Detroit gave up 299 rushing yards in the snow last week in Philly, a totally out-of-character performance. The Lions still rank 10th in defending Fantasy running backs. In Weeks 10-13, running backs averaged 1.8 yards per carry vs. Detroit. Before Philly's three rushing scores, Detroit had not allowed a running back to score on the ground since Week 4.
Rice is getting poor run blocking while averaging a career-low 3.0 yards per carry. He's not nearly as explosive or shifty as LeSean McCoy, who just ripped Detroit for 217 yards, two touchdowns and 7.5 yards per carry.
The best news for Fantasy owners comes in the passing game, where Rice has caught 11 balls for 80 yards the past two games. Consider him a low-end RB3 or flex Week 15.Analysis:
Richardson has averaged less than 4.0 yards per carry in 10 of his 11 games with the Colts. He has averaged 2.5 over during a six-game stretch in which he has gotten no more than eight carries. He has gotten more involved in the passing game in recent weeks, catching five balls for 68 yards at Cincinnati in Week 14, but as a rusher, he's a non-factor.
So even though he has what appears to be a favorable matchup Week 15 against the Texans --who rank 21st against the run, allowing 118.5 yards per game, and have given up the 11th-most Fantsay points to running backs -- you wouldn't want to use him in Fantasy. Of the three CBSSports.com Fantasy Football analysts, Dave Richard ranks him the highest this week and still has him only 38th among running backs.Analysis:
Houston ranks 21st against the run this season, allowing 118.5 yards per game, and has given up the 11th-most Fantasy points to running backs this season. The Jaguars' Maurice Jones-Drew has rushed for 187 yards in two games against them, averaging 6.7 yards per carry. He has averaged 3.0 yards per carry in his other 11 games this season.
Brown picked up 49 yards on six carries when he visited the Texans in Week 9, but the Colts were relying more on Trent Richardson back then. Brown seems to be their preferred backfield option right now.
Against a struggling team that just fired its head coach, the Colts could jump out to an early lead and rely on Brown to close out the game, but Texans have played the Jaguars and Patriots close the last couple weeks. Jamey Eisenberg, Dave Richard and Nathan Zegura all rank Brown among their top 20 running backs for this week, but given the uncertain backfield situation and inconsistent offensive philosophy, he's better used as a flex option in Fantasy.Analysis:
The Colts rank 29th against the run, allowing 130.6 yards per game. They gave up 147 yards and two touchdowns on a combined 29 carries to the Bengals' Giovani Bernard and BenJarvus Green-Ellis last week. Tate didn't score a touchdown against them in Week 9, but he was at least a consistent part of the offense, picking up 81 yards on 22 carries.
Of the CBSSports.com Fantasy Football analysts, Jamey Eisenberg and Dave Richard both like Tate's chances for a rebound this week, ranking him in their top 15 at running back. Nathan Zegura is a little more cautious, ranking him 21st.Analysis:
Complicating Ogbonnaya's value in Week 15 is Willis McGahee's health and the presence of Fozzy Whittaker. The Browns have a dream matchup against the Bears, who have given up eight straight 100-yard games to running backs, with three backs running for 130 or more in the last four. And McGahee was concussed at the end of Sunday's game against New England.
While this would seem to open the door for Ogbonnaya, his recent production dip may point to an increased role for Whittaker. The Browns know what they have in Ogbonnaya; they have yet to give Whittaker more than nine touches in a game. And while Ogbannaya has pretty much doubled Whittaker's snap percentage, there's always the possibility that Whittaker slides into McGahee's role, while Ogbonnaya stays put in his.
The simplest way for events to play out would be for McGahee to play in Week 15. But if he's out, it becomes a logical move (to start Ogbonnaya) versus a huge upside gamble (starting Whittaker) against the league's most permissive run defense.Analysis:
The Browns face Chicago in Week 15, and the Bears have allowed a running back to reach the 95-rushing yard mark in eight straight games. Seven of the last eight have featured a 100-yard rusher. And backs have scored 11 touchdowns since that streak began.
McGahee would probably snap that 95-yard game streak, but he'd likely be able to at least eclipse his season-best 72 rushing yards. The key here is his health; if McGahee plays, he may have some flex consideration in deeper formats. If he's out, consider Chris Ogbonnaya or Fozzy Whittaker instead.Analysis:
It's a tough matchup for the rookie, as Cincy gives up the 5th-fewest Fantasy points (12.8 per game) to opposing running backs. The Bengals allow 3.8 yards per carry and have not allowed a running back to score since Week 4. In fact, running backs have more lost fumbles (4) than touchdowns (3) vs. Cincy.
The great thing about Bell, other than his talent, is his workload. He's gotten at least 20 touches in six straight games and has no real competition for carries. Bell has 30 catches over his last seven games.
He's a solid RB2 despite the matchup.Analysis: