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2011-12 Draft Prep: Pacific Division preview

by | Rotowire.com
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The NHL landscape has changed drastically over the past five weeks, including the NHL Entry Draft, free agency, and teams' prospect development camps. With that in mind we will begin a series of articles looking at each division on a team-by-team basis to discern the important alterations that affect Fantasy Hockey. We will look at departures, additions and those rookies/prospects that are knocking on the proverbial door for roster spots.

This examination will not cover every player movement but rather those that are considered more pertinent for roto players. Thus don't be overly concerned if some fourth liners, backup goalies and sixth and seventh defensemen are omitted.

Anaheim Ducks

Departures: Todd Marchant, Andy Sutton

Arrivals: Kurtis Foster, Andrew Cogliano, Mark Bell

Knocking: Kyle Palmieri, Nick Bonino, Cedrick Desjardins

The Ducks continue to await Teemu Selanne's decision. The person who's most affected, other than second-line center Saku Koivu, is rookie Kyle Palmieri. Palmieri could land anywhere from the second line to possibly not making the team out of camp. The first line of Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry and Bobby Ryan has few comparables while the second line without Selanne is mediocre at best for an NHL second line with Koivu and Jason Blake. The gritty Matt Beleskey should see time on the third line at left wing alongside new arrival Andrew Cogliano. Cogs' speed makes it intriguing to consider him as a second-line winger, but his atrocious shooting percentages tell another story, making it far more sensible to simply plug him into the now retired Todd Marchant's third-line center role. If Selanne returns, the third line right wing spot is Dan Sexton's to lose with Palmieri pushing him. The 24-year-old Sexton, signed as a free agent after two years at Bowling Green, has 13 goals and 32 points in 88 NHL games and 29 points in 30 AHL games. Palmieri, drafted 29th overall in 2009, had 29 goals and 51 points in 63 AHL games last season and one goal in 10 games with Anaheim. Palmieri and the hockey world await Selanne's decision. Meanwhile Mark Bell was signed to a one-year contract after spending the past two seasons in the Swiss league for Kloten where he scored 29 goals and 53 points in 80 games. Bell, drafted eighth overall in '98, has not played in the NHL since 2007-08 and is more likely to start the year with their AHL team in Syracuse.

Defensively, the Ducks have a great pair of power play QBs in Lubomir Visnovsky and Cam Fowler. Nevertheless, Cam Foster's arrival is a big upgrade as far as having a good anchor for the second power play unit who can play on the first unit when needed. Foster has 70 points in his last 155 games. At this point in their careers Foster is a much better point man than Francois Beauchemin.

Jonas Hiller's vertigo symptoms have subsided but one can't help but wonder how many games northward of 50 that Hiller can start next season. That makes Dan Ellis worth drafting late. Ellis filled in reasonably well last season, 21-10-7 with a 2.77 goals-against average, before giving way to the now-departed Ray Emery. Ellis has had trouble staying healthy himself and his consistency has never been his greatest strength either, which brings us to No. 3 goalie Jeff Deslauriers, drafted 31st overall in 2002 yet who's played just 58 career games. Hiller owners hope it doesn't come to that.

Dallas Stars

Departures: Brad Richards, Jamie Langenbrunner

Arrivals: Michael Ryan, Sheldon Souray

Knocking: Philip Larsen

The Stars cannot replace the talent of Brad Richards, now a New York Ranger. What they need, for the offensive drop off to be less felt, is for the further development and maturation of Jamie Benn. Benn made huge strides over the course of the past season and his ability to switch to center makes for an interesting question: do the Stars keep Ribeiro on the second line at center in order to maximize the chemistry that Ribs has with former Montreal linemate Ryan, or do they shelter Benn and play him at second-line center? A first line of Benn, Loui Eriksson and Steve Ott combines a nice mix of skill and grit. A second line of Ribeiro, Ryan and Brendan Morrow also has a good blend of finesse and sandpaper. If you switch Ribs for Benn each line still has both. If you switch Ott and Morrow each line still has both. Do not concern yourself with any other Dallas forwards, barring a last-minute free-agent addition, for there is not much in the way of tantalizing talent on the third line should injuries afflict the top six.

