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Blue Line Buzz: Is Redden worth the risk?

by | Rotowire.com
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Moths are attracted to lights and flames. Bug zappers as well. I have realized that returning each week to watch Coach's Corner between the first and second periods of the Hockey Night in Canada broadcast, I am essentially the moth going back to the bug zapper, skipping the lights altogether. Basically, I've been fried far, far too often. I can't look away, and not just because of the hideous suits or Ron MacLean's aghast looks at what comes out of Don Cherry's mouth. It's theater. It's an act and I fall for it every time.

This week's rants from Cherry included praise for Edmonton's Ladislav Smid dropping the gloves in defense of teammate Jordan Eberle because "(Smid's) a Czech, he can't fight," but he tried, claiming the Leafs were beating the Rangers after one period because of fights by Colton Orr and Mike Brown, the team being "pugnacious, truculent and belligerent and all that stuff."  The Leafs, leading 2-0 at that time, lost 5-2 to Marian Gaborik and the Rangers.

However, that was topped by essentially saying Zack Kassian's job is not to score goals in Vancouver while skating alongside the Sedins, noting "only thing there is (Kassian) has two goals," before moving along to tell the budding power forward to "remember what you're there for."

Those that had the good fortune to snag Kassian in their leagues are riding a steady crest of production, as he has goals in each of the last three games heading into Sunday. He's clearly enjoying life alongside the Sedin twins and should be an excellent complement to their skill and vision with his speed and ability to drive the net. He's just not supposed to be scoring goals, apparently.

Each week I tell myself to find something else to watch during the intermission of HNIC, but I can't turn away.

With a week gone in the season, some teams have played close to 10 percent of their season's 48 games. The accelerated pace of games will force most owners to make quicker decisions in terms of cutting bait on players or waiting for them to come around.  Personally, I tend to value underperforming players that have performed well in the past more than later round picks. I've had to reexamine that this season after a week, cutting ties with some older players who I feel may not reach their levels of former production (last-round pick Mike Cammalleri being one). This season, owners do not have the luxury of waiting for a player to come around. Be more aggressive in terms of picking up players and recognizing where your team is weak and how you can make a trade to improve.

What About Wade?

Wade Redden is back in the NHL. No longer the highest-paid player in the AHL, Redden has been set free from the purgatory known as the Connecticut Whale, having his albatross-like contract bought out by the Rangers. St. Louis felt a pressing need to bolster their blue line with an experienced rearguard and brought Redden to Missouri on a one-year, $800,000 contract. Which Redden will the Blues see? The one that vanished when he signed his aforementioned monstrous contract with the Rangers or the one that was one of the league's most consistent offensive defensenmen for a large part of the 2000s with Ottawa?

Odds are Redden won't produce anywhere near the clip he did following the lockout before the most recent lockout, but he'll see his name on the scoresheet occasionally. Remember, St. Louis has one of the league's most productive blue line duos in Alex Pietrangelo and Kevin Shattenkirk to take care of dishing the puck on the power play. While Redden has name recognition and scored a goal in Saturday's win over Dallas, the odds of him being a relevant player in Fantasy hockey this season are slim. Let another owner in your league gamble on Redden.

To Hab and To Hab Not

Swiss blueliner Raphael Diaz is currently enjoying boatloads of power-play time in Montreal, averaging 4:41 through three games and recording five assists, with three coming on the man-advantage. The Canadiens have had success in developing Swiss blueliners, notably Mark Streit, and Diaz had a track record of offensive success in the Swiss league before signing with the Habs. In his first season of North American hockey last year, Diaz posted a modest 3-13-16 stat line in 59 games with 61 shots on goal and a minus-7. It's worth noting that Streit exploded in his second season in the NHL as well. Diaz doesn't have Streit's skill and vision, but he's off to an outstanding start, albeit a pace that is highly unlikely to continue.

Another factor that you have to believe can affect Diaz in the future is the drama surrounding unsigned restricted free agent P.K. Subban. However, the word coming out of Subban's camp is that he and the Habs remain far apart on contract talks, according to the Toronto Sun. Subban is too good of a player for Montreal to go without him, either in terms of bringing him back to the team or getting substantial value for him in a trade.

On the other side of Montreal's power play sits the ever-fragile veteran Andrei Markov, a healthy Andrei Markov. It's a rare sight in Montreal, as the crafty puck mover has played a mere 65 total games since the 2009-10 season. Markov is another player benefitting much from the absence of Subban, but the smart money would suggest Markov sees more power-play time than Diaz once Subban returns. Markov has an inhuman three goals on seven shots through Saturday, all of which have come on the power play; also where his lone assist of the season has come. The aging veteran is seeing close to 24 minutes per-game (5:08 on the power play) and he's showing the skill that made him one of the league's most reliable offensive defensemen for a four-year stretch after the previous lockout.

