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2014 Draft Prep: Sleepers for Draft Day

by | Rotowire.com
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Sleepers can fall into multiple categories, depending on your league. For purposes of this column, I focused on those who either through line placement or opportunity may have a chance to exceed their usual projections. In addition, I included several players who could be bounce back candidates as well as some that will need a bit of help to out-produce their projections. The column includes three players apiece at center, left wing, right wing, defense and goalie.

Centers

Alex Galchenyuk, C, Canadiens: Galchenyuk has just scratched the surface of good he will be and how much he will produce. As a rookie, he had 27 points while playing all 48 games two seasons ago. Last year, in an injury-plagued campaign, Galchenyuk contributed 31 points, but his ice time rose two minutes a game, including 44 seconds on the power play. While he is listed as the third center, his upside is greater than that and it wouldn't be surprising to see him land on one of the top-two lines.

Sean Monahan, C, Flames: Monahan had a solid rookie campaign with 22 goals and 12 assists in 73 games while playing almost 16 minutes nightly, including two on the man advantage. With Mike Cammalleri now in New Jersey, Monahan should slide in as the first or second center in Calgary. In addition, now that Mikael Backlund, Johnny Gaudreau and Sam Bennett are on the Flames, Monahan may slide under the radar, but should produce nicely.

Evgeny Kuznetsov, C, Capitals: This one is cheating to a certain extent. While Kuznetsov is listed as center, there is a more of a likelihood that he moves to left wing this season. More importantly, a position shift would mean he plays on a line with Nicklas Backstrom and Alex Ovechkin. If that doesn't give you a chance to exceed your projections, nothing will.

Left Wings

Dany Heatley, LW, Ducks: Heater has seen his career spiral downward the past few seasons, notching just 28 points with a minus-18 rating last season. We don't expect the 2005-2007 version of Heatley, but there has to be something left in that stick of his. In addition, there is a good possibly that Heatley gets a chance at some point to skate with Getzlaf and Perry, even though Patrick Maron is projected to play there now. If that does transpire, Heatley could easily end up back at around 40 points this year.

Brandon Saad, LW, Blackhawks: Saad went from 27 points as a rookie to 47 last year, largely due to a slight tick upward in his shooting percentage from 10.2 to 11.9 per cent. This season, Saad should benefit from playing a full campaign to the left of Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane, building off the 16 points he scored last postseason.

Jonathan Huberdeau, Panthers: Huberdeau had a decent rookie season two years ago, with 31 points and a minus-15 rating for a weak Florida team. He was expected to take the next step in his development alongside Alexander Barkov, but that proved to be a pipe dream. Huberdeau suffered through a nightmarish sophomore campaign, notching just nine goals and 28 points in 69 games. This year, Huberdeau will be reunited with his former junior coach, Gerard Gallant, who is now serving the same role with the Panthers, and see copious ice time skating on the top line in Florida with Barkov.

Right Wings

Rick Nash, RW, Rangers: My esteemed RotoWire colleague Dan Pennucci wrote Nash up in his Busts column. I can understand the argument, especially coming off the post-season he had, in which the goal looked like miniscule and the puck like a tractor-trailer trying to get through it. But it is precisely that reason, along with 26 goals Nash scored in 65 games last year, putting him on a 32 goal-pace, that I highlight him here. Nash did everything in the playoffs but score. In my opinion, the memory of Nash's struggles will carry forward to many leagues, enabling him to slip and be a relative bargain this season.

Matthew Nieto, RW, Sharks: Nieto had a nice rookie campaign, scoring 10 goals and 14 assists in 66 games. He had a nice start to the playoffs, notching points in each of the first four games before the wheels fell off for San Jose. The Sharks are moving Brent Burns back to the blueline, opening up a spot on the top line alongside Joe Thornton. Nieto may get the first chance to fill that role, providing nice value for poolies if he does.

Radim Vrbata, RW, Canucks: How does a winger who scored 51 points last year end up a sleeper? Good question and the answer is line placement. Last season, Vrbata put up his production skating with decent talent around him. This year, he gets an upgrade to play alongside the Sedin twins, who will be looking for redemption after a subpar 2013-14 campaign. That duo gives Vrbata a boost that should enable him to exceed his career-high of 62 points, set in 2011-12.

Defensemen

Danny DeKeyser, D, Red Wings: DeKeyser had a decent first full season with the Red Wings, notching 23 points and a plus-10 rating in 65 games. He might have broken 30 points, but he missed close to a month with a shoulder injury. With no other great blueline options besides Niklas Kronwall, DeKeyser should see an uptick in minutes, both at even strength but especially on the power play, putting 30+ points in reach.