Sheldon Souray is a great late round dart in most fantasy leagues this fall, thought it would be foolhardy to assume that he'll return to his former 50-point prowess. Alex Goligoski is most likely to be the 50-point D-man in Dallas (46 points last season but 15 pts in 23 games after the trade to Dallas). Goligoski saw his ice time jump 5:17 per game to 26:03 after joining the Stars, with an average of 4:19 on the power play. Should Souray suffer injury or fail miserably, Stephane Robidas (30 points in 81 games) and Trevor Daley (27 points in 82 games) would be next in line for first power play deployment. Neither Robidas nor Daley has the potential upside of a rejuvenated Souray. The 21-year-old Danish rookie Philip Larsen had 22 points in 54 AHL games last season, his first in North America. Larsen could be another option on the power play but first he must vault ahead of at least two of the following trio - Adam Pardy, Mark Fistric, Brad Lukowich - on the depth chart just to make the team.

Los Angeles Kings

Departures: Ryan Smyth, Wayne Simmonds, Brayden Schenn

Arrivals: Mike Richards, Simon Gagne

Knocking: Andrei Loktionov, Jake Muzzin, Vyacheslav Voynov

By adding Mike Richards the Kings have made themselves even stronger down the middle and on the penalty kill. Richards is the complete package and a reunion with former Flyers' teammate Gagne bodes well for both of them. Expected to come along for the ride is Dustin Brown while hulking left-wing Dustin Penner is expected to line up on the first line with star center Anze Kopitar and two-time 30-goal scorer Justin Williams on the right. The third line is anchored by former No. 2 center Jarret Stoll, flanked by the likes of Brad Richardson and Kyle Clifford. Should any of the top three centers get injured 21-year-old Andrei Loktionov would be the first to get the call from their AHL farm team in Manchester, N.H. Loktionov has 17 goals and 55 points in 63 games for Manchester over the past two seasons and four goals and seven points in 20 games for the Kings.

On defense Drew Doughty remains unsigned, though all parties appear positive that a deal will get done before training camp starts in a few weeks. The Kings have fewer needs on defense for their power play point spots because Stoll plays the point on the second power play unit. Should promising prospect Vyacheslav Voynov get a fair shot he could be a deep sleeper for 30-plus points. Voynov has the pedigree and requisite experience on the smaller ice - he scored 50 points in 72 games last year in the AHL. Pushing him will be 22-year-old Jake Muzzin, who was an impressive plus-20 in his first pro season playing 43 games for Manchester last season while registering three goals and 15 assists.

Phoenix Coyotes

Departures: Ilya Bryzgalov, Ed Jovanovski, Lee Stempniak, Eric Belanger, Vernon Fiddler

Arrivals: Daymond Langkow, Mike Smith, Jason LaBarbera, Curtis McElhinney, Raffi Torres, Boyd Gordon

Knocking: Brett MacLean, Andy Miele

The Coyotes will need internal growth to avoid total decimation this season. They've lost their best player in goalie Ilya Bryzgalov and one of their top four D-men in Jovo Cop. Eric Belanger and Vernon Fiddler can be replaced but Bryzer can't and wasn't. The Russian netminder carried them for the last three years in the desert. The goalie tandem of Mike Smith (67-66-19 lifetime with a 2.71 goals-against average and .906 save percentage) and Jason LaBarbera (52-55-14, 2.90/.906) scares no one and will be one of the league's worst. There's no hot prospect on the farm this year, as their AHL tandem will be Curtis McElhinney (18-26-4, 3.13/.896) and Justin Pogge (1-4-1, 4.35/.844).

Back to that internal growth… Where will it come from? They'll need Kyle Turris (22), Mikkel Boedker (21), Martin Hanzal (24), Lauri Korpikoski (25) to all have the best seasons of their early careers. They'll need good health and at least 90-95 goals from Shane Doan, Radim Vrbata, Ray Whitney and Taylor Pyatt. They combined for 84 goals last year. Fantasy wise, only Doan and Whitney merit attention in standard 12-team leagues, while Vrbata is worth putting on the watch list as he hit 56 points just three seasons ago and only just turned 30. If potential No. 1 center Daymond Langkow can stay healthy, a big "if", he could be worth a late-round dart in many leagues - on the condition that he plays with Doan and Whitney and receives first power play minutes. Brett MacLean, who has nothing left to prove in the AHL with 115 points in 122 games over the past two seasons for San Antonio, will probably need an injury to crack the top nine. Andy Miele, the reigning Hobey Baker winner, will likely start his pro career in the AHL.

Phoenix's greatest fantasy asset is now Keith Yandle. That's how bad things have gotten in the desert, when your best player by a wide margin is a 59-point defenseman. Yandle jumped from 41 points to 59 points last season, his third in the league. After Yandle, the drop-off in defenseman scoring was massive, partly due to Jovo missing 47 games last season, with Adrian Aucoin's 22 points the next best total on the team. It's slim pickings with Michal Rozsival (21 points) and Derek Morris (16 points) next. The Yotes would be wise to give more power-play time to 2009 sixth-overall selection Oliver Ekman-Larsson. Larsson, who only turned 20 years old last month, had 11 points in 48 games for Phoenix last season and 10 points in 15 AHL games for San Antonio.