Both Markov and Diaz present a quandary to owners as both of whom were likely acquired later in drafts or on waiver wires. The looming contract of Subban is going to affect one of these two players, it's time to decide on whom to sell high. Diaz has shown the ability to produce and dish the puck in the Swiss league and could be a great value, but the odds of him keeping up even a semblance of the five assists in three games pace he's established are slim. Markov is showing the ability that made him a househould name amongst fantasy owners and should be worth holding on to, just expect the shooting percentage to regress back toward the mean.

Desert Dogs

In most leagues, Keith Yandle went well ahead of teammate Oliver Ekman-Larsson. Yandle has proven himself to be a consistent playmaker capable of posting 40-50 points in a regular length season. Ekman-Larsson is a rising star on the Phoenix blue line and provides an excellent complement to Yandle on the Coyotes' power play, and, at a mere 21-years of age, Ekman-Larsson should continue to improve. He made a name for himself last season with 13 goals and 32 total points, chipping in 140 hits as well. This season, Ekman-Larsson struggled in the first two games, but exploded Wednesday against Columbus for two goals and an assist.

Both goals showed Ekman-Larsson joining the rush and finishing from the high slot area with well-placed wrist shots. He also added an assist in Saturday's contest against the Kings, giving him four points over three games. Both of his assists this season have come on the power play and he is averaging over 4:00 of power play time as of yet.

Meanwhile, Yandle is off to a bit of a slower start than owners would have hoped for, going scoreless over a three-game stretch after registering an assist in each of the first two games.

It's not time to panic with a player like Yandle, yet, but don't be afraid to offload him if you can get a decent return. Ekman-Larsson is emerging as sell-high candidate but also as a player worth holding on to. He has double-digit goal upside and sees his value rise even higher in keeper leagues. Depending on your roster's need, he could be a valuable piece, either as a moveable asset or a value in the draft.

It's Early

There is little to separate the defenseman atop the scoring list so far. Many of the usual suspects and early draft picks are populating that list presently. Through Saturday's contests, Kevin Shattenkirk has six points, all assists, while Erik Karlsson, Justin Schultz, Dustin Byfuglien, Dan Boyle, Alex Pietrangelo, Tobias Enstrom and Diaz are sitting with five points. Markov and Karlsson are tied for the goal-scoring lead through Saturday with three apiece.

As for some trendy pickups this week that could yield a serviceable return, Marek Zidlicky of the Devils had two assists in Friday's win over Washington and is the only defenseman on the Devils' top power-play unit with Ilya Kovalchuk, David Clarkson, Travis Zajac and Patrik Elias. Zidlicky can be a nightmare when handling the puck in the defensive zone, but he can dish it at the other end.

Fedor Tyutin of Columbus always seems to be a player you pick up on waivers after several strong games only to disappear after you insert him into your active lineup. Tyutin has four points (1-3-4) through five games with a typical Columbus minus-6 rating. Tyutin has been a surprise the season's first week vis-à-vis the other offensive-minded defenders on Columbus' roster; Jack Johnson, Nikita Nikitin and James Wisniewski all were drafted ahead of Tyutin and that trio, combined, has three points in 15 games. Of Tyutin's four points, none have come in the last two games, but two have been on the power play. Tyutin currently sits in the fourth spot in terms of average power-play ice time on the Blue Jackets' roster. Tyutin could be worth a gamble on, just be aware there are several roadblocks on his team to consistent production. For all their perceived scoring woes, the Jackets have a handful of blue liners capable of bolstering your team.

Jay Bouwmeester looked quite active in Saturday's win over Edmonton, grabbing a goal and an assist and jumping up into numerous plays. He's always been a great skater and Bouwmeester is in as much need of a redemption season than anyone in the league. He has a big shot and already notched two assists on the power play this season, but Dennis Wideman is eating power play time for Calgary with teammate Mark Giordano following close behind. Bouwmeester is a player to keep an eye on. Monitor his ice time and production, as the Flames have at least one strong scoring line in Jarome Iginla, Alex Tanguay and Curtis Glencross that can help Bouwmeester rake in assists. Keep in mind Bouwmeester used to register season totals in the high 30 and 40-point range earlier in his career.

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Player News
John Erskine
Caps Move Erskine To IR
John Erskine, D, WAS
10/23/2014
News: Erskien (upper body) was placed on injured reserve Wednesday, Alex Prewitt of the Washington Post reports.
Analysis: The Capitals ruled John Erskine out of the entirety of their three-game road trip to western Canada earlier this week, so the IR move will allow the team to add another defenseman from the minors for depth purposes, if they choose to do so. Erskine had been a healthy scratch for the Capitals in every game even before succumbing to the injury.

Jesse Winchester
Avs' Winchester Gets In Non-Contact Work
Jesse Winchester, C, COL
10/23/2014
News: Jesse Winchester (concussion) has resumed taking part in non-contact drills, the Associated Press reports.
Analysis: Jesse Winchester is still awaiting clearance to participate in full-contact practices, so it's difficult to see him being activated from IR at any point this week. He's been out for three weeks with the head injury.

