Fantasy Analysis | 1387463682
Jets DST a risky play at best, even against Cleveland
Several factors should make Fantasy owners wary of playing the
The first is that the Browns lead the NFL in pass attempts and rank ninth in both passing yards (3,658) and touchdowns (26). The second is that the Jets are 29th in interceptions (8) and 26th in yards allowed through the air (3,575). The third is that the Jets once-vaunted run defense has yielded 406 yards on the ground in the last three weeks combined. Three of the four 100-yard rushing games by opponents this year have been achieved during that stretch.
Not that the Browns are much of a threat to run, but the recent incapabality to stop teams in that department had worsened a defense that ranks 23rd in the league in points allowed (367). The Jets have lost four of their last five games for a reason and it's not all because of a terrible offense.
The three CBSSports.com senior Fantasy writers all rank the Jets DST among the top 13 plays this week, but the belief here is that the Browns will rack up enough points and yards to stunt the point total of a DST that ranks 31st in the NFL in takeaways. The Jets are not a strong option in Week 16.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387463647
Saints DST facing tough matchup
Carolina has been tough on opposing defenses, limiting them to just 7.29 Fantasy points per game. The Panthers don't score a ton of points per game, but do a good job not turning the ball over. The team has only fumbled 10 times this season, which is the lowest figure in the league. Cam Newton has also been more careful with the ball, tossing 11 interceptions.
The Saints, however, have been much better defensively this season. The team has allowed just 19.3 points per game, which ranks fifth. They've been able to do so by getting to the opposing quarterback. The team has 43 sacks this year, one of the higher rates in the league. The Saints have been a useful Fantasy defense all season, but they are a slightly more questionable play this week.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387462779
Jordan Cameron a strong Fantasy option - if he plays
First things first. Fantasy owners of
If he does play, he remains a decent option despite a monumental fall-off from a start to the season that made him the talk of the league. He has totaled more than 43 yards receiving only once in the last six games and has just two touchdowns since Week 4.
There has been an emphasis on getting quarterback Jason Campbell in sync with Cameron, who is a potential major threat. It could come to fruition this week against the Jets, who rank a lowly 28th against players at that position. The Browns should throw the ball often because the Jets are lights-out against the run and their own inability to gain yards on the ground.
Cameron still leads the team and ranks second among all NFL tight ends in receptions with 75 and yards with 848. He has a shot at becoming the first Browns tight end to exceed 1,000 yards receiving since Kellen Winslow in 2007.
If Cameron plays, get him in your lineup. The hunch here is that he is destined for a strong performance.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387462521
Jimmy Graham facing an average matchup
Carolina has been slightly better than average against opposing tight ends this season, holding them to 7.43 Fantasy points per game. The Panthers actually do a good job limiting tight end yardage, but struggle once teams get into the red zone. Tight ends have scored eight touchdowns against the Panthers. The team has only allowed 14 passing touchdowns all year, so that's a significant amount.
Even if it was a tough matchup, Fantasy owners aren't going to sit Graham. He may be coming off one of his worst games of the season, but Graham has been a Fantasy monster this year. Graham is also not affected as much by the team's home/road splits. He has four fewer touchdowns on the road, but has tallied more receptions and more yardage away from New Orleans. He continues to be a strong play regardless of matchup.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387461977
Josh Gordon a premier Fantasy play against Jets
The inevitable "correction" came for
But Gordon remains an elite option heading into the game Sunday against the host Jets. He shattered franchise and NFL records during his ridiculous four-game tear and leads the league with 1,467 yards and 19.8 YPC.
Gordon will likely be matched up against Jets top cornerback Antonio Cromartie, who has been inconsistent at times. The Jets pass defenses ranks near the bottom in every statistical category, including 26th in yards yielded through the air (3,575). That bodes well for Gordon.
