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2014 Draft Prep: Sleepers for Draft Day

by | Rotowire.com
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Sleepers can fall into multiple categories, depending on your league. For purposes of this column, I focused on those who either through line placement or opportunity may have a chance to exceed their usual projections. In addition, I included several players who could be bounce back candidates as well as some that will need a bit of help to out-produce their projections. The column includes three players apiece at center, left wing, right wing, defense and goalie.

Centers

Alex Galchenyuk, C, Canadiens: Galchenyuk has just scratched the surface of good he will be and how much he will produce. As a rookie, he had 27 points while playing all 48 games two seasons ago. Last year, in an injury-plagued campaign, Galchenyuk contributed 31 points, but his ice time rose two minutes a game, including 44 seconds on the power play. While he is listed as the third center, his upside is greater than that and it wouldn't be surprising to see him land on one of the top-two lines.

Sean Monahan, C, Flames: Monahan had a solid rookie campaign with 22 goals and 12 assists in 73 games while playing almost 16 minutes nightly, including two on the man advantage. With Mike Cammalleri now in New Jersey, Monahan should slide in as the first or second center in Calgary. In addition, now that Mikael Backlund, Johnny Gaudreau and Sam Bennett are on the Flames, Monahan may slide under the radar, but should produce nicely.

Evgeny Kuznetsov, C, Capitals: This one is cheating to a certain extent. While Kuznetsov is listed as center, there is a more of a likelihood that he moves to left wing this season. More importantly, a position shift would mean he plays on a line with Nicklas Backstrom and Alex Ovechkin. If that doesn't give you a chance to exceed your projections, nothing will.

Left Wings

Dany Heatley, LW, Ducks: Heater has seen his career spiral downward the past few seasons, notching just 28 points with a minus-18 rating last season. We don't expect the 2005-2007 version of Heatley, but there has to be something left in that stick of his. In addition, there is a good possibly that Heatley gets a chance at some point to skate with Getzlaf and Perry, even though Patrick Maron is projected to play there now. If that does transpire, Heatley could easily end up back at around 40 points this year.

Brandon Saad, LW, Blackhawks: Saad went from 27 points as a rookie to 47 last year, largely due to a slight tick upward in his shooting percentage from 10.2 to 11.9 per cent. This season, Saad should benefit from playing a full campaign to the left of Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane, building off the 16 points he scored last postseason.

Jonathan Huberdeau, Panthers: Huberdeau had a decent rookie season two years ago, with 31 points and a minus-15 rating for a weak Florida team. He was expected to take the next step in his development alongside Alexander Barkov, but that proved to be a pipe dream. Huberdeau suffered through a nightmarish sophomore campaign, notching just nine goals and 28 points in 69 games. This year, Huberdeau will be reunited with his former junior coach, Gerard Gallant, who is now serving the same role with the Panthers, and see copious ice time skating on the top line in Florida with Barkov.

Right Wings

Rick Nash, RW, Rangers: My esteemed RotoWire colleague Dan Pennucci wrote Nash up in his Busts column. I can understand the argument, especially coming off the post-season he had, in which the goal looked like miniscule and the puck like a tractor-trailer trying to get through it. But it is precisely that reason, along with 26 goals Nash scored in 65 games last year, putting him on a 32 goal-pace, that I highlight him here. Nash did everything in the playoffs but score. In my opinion, the memory of Nash's struggles will carry forward to many leagues, enabling him to slip and be a relative bargain this season.

Matthew Nieto, RW, Sharks: Nieto had a nice rookie campaign, scoring 10 goals and 14 assists in 66 games. He had a nice start to the playoffs, notching points in each of the first four games before the wheels fell off for San Jose. The Sharks are moving Brent Burns back to the blueline, opening up a spot on the top line alongside Joe Thornton. Nieto may get the first chance to fill that role, providing nice value for poolies if he does.

Radim Vrbata, RW, Canucks: How does a winger who scored 51 points last year end up a sleeper? Good question and the answer is line placement. Last season, Vrbata put up his production skating with decent talent around him. This year, he gets an upgrade to play alongside the Sedin twins, who will be looking for redemption after a subpar 2013-14 campaign. That duo gives Vrbata a boost that should enable him to exceed his career-high of 62 points, set in 2011-12.

Defensemen

Danny DeKeyser, D, Red Wings: DeKeyser had a decent first full season with the Red Wings, notching 23 points and a plus-10 rating in 65 games. He might have broken 30 points, but he missed close to a month with a shoulder injury. With no other great blueline options besides Niklas Kronwall, DeKeyser should see an uptick in minutes, both at even strength but especially on the power play, putting 30+ points in reach.

Sami Vatanen, D, Ducks: Vatanen very quietly put up 21 points in 48 games with a plus-nine rating for Anaheim, with seven of those points coming in his last seven games. The one negative for Vatanen is the Ducks' depth on the blue line - he was a healthy scratch five times last season. However, at the trade deadline and this offseason, his massive upside potential was the reason why he was so highly sought after by others teams in trade talks. Vatanen will have to battle another youngster, Hampus Lindholm, to see who will play across from Cam Fowler on the point of the power play. But even if Vatanen loses the battle, his spot in the lineup should be secure while he at worst sees second-line power play duty.

Calvin De Haan, D, Islanders: De Haan got a chance last year with the Isles and made the most of it, scoring 16 points in 51 games. What might have been more impressive is that De Haan, who had the reputation in the minors of being injury-prone, had 114 hits and 104 blocked shots. This season, with lots of talent around him and the Islanders looking for another point man on the man advantage, De Haan could see a major uptick in power play time that should net a solid rise in points.

Goalies

Anton Khudobin, G, Hurricanes: Let everyone else go after the big name in Carolina, those in the know realize that Khudobin was by far the better goalie for the Hurricanes last year. Khudobin did have some stinkers, but he finished with the fifth-best goals-against average in the NHL at .926 while playing 36 games. Cam Ward likely will begin the year as the number-one goalie in Carolina, largely due to the two years remaining on the six-year contract extension he signed with Carolina in late-September, 2009, worth $37.8 million. Just because he has that big deal doesn't means he ends the year as the #1 goalie, as injuries and/or ineffectiveness will cost him the job, opening the door again for Khudobin.

Jake Allen, G, Blues: Allen, the Blues' goalie of the future, was profiled last year but he spent the entire season in the AHL behind Jaroslav Halak and then Ryan Miller at the parent level. With Halak and Miller both gone, Brian Elliott will open the year as the starter in the Arch City, but Allen will be the No. 2. It's only a matter of time before Allen overtakes Elliot, who signed a three-year, $7.5 million deal to remain in St. Louis. At worst, Allen should get 30 starts and post solid across the board numbers.

Braden Holtby, G, Capitals: Holtby suffered through a nightmarish season last year, posting career-worst numbers in goals-against average (2.85) and save-percentage (.915). He lost his starting job during the season but ended the year on a high-note with four straight wins. Washington revamped their whole infrastructure and new Capitals GM Brian MacLellan gave Holtby a vote of confidence, saying he envisions Holtby as the starter. That view coupled with the hiring of Barry Trotz, a noted stickler for defense, as coach along with longtime Predators goaltender coach Mitch Korn, who had success with the netminders in Nashville, seems to bode for Holtby's prospects this season. If he falters, Justin Peters will be waiting in the wings.

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Player News
Dan Hamhuis
Two Helpers For Vancouver's Hamhuis
Dan Hamhuis, D, VAN
12:03 PM
News: Dan Hamhuis collected two assists and went plus-3 in Tuesday's shootout win against Nashville.
Analysis: Dan Hamhuis has now played 55 games this season, and he still has no goals, with his 21 assists not going an especially long way toward making up for that. At least the fine evening pushed his season rating back to the positive end of things (plus-2).

Alex Burrows
Canucks' Burrows Stuffs Stat Sheet In Win
Alex Burrows, LW, VAN
12:01 PM
News: Alex Burrows racked up a shorthanded goal, a power-play assist and 15 PIM in Tuesday's shootout win over Nashville.
Analysis: The veteran's five-minute major for interference (and game misconduct) at the end of the third period set the Predators up with a great chance to win it, but fortunately for Alex Burrows, Nashville whiffed on the extended man-advantage opportunity. The gritty winger certainly isn't the offensive force he once was, but he's got a decent skill-and-grit combo, with 31 points and 64 PIM in 65 games. He's also scored goals in consecutive games.