Sami Vatanen, D, Ducks: Vatanen very quietly put up 21 points in 48 games with a plus-nine rating for Anaheim, with seven of those points coming in his last seven games. The one negative for Vatanen is the Ducks' depth on the blue line - he was a healthy scratch five times last season. However, at the trade deadline and this offseason, his massive upside potential was the reason why he was so highly sought after by others teams in trade talks. Vatanen will have to battle another youngster, Hampus Lindholm, to see who will play across from Cam Fowler on the point of the power play. But even if Vatanen loses the battle, his spot in the lineup should be secure while he at worst sees second-line power play duty.

Calvin De Haan, D, Islanders: De Haan got a chance last year with the Isles and made the most of it, scoring 16 points in 51 games. What might have been more impressive is that De Haan, who had the reputation in the minors of being injury-prone, had 114 hits and 104 blocked shots. This season, with lots of talent around him and the Islanders looking for another point man on the man advantage, De Haan could see a major uptick in power play time that should net a solid rise in points.

Goalies

Anton Khudobin, G, Hurricanes: Let everyone else go after the big name in Carolina, those in the know realize that Khudobin was by far the better goalie for the Hurricanes last year. Khudobin did have some stinkers, but he finished with the fifth-best goals-against average in the NHL at .926 while playing 36 games. Cam Ward likely will begin the year as the number-one goalie in Carolina, largely due to the two years remaining on the six-year contract extension he signed with Carolina in late-September, 2009, worth $37.8 million. Just because he has that big deal doesn't means he ends the year as the #1 goalie, as injuries and/or ineffectiveness will cost him the job, opening the door again for Khudobin.

Jake Allen, G, Blues: Allen, the Blues' goalie of the future, was profiled last year but he spent the entire season in the AHL behind Jaroslav Halak and then Ryan Miller at the parent level. With Halak and Miller both gone, Brian Elliott will open the year as the starter in the Arch City, but Allen will be the No. 2. It's only a matter of time before Allen overtakes Elliot, who signed a three-year, $7.5 million deal to remain in St. Louis. At worst, Allen should get 30 starts and post solid across the board numbers.

Braden Holtby, G, Capitals: Holtby suffered through a nightmarish season last year, posting career-worst numbers in goals-against average (2.85) and save-percentage (.915). He lost his starting job during the season but ended the year on a high-note with four straight wins. Washington revamped their whole infrastructure and new Capitals GM Brian MacLellan gave Holtby a vote of confidence, saying he envisions Holtby as the starter. That view coupled with the hiring of Barry Trotz, a noted stickler for defense, as coach along with longtime Predators goaltender coach Mitch Korn, who had success with the netminders in Nashville, seems to bode for Holtby's prospects this season. If he falters, Justin Peters will be waiting in the wings.

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Player News
Jori Lehtera
Blues' Lehtera Poised To Return
Jori Lehtera, C, STL
4/27/2015
News: Jori Lehtera (lower body) was on the ice for warmups in advance of Sunday's Game 6 against the Wild, Lou Korac of NHL.com reports.
Analysis: Based on warmups, look for Jori Lehtera to work Sunday on a trio with Jaden Schwartz and Vladimir Tarasenko. Lehtera -- who was was held out of Friday's Game 5 -- checks back into the Blues' lineup with two helpers in four playoff games to date.

Brian Elliott
Blues' Elliott Sees Relief Duty In Game 6
Brian Elliott, G, STL
5:02 PM
News: Brian Elliott stopped six of seven shots in relief of Jake Allen in Sunday's series-ending Game 6 loss to the Wild.
Analysis: It was the only appearance of the postseason for Brian Elliott, as the Blues opted to go with 24-year-old Jake Allen instead. While the youngster didn't have the best postseason, Elliott was disappointing in the second-half of the regular season and didn't do anything to win over coach Ken Hitchcock. While his .897 career playoff save percentage is a concern, Elliott had a strong season overall and will be a good fantasy option once again in 2015-16.