So does the fact that the Browns are destined to throw often Sunday. The Jets boast one of the premier run defenses in the league and the Browns ground game is virtually non-existent anyway. That adds up to quarterback Jason Campbell unleashing about 40 passes, especially if his team is behind in the second half.
CBSSports.com senior Fantasy writers Dave Richard and Nathan Zegura have both placed Gordon atop their lists of wideouts this week. Fantasy owners will enjoy watching the points pile up this week.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387461969
Marques Colston could be limited Week 16
Carolina has limited opposing wide receivers to just 15.86 Fantasy points per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the league. Through 14 games, the team has allowed 14 passing touchdowns. Of those 14, only five have gone to wide receivers. The first time the two teams met this season, Colston exploded for 125 yards and two touchdowns.
Colston has been a much bigger weapon lately. In his last two games, he's caught 17 passes for 217 yards and three scores. The one thing that could limit Colston this time around is the team's lack of success on the road. The Saints offense performs much better at home, where Colston has four of his five touchdowns. On the road, he only averages 41.3 receiving yards per game. Despite his success against the team recently, Colston is a questionable play against the Panthers this time around.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387460705
Darren Sproles facing tough matchup
The Panthers have limited runners all season, holding them to 12.29 Fantasy points per game. Through 14 games, Carolina has only surrendered four rushing touchdowns. They have been somewhat susceptible to receiving backs, allowing 44.93 receiving yards per game to running backs. But they've only allowed one receiving touchdown to a running back all season.
The Saints just haven't been as successful with the run game this season. Pierre Thomas has stolen more of Sproles' work than usual, and the team has opted to go to other players around the goal line. The first time the two teams met this season, Sproles was held to 23 receiving yards and had one rushing attempt that went for 38 yards. Thomas didn't fare much better. Sproles is a questionable Fantasy start against a tough Carolina defense.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387459914
Drew Brees in for a rough matchup Week 16
The Panthers have been hard on opposing quarterbacks, allowing them to score just 13.14 Fantasy points per game, the second lowest figure in the league. Through 14 games, the team has allowed 14 touchdowns, also second lowest in the league. The two teams played just two weeks ago in New Orleans. In that game, Brees carved up the Carolina secondary, throwing for four touchdowns.
Against similarly tough defenses, Brees hasn't fared as well. He was held to just one touchdown against both the 49ers and the Seahawks earlier this season. The reason he was so successful against Carolina earlier in the year may have been due to the fact that the Saints played at home. Brees hasn't performed as well on the road this season, throwing 11 touchdowns to seven interceptions in seven games. He's thrown 23 touchdowns to three interceptions at home. Brees is an elite option at quarterback, so it's unlikely he's being benched in most Fantasy leagues, regardless of the tough matchup.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387439059
Marcedes Lewis has chance for even more
With wide receiver Cecil Shorts going on IR in the days leading up to the game, the
His matchup Week 16 against Tennessee should only further his cause. The Titans rank a discouraging 10th against the pass, allowing 225.9 yards per game, but tight ends are responsible for most of the damage against them. The Titans have allowed the 13th-most Fantasy points at the position.
Judging by the matchup data, the Jaguars will most likely lean on their running game in this one, but on those occasions when they have to pass, Lewis is the most logical target. He's about all they have left.
As a result, Jamey Eisenberg and Nathan Zegura both kind of like him this week, ranking him among their top 12 tight ends. You wouldn't bench a reliable option for him, of course, but if you're hurting at the position, he's worth a look.
Fantasy Analysis | 1387438334
Ace Sanders will give it another go
Most likely, things won't get much better for him Week 16 against Tennessee. The Titans rank 10th against the pass, allowing 225.9 yards per game, and have given up the second-fewest Fantasy points to wide receivers this season. They've been much more vulnerable to the run, so more likely than not, that's how the Jaguars will attack them.
Sanders still has the potential to be a high-volume receiver out of the slot, but now probably isn't the time to take a chance on him.
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December 18, 2013
Fantasy Football Today: News & notes (12/18) (5:08)