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Week 3 schedule analysis

by | Rotowire.com
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It's the second week of the season and you're likely recognizing the identity of your team. Are you destined to make a season-long comeback because you went heavy on Rangers players like yours truly? Or are you riding high because you loaded up on the right mix of sleepers and prospects like Lars Eller, Tomas Hertl and Sean Monahan? Regardless of your place in the standings right now, it's the newly aligned NHL and the most subtle of schedule trends can send you spiraling or soaring in one night.

NHL schedule

Three of a Kind

High Percentage Teams (weaker schedules)

The Isles (BUF, EDM, CAR) are as solid as anyone heading into this week's schedule when they play three opponents sporting a combined record of 3-8-3 headed into Saturday's (10/12/13) action. In addition to John Tavares (DDS), Michael Grabner, Frans Nielsen and Josh Bailey look to keep the party moving all the way to Brooklyn.

Colorado (DAL, DET, @BUF) faces a schedule of teams (4-7-1) that are getting outscored 31 to 21 so far. Adding to that contrast, Semyon Varlamov and Jean-Sebastien Giguere have given up a total of three goals in four games this season.

Washington (EDM, NYR, CLS) and Montreal (at WPG, CLS, NAS) play a combined five of six from home against extremely under-performing teams as well.

In the meantime, you may want to avoid ...

Low Percentage Teams (tougher schedules)

Considering Jacob Markstrom's inability to put it altogether, that fuzzy feeling you had about Florida (at NAS, BOS, MIN) has likely died down with the news about Tim Thomas. No surprise they're getting outscored 21-13 in the early going.

At first glance, San Jose (at STL, at DAL, CAL) looks to be a good bet to stay hot this week. Look again and you'll see they travel for two of three, one of which will be the almost as hot Blues. Dallas' play has been unstable and Calgary's bottom could fall out, but something tells us Hertl and the Sharks will come back down to earth this week.

Don't misinterpret Carolina's (CHI, at TOR, at NYI) 2-1-2 record as well. Although Anton Khudobin (2-0, 1.50 GAA) has been quite stellar in his limited logged time, number one Cam Ward (0-1-2, 2.87 GAA) has been pedestrian at best. If Ward gets the nod for at least two of these starts, look out, Carolina could go from second in the Metropolitan to keeping the Flyers and Rangers company at the bottom.

Speaking of which ...

One Pair

Not only is their schedule almost exclusive to teams playing solid hockey, but players from New Jersey (at OTT, NYR), the Rangers (at WAS, at NJ), Philadelphia (VAN, PIT) and Calgary (at ANH, at SJ) will play just two games this week. Could this be the Sean Monahan train back to juniors? As old fashioned as we can be, we just can't seem them doing so, regardless of how the Flames play this week. Four games left and the clock is ticking.

Other pairs to consider:

Back-to-Back Jacks

In addition to all of the Four Aces (see below) playing on back-to-back nights once this week, these two teams are playing two of their three games on consecutive nights.

Thomas Greiss, G, Phoenix (OTT, at ANH, DET): For those (owned by 8% of CBS) considering picking up Greiss, you may hesitate when you see his opponent will either be the Ducks or Red Wings. As for Mike Smith's career numbers, in 13 games played against Anaheim, Smith is 8-3-1 (2.74 GAA), while in nine games played against Detroit Smith is 2-5-2 with 2.60 GAA.

Brian Elliott, G, St. Louis (SJ, at CHI, at WPG): Elliott had yet to appear in a game heading into Saturday's match-up with the Rangers. Head coach Ken Hitchcock is likely to give Elliott the nod against the weaker Jets and the white hot Jaroslav Halak against the cup champs, Chicago.

Four Aces

Raise (weaker schedules)

Detroit (at BOS, CLS, at COL, at PHX), Nashville (FLA, LA, at MON, WPG) and Vancouver (at PHI, at BUF, at PIT, at CLS) all play favorable four game schedules.

Daniel Alfredsson has 26 goals, 43 assists in 87 career games versus the B's. Alfredsson was kept quiet in last week's 4-1 loss in Boston, perhaps the second time in a week is the charm for the veteran Northeast rival.

Stephen Weiss has seven goals and five assists in 10 career games against the Avs.

There's always good old Pavel Datsyuk (goal, assist in four games), who has 173 points in 149 career games against this week's opponents.

One thing we love about Detroit's week is Jimmy Howard's career record (28-8-5, 2.23 GAA, 2 SO) against this week's opponents. How about even better news for Howard owners? He'll likely get three starts this week. Despite Jonas Gustavsson's fairly impressive career GAA (2.48) versus Boston, he's likely to draw the weaker Columbus team on Tuesday.

Fold (tougher schedules)

Minnesota (at BUF, at TOR, at TB, at FLA), Buffalo (MIN, at NYI, VAN, COL), Edmonton (at WAS, at PIT, at NYI, at OTT), Columbus (at DET, at MON, at WAS, VAN) and Dallas (at COL, SJ, at LA, at ANH) have busy but sketchy games likely to leave a negative impact on your week.

It's the regular season, so of course Niklas Backstrom (lower-body) is fighting a day-to-day injury. While Josh Harding has been solid in his two games since the Backstrom injury, his career record (19-42-6, 2.97 GAA) on the road is ugly, regardless of what team's he'll be facing this week. We'll leave this one up to you.

Offensively (9/11 GF/GA), things just are not panning out for the Wild, who have a four man log jam for scoring leader with three points, including Matt Cooke and Mikael Granlund. Perhaps Zach Parise's (three goals) Eastern Conference cred is still good, but we somehow doubt it.

It should be a telling week for Jonas Brodin (two goals, one assist), who will play in four arenas that he's stepped foot in.

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Player News
Devan Dubnyk
Wild's Dubnyk Going For Game 3
Devan Dubnyk, G, MIN
5/6/2015
News: Devan Dubnyk will be between the pipes for Tuesday's Game 3 against the Blackhawks.
Analysis: Devan Dubnyk has hardly looked sharp in the first two games of the series, stopping just 58 of 65 shots (.892 save percentage). With the Wild now down 2-0 as the series shifts to Minnesota, the team will need the Masterson Trophy nominee to come up huge to keep their playoff hopes alive. During 20 regular-season starts at the Xcel Energy Center, Dubnyk went 12-7-1 with a 2.01 GAA and .922 save percentage.

David Desharnais
Habs' Desharnais On The Way To Florida
David Desharnais, C, MON
11:17 AM
News: David Desharnais (illness) is en route to Tampa and expected to arrive Tuesday afternoon, ESPN.com's Pierre LeBrun reports.
Analysis: David Desharnais is thus a candidate to play Wednesday against the Lightning, though added clarity on that front may not arrive until the Habs' pre-game skate in advance of Game 3.

Raphael Diaz
Flames' Diaz Set To Return
Raphael Diaz, D, CGY
10:25 AM
News: Raphael Diaz (lower body) is slated to play Tuesday against the Ducks, Pat Steinberg of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Analysis: Based on the team's pre-game skate, Raphael Diaz -- who last suited up on April 2 -- figures to work on the Flames' third defensive pairing Tuesday, along with David Schlemko.

Eric Fehr
Caps' Fehr Still Out
Eric Fehr, RW, WAS
10:13 AM
News: Eric Fehr (shoulder) won't play in Wednesday's Game 4 against the Rangers, Alex Prewitt of the Washington Post reports.
Analysis: Coach Barry Trotz acknowledged that it might be tough to find a spot for Eric Fehr in the team's lineup right now, but that of course could change if a Caps' forward gets injured on Wednesday.

Chris Stewart
Wild's Stewart Out For Game 3
Chris Stewart, RW, MIN
10:07 AM
News: Chris Stewart (upper body) won't play Tuesday against Chicago.
Analysis: Previous reports suggested that Chris Stewart is dealing with an arm injury, but in any case, the forward is considered day-to-day by the Wild in advance of Thursday's Game 4.

Sam Bennett
Flames Stick With Bennett
Sam Bennett, C, CGY
10:00 AM
News: Sam Bennett will remain in the Flames' lineup Tuesday against the Ducks, which will mark his 10th appearance for the team.
Analysis: By playing in his 10th NHL contest, the first season of Sam Bennett's entry-level contract with the team kicks in, but the play of the 18-year-old has given the Flames no reason to take him out of their lineup. In eight playoff games to date, Bennett has tallied three goals and an assist.

Lance Bouma
Flames' Bouma Not At Practice Tuesday
Lance Bouma, LW, CGY
9:50 AM
News: Lance Bouma (upper body) was missing from practice on Tuesday, Pat Steinberg of Sportsnet 960 reports.
Analysis: Lance Bouma has yet to lace up the skates in these playoffs and it looks like Tuesday night's Game 3 will be no different. It's unclear whether he will even be available for the rest of the playoffs at some point.

Cedric Paquette
Lightning's Paquette Practices Tuesday
Cedric Paquette, C, TB
8:11 AM
News: Cedric Paquette (undisclosed injury) practiced Tuesday, NHL.com's Bryan Burns reports.
Analysis: Cedric Paquette skated with Brian Boyle and Valtteri Filppula at practice Tuesday, which bodes well for his status for Wednesday's Game 3 against Montreal, though coach Jon Cooper previously indicated that the forward would be a game-time decision for the contest.

Micheal Ferland
Flames' Ferland A Possibility For Game 3
Micheal Ferland, LW, CGY
7:30 AM
News: Micheal Ferland (upper body), who didn't end up playing in Sunday's Game 2, could join the lineup for Tuesday's Game 3 against the Ducks, the Calgary Herald reports.
Analysis: Micheal Ferland indicated before Game 2 that he'd be able to play, but he was ultimately held out of the contest. Two days later, he may actually be ready to go, as he took part in Tuesday's morning skate without incident.

Mark Giordano
Flames' Giordano Likely Out For Week
Mark Giordano, D, CGY
7:27 AM
News: Mark Giordano (biceps) is unlikely to be available this week, the Calgary Herald reports.
Analysis: Mark Giordano can seemingly be ruled out for Tuesday's Game 3 and Friday's Game 4, but he could perhaps return later in the series, if his teammates are able to extend it past four or five games.

 
 
 
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