Jake Allen
Blues' Allen Pulled In Game 6 Loss
Jake Allen, G, STL
4:57 PM
News: Jake Allen was pulled from Sunday's series-ending Game 6 loss to the Wild after giving up two goals on 13 shots.
Analysis: Not a good night for Jake Allen, who had a disappointing postseason, posting a .904 save percentage. The 24-year-old is the goaltender of the future for the Blues, but he lost three of his last four playoff games, leading to the Blues elimination from the postseason. We wouldn't be too concerned, though, as he posted a solid 22-7-4 record in the regular season and was playing in his first NHL postseason. Have him on your radar next year.

Justin Fontaine
Wild's Fontaine Nets Game 6 Winner
Justin Fontaine, RW, MIN
4:49 PM
News: Justin Fontaine scored the game-winning goal in Sunday's series-clinching Game 6 victory over the Blues.
Analysis: It was the first goal of the playoffs for Justin Fontaine, who racked up two points in Round 1. The fourth-liner is a decent depth scorer who is capable of potting 10-15 goals in the regular season. While Fontaine has only registered four points in 14 career NHL playoff games, the Wild will need continual production from their bottom-six if they hope to get past the Blackhawks in Round 2.

Zach Parise
Wild's Parise Scores Twice In Game 6 Win
Zach Parise, LW, MIN
4:43 PM
News: Zach Parise netted a pair of goals, including a shorthanded marker, in Sunday's series-clinching Game 6 win over the Blues.
Analysis: A great outing for Zach Parise, who was dominant in Round 1. The 30-year-old had three goals and seven points in six games, helping the Wild move on to Round 2 to face Chicago. The top-line winger is sporting a solid plus-3 rating in these playoffs and will need to be at this best if the Wild hope to have any chance of getting past the Blackhawks in the second round.

Devan Dubnyk
Wild's Dubnyk Makes 30 Saves In Game 6 Win
Devan Dubnyk, G, MIN
4:38 PM
News: Devan Dubnyk stopped 30 of 31 shots in Sunday's series-clinching Game 6 win over the Blues.
Analysis: A fantastic performance from Devan Dubnyk, who has been outstanding in back-to-back games after getting lit up for six goals in Game 4. The 28-year-old finished the first round with a .913 save percentage, 2.32 GAA and one shutout. If Dubnyk, who registered an impressive .929 save percentage in the regular season , can carry his terrific play from Games 5 and 6 of Round 1 into Round 2, the Wild could have a chance to get past the Blackhawks.

Dale Weise
Habs' Weise Poised To Play Sunday
Dale Weise, RW, MON
2:55 PM
News: Dale Weise (maintenance) took part in warmups in advance of Sunday's Game 6 against the Sens, John Lu of TSN reports.
Analysis: Dale Weise, who did not take part in Sunday's morning skate, worked on a trio with Alex Galchenyuk and David Desharnais in warmups, while Brian Flynn and Manny Malhotra are in line to be the Habs' scratches up font on Sunday.

Shea Theodore
Theodore Recalled By Ducks
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2:33 PM
News: Shea Theodore was called up from AHL Norfolk on Sunday, Eric Stephens of the Orange County Register reports.
Analysis: Shea Theodore spent the majority of the 2014-15 season with the Seattle Thunderbirds of the WHL, appearing in 43 games and scoring 48 points. He also played nine games for AHL Norfolk where he posted 11 points. With the Ducks not dealing with any notable injuries on the blue line and unlikely to shake up their lineup in the second round, don't expect Theodore to log any minutes during the postseason.

Mark Fistric
Ducks' Fistric Recalled From AHL Norfolk
Mark Fistric, D, ANA
2:18 PM
News: Mark Fistric was recalled from AHL Norfolk on Sunday, Eric Stephens of the Orange County Register reports.
Analysis: Mark Fistric spent most of the 2014-15 campaign with Norfolk, accruing a goal and seven points over 34 games. Though he did log nine appearances with the parent club earlier this season, the Ducks are back to full health on the blue line heading into the second round of the playoffs, which will make it difficult for Fistric to earn ice time.

Christian Ehrhoff
Pens' Ehrhoff Nursing Concussion
Christian Ehrhoff, D, PIT
1:16 PM
News: Christian Ehrhoff admitted Sunday that it was a concussion that had sidelined him since March 24, NHL.com's Wes Crosby reports.
Analysis: Christian Ehrhoff appeared to be trending toward a return from the head injury during the Penguins' first-round playoff series with the Rangers, but those plans were halted after he recently endured a setback in his recovery. The blueliner has said that he suffered multiple concussions during the season, so it sounds like he'll plan on taking it easy over the summer in an attempt to the start of next season. Ehrhoff will become an unrestricted free agent in July.

 
 
 
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