Fantasy Analysis | 1386225791
Expect more of the same for Dwayne Bowe
An afterthought in the
His matchup Week 14 at Washington would seemingly set him up for more. After all, the Redskins rank 27th against the pass, allowing 265.3 yards per game, and have surrendered the 13th-most Fantasy points to wide receivers this season. But keep in mind the Chiefs threw the ball as much the last three weeks as they've done all season, having to keep pace with the numbers Peyton Manning (twice) and Philip Rivers were putting up. They prefer to win with defense, and this matchup gives them a chance to get back to doing that.
Which would only cut into Bowe's modest production. Simply because he's the team's preferred receiving option, he's a good bet for 50 yards no matter how the game unfolds, but expecting him to take a step forward would be unwise. Jamey Eisenberg, Dave Richard and Nathan Zegura all rank Bowe outside of their top 24 wide receivers for this week despite the favorable matchup.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386224500
Alex Smith a good bet to keep it going
With multiple touchdown passes in three straight games,
The Redskins rank 27th against the pass, allowing 265.3 yards per game. They've allowed the third-highest quarterback rating and surrendered the fifth-most Fantasy points to quarterbacks this season.
Of course, part of the reason for Smith's increased production over the last three weeks is because he needed to throw to keep up with the points that Peyton Manning (twice) and Philip Rivers were putting up. The Redskins, at least at first glance, don't pose the same threat. If they don't score, most likely neither does Smith.
So even though he's on a roll and has a favorable matchup, the Chiefs' preference to win with defense makes Smith a risky start this week. Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg and Nathan Zegura all rank him among their top 12 quarterbacks for this week, but you might be better off going with a Philip Rivers or Matt Ryan type.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386223804
Looking good for Jamaal Charles
With 90-plus rushing yards in back-to-back games and three of his last four,
The Redskins rank an unremarkable 14th against the run, allowing 108.8 yards per game, but they've surrendered a league-leading 17 touchdowns on the ground. And as a result, they've given up the fourth-most Fantasy points to running backs this season.
Granted, they haven't allowed a 90-yard rusher since Week 7 against the Bears, but of course, for Charles, it's not all about the rushing yards. He's third among running backs in receiving yards with 452.
Between the two, he should get enough yardage to go along with however many touchdowns he scores. Jamey Eisenberg and Dave Richard certainly expect a big performance. They rank Charles No. 1 among running backs for Week 14.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386222277
Matchup doesn't bode well for Redskins DST
The last time the
Unfortunately, the trend is unlikely to end Week 14 against Kansas City. The Chiefs are far from an offensive juggernaut, ranking ninth in total points and 16th in total yards, but they play efficient football. As a result, they've allowed the third-fewest Fantasy points to DSTs this season.
Jamey Eisenberg, Dave Richard and Nathan Zegura don't see any reason for you to gamble on the Redskins DST in Fantasy this week. None of the three even bothered to rank it.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386221521
Spot duty likely won't be enough for Roy Helu
Judging by the numbers, the
But most of the damage was isolated to two games -- Week 3 at Philadelphia and Week 9 at Buffalo -- so don't get any ideas about
Coach Mike Shanahan has made it clear that Helu is his preferred backfield option in obvious passing situations, so if the Redskins fall behind big, the backup could catch enough passes to make a relevant contribution in points-per-reception leagues. But he most likely won't be in a situation where he's helping the Redskins run out the clock, and he most likely won't find much running room even if he is.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386220981
Not the worst matchup for Alfred Morris
At first glance,
But statistically, the Chiefs haven't fared well against the run this season. They rank 21st, giving up 117.3 yards per game and an eyebrow-raising 4.6 yards per carry. As with their suspect ranking against the pass, the Chiefs' poor performance against the run is mostly isolated to two games, Week 3 at Philadelphia and Week 9 at Buffalo, but still, they've shown they can be beat.
So is Morris a candidate to beat them? Well, he doesn't have the big-play ability of a LeSean McCoy or C.J. Spiller and is coming off a couple miserable weeks against the 49ers and Giants, but he remains the
Jamey Eisenberg, Dave Richard and Nathan Zegura all seem willing to trust in Morris this week, ranking him among their top 15 running backs.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386219276
Logan Paulsen waiting on Jordan Reed
Granted, Reed would certainly be the preferrable option for Fantasy owners. He had emerged as quarterback Robert Griffin III's go-to guy in the four games leading up to Week 11, when he suffered the concussion, averaging 6.8 catches for 80.8 yards. But Paulsen did at least score a touchdown in his absence in Week 13, catching three passes for 41 yards.
Of course, he'll have a hard time matching even those modest numbers in Week 14. The Chiefs have allowed the fewest Fantasy points to tight ends this season.
Reed would be a must-start against him just because of the kind of numbers he puts up at a position where they're still relatively scarce. But Paulsen? Better steer clear in Fantasy.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386217832
Wrong time for Pierre Garcon rebound
Though he's been targeted as much as usual and hauled in his share of passes,
In Week 14, Garcon will face a Chiefs defense that technically ranks only 21st against the pass, allowing 249.0 yards per game, but two recent matchups against the Broncos' Peyton Manning have influenced that ranking. The Chiefs have a good pass rush and an opportunistic secondary, which together could give a mistake-prone quarterback like Robert Griffin III fits.
And his struggles would likely trickle down to his top wide receiver. With all the targets he gets, you probably couldn't justify sitting Garcon in Fantasy, but you shouldn't expect a big resurgence this week either.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386216112
Robert Griffin III could be in for long day
Griffin has faced mostly suspect defenses this season, but in one of his tougher matchups Week 12 against San Francisco, he threw for just 118 yards and ran for just 27.
Statistically, the Chiefs haven't been quite as effective against the pass as the 49ers, but they put consistent pressure on the quarterback and have a knack for forcing turnovers. As prone to mistakes as Griffin has been this season, he's at risk for ugly numbers.
Of course, with his rushing ability, he's more capable than most quarterbacks of salvaging a poor passing performance. None of Jamey Eisenberg, Dave Richard and Nathan Zegura rank him lower than 13th among quarterbacks this week, but I'd be inclined to start Philip Rivers or even Matt Ryan over him.
Fantasy Analysis | 1386214916
Chiefs DST looks to get back on track
After having to face Peyton Manning and the Broncos two of the last three weeks, the
The Redskins haven't been a disaster offensively, but they've allowed the 10th-most Fantasy points to DSTs this season and have averaged just 16.5 points during their four-game losing streak. And quarterback Robert Griffin III has committed his share of mistakes. The Redskins rank 11th in both giveaways and sacks allowed.
The Chiefs DST gave its Fantasy owners reason for doubt the last three weeks, but now that it's past the unfavorable portion of its schedule, it's back to being a must-start option. Jamey Eisenberg and Dave Richard both rate it a top-five unit for this week.
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December 4, 2013
Fantasy Football Today: News & notes (12/4) (4:21)