San Jose Sharks

Departures: Dany Heatley, Devin Setoguchi, Kent Huskins, Scott Nichol, Kyle Wellwood, Ben Eager

Arrivals: Brent Burns, Martin Havlat, Michal Handzus, Colin White, Jim Vandermeer, James Sheppard, Andrew Murray

Knocking: Alex Stalock, Tommy Wingels

The Sharks’ management team, led by general manager Doug Murray, came to the conclusion this offseason that the team wasn’t good enough to win a championship. They lacked another elite defenseman, having only Dan Boyle. The problem was exacerbated by the fact that they had little room under the salary cap, so they couldn’t just go out and sign an elite defender in free agency. By flipping LW/RW Dany Heatley for RW Martin Havlat they saved $2.5 million. This gave them the Sharks some wiggle room to then trade Devin Setoguchi in a package for star defenseman Brent Burns. This left the team with enough cap space to pick up former Devil Colin White while still having cap space for a possible in-season acquisition or two.

The emergence of Logan Couture last season is one of the main reasons that they could move out two top six forwards and only receive one back in trades. Couture surprisingly outperformed Heatley last season in just his first full season in the league. Newly acquired sniper Havlat projects to start on the first line with Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau, while Couture is expected to play on the second line with Joe Pavelski and Ryane Clowe. The third line will be anchored by the hulking veteran center Michal Handzus with two converted centers - Torrey Mitchell (23 points in 66 games) and Benn Ferriero (nine points in 33 NHL games, 33 points in 43 AHL games) -- expected to be his wingers. James Sheppard, who missed all of last season due to an ATV accident in the summer of 2010, that both broke his knee cap and wore out his welcome in the Minnesota organization, is an interesting reclamation project for San Jose which could pay dividends by next spring. Sheppard had another procedure this summer on the knee and won’t be ready for the start of the season. Drafted ninth overall in 2006, Sheppard is a skilled player who’s yet to realize any NHL success but he’s still just 23.

Defensively, the Sharks have improved their depth and top-six talent with the acquisitions of Burns and White. While the killer Bs Burns (17 goals/46 points) and Boyle (nine goals/50 points) will man the points on the first PP unit, the second unit QBs will likely be Jason Demers (34 points) and Marc-Edouard Vlasic (18 points), though projected seventh defenseman Justin Braun (11 points in 28 games, 23 points in 34 AHL games) could become fantasy relevant should an injury occur to one of the expected four point men. Overall, five of the Sharks top seven D-men are considered decent to high-skilled puck moving defenders with only Doug Murray and White considered traditional stay-at-home types. Jim Vandermeer was a depth signing who will have a hard time making the team, unless they decide that Brauns development is better served with another year of logging heavy minutes on their AHL farm team in Worcester, Mass.

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Player News
Jesse Winchester
Avs' Winchester Has Concussion
Jesse Winchester, C, COL
10/2/2014
News: Jesse Winchester sustained a concussion in Tuesday's preseason tilt against the Kings, Adrian Dater of the Denver Post reports.
Analysis: Coach Patrick Roy suggested Jesse Winchester could be out a while, as he'll be subjected to the league's concussion protocol before returning with the ice. With the regular season just over a week away, there's a good chance Winchester could land on injured reserve if he fails to make much progress.

Jonathan Ericsson
Wings' Ericsson Iffy For Preseason Finale
Jonathan Ericsson, D, DET
10/2/2014
News: Jonathan Ericsson (hip flexor) isn't certain if he'll play in the Red Wings' remaining two preseason games, MLive.com's Ansar Khan reports.
Analysis: Though Jonathan Ericsson returned to practice Wednesday, he may not be operating at full speed when the Red Wings conclude their exhibition schedule Saturday. He does, however, feel that he will be 100 percent healthy for the Oct. 9 opener against the Bruins, especially after he gets in a few more hard skates. The blueliner is also returning from a broken finger that prevented him from playing in the final 14 regular-season contests and the playoffs, but that particular injury isn't expected to hinder him any further.

Maxim Noreau
Avalanche Place Noreau On Waivers
Maxim Noreau, D, COL
10/2/2014
News: Maxim Noreau was placed on waivers by the Avalanche on Tuesday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports.
Analysis: He has only played six NHL games in his career and has spent the last three years playing in Switzerland. If another NHL team does not claim him, Maxim Noreau will report to AHL Lake Erie. Noreau last appeared in the NHL during the 2010-11 season with Minnesota, where he only lasted five games with the team. There is a very low chance that he will see NHL action this season, minimizing his fantasy value.

