healthy, but if he's on track for the start of the season, don't be afraid to draft him. If he continues to fall with his ADP that only makes his value that much more appealing.

Eric Ebron fading: Ebron was being drafted as a No. 1 tight end when training camp started, but he's fallen to No. 13 with a pick at No. 127 overall. He might continue to drop if he doesn't do something dramatic in the final two preseason games.

I'm shying away from Ebron, preferring the tight ends being drafted after him in Antonio Gates, Heath Miller, Ladarius Green, Charles Clay, Delanie Walker and Dwayne Allen. All have a higher ceiling than Ebron this year in re-draft leagues.

Now, if we're talking dynasty or keeper leagues, I'd take Ebron for sure. He could be a star as early as 2015.

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Rams not expected to pick up 2016 option on S Mark Barron
by Ted Leshinski | Staff Writer
(4/27/2015) The Rams are not expected to pick up the 2016 option on safety Mark Barron, reports ProFootballTalk.com. 

The Rams acquired Barron from the Buccaneers in a trade midseason last year for a fourth- and sixth-round pick in this year’s draft. 

He started all seven games he was with the Rams in 2014. 

The Rams will evaluate Barron's play in 2015 before deciding if they'll pursue a new contract.


Giants waive running back Michael Cox
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(4/27/2015) The Giants have waived running back Michael Cox, the team has announced.

Cox played in four games in 2014, having his season cut short after suffering a fractured leg in Week 10.

A seventh-round draft choice in 2013, Cox played in 18 games and started one in two seasons for the Giants.

Rams to exercise fifth-year option on DT Michael Brockers
by Ted Leshinski | Staff Writer
(4/27/2015) The Rams have announced that they will exercise the fifth-year option on defensive tackle Michael Brockers, keeping him with the club through at least 2016, per NFL.com. 

Brockers was drafted No. 14 overall in 2012 by the Rams and has started every game for the team the last two seasons. 

The former LSU standout will earn over $5 million in 2016 after signing a four-year, $9.52 million rookie deal.


Report: Eagles excercise fifth-year option on Fletcher Cox
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(4/27/2015) The Eagles have reportedly exercised their fifth-year team option on defensive tackle Fletcher Cox, according to NFL Network.

Cox is entering his four season in Philadelphia, where he has missed just one game his career. Cox has totaled 109 tackles and 12 1/2 sacks in his three seasons with the club.


Bills release DB Jonte Green
by Ted Leshinski | Staff Writer
(4/27/2015) After signing him in January, the Bills have released defensive back Jonte Green, the team has announced.

Green was drafted by the Lions in the sixth round of the 2012 draft out of New Mexico State.

He played 24 games with seven starts over the 2012 and 2013 seasons for the Lions and totaled 38 tackles, one sack, seven passes defensed and one interception.

He did not play in the NFL in 2014.


Bills send DB Jonte Green packing
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4/27/2015) The Bills have released defensive back Jonte Green three-and-a-half months after signing him.

Green played in 24 games with Detroit in 2012 and 2013. He totaled 38 tackles, one sacks and seven passes defensed.


Report: NFLPA appeals Greg Hardy suspension
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4/27/2015) The NFL Players Association has appealed the 10-game suspension of Cowboys defensive end Greg Hardy, per the Charlotte Observer.

The union is expected to claim that NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell applied the discipline retroactively under the new personal conduct policy, which was not enacted until December - seven months after Hardy was arrested on domestic violence charges.

Goodell, however, has claimed that the suspension is identical to what it would have been under the old policy for conduct detrimental to the league.

Hardy, who signed an incentive-enhanced one-year deal with Dallas in March, could lose as much as $5.8 million if the suspension stands.


Redskins pick up QB Robert Griffin III's fifth-year option
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(4/27/2015) Redskins general manager Scot McCloughan announced Monday that the team will pick up quarterback Robert Griffin III's fifth-year option for the 2016 season, a move worth $16.155 million, per The Washington Post

The Redskins have already announced that Griffin will be the starter this season, and locking him up would not affect the team's plans, if they have any, to draft a quarterback. NFL Media insider Albert Breer said the team views the option as a franchise tag of sorts. 

The risk comes in that if Griffin is hurt during this season, the Redskins would be on the hook to pay the full $16 million. If Griffin does not perform well in 2015, the Redskins could release the quarterback without taking a salary-cap hit. 

Griffin threw for 1,694 yards and four touchdowns with six interceptions last season.


Steelers WR Antonio Brown arrives at team facility
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(4/27/2015) Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown, who was noticably absent during the first few days of the team's offseason workout program, was back in camp on Monday, the team reported. 

Speculation bloomed that Brown was dissatisfied with his contract, which is scheduled to pay him $6 million this season, but Brown wrote on Twitter that he was spending time with his newborn child and would be back soon. 

The receiver racked up 1,815 yards and 138 catches for the Steelers last season.


Joe Flacco: Ravens don't need to draft wide receiver
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(4/27/2015) When your Super Bowl quarterback doesn't believe his team needs to draft a wide receiver, then perhaps it doesn't.

Joe Flacco feels the Ravens are well-stocked in that area despite having lost Torrey Smith to free agency. They still boast Steve Smith, Marlon Brown, Kamar Aiken, Michael Campanero and Jeremy Butler, but are expected to seriously considering adding a wideout as early as the first round.

"Obviously, without Torrey now, the one thing we probably don't have as much of is that speed, is that one guy who can stretch the field," Flacco told ESPN. "But I'm not going to say we need it. I think we got really good guys and I think we're good with who we have."


 
 
 
Rankings