Alex Stalock
Sharks' Stalock Confirmed For Wednesday
Alex Stalock, G, SJ
11:37 AM
News: Alex Stalock will be between the pipes for Wednesday's game against the Avalanche, Kevin Kurz of CSN Bay Area reports.
Analysis: Regular netminder Antti Niemi still isn't fully recovered from the illness he first suffered over the weekend, so Alex Stalock will be called upon to make a third straight start. He's played fairly well in his first two turns, beating the Flyers and taking an overtime loss to the Penguins while stopping 47 of 51 shots (.921 save percentage).

Pavel Datsyuk
Red Wings' Datsyuk Expected Back Thursday
Pavel Datsyuk, C, DET
11:32 AM
News: Pavel Datsyuk (lower body) is expected to return to the lineup Thursday against the Bruins, Helene St. James of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Analysis: Pavel Datsyuk didn't skate Wednesday morning a day after being scratched against the Senators with the lower-body injury, but the Red Wings don't seem to believe he suffered a setback upon his return to the lineup over the previous weekend. The team could just be playing it safe with the center with the playoffs approaching, so if he's able to complete Thursday's morning skate without incident, he'll likely draw back into the lineup.

Riley Sheahan
Wings' Sheahan Expected To Play Thursday
Riley Sheahan, C, DET
11:27 AM
News: The Red Wings are expecting to have Riley Sheahan (upper body) back in the lineup Thursday against the Bruins, Helene St. James of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Analysis: After it was initially believed that he would play in Tuesday's loss to the Senators, Riley Sheahan was ruled out for a third straight contest shortly before warmups. Even so, it doesn't sound like it was due to any sort of major setback, as he was able to return to the ice for Wednesday's practice, according to MLive.com's Ansar Khan reports. The Red Wings will make an official decision on Sheahan's status for Thursday's game following their team skate that morning.

Erik Cole
Red Wings' Cole Expected Back Thursday
Erik Cole, RW, DET
11:24 AM
News: Erik Cole (upper body) is expected to return to the ice for Thursday's game against the Bruins, Helene St. James of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Analysis: Erik Cole didn't skate during Wednesday's practice, but the Red Wings still seem optimistic that he'll be back after a four-game absence. His status should be verified one way or the other after Thursday's morning skate.

Nate Prosser
Wild's Prosser Practices Wednesday
Nate Prosser, D, MIN
11:18 AM
News: Nate Prosser (lower body) resumed practicing with the Wild on Wednesday, Chad Graff of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
Analysis: Coach Mike Yeo was pleased with Nate Prosser's performance in his return to team activities, but suggested the blueliner remained without a firm timetable for a return. It appears the Wild will simply monitor Prosser's condition in the practices to come before deciding when he's healthy enough to play in games.

Corey Crawford
Hawks Turn To Crawford On Thursday
Corey Crawford, G, CHI
11:02 AM
News: Corey Crawford is slated to start Thursday's game against the Canucks, Chris Kuc of the Chicago Tribune reports.
Analysis: Corey Crawford, who gave way to Scott Darling in Monday's 4-1 win over the Kings, will return to man the Chicago net in Thursday's home game, against a Vancouver team that has won two straight contests by a combined tally of 9-5.

Richard Bachman
Oilers' Bachman Unavailable Due To Personal Matter
Richard Bachman, G, EDM
10:57 AM
News: Richard Bachman (personal) has left the Oilers and will be unavailable for Wednesday's game against the Ducks, Joanne Ireland of the Edmonton Journal reports.
Analysis: After leading the Oilers to stunning victories his last two times out while stopping 58 of 59 shots, he appeared in line to garner a third straight start Wednesday before personal tragedy set in. He's set to attend to a death in the family through at least Wednesday, but there's a decent chance he could still be unavailable for Thursday's contest against the Kings. Ben Scrivens will man the crease for however long Richard Bachman remains away from the team.

Jake Allen
Blues Turn To Allen On Thursday
Jake Allen, G, STL
10:54 AM
News: Jake Allen is slated to start Thursday's game against the Flames, NHL.com's Lou Korac reports.
Analysis: Jake Allen will get the team's starting nod Thursday, with Brian Elliott having dropped his last four decisions. Allen was victorious in his last turn for the Blues, stopping 24 of 26 shots in a 3-2 overtime win over the Penguins on March 24.

 
 
 
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