Bruno Gervais
Colorado Places Gervais On Waivers
Bruno Gervais, D, COL
10/2/2014
News: Bruno Gervais was put on waivers by Colorado on Tuesday, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports.
Analysis: He spent all of last season in the AHL where he played 59 games, scored 10 goals, and added 16 assists. Bruno Gervais who has played over 400 games in the NHL, will report to AHL Lake Erie if he goes unclaimed on waivers. The only way he could see time with the Avalanche is if the team falls victim to a rash of injuries. Otherwise, he will have very little fantasy value even in deeper leagues.

Niklas Backstrom
Wild's Backstrom May Be Trailing In Job Battle
Niklas Backstrom, G, MIN
10/2/2014
News: Niklas Backstrom appears to be losing ground in the battle for the No. 1 goalie gig with Darcy Kuemper, Chad Graff of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
Analysis: Niklas Backstrom was the frontrunner for the starting job entering camp, but after Kuemper reported to the Wild upon agreeing to a new contract with the team, the declining veteran looks on track to eventually settle into a reserve role. The 36-year-old has performed respectably in training camp with 29 saves on 32 shots over two appearances, but the memory of last season's 5-11-2 record, 3.02 GAA and .899 save percentage will probably make the Wild somewhat reluctant to use him regularly. Though some of his struggles could be attributed to injury, the youthful Kuemper posted far better numbers as a rookie and probably gives the Wild a better chance at ascending to the Western Conference's elite in 2014-15. Expect Backstrom's long tenure in Minnesota to allow him to cut into Kuemper's workload early in the season, but Kuemper should soon separate himself as the team's clear No. 1 option.

Scott Laughton
Flyers' Laughton Sent To AHL Lehigh Valley
Scott Laughton, C, PHI
10/2/2014
News: Scott Laughton was assigned to AHL Lehigh Valley on Tuesday, Frank Seravalli of the Philadelphia Daily News reports.
Analysis: The former first-round pick had a strong preseason thus far, but his performance was not enough to make the final roster. Scott Laughton is held in high regard as a prospect in the Flyers' system, and he's still young enough to stay in the AHL for the year to develop his skills further. Barring injury, he won't see much playing time in the NHL this year since the Flyers seem rather settled at center, but keeper league owners should still give him a look.

David Perron
Oilers Perron' Exits With Rib Injury
David Perron, LW, EDM
8:27 PM
News: David Perron left Wednesday's exhibition name with a rib injury, Derek Van Diest of the Edmonton Sun reports.
Analysis: David Perron suffered the injury on a big from Arizona's Matt Smaby. He was able to return briefly before leaving the game for good. Further details of his injury were not available, but expect an update on Perron's status as more details are released.

Jason Chimera
Caps' Chimera Has Lone Goal In Wednesday's Loss
Jason Chimera, LW, WAS
7:15 PM
News: Jason Chimera scored the only goal in the Capitals' 6-1 loss to Buffalo on Wednesday night.
Analysis: Jason Chimera scored on a two-on-one feed from Kris Newbury in the third period. Chimera will look to replicate his career-year he had during the last season, but it is likely that his production will regress some this year. However, he should get some power play time on the second unit and should still have excellent chemistry with Joel Ward, so he may be worth a flier in deeper leagues.

Braden Holtby
Caps' Holtby Has Shutout Streak End Wednesday
Braden Holtby, G, WAS
7:12 PM
News: Braden Holtby's stellar preseason took a hit Wednesday night as he gave up five goals on 22 shots in 40 minutes of play during the Capitals' 6-1 loss to Buffalo.
Analysis: Braden Holtby had been perfect in his previous outings, but that was not the case on Wednesday. Now the established No.1 goaltender behind a deeper defense, the Saskatchewan native should have a bounce back season, and given the upside of playing for a Barry Trotz team, is still worth taking in all fantasy formats.

Jonathon Blum
Wild Recall Blum
Jonathon Blum, D, MIN
3:07 PM
News: Jonathon Blum was recalled from AHL Iowa on Wednesday, Michael Russo of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
Analysis: Jonathon Blum was among three players the team placed on waivers earlier in the week, but he'll return to provide depth for Thursday's preseason game against the Blues. Chances are, Blum will head right back down afterward, but he did play in 15 games with Minnesota last season and figures to get another chance at some point in 2014-15.

 
 
 
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