Gonzales underwent Tommy John surgery last April and was sidelined for the entire 2016 season, but is hopeful that he'll be back on the mound for the start of spring training. The Cardinals will likely be extremely cautious with the 24-year-old coming off a major procedure, but if his recovery process goes as anticipated, Gonzales could be facing hitters by the end of camp. Given the year-long layoff, Gonzales figures to open the season in the minor-league ranks before potentially vying for a rotation spot with the big club later in the campaign.
The 25-year-old, who's compiled a career 3.32 ERA in 580.2 minor-league innings, offers upside as a potential middle of the rotation starter. Kingham possesses excellent command of three pitches and holds a career 3:1 K:BB. He's expected to begin the season with Triple-A Indianapolis after totaling only 77.1 IP since 2014. The 6-foot-6 righty is hoping to following in his roommate Jameson Taillon's footsteps. "Kinda looking into the progression that Taillon has gone through is definitely a good way to expect what will happen to me," Kingham said. "I saw what he did last year, when he came into spring training. I just want to follow in his footsteps and do what he did."
Koehler's ratios last season -- a 4.33 ERA and 1.46 -- were unspectacular and both fell for the second year in a row, but he did start 30 games for the third straight season and finished the campaign with a career-best 33 starts. Koehler's dependability is more useful to the Marlins than it is to fantasy players, and he will need to cut down on the baserunners he gave up last year in order to be an option in standard leagues.
Chatwood started a career-high 27 games for the Rockies last year, and while he struggled at Coors Field like many pitchers do, he did post a tidy 1.69 ERA over 13 road starts. It remains to be seen exactly where he will slot in, but he will head into this season with a spot in the team's rotation. He finished 2016 with a respectable 12 wins and 3.87 ERA, and another effective campaign would help him as he heads into free agency next offseason.
He can earn more than $6 million via performance bonuses. The risk surrounding Ross's injured shoulder was enough for the Padres to non-tender him in Decmeber, rather than pay him close to $9 million in arbitration. That said, Ross is pretty effective when healthy, owning a career 22.4 percent strikeout rate and 3.64 ERA. If he enters camp healthy, he will compete with A.J. Griffin and Andrew Cashner for the final two rotation spots. He is worth a late-round flyer in deeper leagues.
This is a monster number for Arrieta, but given his performance over the past three seasons, he would have had quite a compelling argument had his case gone to an arbiter. He makes for a low-end SP1 or high-end SP2 in fantasy leagues this season.
He can earn an extra $100,000 in performance bonuses. Harvey was throwing with no tingling in his fingers before Christmas, which is a good sign as he recovers from thoracic outlet syndrome. There is a ton of risk involved with that procedure, and success stories of other pitchers returning to peak form after the surgery are hard to find. That said, there will come a time in every draft where the reward outweighs the risk.
The terms of the agreement were not announced. Corbin is coming off a pretty terrible year in which he posted a 5.15 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 131:66 K:BB in 155.2 innings. He will compete with Shelby Miler, Archie Bradley and Braden Shipley for the final two spots in the big league rotation this spring.
Peralta posted a career-worse 4.86 ERA in 127.2 innings in 2016, but will still get a significant pay raise through the arbitration system. However, the 27-year-old will likely need to turn things around in 2017 lest the rebuilding Brewers deem him and his salary expendable.
The deal includes some performance bonuses that would allow deGrom to top the $4.05 million figure. This was the highest base salary ever for a starting pitcher in his first arbitration-eligible year who did not qualify for the ERA title in the previous season. Of course, deGrom is a pretty special pitcher, and projects to offer SP2-level production in 2017.