Ray Emery
Emery Expected To Go Wednesday For Flyers
Ray Emery, G, PHI
10/23/2014
News: Ray Emery is expected to receive the start in goal Wednesday against the Penguins, Sam Carchidi of the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
Analysis: Top goalie Steve Mason has been brutal in five turns this season (0-3-1, 3.83 GAA, .878 save percentage), so opportunity could knock here for Ray Emery if he's able to return in a respectable outing against a tough Penguins squad. Mason's larger contract will probably prevent Emery from displacing him as the team's unquestioned starter, but the backup could possibly take on a larger workload if he can give the Flyers some more stability in goal in his subsequent outings.

Stefan Noesen
Ducks' Noesen (Achilles) Set To Miss Four Months
Stefan Noesen, RW, ANA
10/23/2014
News: The Ducks announced Stefan Noesen is dealing with an Achilles injury and is expected to be sidelined for four months, Eric Stephens of the Orange County Register reports.
Analysis: It's yet another devastating injury for the hard-luck Stefan Noesen, who missed nearly all of last season with torn knee ligaments. He had worked his way back from the knee issue to produce three points in his first four games with AHL Norfolk, before suffering his latest long-term setback. The prospect luster is beginning to fade for the 21-year-old former first-round draft choice.

Curtis McElhinney
Jackets' McElhinney Expected To Return Soon
Curtis McElhinney, G, CLB
10/23/2014
News: Curtis McElhinney (head, neck) is feeling better and is expected to rejoin the team later this week, Aaron Portzline of The Columbus Dispatch reports.
Analysis: Curtis McElhinney suffered a head injury and was placed on injured reserve on Sunday. As a result, he won't be able to return until the end of the weekend at the earliest, but it's an encouraging sign that he's feeling better, and should travel with the club on their upcoming three-game trip to California beginning Thursday.

Matt Read
Flyers' Read Held Without A Goal Through Six
Matt Read, RW, PHI
10/23/2014
News: Matt Read has no goals and three assists through six games this season.
Analysis: After a 22-goal campaign last season, Matt Read has yet to find the back of the net this year. He should get some more opportunities, as he's been playing on the team's second power-play unit, but for now his slow start should be slightly worrisome.

Marian Gaborik
Kings' Gaborik Remains Out Of Practice
Marian Gaborik, RW, LA
10/23/2014
News: Marian Gaborik (undisclosed) wasn't on the ice for Wednesday's practice, Jon Rosen of LAKingsInsider.com reports.
Analysis: With the Kings hitting the ice Thursday for a game against the Sabres, it's probably safe to rule out Marian Gaborik for a fourth straight game. The team has provided little information regarding the nature or severity of Gaborik's injury, so there's no indication when he might be ready to return to action.

Brad Marchand
Bruins' Marchand Gets First Goal
Brad Marchand, LW, BOS
10/23/2014
News: Brad Marchand scored his first goal of the season in a 5-3 victory over the Sharks on Tuesday.
Analysis: Coach Claude Julien indicated in the preseason that Brad Marchand could see increased action on the power play, a move that paid off Tuesday as his goal came on the man advantage. He logged 16:50 worth of ice time, and now has points in three of the Bruins' last four games after being held off the score sheet in their first four contests.

Michal Neuvirth
Sabres' Neuvirth Expected To Start On Wednesday
Michal Neuvirth, G, BUF
10/23/2014
News: Michal Neuvirth is expected to get the start on Wednesday against the Ducks, Eric Stephens of the Orange County Register reports.
Analysis: Michal Neuvirth has appeared in one game this season, incidentally enough, against the Ducks. He didn't fare especially well, giving up five goals on 44 shots in a 5-1 loss Oct. 13. Buffalo has been struggling in all facets of the game this season, but Jhonas Enroth still seems to have a steady hand on the No. 1 gig, even after giving up four goals in his last turn over the weekend. It appears coach Ted Nolan is just looking to rest Enroth for the first game of a back-to-back set.

Tom Wilson
Caps' Wilson Eyeing Oct. 29 Return
Tom Wilson, RW, WAS
10/23/2014
News: Coach Barry Trotz acknowledged Tuesday that Tom Wilson (ankle) could return to the Washington lineup Oct. 29 against the Red Wings, Alex Prewitt of the Washington Post reports.
Analysis: Tom Wilson, who was sent out on a rehab assignment at AHL Hershey on Monday, will play in two minor league games over the weekend, logging top-six minutes in each tilt. If his ankle holds up fine, Wilson will rejoin the Capitals for practice on Monday, when the team returns from its three-game road trip through western Canada. Trotz will then have to decide if he wants to slot Wilson back into his bottom-six, most likely at the expense of Liam O'Brien or Chris Brown.

 
 
 
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